Ayberson Ortega

C DSL Blue Jays Red

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Blue Jays…	146	.237/.306/.267	0	3	13	—	.172/.229/.194
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	256	.229/.285/.294	1	4	65	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	73	.233/.291/.308	1	1	70	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	168	.236/.296/.320	2	3	75	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%99

Z-Con%99

K%96

Chase%50

Speed28

wOBA9

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRonaldo Hernández (age 18) · Aroon Escobar (age 18) · Andres Melendez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 122 proj PA

wRC+65

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .282 / .292

PA122

HR1

K%21

BB%6

ISO65

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$31M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	146	131	31	4	0	0	11	14	2	3	1	237	306	267	573	31	261	10	8	265	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	146	134	23	3	0	0	8	17	2	3	1	172	229	194	423	22	183	12	5	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	146	134	23	3	0	0	8	17	2	3	1	172	229	194	423	22	193	12	5	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	146	131	31	4	0	0	11	14	2	3	1	237	306	267	573	31	261	10	8	265	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	146	135	23	3	0	0	8	17	2	3	1	170	229	193	422	22	183	12	5	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	146	135	23	3	0	0	8	17	2	3	1	170	229	193	422	22	183	12	5	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	256	236	54	8	2	1	16	53	2	4	1	229	285	294	579	65	286	21	6	264	65	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	211	194	45	7	1	2	13	43	2	4	1	233	291	308	599	75	289	20	6	272	70	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	346	316	75	11	2	4	23	71	4	6	2	236	296	320	616	84	290	21	7	279	75	-10	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	447	408	98	15	3	6	30	91	6	8	3	239	300	330	630	92	291	20	7	285	79	-11	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	519	472	114	17	3	8	35	106	7	9	4	241	303	339	642	99	292	20	7	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	520	472	116	18	3	9	36	106	7	9	4	243	305	347	652	105	293	20	7	294	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	472	116	18	3	9	36	106	7	9	4	244	306	351	657	107	294	20	7	296	86	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	472	116	18	3	9	36	106	7	9	4	245	307	354	660	109	294	20	7	297	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	472	117	18	3	10	36	106	7	9	4	245	307	355	662	110	294	20	7	298	88	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	473	116	18	3	9	36	107	6	9	4	244	306	352	658	109	293	21	7	296	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	473	114	17	3	9	36	108	6	8	4	242	304	348	652	106	292	21	7	293	85	-9	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	473	114	17	3	9	36	110	6	8	5	239	301	341	642	102	291	21	7	290	82	-11	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.8
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	474	113	17	3	8	35	111	6	8	6	236	297	333	631	97	289	21	7	285	79	-13	-1	-2	+9	+11	0.5
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	504	459	106	16	2	7	34	110	6	7	8	232	292	324	616	92	286	22	7	279	75	-15	-2	-3	+9	+11	0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	73	67	15	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	233	291	308	599	75	289	21	7	272	70	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	168	153	36	5	1	2	11	34	2	3	1	236	296	320	616	84	290	20	7	279	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	242	221	52	8	1	3	16	49	3	4	2	239	300	330	630	92	291	20	7	285	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	268	65	10	2	4	20	60	4	5	2	241	303	339	642	99	292	20	7	290	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	299	272	66	10	2	5	21	61	4	5	2	243	305	347	652	105	293	20	7	294	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	296	270	66	10	2	5	20	60	4	5	2	244	306	351	657	107	294	20	7	296	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	295	269	66	10	2	5	20	60	4	5	2	245	307	354	660	109	294	20	7	297	87	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	268	65	10	2	5	20	60	4	5	2	245	307	355	662	110	294	20	7	298	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	289	263	65	10	2	5	20	59	4	5	2	244	306	352	658	109	293	20	7	296	87	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	286	261	64	10	2	5	20	59	3	5	2	242	304	348	652	106	292	21	7	293	85	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	278	254	60	9	1	5	19	59	3	4	3	239	301	341	642	102	291	21	7	290	82	-6	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	274	250	59	9	1	4	19	59	3	4	3	236	297	333	631	97	289	22	7	285	79	-7	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	263	240	56	8	1	4	18	57	3	4	4	232	292	324	616	92	286	22	7	279	75	-8	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3351	3056	735	111	19	53	229	692	42	55	27	241	302	341	644	101	294	21	7	290	80	-69	+0	-4	+60	+73	6.