Stiven Acevedo — OGILVIE

Stiven AcevedoOF Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 23 R/R 6'4" / 185 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 160 proj PA

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .226 / .289

PA13

HR0

K%34

BB%5

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	16	ROK	DSL Orioles 1	—	288	252	63	10	0	1	24	55	9	4	1	250	337	302	638	52	313	19	8	296	87	-5	+0	—	—	+6	0.2
2021	18	ROK	FCL Orioles Black	—	144	130	33	3	0	3	11	34	2	9	0	254	322	346	668	92	319	24	8	303	91	-1	+2	—	—	+3	0.4
2022	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	147	131	22	5	1	1	15	52	1	7	1	168	259	244	503	76	269	35	10	237	47	-9	+1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2022	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	63	52	14	5	0	2	10	13	1	5	1	269	397	481	878	212	324	21	16	391	151	+4	+1	—	—	+1	0.6
2023	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	434	394	94	18	4	14	35	130	3	33	11	239	306	411	717	173	317	30	8	318	101	+1	+2	—	—	+9	1.2
2024	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	311	283	62	10	1	7	23	84	2	22	5	219	282	336	618	117	282	27	7	278	74	-10	+2	—	—	+7	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 1	—	288	261	47	7	0	1	15	79	9	4	1	180	249	218	468	38	239	27	5	204	24	-26	+0	—	—	+6	-2.0
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Black	—	144	134	25	2	0	2	7	49	2	9	0	187	238	246	484	60	266	34	5	217	33	-11	+2	—	—	+3	-0.7
2022	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	147	136	18	4	1	1	10	70	1	7	1	132	197	199	396	66	247	48	7	168	0	-18	+1	—	—	+3	-1.4
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	63	56	11	4	0	1	6	19	1	5	1	196	286	321	607	125	258	30	10	271	70	-2	+1	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	434	408	72	12	3	11	21	183	3	33	11	176	222	301	524	125	277	42	5	225	38	-32	+2	—	—	+9	-2.1
2024	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	311	292	49	6	1	6	14	115	2	22	5	168	211	257	468	89	243	37	5	207	26	-27	+2	—	—	+7	-1.9
2019	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 1	—	288	261	47	7	0	1	15	79	9	4	1	180	249	218	468	38	251	27	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	16	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles 1	—	288	252	63	10	0	1	24	55	9	4	1	250	337	302	638	52	313	19	8	296	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Black	—	144	134	25	2	0	2	7	49	2	9	0	187	238	246	484	60	274	34	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles Black	—	144	130	33	3	0	3	11	34	2	9	0	254	322	346	668	92	319	24	8	303	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	210	192	28	7	1	2	16	88	2	12	2	146	219	224	443	78	255	42	8	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	210	183	36	10	1	3	25	65	2	12	2	197	300	311	611	115	287	31	12	283	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	434	408	72	12	3	11	21	183	3	33	11	176	222	301	524	125	282	42	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	434	394	94	18	4	14	35	130	3	33	11	239	306	411	717	173	317	30	8	318	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	311	292	49	6	1	6	14	115	2	22	5	168	211	257	468	89	247	37	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	311	283	62	10	1	7	23	84	2	22	5	219	282	336	618	117	282	27	7	278	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 1	—	288	262	47	7	0	1	15	79	9	4	1	179	249	218	467	38	239	27	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Black	—	144	134	25	2	0	2	7	49	2	9	0	187	238	246	484	60	266	34	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	210	190	28	7	1	2	16	88	2	12	2	147	219	226	445	79	250	42	8	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	434	407	72	12	3	11	21	183	3	33	11	177	222	302	524	125	277	42	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	311	292	49	6	1	6	14	115	2	22	5	168	211	257	468	89	243	37	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	434	407	72	12	3	11	21	183	3	33	11	177	222	302	524	125	277	42	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	311	292	49	6	1	6	14	115	2	22	5	168	211	257	468	89	243	37	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	13	12	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	167	231	167	397		258	31	8	233	44	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BAL	30%	178	166	32	5	1	4	9	58	1	6	2	193	239	307	546	114	263	33	5	247	53	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	44%	288	268	52	9	1	7	16	91	2	9	2	194	245	313	558	119	265	32	6	255	59	-14	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.9
2027	24	MLB CTX	BAL	30%	54	51	10	2	0	1	3	18	0	2	0	196	241	294	535	98	267	33	6	246	53	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	44%	127	118	24	4	1	3	7	40	1	4	1	203	254	331	584	127	269	31	6	254	59	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	181	169	34	6	1	4	10	58	1	6	1	201	250	320	570	118	278	32	6	251	36	-9	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	607	123	22	4	14	36	208	4	22	4	203	252	321	574	119	280	32	6	251	36	-33	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1866	1733	307	48	7	33	99	667	21	95	23	177	230	270	500	93	263	36	5	222	36	-25	+1	+0	-3	+10	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	604	106	17	2	11	34	232	7	33	8	175	228	265	492	89	261	36	5	222	36	-34	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.5	341	8	11	191	236	307	-2	+0	-1.2	-0.6
/162	664	15	21	-4.0	+0.0	-2.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Stiven Acevedo (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	41→46	58→63	43	182/226/289	107	258	3	5	34%	5%	44	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joe Gray Jr. 2023 · A	23	31→34	47→45	55→50	37	164/238/297	132	268	15	14	42%	7%	51	-2.3	175/232/271	96	271	10	13	37%	6%	42	-2.9	171/214/256	85	251	10	14	35%	4%	29	-3.1
✕Jose Torres 2023 · A	23	39→32	44→45	55	37	200/244/312	113	275	13	20	32%	5%	55	-1.9	181/235/275	94	279	10	15	37%	6%	43	-2.8	169/223/267	97	259	12	14	38%	5%	35	-1.7
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	35→38	44→45	53→55	44	180/263/295	115	240	11	20	29%	7%	60	-1.6	190/276/300	110	283	11	20	34%	8%	66	-1.1	150/259/288	138	250	17	20	43%	10%	55	-0.8
✕David Christensen 2011 · A	23	34→32	45→50	55→50	30	170/225/290	120	310	13	18	47%	5%	43	-2.8	198/254/324	126	366	12	12	46%	6%	62	-1.4	192/244/346	154	374	14	6	50%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Michael Sandle 2023 · A	24	43→41	42→45	56→50	39	209/265/318	109	293	10	16	31%	5%	64	-1.3	190/248/291	101	281	10	14	34%	6%	52	-2.2	150/209/240	91	222	10	16	36%	5%	24	-2.8
✕Chris Grayson 2013 · A	23	40→38	43→45	56→50	42	200/263/314	115	273	9	20	29%	7%	63	-1.4	197/262/295	98	268	7	15	28%	7%	58	-1.7	187/254/275	87	252	6	15	27%	7%	49	-1.6
✕Cody Rogers 2012 · A	23	39→41	44→45	56→50	41	195/256/313	117	263	11	16	29%	6%	60	-1.6	203/262/296	93	297	7	16	32%	6%	58	-1.7	193/253/268	75	294	4	19	34%	6%	47	-1.8
✕Miguel Hiraldo 2023 · A	22	39→45	42→45	56→55	36	192/241/297	105	294	10	21	37%	6%	51	-2.3	209/255/309	100	326	9	20	37%	5%	59	-1.7	212/259/309	96	332	9	22	37%	5%	57	-0.9
✕Junior Arias 2015 · A	23	41→43	42→45	57→60	34	203/240/305	102	294	10	31	34%	4%	51	-2.2	208/249/330	122	317	14	25	37%	5%	61	-1.5	199/237/325	126	301	16	28	38%	4%	52	-1.2
✕LeDarious Clark 2017 · A	23	38→34	47→45	52→55	30	194/225/328	135	297	14	20	39%	4%	51	-2.2	185/246/310	125	298	13	18	40%	7%	56	-1.9	166/237/285	119	266	13	19	40%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	38	181/259/279	98	296	8	22	39%	7%	55	-2.0	191/267/280	89	341	8	15	43%	7%	57	-1.8	129/224/173	43	295	6	12	53%	7%	16	-1.0
✕Michael O'Neill 2015 · A	23	43	42→45	56→55	37	208/262/309	102	301	10	22	33%	5%	61	-1.5	203/250/300	97	294	8	17	32%	5%	55	-2.0	211/262/319	109	303	10	22	32%	5%	61	-1.1
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40→41	38→45	58→60	36	191/246/266	75	303	5	24	37%	6%	45	-2.7	199/258/305	106	305	10	29	36%	7%	59	-1.7	188/249/290	102	288	11	26	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Nicholas Moresi 2008 · A	23	42→39	44→45	56→45	38	205/264/325	120	298	11	11	34%	6%	66	-1.1	193/237/300	107	292	9	7	36%	4%	49	-2.4	178/216/277	98	274	8	4	37%	3%	33	-1.9
✕Zach Cone 2013 · A	23	39	46→45	54→45	38	199/245/329	130	275	14	8	32%	5%	59	-1.6	193/242/305	112	294	12	7	37%	5%	53	-2.1	177/225/293	116	267	14	5	38%	4%	41	-1.5
✕Jeff Flagg 2009 · A	23	38	44→45	54→40	43	194/261/311	117	269	11	10	31%	8%	62	-1.4	195/250/303	108	324	11	6	40%	6%	55	-1.9	178/230/283	105	303	12	3	43%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A	24	36→42	47→50	57→55	33	182/239/318	135	298	14	20	42%	5%	55	-1.9	203/262/336	133	286	15	22	33%	6%	68	-1.0	207/271/333	126	286	14	25	31%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Tyler Miller 2023 · A	23	36→28	44→45	53→50	34	187/238/294	107	291	13	13	40%	5%	49	-2.4	195/239/300	105	274	11	11	32%	5%	50	-2.3	188/231/292	103	252	9	9	29%	5%	44	-1.6
✕Anthony Hewitt 2012 · A	23	36→39	44→45	54→55	26	185/215/300	115	304	13	16	43%	2%	41	-3.0	187/220/293	106	315	12	16	43%	3%	41	-3.0	172/205/268	96	292	11	16	44%	3%	27	-2.2
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→40	44→50	55	35	194/253/305	111	300	12	14	38%	6%	57	-1.8	201/254/323	122	287	13	19	34%	5%	61	-1.5	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps