Antony Carela

P DSL CLE Goryl

Age 18 RHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	17	ROKDSL CLE Goryl	11	9	33	7.09	4.71	19.0%	20.9%	—	K 12.9% · BB 26.1% · FIP 5.78
2027PROJ	18	MLB—	4	4	20	5.98	5.98	19.3%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	19	MLB—	3	3	15	5.60	5.46	20.3%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsRandry De Leon (age 18) · Edgar Isea (age 19) · Jose Pena Jr. (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 130

ERA5.98

FIP5.98

K%19.3%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-0.7%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	11	9	33	163	31	34	1	82%	3.0	12.9%	26.1%	-13.1%	0.9%	7.09	5.78	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	11	9	33	163	31	34	1	82%	3.0	12.9%	26.1%	-13.1%	0.9%	7.09	5.78	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	11	9	33	163	31	34	1	82%	3.0	19.0%	20.9%	-1.8%	0.6%	7.09	4.71	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	18	MLB	—	4	4	20	84	16	17	2	100%	5.0	19.3%	20.0%	-0.7%	2.9%	5.98	5.98	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	6	6	31	132	27	22	4	100%	5.2	20.3%	16.8%	3.5%	2.9%	5.60	5.46	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	3	3	15	63	13	11	2	100%	5.0	20.3%	16.8%	3.5%	2.9%	5.60	5.46	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	15	65	13	11	2	100%	3.8	20.3%	16.8%	3.5%	2.9%	5.60	5.08	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		46	46	200	844	170	143	26	100%	4.3	20.3%	16.8%	3.5%	2.9%	5.60	5.08	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		11	9	33	163	21	42	1	82%	3.0	12.9%	26.1%	-13.1%	0.9%	7.09	5.78	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	55	200	988	128	258	8	82%	3.0	12.9%	26.1%	-13.1%	0.9%	7.09	5.78	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Antony Carela (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.98	19.3%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.46	20.3%	3.5%	31	-0.52	—	—	—
Randry De Leon R 2023 · 6.45 FIP	18	SP-	6.45	17.7%	20.2%	4.2%	.308	4.83	18.4%	3.3%	123	-1.62	4.37	153	88
Edgar Isea R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	19	SP-	5.51	19.3%	20.3%	2.7%	.371	5.19	21.4%	-4.1%	98	-0.32	4.50	162	86
Jose Pena Jr. R 2022 · 5.48 FIP	19	SP-	5.48	15.0%	18.7%	2.3%	.269	4.62	19.2%	3.1%	124	-0.86	3.48	176	86
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	85
Anderson Munoz R 2018 · 5.90 FIP	19	SP-	5.90	14.4%	18.2%	3.1%	.306	4.35	25.7%	13.3%	73	-1.55	4.15	109	85
Lisandro Almonte R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	19	SP-	4.89	16.3%	16.4%	2.0%	.298	4.93	19.6%	4.9%	78	+0.04	3.81	128	85
Yerlin Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.73 FIP	19	SP-	5.73	20.0%	23.6%	2.4%	.378	4.63	19.9%	0.7%	112	-1.10	3.84	244	84
Brailin Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.19 FIP	18	SP-	5.19	15.8%	17.8%	2.1%	.322	4.82	16.8%	2.1%	76	-0.37	4.15	168	84
Jean Munoz R 2021 · 4.96 FIP	18	SP	4.96	16.1%	16.1%	2.2%	.292	3.91	17.3%	2.4%	82	-1.05	3.23	215	84
Jordany Chirinos R 2024 · 4.89 FIP	18	SP-	4.89	16.2%	18.6%	1.4%	.312	5.29	12.2%	-5.4%	46	+0.40	3.40	126	83
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	81
Adam Bates R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP-	5.12	16.2%	14.1%	2.9%	.358	6.39	13.0%	-7.2%	146	+1.27	5.12	183	81
Marlon De La Cruz R 2024 · 5.31 FIP	18	SP	5.31	17.1%	20.9%	1.8%	.306	5.34	13.8%	-6.9%	101	+0.03	4.35	140	81
Dennis Santana R 2015 · 5.67 FIP	19	SP	5.67	15.3%	20.0%	2.4%	.319	3.48	20.3%	8.8%	268	-2.19	2.82	782	81
Rafael Ohashi R 2021 · 4.83 FIP	18	SP-	4.83	21.2%	23.2%	1.1%	.339	5.42	15.9%	2.4%	177	+0.59	4.67	203	80
Enrique Segura R 2023 · 6.44 FIP	18	SP	6.44	13.2%	21.3%	3.2%	.269	5.60	16.4%	2.4%	234	-0.84	4.12	313	80
Raudy Rivera R 2023 · 5.92 FIP	18	SP	5.92	19.2%	31.6%	0.8%	.321	5.34	22.7%	-0.8%	75	-0.58	3.65	111	80
Jesus Rivero R 2021 · 5.42 FIP	18	SP-	5.42	21.7%	22.1%	2.5%	.224	4.35	21.7%	1.5%	117	-1.07	4.09	146	80
Pedro Peralta R 2024 · 5.13 FIP	18	SP-	5.13	15.8%	21.7%	1.1%	.346	6.38	13.9%	-7.9%	80	+1.25	5.13	121	79
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	19.9%	18.1%	1.11	5.75
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Lloyd Allen ('69-'75, -5 WAR*)	1.5	59	19.8%*	13.9%*	0.79*	5.99*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*