Stiven Acevedo — OGILVIE

Stiven AcevedoOF Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 23 R/R 6'4" / 185 lbs A HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 160 proj PA

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .229 / .295

PA160

HR4

SB5

K%33

BB%5

ISO110

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 28 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT28

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	16	ROK	DSL Orioles 1	—	288	261	47	7	0	1	15	79	9	4	1	180	249	218	468	38	251	27	5	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	16	ROK	DSL Orioles 1	—	288	252	63	10	0	1	24	55	9	4	1	250	337	302	638	52	313	19	8	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Orioles Black	—	144	135	25	2	0	2	6	48	2	9	0	185	231	244	475	59	267	33	4	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Orioles Black	—	144	130	33	3	0	3	11	34	2	9	0	254	322	346	668	92	319	24	8	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	210	192	30	8	1	2	16	85	2	12	2	156	229	240	468	83	267	40	8	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	210	183	36	10	1	3	25	65	2	12	2	197	300	311	611	115	287	31	12	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	434	409	71	11	3	11	20	181	3	33	11	174	218	296	513	122	274	42	5	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	434	394	94	18	4	14	35	130	3	33	11	239	306	411	717	173	317	30	8	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	311	292	50	5	1	6	14	111	2	22	5	171	214	257	471	86	247	36	5	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	311	283	62	10	1	7	23	84	2	22	5	219	282	336	618	117	282	27	7	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	BAL	—	160	151	28	4	1	4	7	53	1	5	1	185	226	305	531	119	260	33	4	236	39	-11	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	BAL	30%	178	166	32	5	1	4	9	57	1	6	2	193	239	307	546	114	264	32	5	250	49	-10	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2028	25	MLB	BAL	44%	288	268	53	9	1	7	16	90	2	9	2	198	248	317	565	119	267	31	6	258	55	-15	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.7
2027	24	MLB	BAL	30%	54	51	10	2	0	1	3	17	0	2	0	196	241	294	535	98	268	31	6	248	48	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	BAL	44%	127	118	24	4	1	3	7	40	1	4	1	203	254	331	584	127	271	31	6	256	54	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	181	169	34	6	1	4	10	57	1	6	1	201	250	320	570	118	275	31	6	254	52	-10	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	123	22	4	14	36	205	4	22	4	203	252	321	574	119	278	32	6	254	52	-35	+3	+0	-4	+18	-1.8
Career	—			—	2013	1874	336	51	8	37	103	704	22	100	24	179	231	274	505	95	261	35	5	224	30	-160	+10	+0	-12	+57	-10.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	108	16	3	12	33	227	7	32	8	179	229	274	504	96	259	35	5	224	30	-52	+3	+0	-4	+18	-3.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	16	ROK	DSL Orioles 1	—	288	252	63	10	0	1	24	55	9	4	1	250	337	302	638	52	313	19	8	296	85	-5	+0	—	—	+8	0.4
2021	18	ROK	FCL Orioles Black	—	144	130	33	3	0	3	11	34	2	9	0	254	322	346	668	92	319	24	8	303	90	-2	+2	—	—	+4	0.4
2022	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	147	131	22	5	1	1	15	52	1	7	1	168	259	244	503	76	269	35	10	237	40	-10	+1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2022	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	63	52	14	5	0	2	10	13	1	5	1	269	397	481	878	212	324	21	16	391	157	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2023	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	434	394	94	18	4	14	35	130	3	33	11	239	306	411	717	173	317	30	8	318	101	+1	+2	—	—	+12	1.5
2024	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	311	283	62	10	1	7	23	84	2	22	5	219	282	336	618	117	282	27	7	278	71	-10	+2	—	—	+9	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	341	8	11	194	238	312	-2	+0	-1.2	-0.6
	/162	664	16	21	194	238	312	-4.0	+0.0	-2.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Stiven Acevedo (OGILVIE)	23	23→28	42→47	58→63	43	186/229/295	109	260	4	5	33%	5%	39	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joe Gray Jr. 2023 · A	23	29→33	47→45	55→50	37	160/236/295	134	264	15	14	43%	8%	43	-2.2	171/228/267	96	273	10	13	39%	6%	31	-3.0	165/208/246	82	252	9	14	38%	4%	15	-3.3
✕Michael Sandle 2023 · A	24	41→38	42→40	57→50	38	199/258/303	104	289	9	16	33%	6%	53	-1.5	186/244/283	97	282	9	14	36%	6%	42	-2.3	148/206/233	85	224	10	16	37%	5%	11	-3.0
✕Jose Torres 2023 · A	23	39→32	44→40	55	38	200/245/310	110	269	13	20	31%	5%	50	-1.8	178/231/270	92	282	10	15	39%	6%	33	-2.9	163/218/258	94	259	12	13	40%	6%	22	-1.8
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	33→36	41→45	53→55	43	170/253/270	99	234	9	20	30%	7%	44	-2.1	183/267/288	105	279	10	20	36%	8%	55	-1.4	148/255/300	152	246	20	20	45%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Chris Grayson 2013 · A	23	39→36	42→45	56→50	41	194/256/303	109	270	8	20	30%	7%	53	-1.5	193/258/292	99	265	7	15	28%	7%	50	-1.7	183/250/273	91	246	7	15	27%	7%	41	-1.6
✕David Christensen 2011 · A	23	34→32	45→50	55→50	30	171/224/293	122	309	14	18	47%	5%	37	-2.7	198/253/333	135	366	14	12	47%	6%	59	-1.1	189/239/359	170	368	19	6	51%	5%	57	-0.4
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40	38→45	58→60	36	190/243/268	78	298	5	24	36%	6%	37	-2.6	197/256/307	110	301	11	29	36%	7%	53	-1.5	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Michael O'Neill 2015 · A	23	44→42	43→45	56→55	36	212/265/318	106	309	11	22	34%	5%	60	-1.0	202/249/304	102	293	9	17	33%	5%	49	-1.8	204/254/313	109	305	10	22	35%	5%	51	-1.2
✕Junior Arias 2015 · A	23	40→42	41→50	57→60	34	199/236/297	98	288	9	31	34%	4%	41	-2.3	210/252/340	130	319	15	25	38%	5%	60	-1.0	204/243/341	138	306	18	28	38%	4%	53	-0.8
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39	44→45	59→60	43	191/272/302	111	287	11	31	35%	8%	60	-1.0	201/274/322	121	279	12	35	31%	8%	66	-0.6	195/268/315	120	262	12	40	29%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Angel Aponte 2023 · A	23	43	41→45	54→55	40	210/271/306	95	292	8	22	30%	6%	59	-1.1	200/252/291	91	308	7	16	35%	6%	47	-1.9	156/199/227	71	262	5	20	41%	4%	5	-1.5
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	36→41	43→45	53→55	40	184/244/291	108	267	11	17	34%	7%	44	-2.1	196/257/315	119	271	11	17	30%	7%	56	-1.3	191/254/304	113	261	10	19	29%	7%	49	-1.4
✕Jason Kanzler 2014 · A	23	38→44	40→45	58→55	34	185/234/283	98	302	7	14	40%	5%	37	-2.6	194/247/298	104	323	8	17	40%	5%	46	-2.0	187/240/292	105	310	9	20	41%	4%	40	-1.7
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→38	43→50	55	35	192/249/294	102	300	11	14	38%	5%	47	-1.9	197/249/320	123	286	14	19	35%	5%	54	-1.4	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Cody Rogers 2012 · A	23	38→39	43→40	56→50	41	190/253/302	112	258	10	16	30%	6%	51	-1.7	197/258/287	90	287	6	16	32%	6%	49	-1.8	184/247/255	71	278	4	19	33%	6%	34	-1.9
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	39	182/261/280	98	290	8	22	38%	7%	50	-1.8	189/265/279	90	345	8	15	44%	7%	51	-1.7	121/213/165	44	300	7	12	56%	7%	-2	-1.2
✕Michael Crouse 2014 · A	23	37	43→50	51→55	38	181/250/293	112	294	11	20	40%	7%	48	-1.9	205/263/322	117	318	10	16	36%	7%	60	-1.0	197/258/341	144	302	15	16	38%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Jeff Flagg 2009 · A	23	38	44→45	54→40	43	194/261/311	117	269	11	10	31%	8%	57	-1.2	195/249/303	108	324	11	6	40%	6%	49	-1.8	178/229/283	104	304	12	3	43%	6%	33	-1.0
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A	24	37→41	46→50	57→55	33	184/240/318	134	303	14	20	42%	6%	50	-1.7	202/262/339	137	290	17	22	35%	6%	65	-0.7	206/270/345	138	286	17	24	33%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Matt Gorski 2022 · A	24	37→33	44→55	54→55	34	187/237/301	114	293	12	16	40%	6%	43	-2.2	195/245/352	157	279	20	20	37%	6%	61	-1.0	186/231/364	178	245	24	19	35%	5%	57	-0.7