Lewis Sifontes — OGILVIE

Lewis Sifontes P Augusta GreenJackets

Age 20 LHP 5'9" / 155 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122130vR 138

ERA5.52

FIP5.52

K%19.1%

BB%15.9%

K-BB%3.2%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	11	6	28	136	25	22	4	55%	2.5	12.5%	20.2%	-7.7%	5.0%	7.39	7.37	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	11	6	28	136	25	22	4	55%	2.5	12.5%	20.2%	-7.7%	5.0%	7.39	7.37	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	11	6	28	136	25	22	4	55%	2.5	18.4%	16.2%	2.2%	2.9%	7.39	5.53	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	11	10	32	158	29	22	1	91%	2.9	12.5%	17.4%	-4.9%	1.0%	7.79	4.81	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	11	10	32	158	29	22	1	91%	2.9	12.5%	17.4%	-4.9%	1.0%	7.79	4.81	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	11	10	32	158	29	22	1	91%	2.9	18.4%	13.9%	4.4%	0.6%	7.79	3.75	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	2	29	127	30	15	3	22%	3.3	14.7%	17.0%	-2.4%	3.7%	4.91	6.06	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	2	29	127	30	15	3	22%	3.3	14.7%	17.0%	-2.4%	3.7%	4.91	6.06	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	2	29	127	30	15	3	22%	3.3	23.6%	11.8%	11.8%	2.4%	4.91	3.92	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	33	0	43	186	48	28	7	0%	1.3	19.1%	17.8%	1.3%	4.9%	5.06	6.42	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	33	0	43	186	48	28	7	0%	1.3	19.1%	17.8%	1.3%	4.9%	5.06	6.42	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	A RAW	ATL	33	0	43	186	48	28	7	0%	1.3	25.8%	15.1%	10.8%	3.8%	5.06	4.89	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ATL	42	0	44	185	37	26	5	0%	1.0	20.2%	13.8%	6.4%	2.9%	5.24	5.13	-0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	ATL	21	0	22	93	19	13	3	0%	1.0	20.2%	13.8%	6.4%	2.9%	5.24	5.13	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		21	0	22	91	18	13	3	0%	1.0	20.2%	13.8%	6.4%	2.9%	5.24	4.75	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	167	120	28	0%	1.1	20.2%	13.8%	6.4%	2.9%	5.24	4.75	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		64	18	132	607	91	110	22	28%	2.1	15.0%	18.1%	-3.1%	3.7%	6.19	6.14	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	27	200	917	137	166	34	28%	2.1	15.0%	18.1%	-3.1%	3.7%	6.19	6.14	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Lewis Sifontes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.52	19.1%	15.9%	3.0%	—	5.13	20.2%	6.4%	44	-0.39	—	—	—
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	83
Enrique Perez L 2018 · 4.81 FIP	20	SU	4.81	16.2%	14.3%	2.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	133	82
Daniel Gonzalez L 2022 · 5.66 FIP	20	SU	5.66	16.3%	14.0%	3.9%	.310	4.44	23.2%	1.7%	55	-1.22	4.34	136	81
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	284	80
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	80
Gregori Louis L 2023 · 6.48 FIP	20	SU	6.48	17.3%	20.4%	4.1%	.241	4.37	19.6%	2.9%	111	-2.11	3.58	149	79
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	78
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	78
Oriel Castro L 2021 · 4.95 FIP	20	SW	4.95	19.6%	19.0%	2.0%	.390	5.41	16.3%	-0.1%	41	+0.46	4.63	129	78
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	77
Anfernny Reyes L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	19	SU	4.98	21.6%	13.6%	3.6%	.282	4.34	21.0%	1.8%	99	-0.64	2.89	175	77
Brayan De Paula L 2019 · 6.00 FIP	20	SW	6.00	16.9%	16.4%	4.1%	.272	4.58	20.9%	6.1%	59	-1.42	3.57	243	76
Riger Fernandez L 2018 · 4.61 FIP	20	SU	4.61	17.2%	19.5%	0.9%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	4.61	164	76
Zach Matson L 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	14.4%	10.9%	2.0%	.319	4.72	25.2%	10.0%	68	+0.33	4.39	187	76
Ignacio Briceno L 2021 · 5.16 FIP	20	SU	5.16	12.7%	12.9%	2.7%	.230	3.33	17.0%	7.2%	82	-1.83	2.39	156	75
Yordy Herrera L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	18	SU	4.98	20.6%	23.1%	1.3%	.283	4.88	21.2%	1.8%	117	-0.10	3.87	163	75
Davis Schwab L 2019 · 4.46 FIP	22	SU	4.46	13.6%	13.8%	1.4%	.368	5.22	18.9%	-0.8%	92	+0.76	4.46	114	75
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.15	23.9%	5.2%	99	-2.27	3.91	148	74
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	74
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	19.9%	14.3%	1.14	5.31
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84