Miguel Herrera

P DSL LAD Mega

Age 18 LHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	17	ROKDSL LAD Mega	14	12	40	6.47	4.41	22.2%	19.2%	—	K 15.1% · BB 24.0% · FIP 5.63
2027PROJ	18	MLB—	4	4	24	5.95	5.95	19.7%	20.0%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	19	MLB—	3	3	19	5.58	5.44	20.6%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsMavis Graves (age 19) · Roberto Medina (age 18) · Reinold Navarro (age 17)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130138vR 146

ERA5.95

FIP5.95

K%19.7%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-0.3%

Proj IP24

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	14	12	40	203	45	39	2	86%	2.9	15.1%	24.0%	-8.9%	1.4%	6.47	5.63	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	14	12	40	203	45	39	2	86%	2.9	15.1%	24.0%	-8.9%	1.4%	6.47	5.63	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	14	12	40	203	45	39	2	86%	2.9	22.2%	19.2%	3.0%	1.0%	6.47	4.41	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	18	MLB	—	4	4	24	101	20	20	3	100%	6.0	19.7%	20.0%	-0.3%	2.9%	5.95	5.95	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	7	7	38	161	33	27	5	100%	5.4	20.6%	16.8%	3.8%	2.9%	5.58	5.44	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	3	3	19	80	17	14	2	100%	6.3	20.6%	16.8%	3.8%	2.9%	5.58	5.44	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	19	79	16	13	2	100%	4.7	20.6%	16.8%	3.8%	2.9%	5.58	5.06	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		46	46	200	844	171	139	21	100%	4.3	20.6%	16.8%	3.8%	2.9%	5.58	5.06	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		14	12	40	203	31	49	3	86%	2.9	15.1%	24.0%	-8.9%	1.4%	6.47	5.63	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	60	200	1007	152	242	14	86%	2.9	15.1%	24.0%	-8.9%	1.4%	6.47	5.63	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Miguel Herrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.95	19.7%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.44	20.6%	3.8%	38	-0.51	—	—	—
Mavis Graves L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	19	SP	6.17	18.8%	22.2%	3.3%	.365	4.16	23.9%	10.0%	243	-2.01	3.10	277	84
Roberto Medina L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	18	SP	4.85	21.6%	21.7%	1.5%	.313	5.67	16.4%	-2.1%	73	+0.82	3.87	109	84
Reinold Navarro L 2024 · 4.92 FIP	17	SP	4.92	21.7%	22.6%	1.4%	.211	4.32	29.4%	5.7%	95	-0.60	3.55	119	81
Jeremy Pilon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP	18	SP-	4.86	22.1%	21.7%	1.6%	.279	4.10	17.9%	-1.9%	83	-0.76	3.99	144	79
Frank Mozzicato L 2022 · 5.00 FIP	19	SP	5.00	21.5%	19.7%	2.2%	.306	5.60	18.6%	0.2%	288	+0.60	5.00	428	79
Liam Norris L 2021 · 6.27 FIP	19	SP	6.27	17.4%	30.7%	1.4%	.396	5.46	24.2%	4.1%	119	-0.81	3.98	184	79
Dylan MacLean L 2021 · 6.38 FIP	19	SP	6.38	13.6%	27.9%	1.6%	.271	4.11	15.7%	5.3%	101	-2.27	3.45	282	78
Brayan Mendoza L 2022 · 5.29 FIP	18	SP-	5.29	17.9%	15.0%	3.3%	.273	3.89	17.1%	6.3%	221	-1.40	3.59	398	78
Luis Cesar L 2023 · 5.28 FIP	19	SP-	5.28	14.8%	20.6%	1.5%	.351	5.77	14.3%	-8.1%	91	+0.49	4.84	131	77
Gabriel Agostini L 2022 · 4.84 FIP	18	SP-	4.84	14.6%	15.0%	1.9%	.311	5.24	12.7%	-2.7%	55	+0.40	1.97	122	77
Luis Bellorin L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	18	SP-	5.01	12.4%	16.2%	1.7%	.330	3.28	14.2%	3.3%	37	-1.73	3.28	109	76
Miguel Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.58 FIP	20	SP-	5.58	14.3%	21.8%	1.7%	.240	4.24	14.9%	-4.1%	64	-1.34	3.91	103	75
Liam Sullivan L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP	5.78	25.7%	20.5%	4.1%	.290	5.79	20.9%	7.2%	141	+0.01	4.45	156	75
Wande Torres L 2022 · 4.92 FIP	17	SP	4.92	16.7%	22.5%	0.7%	.260	3.28	19.8%	8.3%	102	-1.64	1.58	257	75
Junior Tavera L 2024 · 6.14 FIP	17	SP-	6.14	18.0%	31.6%	1.0%	.385	5.41	16.6%	-2.3%	85	-0.73	5.12	101	74
Lewis Sifontes L 2024 · 4.81 FIP	18	SP	4.81	12.5%	17.4%	1.0%	.340	6.30	17.7%	0.1%	63	+1.49	4.81	123	74
Jacob Bresnahan L 2024 · 4.95 FIP	19	SP	4.95	20.2%	14.1%	3.2%	.292	3.92	23.2%	11.1%	208	-1.03	3.03	277	74
Alexuan Vega L 2018 · 6.80 FIP	19	SP	6.80	11.5%	21.1%	3.6%	.306	5.64	13.6%	-7.7%	43	-1.16	5.05	111	74
Marino Santy L 2021 · 4.90 FIP	19	SP	4.90	17.4%	25.8%	0.0%	.277	4.73	19.0%	-1.7%	164	-0.17	3.91	270	73
José Alvarado L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	20	SP	5.31	15.1%	20.1%	1.7%	.347	3.00	25.3%	11.6%	183	-2.31	1.57	524	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	20.3%	18.1%	1.11	5.72
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Lloyd Allen ('69-'75, -5 WAR*)	1.5	59	19.8%*	13.9%*	0.79*	5.99*