Dennys RieraSS
DSL Giants Black
Age 21
R/R
5'9" / 165 lbs
ROK
BB -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 1.7 · 2031
wRC+†70
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .284 / .322
PA120
HR2
K%27
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
32↗37
PWR
30↗35
SPD
46↗51
EYE
40↗45
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.8peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.7 | $16M | +$15M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.6 | $16M | +$15M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.5 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.3 | $14M | +$11M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.0 | $11M | +$7M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.7 | $4M | +$0.4M |
| Totals | $12M | $75M | +$63M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | 118 | 107 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 46 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .103 | .172 | .178 | .350 | .075 | .161 | 39 | 5 | .153 | -25 | -17 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -1.2 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 218 | 195 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 61 | 7 | 4 | 1 | .149 | .221 | .210 | .431 | .062 | .197 | 28 | 5 | .196 | 8 | -23 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +6 | -1.4 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 107 | 91 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 2 | .176 | .292 | .253 | .545 | .077 | .273 | 34 | 8 | .231 | 35 | -8 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 144 | 124 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 43 | 12 | 3 | 1 | .137 | .236 | .194 | .429 | .056 | .200 | 30 | 3 | .195 | 7 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | SF | 120 | 108 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .213 | .286 | .324 | .610 | .111 | .282 | 28 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | SF | 199 | 177 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 52 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .299 | .345 | .644 | .124 | .284 | 26 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | SF | 313 | 278 | 63 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 80 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .227 | .306 | .360 | .666 | .133 | .285 | 26 | 8 | .299 | 87 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | SF | 393 | 349 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 98 | 7 | 8 | 2 | .226 | .308 | .367 | .674 | .140 | .286 | 25 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | SF | 439 | 389 | 89 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 109 | 8 | 9 | 2 | .229 | .312 | .368 | .680 | .139 | .287 | 25 | 9 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 77% | SF | 467 | 414 | 95 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 42 | 115 | 8 | 9 | 2 | .229 | .312 | .374 | .687 | .145 | .287 | 25 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +13 | 1.7 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | SF | 480 | 425 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 119 | 8 | 9 | 2 | .233 | .317 | .384 | .700 | .151 | .287 | 25 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +14 | 1.7 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | SF | 483 | 428 | 98 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 44 | 121 | 8 | 9 | 2 | .229 | .312 | .371 | .684 | .143 | .287 | 25 | 9 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | SF | 478 | 423 | 95 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 44 | 121 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .225 | .309 | .362 | .671 | .137 | .286 | 25 | 9 | .306 | 93 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | SF | 471 | 416 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 44 | 121 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .226 | .312 | .365 | .677 | .139 | .284 | 26 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | SF | 459 | 406 | 90 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 42 | 120 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .222 | .307 | .355 | .662 | .133 | .283 | 26 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -7 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +13 | 1.0 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | SF | 442 | 391 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 117 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .217 | .303 | .345 | .648 | .128 | .281 | 26 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -8 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +13 | 0.7 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | SF | 413 | 365 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 113 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .216 | .302 | .342 | .645 | .126 | .280 | 27 | 9 | .289 | 80 | -10 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | SF | 368 | 325 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 103 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .212 | .299 | .338 | .637 | .126 | .278 | 28 | 9 | .283 | 75 | -11 | +1 | -5 | +4 | +10 | -0.0 |
| 2040 | 35 | MLB | SF | 315 | 279 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 92 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .201 | .285 | .308 | .594 | .108 | .276 | 29 | 9 | .275 | 69 | -11 | +1 | -6 | +3 | +9 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6427 | 5690 | 1226 | 235 | 33 | 143 | 555 | 1700 | 128 | 111 | 19 | .215 | .300 | .344 | .643 | .128 | .279 | 26 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -146 | +15 | -25 | +69 | +182 | 9.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 123 | 24 | 3 | 14 | 56 | 172 | 13 | 11 | 2 | .214 | .298 | .339 | .637 | .125 | .277 | 26 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -15 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +18 | 1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | 118 | 104 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .154 | .241 | .279 | .520 | .125 | .194 | 27 | 8 | .237 | 39 | -8 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 218 | 188 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 7 | 4 | 1 | .207 | .300 | .309 | .609 | .101 | .247 | 20 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 107 | 86 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 2 | .244 | .387 | .349 | .736 | .105 | .323 | 22 | 13 | .342 | 120 | +2 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 144 | 120 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 12 | 3 | 1 | .200 | .314 | .292 | .606 | .092 | .255 | 21 | 6 | .279 | 72 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +4 | -0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Dennys Riera (OGILVIE) | 21 | 32→37 | 30→35 | 46→51 | 45 | .211/.284/.322 | .111 | .282 | 2 | 2 | 27% | 7% | 70 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A |
22 | 43 | 42→40 | 46→45 | 48 | .209/.289/.317 | .108 | .281 | 9 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .221/.304/.311 | .090 | .312 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .236/.329/.308 | .072 | .330 | 7 | 6 | 28% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A |
21 | 40 | 38→40 | 47→55 | 47 | .192/.263/.275 | .082 | .250 | 5 | 9 | 24% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .212/.292/.300 | .088 | .255 | 8 | 17 | 19% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .209/.299/.290 | .080 | .241 | 9 | 25 | 16% | 10% | 66 | -0.2 |
|
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A |
21 | 43→45 | 45→55 | 50 | 43 | .213/.273/.339 | .126 | .289 | 12 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .229/.292/.389 | .160 | .276 | 19 | 13 | 24% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .230/.293/.405 | .176 | .264 | 22 | 16 | 22% | 7% | 92 | +1.1 |
|
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A |
21 | 45 | 40→45 | 46→40 | 44 | .215/.280/.308 | .092 | .280 | 6 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .217/.270/.311 | .094 | .277 | 7 | 4 | 23% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .236/.301/.377 | .140 | .278 | 16 | 2 | 21% | 7% | 89 | +0.3 |
|
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A |
21 | 43 | 42→45 | 53→55 | 49 | .209/.289/.316 | .107 | .254 | 9 | 14 | 21% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.290/.341 | .115 | .304 | 10 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .220/.277/.325 | .105 | .292 | 10 | 8 | 27% | 5% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕José Caballero 2018 · A |
21 | 47→45 | 39→45 | 53→70 | 39 | .223/.275/.316 | .093 | .301 | 6 | 8 | 27% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .224/.292/.329 | .105 | .281 | 8 | 18 | 22% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .229/.321/.344 | .115 | .305 | 10 | 63 | 26% | 9% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Jairo Encarnacion 2007 · A |
21 | 44 | 41→40 | 52→45 | 46 | .212/.275/.307 | .095 | .247 | 9 | 8 | 18% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .229/.297/.318 | .089 | .270 | 8 | 7 | 17% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .246/.322/.325 | .079 | .284 | 8 | 4 | 15% | 7% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A |
21 | 43 | 39→50 | 51→45 | 39 | .202/.262/.293 | .090 | .301 | 6 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .193/.267/.305 | .112 | .296 | 13 | 8 | 37% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .178/.253/.291 | .113 | .253 | 15 | 7 | 34% | 7% | 47 | -0.8 |
|
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A |
22 | 41 | 39→40 | 49→40 | 40 | .198/.263/.282 | .084 | .277 | 6 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .218/.296/.304 | .086 | .283 | 8 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.302/.289 | .070 | .280 | 7 | 1 | 22% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A |
21 | 42 | 39→40 | 45→55 | 37 | .199/.254/.291 | .092 | .307 | 6 | 8 | 35% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .213/.277/.298 | .085 | .301 | 6 | 15 | 29% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .216/.288/.295 | .079 | .292 | 7 | 22 | 26% | 7% | 60 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A |
21 | 43 | 41→45 | 50 | 43 | .204/.273/.304 | .100 | .299 | 8 | 11 | 32% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.262/.285 | .094 | .292 | 6 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .147/.226/.244 | .097 | .221 | 6 | 25 | 34% | 8% | 24 | -0.9 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2014 · A |
21 | 46 | 39→45 | 49→50 | 41 | .219/.279/.316 | .097 | .283 | 4 | 11 | 23% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .207/.254/.303 | .096 | .295 | 8 | 8 | 31% | 5% | 51 | -1.7 | .197/.237/.286 | .089 | .285 | 10 | 7 | 34% | 4% | 36 | -0.8 |
|
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A |
20 | 40 | 43→45 | 43→50 | 47 | .193/.290/.298 | .105 | .281 | 11 | 10 | 32% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .182/.264/.285 | .103 | .284 | 10 | 6 | 37% | 8% | 52 | -1.6 | .153/.236/.254 | .101 | .237 | 11 | 2 | 38% | 9% | 32 | -0.9 |
|
✕Geoandry Montilla 2017 · A |
21 | 44 | 41→45 | 45→50 | 45 | .212/.277/.309 | .097 | .287 | 8 | 8 | 28% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .197/.264/.297 | .100 | .310 | 8 | 8 | 36% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .131/.203/.233 | .101 | .238 | 8 | 7 | 45% | 7% | 11 | -1.2 |
|
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A |
22 | 39 | 38→40 | 45 | 45 | .191/.251/.267 | .076 | .256 | 5 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .211/.266/.279 | .068 | .290 | 4 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .235/.280/.283 | .048 | .303 | 3 | 7 | 22% | 6% | 52 | -0.5 |
|
✕Ramon Soto 2009 · AAA |
21 | 44 | 42→30 | 51→45 | 44 | .220/.275/.323 | .103 | .279 | 11 | 12 | 25% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .233/.277/.301 | .068 | .286 | 5 | 8 | 19% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .272/.316/.326 | .054 | .333 | 2 | 7 | 18% | 5% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A |
22 | 44 | 40→45 | 50 | 40 | .212/.268/.307 | .095 | .307 | 8 | 8 | 32% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .203/.290/.313 | .110 | .295 | 11 | 12 | 32% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .212/.315/.318 | .105 | .301 | 9 | 14 | 29% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A |
20 | 42 | 41→40 | 48→40 | 52 | .203/.300/.294 | .091 | .264 | 9 | 7 | 25% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .191/.289/.274 | .083 | .279 | 7 | 4 | 31% | 11% | 60 | -1.0 | .164/.268/.232 | .068 | .248 | 6 | 2 | 32% | 11% | 39 | -0.9 |
|
✕Glenn Santiago 2022 · A |
21 | 43 | 39→40 | 52→45 | 48 | .204/.276/.291 | .087 | .250 | 6 | 12 | 20% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .201/.263/.291 | .090 | .294 | 7 | 8 | 32% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .183/.248/.264 | .081 | .272 | 7 | 8 | 34% | 7% | 37 | -1.1 |
|
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A |
21 | 40→31 | 41→45 | 46→30 | 38 | .191/.255/.294 | .102 | .304 | 8 | 4 | 38% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .187/.253/.289 | .102 | .316 | 10 | 2 | 41% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .246/.293/.382 | .135 | .322 | 19 | 1 | 29% | 4% | 83 | +0.2 |