Dennis Santana
P
Pittsburgh Pirates
Age 30
RHP
6'2" / 202 lbs
MLB
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 22 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA3.77
FIP3.82
K%22.2%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4494.1
Whiff%
p5626.3%
K%
p3920.6%
xwOBA vs
p250.341
FB+2.3 (43%)
CH+2.1 (15%)
CT (7%)
SI (12%)
SL-0.5 (35%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | 13 | 11 | 48 | 231 | 52 | 37 | 4 | 85% | 3.7 | 15.3% | 20.0% | -4.7% | 2.4% | 6.42 | 5.67 | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | 13 | 11 | 48 | 231 | 52 | 37 | 4 | 85% | 3.7 | 22.5% | 16.0% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 6.42 | 4.34 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Great Lakes Loons | 25 | 14 | 111 | 470 | 124 | 56 | 2 | 56% | 4.5 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 0.6% | 3.07 | 3.56 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Great Lakes Loons | 25 | 14 | 111 | 470 | 124 | 56 | 2 | 56% | 4.5 | 26.4% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 0.4% | 3.07 | 2.61 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 21 | 118 | 526 | 129 | 45 | 7 | 88% | 4.9 | 19.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 1.3% | 4.11 | 3.41 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 21 | 118 | 526 | 129 | 45 | 7 | 88% | 4.9 | 24.5% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 1.3% | 4.11 | 2.83 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 10 | 53 | 225 | 69 | 17 | 3 | 91% | 4.8 | 25.7% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 1.7% | 3.21 | 3.09 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 10 | 53 | 225 | 69 | 17 | 3 | 91% | 4.8 | 30.7% | 7.6% | 23.1% | 1.3% | 3.21 | 2.20 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 17 | 98 | 471 | 111 | 57 | 17 | 57% | 3.3 | 20.8% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 6.96 | 4.83 | +0.6 |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 17 | 98 | 471 | 111 | 57 | 17 | 57% | 3.3 | 23.6% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 6.96 | 4.83 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 12 | 0 | 17 | 73 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.7% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 5.8% | 5.29 | 5.42 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 12 | 0 | 17 | 73 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.7% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 5.5% | 5.29 | 5.28 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 3 | 64 | 278 | 61 | 35 | 6 | 5% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 4.50 | 3.97 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 3 | 64 | 278 | 61 | 35 | 6 | 5% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 4.50 | 4.05 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 1 | 62 | 269 | 58 | 28 | 2 | 2% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 0.8% | 4.91 | 3.07 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 1 | 62 | 269 | 58 | 28 | 2 | 2% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 0.7% | 4.91 | 3.00 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 2 | 44 | 202 | 53 | 23 | 8 | 5% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 5.15 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 2 | 44 | 202 | 53 | 23 | 8 | 5% | 1.1 | 26.2% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 4.0% | 5.15 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 0 | 73 | 297 | 71 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 7.3% | 16.7% | 1.4% | 3.95 | 2.77 | +1.8 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 0 | 73 | 297 | 71 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 1.3% | 3.95 | 2.85 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 70 | 0 | 70 | 270 | 60 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 6.3% | 15.9% | 1.9% | 2.18 | 3.05 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 70 | 0 | 70 | 270 | 60 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 6.3% | 15.9% | 1.9% | 2.18 | 3.04 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 42 | 0 | 40 | 180 | 37 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 5.80 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | PIT | 21 | 0 | 22 | 95 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 2.8% | 3.77 | 3.82 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | PIT | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 2.8% | 3.77 | 3.82 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 63 | 275 | 58 | 27 | 10 | — | — | 21.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 5.08 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 63 | 265 | 58 | 27 | 10 | — | — | 21.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 5.07 | 4.53 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 54 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 52 | 0 | 54 | 229 | 48 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.53 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 51 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 45 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 440 | 1 | 462 | 1945 | 423 | 182 | 46 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | 4.33 | 3.74 | +9.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 0 | 200 | 843 | 183 | 79 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | 4.33 | 3.74 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 456 | 79 | 800 | 3492 | 729 | 396 | 71 | 17% | 1.8 | 20.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 2.0% | 4.47 | 3.89 | +14.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 114 | 20 | 200 | 873 | 182 | 99 | 18 | 17% | 1.8 | 20.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 2.0% | 4.47 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dennis Santana (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.75 | 23.5% | 7.4% | 2.4% | — | 4.55 | 21.3% | 12.2% | 113 | +0.80 | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 77 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2027 · 3.09 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.09 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.84 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.75 | 3.09 | 148 | 76 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2028 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 76 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 75 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 75 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.12 | 18.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | .265 | 3.74 | 17.8% | 10.3% | 131 | -0.38 | 3.53 | 365 | 74 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 74 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 74 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.18 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .349 | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.74 | 3.07 | 227 | 74 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 2.96 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.96 | 22.8% | 8.2% | 1.4% | .251 | 3.64 | 22.0% | 17.4% | 50 | +0.68 | 2.96 | 230 | 74 |
| Tony Barnette R 2028 · 3.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.06 | 19.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% | .281 | 3.28 | 23.4% | 17.0% | 84 | +0.22 | 2.63 | 144 | 74 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.79 | 24.5% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .307 | 3.52 | 25.3% | 16.0% | 74 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 210 | 73 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 73 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 73 |
| Joakim Soria R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.58 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .258 | 2.93 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.65 | 2.01 | 380 | 73 |
| Blake Smith R 2024 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.66 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 124 | 73 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 73 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.97 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .301 | 4.06 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | +0.09 | 1.74 | 468 | 73 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 73 |
| Angel Castro R 2028 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 59 | 22.1% | 8.5% | 1.11 | 4.16 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |