Wilber Sanchez
SS Winston-Salem Dash| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ACWS | 309 | .207/.321/.291 | 2 | 28 | 38 | — | .169/.259/.239 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+/ACWS | 275 | .216/.297/.306 | 4 | 19 | 29 | — | .173/.231/.248 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+/ACWS | 169 | .220/.308/.300 | 2 | 8 | 29 | — | .174/.243/.245 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBCWS | 219 | .204/.269/.308 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 26 | MLBCWS | 24 | .208/.274/.322 | 0 | 0 | 67 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL White Sox | — | 207 | 177 | 51 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 33 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 288 | 391 | 395 | 787 | 107 | 354 | 16 | 14 | 359 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 126 | 115 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 55 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 200 | 258 | 339 | 597 | 139 | 328 | 44 | 6 | 265 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 83 | 78 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 269 | 313 | 385 | 698 | 115 | 358 | 28 | 6 | 313 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 420 | 359 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 55 | 96 | 3 | 38 | 8 | 162 | 278 | 217 | 495 | 56 | 213 | 23 | 13 | 240 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 309 | 261 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 72 | 4 | 28 | 9 | 207 | 321 | 291 | 612 | 84 | 275 | 23 | 13 | 285 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 44 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 189 | 318 | 243 | 561 | 54 | 368 | 41 | 16 | 272 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 231 | 208 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 57 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 221 | 293 | 317 | 610 | 96 | 282 | 25 | 9 | 277 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 144 | 128 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 227 | 312 | 312 | 625 | 86 | 300 | 25 | 10 | 290 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 25 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 182 | 280 | 227 | 507 | 45 | 286 | 32 | 4 | 247 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 207 | 185 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 40 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 178 | 266 | 243 | 509 | 65 | 225 | 19 | 10 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 126 | 117 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 76 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 137 | 185 | 239 | 425 | 103 | 287 | 60 | 4 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 83 | 80 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 163 | 193 | 225 | 418 | 62 | 268 | 40 | 4 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 420 | 376 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 134 | 3 | 38 | 8 | 122 | 209 | 157 | 366 | 35 | 186 | 32 | 9 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 309 | 272 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 98 | 4 | 28 | 9 | 169 | 259 | 239 | 498 | 70 | 243 | 32 | 9 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 44 | 40 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 125 | 205 | 150 | 355 | 25 | 316 | 57 | 9 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 231 | 214 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 78 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 182 | 236 | 266 | 502 | 84 | 255 | 34 | 6 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 144 | 133 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 180 | 243 | 256 | 499 | 75 | 266 | 34 | 6 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 25 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 136 | 240 | 182 | 422 | 45 | 251 | 44 | 4 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 207 | 185 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 40 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 178 | 266 | 243 | 509 | 65 | 228 | 19 | 10 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL White Sox | — | 207 | 177 | 51 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 33 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 288 | 391 | 395 | 787 | 107 | 354 | 16 | 14 | 359 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 209 | 197 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 109 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 147 | 188 | 234 | 422 | 86 | 291 | 52 | 4 | 181 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 209 | 193 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 78 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 228 | 280 | 358 | 638 | 130 | 342 | 37 | 6 | 284 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 420 | 376 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 134 | 3 | 38 | 8 | 122 | 209 | 157 | 366 | 35 | 185 | 32 | 9 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A RAW | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 420 | 359 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 55 | 96 | 3 | 38 | 8 | 162 | 278 | 217 | 495 | 56 | 213 | 23 | 13 | 240 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 309 | 272 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 98 | 4 | 28 | 9 | 169 | 259 | 239 | 498 | 70 | 253 | 32 | 9 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 309 | 261 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 72 | 4 | 28 | 9 | 207 | 321 | 291 | 612 | 84 | 275 | 23 | 13 | 285 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 275 | 254 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 103 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 169 | 227 | 244 | 471 | 75 | 262 | 37 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 275 | 245 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 75 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 216 | 297 | 306 | 603 | 90 | 292 | 27 | 10 | 276 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 169 | 156 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 60 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 173 | 237 | 237 | 474 | 64 | 266 | 36 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 169 | 150 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 44 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 220 | 308 | 300 | 608 | 80 | 298 | 26 | 9 | 283 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 207 | 183 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 40 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 180 | 266 | 246 | 512 | 66 | 225 | 19 | 10 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 209 | 197 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 109 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 147 | 188 | 234 | 422 | 86 | 279 | 52 | 4 | 181 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 420 | 376 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 134 | 3 | 38 | 8 | 122 | 209 | 157 | 366 | 35 | 186 | 32 | 9 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 309 | 273 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 98 | 4 | 28 | 9 | 168 | 259 | 238 | 497 | 70 | 243 | 32 | 9 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 275 | 254 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 103 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 169 | 227 | 244 | 471 | 75 | 265 | 37 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 169 | 154 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 60 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 175 | 237 | 240 | 477 | 65 | 264 | 36 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 275 | 254 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 103 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 169 | 227 | 244 | 471 | 75 | 265 | 37 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 169 | 154 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 60 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 175 | 237 | 240 | 477 | 65 | 264 | 36 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | CWS | 0% | 219 | 199 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 204 | 269 | 308 | 578 | 105 | 271 | 28 | 7 | 262 | 63 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | CWS | 30% | 81 | 74 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 273 | 320 | 593 | 113 | 272 | 27 | 7 | 268 | 67 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | CWS | 30% | 24 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 274 | 322 | 596 | 114 | 273 | 29 | 8 | 269 | 67 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 24 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 250 | 227 | 477 | 45 | 267 | 29 | 8 | 269 | 27 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 596 | 108 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 249 | 227 | 476 | 45 | 266 | 29 | 8 | 269 | 27 | -25 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1721 | 1560 | 249 | 42 | 7 | 16 | 133 | 580 | 17 | 125 | 31 | 160 | 233 | 226 | 460 | 67 | 240 | 34 | 8 | 208 | 27 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 219 | 6 | 47 | 12 | 160 | 232 | 228 | 460 | 68 | 240 | 34 | 8 | 208 | 27 | -26 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 144 PAwOBA .283 → .217 (−65)K% 25.0% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.955 | ×1.310 | — | — | 34.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.72% | ÷0.949 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 6.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.91% | ÷0.942 | ×0.870 | ×0.988 | ×0.998 | 21.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.43% | ÷0.984 | ×0.780 | ×0.988 | ×0.998 | 4.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.850 | ×0.988 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.923 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 2.07% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 88, 2B 97, 3B 109, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .283 → .217; ISO .086 → .069; BABIP .300 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 25 PAwOBA .241 → .179 (−61)K% 32.0% → 43.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.00% | ÷1.009 | ×1.360 | — | — | 43.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 2.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 6.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 19.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 5.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.091 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.853 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 118, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .241 → .179; ISO .045 → .032; BABIP .286 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 231 PAwOBA .272 → .219 (−54)K% 24.7% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.68% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.957 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.18% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | — | 21.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.97% | ÷1.056 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | — | 3.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.990 | — | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.65% | ÷0.820 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.58% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 98, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .272 → .219; ISO .096 → .079; BABIP .282 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 44 PAwOBA .266 → .171 (−96)K% 40.9% → 56.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.91% | ÷0.952 | ×1.310 | — | — | 56.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.91% | ÷1.006 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 9.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷0.972 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 23.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.070 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 7.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.929 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.817 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 94, 2B 114, 3B 86, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .266 → .171; ISO .054 → .031; BABIP .368 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 309 PAwOBA .280 → .224 (−56)K% 23.3% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.30% | ÷1.004 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.94% | ÷0.951 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.29% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.11% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×1.015 | 18.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.35% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.015 | 4.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.06% | ÷0.988 | ×0.910 | ×0.978 | ×1.015 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.06% | ÷0.861 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 100, 2B 110, 3B 98, K 101, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .280 → .224; ISO .084 → .068; BABIP .275 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 420 PAwOBA .235 → .179 (−56)K% 22.9% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.86% | ÷0.972 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.10% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 9.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.73% | ÷1.050 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×1.030 | 14.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.80% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.030 | 3.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.978 | ×1.030 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.76% | ÷1.172 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.53% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 110, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .235 → .179; ISO .056 → .041; BABIP .213 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 126 PAwOBA .262 → .172 (−89)K% 43.7% → 60.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 43.65% | ÷0.984 | ×1.360 | — | — | 60.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.085 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 3.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 24.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.049 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 2.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.122 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.925 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 6.03% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 110, 3B 124, K 97, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .262 → .172; ISO .139 → .089; BABIP .328 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL White Sox · 83 PAwOBA .304 → .194 (−111)K% 27.7% → 40.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.71% | ÷0.992 | ×1.440 | — | — | 40.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.02% | ÷0.990 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 3.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.09% | ÷1.025 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 22.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷0.989 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 3.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.64% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 2.78% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 105, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .304 → .194; ISO .115 → .072; BABIP .358 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).