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	143	22	4	10	44	134	8	11	5	241	302	342	644	101	295	21	7	290	80	-13	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6455	5876	1410	214	36	100	438	1323	80	108	55	240	302	340	641	100	292	20	7	287	80	-135	-1	-7	+113	+137	10.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	143	22	4	10	44	133	8	11	6	242	303	343	646	101	294	20	7	287	80	-14	-0	-1	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3Dan Wilson'92-'05 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,616 PA	7.0	4,616	88	23	250*	297*	370*	+81	-0	10.3	11.0
/162	664	13	3	+11.6	-0.0	1.5	pk7: 12
#4Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.2	3,472	54	57	241	299	342	+62	+32	8.5	7.3
/162	664	10	11	+11.9	+6.1	1.6	pk7: 6
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Frank House'50-'61 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,187 PA	3.3	2,187	47	6	243*	292*	382*	+39	+0	5.1	5.3
/162	664	14	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ayberson Ortega (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	227/282/292	65	286	1	2	21%	6%	65	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	43→44	36→50	50→45	44	203/264/273	70	257	3	6	22%	6%	54	-2.0	227/274/332	105	258	10	5	16%	5%	71	-0.8	232/277/359	127	262	15	5	18%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Andres Melendez 2019 · A	18	46	37→50	49→40	48	215/276/292	77	257	4	7	18%	6%	62	-1.4	205/273/296	91	276	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.4	189/272/303	114	277	10	2	33%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→49	36→50	49→40	45	200/267/261	62	282	3	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/282/284	78	279	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Deivy Grullón 2014 · A	18	46→45	38→55	48→30	44	218/266/297	79	275	4	4	22%	6%	59	-1.6	211/252/305	94	288	8	2	28%	5%	56	-1.9	236/277/397	161	310	22	0	31%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Carlos Virahonda 2024 · A	18	43	38→55	44→45	42	202/279/289	86	248	3	7	19%	4%	64	-1.3	190/275/279	89	238	7	5	22%	6%	61	-1.5	195/286/306	111	240	12	4	23%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	43→52	37→45	47→55	46	202/270/270	68	253	4	9	21%	7%	56	-1.9	202/263/280	78	298	5	15	32%	6%	55	-2.0	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Ali Sánchez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	42→40	50	210/283/277	67	260	5	8	20%	8%	62	-1.4	215/266/268	53	272	3	6	21%	6%	53	-2.1	247/298/343	95	318	11	1	25%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	43→51	39→45	47→45	49	205/283/297	92	259	5	4	22%	8%	67	-1.1	204/276/286	82	286	4	4	28%	7%	61	-1.5	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Luis Santana 2017 · A	18	45	36→45	44→50	44	210/263/284	74	250	3	5	17%	5%	55	-1.9	234/308/320	86	266	5	10	13%	7%	81	-0.1	232/299/348	116	287	12	10	23%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	40→42	37→55	48→50	46	191/261/271	79	260	3	5	26%	8%	52	-2.2	197/244/318	121	277	11	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Oswald Peraza 2018 · A	18	46→54	35→50	53→60	44	214/285/281	67	280	1	11	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/274/278	66	288	4	15	26%	6%	59	-1.7	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	41	37→40	49→45	44	196/271/269	73	275	4	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	203/293/278	75	310	5	6	33%	9%	68	-1.0	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Edward Duran 2022 · A	18	47→48	37→40	49→45	48	221/290/297	77	273	3	9	20%	7%	70	-0.9	209/283/276	67	264	2	8	20%	8%	62	-1.4	230/305/310	79	304	5	8	24%	8%	75	-0.2
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	41→44	36→45	47→60	40	191/267/265	74	269	3	8	28%	5%	55	-2.0	220/294/320	100	309	8	15	30%	6%	76	-0.4	227/301/338	110	318	10	20	30%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	39	37→30	49→50	46	184/251/255	71	231	4	7	21%	6%	45	-2.7	210/287/279	69	264	5	9	21%	9%	64	-1.3	224/319/277	53	279	4	10	19%	11%	74	-0.2

Ayberson Ortega

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps