Izaak Martinez
P
Lake County Captains
Age 24
LHP
5'8" / 198 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118128vR 137
ERA5.23
FIP5.23
K%13.9%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%3.0%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 108 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 7 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 21.5% | 15.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 2.77 | 6.96 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 7 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 29.1% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 3.6% | 2.77 | 4.25 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 67 | 275 | 58 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 16.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 3.24 | 3.73 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 67 | 275 | 58 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 1.5% | 3.24 | 3.04 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 25 | 0 | 41 | 167 | 50 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 23.5% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 1.55 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CLE | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.9% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.23 | 5.23 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.9% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.23 | 5.23 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 108 | 451 | 89 | 46 | 12 | — | — | 19.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 3.84 | 4.81 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 13.9% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.23 | 4.85 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 45 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 5.07 | 5.03 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 48 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 4.97 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 5.07 | 5.03 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 32 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 4.97 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 75 | 316 | 52 | 33 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 5.01 | 4.59 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 139 | 88 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 5.01 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 68 | 0 | 120 | 497 | 95 | 49 | 13 | 0% | 1.8 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 2.62 | 4.22 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 113 | 0 | 200 | 826 | 158 | 81 | 22 | 0% | 1.8 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 2.62 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Izaak Martinez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.23 | 13.9% | 10.9% | 2.8% | — | 4.98 | 16.3% | 5.8% | 136 | -0.25 | — | — | — |
| Chris Reed L 2027 · 4.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.92 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .284 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 81 | -0.08 | 4.84 | 137 | 85 |
| Gerardo Concepción L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.75 | 16.9% | 10.4% | 3.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 104 | 84 |
| Jordan Mills L 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.31 | 13.9% | 12.7% | 1.4% | .323 | 2.70 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 114 | -1.61 | 2.64 | 210 | 84 |
| Stephen Peterson L 2029 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.79 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.04 | 17.3% | 6.3% | 55 | -1.75 | 3.04 | 120 | 84 |
| Andre Wheeler L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.32 | 17.5% | 12.1% | 4.0% | .347 | 4.73 | 14.4% | 2.4% | 29 | -0.59 | 3.77 | 150 | 84 |
| Daniel Gibson L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 14.7% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .309 | 4.13 | 15.6% | 4.3% | 63 | -0.08 | 2.96 | 159 | 83 |
| Bryan Harper L 2027 · 4.93 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.93 | 15.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .236 | 4.35 | 17.1% | 5.3% | 92 | -0.58 | 3.97 | 133 | 83 |
| Kelly Secrest L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.46 | 18.6% | 13.7% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.30 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 38 | -1.16 | 3.11 | 151 | 83 |
| Cam Alldred L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.60 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .323 | 4.25 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 132 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 332 | 82 |
| Ivan Salas L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.22 | 14.7% | 12.1% | 1.5% | .269 | 3.54 | 13.7% | 6.1% | 67 | -0.68 | 3.14 | 112 | 82 |
| Luis Rico L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.43 | 17.1% | 10.8% | 2.6% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 199 | 82 |
| Joe Kemlage L 2026 · 5.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.53 | 17.6% | 11.7% | 4.4% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 128 | 82 |
| Steve Ascher L 2024 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.07 | 13.3% | 9.5% | 1.6% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 151 | 82 |
| Shane McCain L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 18.3% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .261 | 4.93 | 14.2% | 10.7% | 51 | +0.70 | 4.19 | 201 | 81 |
| Winston Lavendier L 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 17.8% | 12.9% | 3.3% | .344 | 4.95 | 14.2% | 4.7% | 21 | -0.10 | 2.98 | 179 | 81 |
| Felix Carvallo L 2024 · 4.41 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.41 | 17.7% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 132 | 81 |
| Joey DeNato L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.17 | 17.7% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .348 | 4.73 | 12.3% | -2.8% | 51 | +0.56 | 2.95 | 167 | 80 |
| Cameron Ming L 2025 · 5.28 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.28 | 14.3% | 9.4% | 4.0% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.03 | 111 | 80 |
| Gabriel Sequeira L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.92 | 19.3% | 13.1% | 3.3% | .294 | 3.70 | 21.4% | 10.0% | 63 | -1.22 | 2.65 | 160 | 80 |
| Brennan Bernardino L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.07 | 17.7% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .326 | 3.65 | 21.8% | 13.0% | 94 | -0.42 | 2.46 | 445 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 15.5% | 10.6% | 1.09 | 5.09 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |