Janiel Hernandez

P DSL Royals Ventura

Age 19 LHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	18	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	12	23	6.35	4.91	19.4%	17.6%	—	K 13.2% · BB 22.0% · FIP 6.19
2027PROJ	19	MLBKC	13	14	5.69	5.69	20.3%	18.1%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBKC	10	11	5.38	5.26	21.1%	15.4%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsPeter Bonilla (age 19) · CD Pelham (age 20) · Roberto Medina (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125133vR 141

ERA5.69

FIP5.69

K%20.3%

BB%18.1%

K-BB%2.3%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	12	0	23	108	21	19	2	0%	1.9	13.2%	22.0%	-8.8%	2.6%	6.35	6.19	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	12	0	23	108	21	19	2	0%	1.9	13.2%	22.0%	-8.8%	2.6%	6.35	6.19	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	12	0	23	108	21	19	2	0%	1.9	19.4%	17.6%	1.9%	1.9%	6.35	4.91	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	KC	13	0	14	59	12	11	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	18.1%	2.3%	3.0%	5.69	5.69	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	KC	20	0	21	90	19	14	3	0%	1.1	21.1%	15.4%	5.7%	2.9%	5.38	5.26	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	KC	10	0	11	46	10	7	1	0%	1.1	21.1%	15.4%	5.7%	2.9%	5.38	5.26	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	44	9	7	1	0%	1.1	21.1%	15.4%	5.7%	2.9%	5.38	4.88	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	133	19	0%	1.1	21.1%	15.4%	5.7%	2.9%	5.38	4.88	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		12	0	23	108	14	24	3	0%	1.9	13.2%	22.0%	-8.8%	2.6%	6.35	6.19	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		106	0	200	953	126	210	25	0%	1.9	13.2%	22.0%	-8.8%	2.6%	6.35	6.19	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Janiel Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.69	20.3%	18.1%	3.0%	—	5.26	21.1%	5.7%	21	-0.43	—	—	—
Peter Bonilla L 2024 · 4.63 FIP	19	SU	4.63	20.9%	18.3%	1.8%	.250	6.24	19.5%	-5.4%	51	+1.61	4.27	134	84
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	288	83
Roberto Medina L 2024 · 5.29 FIP	19	SW	5.29	18.5%	19.6%	2.3%	.254	5.91	15.1%	-2.7%	45	+0.62	3.87	109	80
Yensy Bello L 2022 · 6.82 FIP	19	SU	6.82	19.9%	32.3%	2.4%	.240	3.76	17.4%	4.1%	91	-3.06	2.65	103	80
Develson Aria L 2019 · 5.19 FIP	18	SU	5.19	15.5%	19.7%	1.6%	.311	4.33	21.7%	3.1%	54	-0.86	4.32	137	79
Anfernny Reyes L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	19	SU	4.98	21.6%	13.6%	3.6%	.282	4.34	21.0%	1.8%	99	-0.64	2.89	175	77
Daniel Gonzalez L 2021 · 5.55 FIP	19	SU	5.55	13.6%	19.1%	2.1%	.318	4.98	20.1%	2.0%	100	-0.57	4.34	136	77
Esmerlin Vinicio L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	19	SW	4.71	17.6%	15.7%	2.0%	.365	4.87	17.2%	0.5%	207	+0.16	3.73	383	76
Jonas Uzcategui L 2024 · 4.53 FIP	19	SU	4.53	23.7%	23.3%	0.9%	.231	4.54	22.5%	4.8%	59	+0.01	4.53	104	75
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2021 · 4.55 FIP	21	SU	4.55	25.7%	21.3%	1.7%	.389	5.41	22.7%	0.2%	76	+0.86	2.58	155	75
Boone Logan L 2006 · 4.69 FIP	21	SU	4.69	16.1%	14.0%	2.1%	.302	4.14	17.2%	10.5%	110	-0.55	2.58	442	75
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	74
Braian Salazar L 2024 · 4.71 FIP	19	SW	4.71	22.0%	20.2%	1.7%	.344	4.11	21.7%	5.1%	107	-0.60	3.58	158	74
Zhiorman Imbriano L 2022 · 5.72 FIP	19	SU	5.72	12.3%	21.1%	1.8%	.283	4.79	13.2%	-5.0%	65	-0.93	3.82	100	73
Edison Suriel L 2018 · 6.39 FIP	19	SU	6.39	16.8%	20.5%	3.8%	.341	2.16	21.4%	14.6%	17	-4.23	2.16	159	73
Ivan Jean L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	21	SU	4.50	16.8%	18.5%	0.9%	.258	3.77	20.1%	2.6%	121	-0.73	3.63	158	73
Jayvien Sandridge L 2018 · 5.17 FIP	19	SU	5.17	15.5%	19.0%	1.8%	.188	6.78	19.0%	-4.9%	13	+1.61	3.25	223	73
Harold Melenge L 2021 · 4.55 FIP	19	SU	4.55	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.297	3.44	16.4%	10.2%	89	-1.11	2.69	238	73
Andre Davis L 2015 · 6.34 FIP	21	SU	6.34	13.6%	16.7%	4.2%	.384	4.43	17.5%	9.9%	127	-1.91	4.14	154	73
Izaak Martinez L 2024 · 6.26 FIP	22	SU	6.26	21.5%	15.0%	5.6%	.300	4.03	20.0%	10.6%	125	-2.23	3.77	138	72