Andres Valor

CF Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 21 R/R 6'3" / 180 lbs A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKMIA	227	.289/.378/.421	2	35	47	—	.191/.267/.279
2025	19	AMIA	462	.231/.341/.372	9	45	53	—	.180/.270/.289
2026	20	AMIA	501	.213/.339/.380	14	58	44	—	.153/.253/.269
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBMIA	611	.153/.243/.256	11	33	43	-0.9
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBMIA	161	.156/.246/.266	3	9	52	-0.4

Next 2 projected WAR -1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed98

Max EV88

BB%65

Chase%43

Z-Con%22

Whiff%21

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsDemi Orimoloye (age 21) · Kelvin Diaz (age 21) · Stiven Acevedo (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.151 / .241 / .254

PA210

HR4

SB11

K%41

BB%9

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	228	204	60	16	2	5	21	55	1	21	7	294	363	466	829	172	377	24	9	364	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	227	197	57	10	5	2	20	57	8	35	4	289	378	421	799	132	393	25	9	357	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	462	390	90	22	3	9	51	134	14	45	10	231	341	372	712	141	319	29	11	321	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	501	418	89	18	5	14	71	168	9	58	7	213	339	380	720	167	314	34	14	326	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	228	211	37	9	1	2	14	68	1	21	7	175	230	256	486	81	236	30	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	227	204	39	6	3	2	13	83	8	35	4	191	267	279	546	88	300	37	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	462	405	73	17	3	7	36	180	14	45	10	180	270	289	559	109	278	39	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	501	439	67	13	4	10	50	228	9	58	7	153	253	269	522	116	271	46	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	228	211	37	9	1	2	14	68	1	21	7	175	230	256	486	81	245	30	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	228	204	60	16	2	5	21	55	1	21	7	294	363	466	829	172	377	24	9	364	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	227	204	39	6	3	2	13	83	8	35	4	191	267	279	546	88	306	37	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	227	197	57	10	5	2	20	57	8	35	4	289	378	421	799	132	393	25	9	357	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	462	405	73	17	3	7	36	180	14	45	10	180	270	289	559	109	293	39	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	462	390	90	22	3	9	51	134	14	45	10	231	341	372	712	141	319	29	11	321	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	501	439	67	13	4	10	50	228	9	58	7	153	253	269	522	116	279	46	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	501	418	89	18	5	14	71	168	9	58	7	213	339	380	720	167	314	34	14	326	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	228	211	37	9	1	2	14	68	1	21	7	175	230	256	486	81	236	30	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	227	204	39	6	3	2	13	83	8	35	4	191	267	279	546	88	300	37	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	462	409	73	17	3	7	36	180	14	45	10	178	270	286	556	108	278	39	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	501	437	67	13	4	10	50	228	9	58	7	153	253	270	523	117	271	46	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	227	204	39	6	3	2	13	83	8	35	4	191	267	279	546	88	300	37	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	462	409	73	17	3	7	36	180	14	45	10	178	270	286	556	108	278	39	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	501	437	67	13	4	10	50	228	9	58	7	153	253	270	523	117	271	46	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	611	542	84	17	4	11	53	249	11	33	5	153	243	256	499	103	251	41	9	232	43	-41	+5	-2	+2	+13	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	469	416	67	13	3	10	42	185	8	26	4	162	252	279	531	118	255	39	9	245	52	-27	+4	-1	+2	+10	-1.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	161	143	22	4	1	3	14	64	3	9	1	156	246	266	513	111	246	40	9	237	52	-9	+1	-0	+1	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	161	143	22	4	1	3	14	64	3	9	1	154	244	259	502	105	247	40	9	237	47	-9	+1	-0	+1	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	89	16	4	12	57	258	12	36	4	154	245	258	503	104	248	40	9	237	47	-37	+6	-2	+2	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2097	1861	312	64	15	35	173	829	44	196	34	168	255	275	529	107	273	40	8	237	47	-41	+5	-2	+2	+15	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	97	20	5	11	54	257	14	61	11	168	256	277	534	109	274	40	8	237	47	-39	+5	-2	+2	+14	-2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AJupiter Hammerheads · 501 PAwOBA .320 → .233 (−87)K% 33.5% → 45.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.53%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	45.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.17%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.015	9.93%
HBP% /PA	1.80%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	1.42%
Singles /BIP	20.80%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.959	×1.015	18.62%
Doubles /BIP	7.20%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.959	×1.015	5.82%
Triples /BIP	2.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.959	×1.015	1.77%
Home runs /BIP	5.60%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.015	4.55%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .320 → .233; ISO .167 → .119; BABIP .314 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AJupiter Hammerheads · 462 PAwOBA .318 → .246 (−72)K% 29.0% → 38.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.00%	÷1.014	×1.360	—	—	38.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.04%	÷1.018	×0.690	—	×1.030	7.70%
HBP% /PA	3.03%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	2.43%
Singles /BIP	21.88%	÷1.019	×0.920	×0.950	×1.030	19.33%
Doubles /BIP	8.59%	÷0.947	×0.830	×0.950	×1.030	7.37%
Triples /BIP	1.17%	÷0.900	×0.910	×0.950	×1.030	1.16%
Home runs /BIP	3.52%	÷1.035	×0.800	—	×1.030	2.80%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .318 → .246; ISO .141 → .109; BABIP .319 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Marlins · 227 PAwOBA .351 → .238 (−113)K% 25.1% → 36.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.11%	÷0.987	×1.440	—	—	36.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.81%	÷0.970	×0.620	—	×1.008	5.67%
HBP% /PA	3.52%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.56%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷0.985	×0.820	×0.950	×1.008	22.76%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.014	×0.720	×0.950	×1.008	4.86%
Triples /BIP	3.57%	÷1.004	×0.720	×0.950	×1.008	2.45%
Home runs /BIP	1.43%	÷0.898	×0.780	—	×1.008	1.25%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 97, 2B 103, 3B 101, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .351 → .238; ISO .132 → .086; BABIP .393 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Miami · 228 PAwOBA .358 → .218 (−140)K% 24.1% → 29.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.12%	÷0.992	×1.220	—	—	29.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.21%	÷1.030	×0.700	—	×1.008	6.30%
HBP% /PA	0.44%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.31%
Singles /BIP	24.83%	÷0.957	×0.680	×0.950	×1.008	16.89%
Doubles /BIP	10.74%	÷1.039	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	5.94%
Triples /BIP	1.34%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	0.67%
Home runs /BIP	3.36%	÷0.948	×0.470	—	×1.008	1.68%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 91, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .358 → .218; ISO .172 → .088; BABIP .377 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Ruben Rivera'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,818 PA	2.7	1,818	64	50	206*	292*	376*	-1	+20	4.0	4.0
/162	664	23	18	-0.3	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Rusty Torres'71-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	35	13	213*	304*	371*	-8	-6	-0.1	0.6
/162	664	15	6	-3.3	-2.7	-0.0	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.6	371	7	20	157	245	267	-0	+0	-1.2	-0.6
/162	664	13	36	-0.4	+0.0	-2.2	pk7: 0
#6Joe Simpson'75-'83 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	9	45	237*	289*	336*	-9	+2	-2.3	-1.8
/162	664	4	20	-4.0	+1.1	-1.0	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andres Valor (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	151/241/254	102	251	4	11	41%	9%	43	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Demi Orimoloye 2018 · A	21	36→38	41→45	54→55	36	182/230/280	98	271	9	21	36%	5%	42	-2.9	187/239/289	102	290	10	17	37%	5%	48	-2.5	182/229/282	100	286	10	17	38%	4%	40	-2.2
✕Kelvin Diaz 2024 · A	21	35	39→45	56→60	43	169/256/252	82	263	6	22	35%	8%	47	-2.5	173/234/260	87	302	7	21	42%	6%	40	-3.1	143/195/226	84	252	8	28	45%	5%	17	-1.6
✕Stiven Acevedo 2024 · A	21	37→34	43→45	53→55	35	185/238/294	109	294	11	20	40%	6%	49	-2.4	193/241/296	103	295	11	18	36%	6%	50	-2.3	166/211/248	82	243	11	23	36%	5%	26	-2.1
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · A	21	36	38→40	59→55	43	175/251/257	81	256	4	23	31%	7%	46	-2.6	195/280/275	80	288	5	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Dayro Perez 2022 · A	20	36	38→40	55→60	40	171/256/248	77	283	5	25	38%	8%	47	-2.6	166/245/235	69	326	5	19	46%	8%	39	-3.1	129/210/181	52	267	4	19	49%	8%	11	-1.6
✕Michael Crouse 2012 · A	21	41→40	46→50	57→55	38	200/265/339	139	314	13	24	39%	7%	70	-0.9	189/256/307	118	306	12	19	39%	7%	59	-1.6	197/265/323	127	300	12	19	36%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Ryan Spikes 2024 · A	21	36→30	42→45	53→55	35	175/239/277	101	299	10	17	42%	7%	45	-2.7	186/234/300	114	292	13	18	39%	5%	49	-2.4	181/223/300	119	274	14	22	38%	4%	42	-1.5
✕Jay Allen II 2024 · A	21	41→47	39→45	58→55	42	193/283/280	87	299	7	32	35%	8%	64	-1.3	200/286/296	96	279	9	24	30%	8%	69	-0.9	202/286/304	103	275	11	24	29%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Wilber Sanchez 2023 · A	21	30→24	37→30	56→55	40	154/223/217	63	243	5	24	37%	8%	26	-4.0	175/244/246	71	270	6	23	34%	8%	40	-3.0	167/238/232	65	256	6	25	35%	8%	33	-1.5
✕Miguel Bleis 2024 · A	20	40→32	41→45	55	36	194/241/293	99	292	7	19	35%	5%	49	-2.4	188/242/299	111	259	13	24	31%	6%	51	-2.2	180/234/292	112	238	14	25	30%	5%	44	-1.9
✕Markus Brisker 2012 · A	21	39→37	39→40	52→55	42	184/264/267	83	302	6	17	38%	8%	53	-2.1	191/263/277	86	303	6	19	36%	7%	55	-2.0	139/216/198	59	225	3	32	36%	7%	17	-1.4
✕Junior Perez 2024 · A	23	39→40	43→50	55	39	185/256/292	108	313	10	25	42%	8%	56	-1.9	183/253/316	133	294	14	24	40%	8%	60	-1.6	172/245/318	146	265	16	25	39%	8%	56	-1.4
✕Jordy Barley 2022 · A	22	39→34	41→40	56→60	37	187/250/280	94	313	9	28	41%	7%	51	-2.3	176/228/256	80	306	7	34	42%	6%	36	-3.4	155/206/221	67	271	6	44	43%	6%	17	-1.9
✕Junior Arias 2014 · A	22	41→44	43→45	57→60	32	204/234/314	109	295	11	29	34%	3%	51	-2.2	205/244/317	112	308	12	29	36%	4%	56	-1.9	193/237/310	116	294	15	30	38%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Sergio Garcia 2012 · AAA	21	38	40→45	54→60	41	190/248/278	87	267	9	22	31%	7%	49	-2.4	218/260/323	105	307	10	27	31%	4%	63	-1.3	225/251/334	108	298	10	17	28%	3%	59	-0.7
✕Dasan Brown 2024 · A	22	42→40	39→40	52→60	39	197/268/280	84	303	7	21	35%	6%	58	-1.7	188/264/271	83	289	7	31	35%	8%	54	-2.0	172/256/247	75	267	7	41	35%	8%	43	-1.4
✕Deivis Nadal 2024 · A	22	38	41→40	55	40	178/259/276	98	302	8	23	40%	8%	54	-2.0	179/249/282	103	352	9	15	47%	8%	51	-2.3	103/173/187	83	241	7	10	56%	7%	-1	-1.9
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2023 · A	21	42	38→30	63→70	39	197/261/279	82	301	5	38	34%	6%	54	-2.0	204/255/271	67	276	3	38	26%	5%	49	-2.4	200/248/252	52	262	1	51	23%	5%	40	-1.4
✕Jamari Baylor 2023 · A	22	37	42→45	51→55	41	168/271/271	102	317	9	19	45%	10%	58	-1.7	190/287/296	106	336	11	16	42%	10%	70	-0.9	180/284/294	114	291	13	20	39%	10%	65	-0.4

Andres Valor

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps