Karel Naranjo

SS DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 18 S/R ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL CLE Mendo…	206	.254/.368/.422	3	20	38	—	.159/.250/.247
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBPIT	316	.238/.306/.344	3	8	84	0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	19	MLBPIT	111	.241/.310/.353	1	3	88	0.2
2029PROJ61% MLB	20	MLBPIT	232	.243/.314/.360	3	6	92	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%95

Speed95

Z-Con%93

K%90

ISO72

Chase%56

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsXavier Edwards (age 19) · Eduardo Quintero (age 18) · Pedro Ramírez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 175 proj PA

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .303 / .341

PA175

HR2

SB5

K%22

BB%8

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$75M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 70 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT70

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2036	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-2	$8M	+1.3	$5M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$10M	+1.1	$4M	+$0.6M
Totals		$27M		$36M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	206	173	44	8	6	3	30	25	1	20	6	254	368	422	790	168	283	12	15	351	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	206	182	29	5	4	1	21	30	1	20	6	159	250	247	497	88	179	15	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	206	182	29	5	4	1	21	30	1	20	6	159	250	247	497	88	185	15	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	206	173	44	8	6	3	30	25	1	20	6	254	368	422	790	168	283	12	15	351	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	206	182	29	5	4	1	21	30	1	20	6	159	250	247	497	88	179	15	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	206	182	29	5	4	1	21	30	1	20	6	159	250	247	497	88	179	15	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	316	285	68	11	5	3	26	69	2	8	1	238	306	344	650	106	301	22	8	292	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	PIT	43%	257	232	56	9	4	3	21	56	2	7	1	241	310	354	664	113	303	22	8	298	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2029	20	MLB MLE	PIT	61%	382	343	84	14	6	5	32	83	4	11	2	244	314	362	677	119	303	22	8	304	92	-4	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2030	21	MLB MLE	PIT	68%	476	428	105	18	7	7	40	102	5	13	3	246	317	369	686	124	304	21	8	307	94	-3	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.4
2031	22	MLB MLE	PIT	71%	542	486	120	20	8	9	45	116	6	15	4	247	319	375	694	128	304	21	8	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.7
2032	23	MLB MLE	PIT	72%	586	526	130	22	8	10	49	125	6	16	4	248	320	380	699	131	304	21	8	313	98	-2	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.9
2033	24	MLB MLE	PIT	72%	615	551	137	23	8	11	52	131	7	17	4	249	321	382	703	133	305	21	8	314	99	-1	+2	+0	+7	+13	2.1
2034	25	MLB MLE	PIT	71%	626	561	139	24	8	11	53	133	7	17	4	249	321	383	704	133	305	21	8	314	99	-1	+2	+0	+7	+14	2.2
2035	26	MLB MLE	PIT	71%	634	569	143	24	9	12	53	135	7	17	4	249	321	383	704	133	305	21	8	314	99	-1	+2	+0	+7	+14	2.2
2036	27	MLB MLE	PIT	70%	634	568	140	24	8	11	54	136	7	17	4	248	320	380	700	132	305	21	9	313	98	-2	+2	+0	+7	+14	2.1
2037	28	MLB MLE	PIT	69%	629	565	139	24	8	11	53	136	6	16	4	247	318	376	694	129	304	22	8	311	96	-3	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.9
2038	29	MLB MLE	PIT	67%	619	556	136	23	8	10	52	136	6	15	4	245	316	370	686	126	303	22	8	307	94	-4	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.6
2039	30	MLB MLE	PIT	66%	609	547	132	22	8	9	51	136	6	14	4	242	313	363	675	121	302	22	8	303	91	-6	+1	-2	+7	+13	1.3
2040	31	MLB MLE	PIT	71%	594	535	127	21	7	9	49	135	5	12	5	238	308	354	662	115	300	23	8	297	87	-9	+0	-3	+6	+13	0.8
2041	32	MLB MLE	PIT	68%	576	519	121	20	7	7	47	133	5	11	6	233	302	342	644	109	297	23	8	290	83	-12	-0	-4	+6	+12	0.3
2042	33	MLB MLE	PIT	73%	546	494	113	18	7	6	43	130	4	10	8	227	295	328	623	101	293	24	8	282	77	-15	-1	-4	+6	+12	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	PIT	43%	111	100	24	4	2	1	9	24	1	3	1	241	310	353	663	111	303	22	8	298	88	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2029	20	MLB CTX	PIT	61%	232	209	51	9	3	3	19	50	2	6	1	243	314	360	674	117	304	22	8	303	92	-2	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.6
2030	21	MLB CTX	PIT	68%	324	291	73	13	5	5	27	70	3	9	2	245	317	367	683	122	304	22	8	306	94	-2	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.9
2031	22	MLB CTX	PIT	71%	385	346	85	15	5	6	32	82	4	11	3	247	318	372	690	126	305	21	8	309	96	-2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	PIT	72%	424	380	95	17	6	7	36	91	5	12	3	248	319	376	696	129	305	21	8	311	98	-1	+1	+0	+5	+9	1.4
2033	24	MLB CTX	PIT	72%	440	395	98	18	6	7	37	94	5	12	3	249	320	378	699	130	306	21	8	312	99	-1	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.5
2034	25	MLB CTX	PIT	71%	446	400	99	18	6	7	38	95	5	12	3	249	321	379	700	130	306	21	9	313	99	-1	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.5
2035	26	MLB CTX	PIT	71%	450	404	101	18	6	8	38	96	5	12	3	249	320	379	700	131	306	21	8	313	99	-1	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.5
2036	27	MLB CTX	PIT	70%	441	396	97	17	6	7	37	95	5	12	3	248	320	377	697	129	305	22	8	312	98	-1	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.5
2037	28	MLB CTX	PIT	69%	433	390	96	17	6	7	36	94	4	11	3	246	318	373	691	127	305	22	8	309	96	-2	+1	-0	+5	+9	1.3
2038	29	MLB CTX	PIT	67%	414	372	90	16	5	6	35	91	4	10	3	244	315	367	683	123	304	22	8	306	94	-3	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.1
2039	30	MLB CTX	PIT	66%	401	361	87	15	5	6	33	89	4	9	3	242	312	360	672	119	303	22	8	302	91	-4	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.8
2040	31	MLB CTX	PIT	71%	421	379	91	16	5	6	35	95	4	9	3	238	308	351	659	114	300	23	8	296	87	-6	+1	-2	+5	+9	0.6
2041	32	MLB CTX	PIT	68%	393	355	83	14	5	5	32	91	3	7	4	233	302	340	642	107	297	23	8	289	83	-8	-0	-2	+4	+9	0.2
2042	33	MLB CTX	PIT	73%	396	359	81	13	5	4	31	94	3	7	6	227	295	326	621	99	293	24	8	281	77	-11	-1	-3	+4	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5711	5137	1251	220	76	85	475	1251	57	142	44	244	315	366	680	122	305	22	8	305	92	-46	+11	-10	+61	+124	14.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	143	25	9	10	54	142	6	16	5	244	315	369	684	125	305	22	8	305	92	-5	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	8706	7820	1889	317	118	134	729	1891	85	233	68	242	313	364	677	122	301	22	8	304	92	-72	+18	-15	+91	+184	21.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	142	24	9	10	54	141	6	17	5	243	313	366	680	123	303	22	8	304	92	-5	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	6.5	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
/162	664	13	19	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	8.9	5,886	93	147	245	312	369	+63	+33	18.6	15.3
/162	664	10	17	+7.1	+3.7	2.1	pk7: 12
#4Bucky Harris'19-'31 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,556 PA	8.4	5,556	9	167	242*	319*	362*	+20	+27	14.1	14.6
/162	664	1	20	+2.4	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 15
#5Zoilo Versalles'59-'71 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,578 PA	8.4	5,578	95	97	247*	294*	397*	+56	+13	12.5	13.7
/162	664	11	12	+6.7	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 15
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Karel Naranjo (OGILVIE)	18	65→70	33→38	60→65	62	236/303/341	105	301	2	5	22%	8%	84	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
●Ozzie Albies 2015 · A	18	58→62	36→60	55	51	271/332/343	72	321	3	18	16%	7%	94	+0.9	270/316/368	98	332	4	20	19%	6%	94	+0.9	273/321/453	180	310	18	16	18%	6%	116	+2.9
✕Nelson Rada 2024 · A	18	52→61	36→30	60	51	240/329/312	72	318	3	29	23%	9%	87	+0.4	246/323/306	60	340	2	33	26%	9%	83	+0.1	255/332/312	57	351	2	38	25%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Ronald Torreyes 2011 · A	18	57→59	42→45	52→50	47	268/318/394	126	285	6	14	9%	4%	101	+1.4	271/315/368	97	293	5	11	9%	4%	94	+0.9	271/315/361	90	292	4	9	8%	4%	89	+0.4
✕Carlos Jorge 2022 · A	18	46→56	39→45	62→60	49	216/288/319	103	277	5	24	23%	8%	73	-0.6	208/282/338	130	299	12	26	32%	8%	76	-0.4	193/266/325	132	285	13	29	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Dameury Pena 2024 · A	18	49→59	36→30	53→55	51	226/285/298	73	256	2	16	13%	7%	67	-1.1	228/286/308	80	252	6	15	12%	7%	70	-0.9	241/299/311	70	264	6	18	11%	6%	73	-0.4
●Jose Tabata 2007 · A	18	54→62	41→45	51→55	44	257/313/356	99	323	8	16	22%	6%	91	+0.6	271/321/361	90	336	7	14	20%	5%	95	+0.9	284/341/385	101	328	6	26	14%	7%	107	+1.5
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	50→57	39→45	51→45	51	234/299/332	97	275	5	7	16%	8%	80	-0.2	227/296/304	77	285	5	5	20%	9%	73	-0.6	262/336/372	110	313	10	6	18%	9%	101	+1.0
●Josue De Paula 2024 · A	19	52→54	38→50	51→55	52	242/326/327	85	316	5	14	23%	10%	89	+0.5	236/331/360	124	307	12	20	25%	12%	99	+1.3	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A	18	47→52	41→50	52→45	54	220/296/329	109	252	6	14	15%	9%	78	-0.3	234/279/319	85	286	5	8	19%	5%	69	-0.9	240/289/360	120	286	11	4	19%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Tomás Telis 2010 · A	19	49→59	37→45	54→45	45	230/264/311	82	253	4	10	11%	4%	61	-1.5	247/273/336	89	277	6	8	13%	3%	70	-0.8	283/314/371	88	318	6	6	13%	4%	91	+0.5

Karel Naranjo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps