Harold Melenge — OGILVIE

Harold Melenge P Modesto Nuts

Age 24 LHP 5'10" / 170 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121129vR 137

ERA5.47

FIP5.47

K%10.0%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%-1.4%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2020

CTRL4545

CMD2525

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	15	2	40	194	31	16	5	13%	2.6	10.9%	10.3%	0.6%	3.6%	6.35	5.47	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	15	2	40	194	31	16	5	13%	2.6	16.0%	8.2%	7.7%	2.6%	6.35	4.39	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	7	0	14	59	15	6	1	0%	2.0	17.3%	12.7%	4.6%	2.4%	3.77	4.55	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	7	0	14	59	15	6	1	0%	2.0	25.4%	10.2%	15.3%	1.7%	3.77	3.17	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	12	8	51	182	48	8	1	67%	4.2	17.9%	5.5%	12.4%	0.7%	1.42	2.69	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	12	8	51	182	48	8	1	67%	4.2	17.9%	5.5%	12.4%	0.7%	1.42	2.69	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	12	8	51	182	48	8	1	67%	4.2	26.4%	4.4%	22.0%	0.5%	1.42	1.94	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	2	40	173	35	12	3	14%	2.8	14.4%	7.0%	7.4%	3.0%	4.54	4.43	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	2	40	173	35	12	3	14%	2.8	14.4%	7.0%	7.4%	3.0%	4.54	4.43	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	2	40	173	35	12	3	14%	2.8	20.2%	6.9%	13.3%	1.7%	4.54	3.23	—
2025	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	22	20	95	444	53	36	2	91%	4.3	8.8%	9.6%	-0.7%	0.8%	5.00	3.99	—
2025	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	22	20	95	444	53	36	2	91%	4.3	8.8%	9.6%	-0.7%	0.8%	5.00	3.99	—
2025	23	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	22	20	95	444	53	36	2	91%	4.3	11.9%	8.1%	3.8%	0.5%	5.00	3.39	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	SEA	1	1	5	21	2	2	1	100%	5.0	10.0%	11.4%	-1.4%	2.5%	5.47	5.47	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SEA	13	13	87	367	47	40	9	100%	6.7	12.8%	10.9%	1.9%	2.6%	5.25	5.19	-0.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	SEA	13	13	87	367	53	39	10	100%	6.7	14.5%	10.6%	3.9%	2.6%	5.09	5.03	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	SEA	13	13	86	361	54	38	10	100%	6.6	14.9%	10.5%	4.3%	2.7%	5.04	5.03	-0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	SEA	13	13	83	350	52	37	10	100%	6.4	14.9%	10.6%	4.3%	2.8%	5.06	5.09	-0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	SEA	12	12	79	335	56	34	10	100%	6.6	16.7%	10.0%	6.6%	2.9%	5.00	4.95	-0.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	SEA	11	11	74	315	51	32	10	100%	6.8	16.3%	10.3%	6.0%	3.1%	5.08	5.13	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	SEA	6	6	37	156	20	17	4	100%	6.2	12.8%	10.9%	1.9%	2.6%	5.25	5.19	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	SEA	9	9	58	245	36	26	6	100%	6.4	14.5%	10.6%	3.9%	2.6%	5.09	5.03	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	SEA	10	10	66	279	41	29	7	100%	6.6	14.9%	10.5%	4.3%	2.7%	5.04	5.03	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	SEA	11	11	70	296	44	31	8	100%	6.4	14.9%	10.6%	4.3%	2.8%	5.06	5.09	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	SEA	10	10	69	291	49	29	9	100%	6.9	16.7%	10.0%	6.6%	2.9%	5.00	4.95	-0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	SEA	10	10	67	283	46	29	9	100%	6.7	16.3%	10.3%	6.0%	3.1%	5.08	5.13	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	55	367	1549	236	162	44	100%	6.7	15.2%	10.5%	4.8%	2.8%	5.07	4.68	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		30	30	200	844	129	88	24	100%	6.6	15.2%	10.5%	4.8%	2.8%	5.07	4.68	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		70	32	240	1052	128	92	18	46%	3.4	12.2%	8.8%	3.4%	1.7%	4.32	4.14	-3.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	27	200	878	107	77	15	46%	3.4	12.2%	8.8%	3.4%	1.7%	4.32	4.14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Harold Melenge (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.47	10.0%	11.4%	2.5%	—	5.08	14.0%	3.4%	259	-0.39	—	—	—
Tim Berry L 2015 · 4.46 FIP	24	SP-	4.46	12.0%	9.7%	2.1%	.346	5.03	14.7%	-0.6%	113	+0.57	4.04	196	85
Drake Britton L 2015 · 4.69 FIP	26	SW	4.69	11.1%	9.7%	2.4%	.268	4.79	8.0%	-2.2%	41	+0.10	4.69	125	81
Seth Lonsway L 2023 · 5.20 FIP	24	SP-	5.20	13.8%	15.3%	2.4%	.317	4.17	15.2%	4.4%	313	-1.03	3.35	498	81
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	80
Wandy Peralta L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	24	SP-	4.50	12.4%	12.6%	1.6%	.324	3.83	17.3%	7.3%	200	-0.67	2.69	725	76
Cole Kirschsieper L 2023 · 5.07 FIP	22	SP-	5.07	15.2%	12.0%	3.2%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	5.07	105	76
Michael Roth L 2015 · 4.94 FIP	25	SP-	4.94	12.1%	8.3%	3.3%	.298	4.42	13.5%	6.2%	358	-0.52	3.96	483	75
Amilcar Gaxiola L 2015 · 4.58 FIP	24	SP-	4.58	6.3%	8.4%	1.7%	.323	4.99	11.3%	1.8%	148	+0.41	4.58	321	74
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	74
Scott DeCecco L 2015 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP-	4.55	14.5%	11.5%	2.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	125	74
Michael Velasquez L 2017 · 5.07 FIP	24	SW	5.07	10.3%	7.5%	3.4%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	3.91	201	74
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	12.3%	8.5%	4.0%	.327	4.78	10.7%	3.9%	181	-0.55	3.68	322	73
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	73
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	73
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	71
Thomas Ireland L 2023 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.7%	8.7%	3.4%	.286	3.80	17.3%	7.9%	201	-0.84	2.95	245	70
Jeffry Antigua L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	25	SP-	4.60	11.4%	8.6%	2.5%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.60	133	70
Shane Dawson L 2017 · 5.77 FIP	23	SP-	5.77	9.8%	10.3%	4.0%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	373	69
Gabriel Noguera L 2019 · 5.01 FIP	23	SP-	5.01	14.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.310	7.31	19.1%	-8.6%	27	+2.30	4.41	174	69
Jake Zokan L 2015 · 4.89 FIP	24	SP	4.89	12.5%	9.9%	2.9%	.292	1.79	24.2%	22.5%	37	-3.10	1.79	120	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.8	80	14.4%	10.6%	1.06	5.13
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74