Osmy Osorio

SS DSL Padres Brown

Age 18 L/R ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Padres Br…	142	.198/.340/.328	2	2	18	—	.123/.241/.197
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBSD	252	.206/.281/.292	2	5	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBSD	71	.207/.284/.300	1	2	69	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBSD	166	.211/.289/.312	2	4	74	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%60

Speed60

ISO57

BB%45

Whiff%34

Z-Con%33

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJuan Villavicencio (age 18) · Carlos Jimenez (age 19) · Angel Guzman (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 118 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .279 / .290

PA118

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$4M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	142	116	23	3	3	2	21	36	4	2	1	198	340	328	668	129	266	25	15	310	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	142	122	15	2	2	1	15	44	4	2	1	123	241	197	438	74	164	31	11	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	142	122	15	2	2	1	15	44	4	2	1	123	241	197	438	74	179	31	11	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	142	116	23	3	3	2	21	36	4	2	1	198	340	328	668	129	266	25	15	310	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	142	122	15	2	2	1	15	44	4	2	1	123	241	197	438	74	164	31	11	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	142	122	15	2	2	1	15	44	4	2	1	123	241	197	438	74	164	31	11	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	SD	0%	252	227	46	7	3	2	20	71	3	5	2	206	281	292	573	87	287	28	8	262	64	-11	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	SD	34%	208	186	39	6	3	2	17	58	3	5	2	210	287	305	592	95	290	28	8	270	69	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	SD	48%	343	307	65	10	4	4	28	94	5	9	4	215	292	317	609	103	291	27	8	277	74	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	SD	54%	446	399	88	14	5	7	37	121	7	12	5	218	296	328	623	110	292	27	8	283	78	-12	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2031	22	MLB MLE	SD	57%	519	463	103	16	6	9	43	139	8	14	6	221	299	337	635	116	293	27	8	288	81	-12	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.5
2032	23	MLB MLE	SD	58%	568	507	113	18	6	10	47	150	9	15	6	224	301	344	646	121	294	26	8	291	83	-11	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.8
2033	24	MLB MLE	SD	57%	600	536	120	19	6	11	50	159	9	16	7	225	302	348	650	123	295	26	8	293	85	-11	+0	+0	+6	+13	0.9
2034	25	MLB MLE	SD	57%	618	551	125	20	7	12	52	163	10	17	7	225	303	350	653	125	295	26	8	294	85	-11	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.0
2035	26	MLB MLE	SD	57%	627	560	126	20	7	12	52	166	10	17	7	226	303	352	655	126	295	26	8	295	86	-11	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.0
2036	27	MLB MLE	SD	55%	628	560	126	20	7	12	53	167	10	17	7	225	302	349	651	124	294	27	8	294	85	-11	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.0
2037	28	MLB MLE	SD	55%	624	558	125	20	7	12	52	167	9	16	8	223	300	345	645	122	294	27	8	291	83	-13	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.7
2038	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	615	550	121	19	6	11	51	167	9	15	8	221	298	339	636	118	292	27	8	288	81	-14	-0	-1	+7	+13	0.4
2039	30	MLB MLE	SD	57%	604	540	117	18	6	10	50	166	9	15	8	218	294	331	625	113	291	27	8	283	78	-16	-0	-2	+6	+13	0.1
2040	31	MLB MLE	SD	60%	590	529	113	18	6	9	48	164	8	14	10	214	290	322	611	108	288	28	8	277	74	-18	-1	-3	+6	+13	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	SD	34%	71	64	14	2	1	1	6	20	1	2	1	207	284	300	584	93	285	28	8	267	69	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	SD	48%	166	148	32	5	2	2	14	46	3	4	2	211	289	312	601	101	286	28	8	274	74	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	21	MLB CTX	SD	54%	242	216	47	7	3	4	20	66	4	7	3	215	293	323	616	108	287	27	8	280	78	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2031	22	MLB CTX	SD	57%	294	263	57	9	3	5	24	79	5	8	3	218	296	332	628	114	288	27	8	284	81	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2032	23	MLB CTX	SD	58%	327	292	64	10	3	6	27	87	5	9	4	220	298	340	638	119	289	27	8	288	83	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2033	24	MLB CTX	SD	57%	342	305	68	10	4	7	29	90	5	9	4	222	300	343	643	122	290	26	8	290	85	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2034	25	MLB CTX	SD	57%	351	314	70	10	4	7	29	93	5	9	4	222	300	346	646	123	290	26	8	291	85	-6	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2035	26	MLB CTX	SD	57%	355	317	71	11	4	7	30	94	5	9	4	222	300	347	647	125	290	26	8	292	86	-6	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2036	27	MLB CTX	SD	55%	348	311	69	10	4	7	29	93	5	9	4	221	299	345	644	123	289	27	8	291	85	-6	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2037	28	MLB CTX	SD	55%	343	306	68	10	4	7	29	92	5	9	4	220	297	340	638	120	288	27	8	288	83	-7	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.4
2038	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	329	294	64	10	3	6	27	89	5	8	4	217	295	334	629	117	287	27	8	285	81	-8	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.2
2039	30	MLB CTX	SD	57%	345	309	66	10	3	6	28	95	5	8	5	215	291	327	618	112	286	28	8	280	78	-9	-0	-1	+4	+7	0.0
2040	31	MLB CTX	SD	60%	352	315	67	10	3	6	29	98	5	8	6	211	287	317	604	107	283	28	8	275	74	-11	-1	-2	+4	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3865	3454	757	114	41	71	321	1042	58	99	48	219	296	338	634	118	290	27	8	285	80	-87	+1	-4	+41	+84	3.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	127	19	7	12	54	175	10	17	8	219	297	337	634	119	289	27	8	285	80	-15	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	7250	6473	1417	223	79	123	605	1958	112	186	87	219	297	335	632	116	292	27	8	286	80	-163	+2	-7	+76	+154	6.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	127	20	7	11	54	176	10	17	8	219	296	334	631	116	293	27	8	286	80	-15	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.0	3,982	69	103	222	296	339	+43	+24	6.4	5.7
/162	664	11	17	+7.1	+4.0	1.1	pk7: 5
#5Bill Cissell'28-'38 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,998 PA	6.0	3,998	29	113	240*	284*	363*	+27	+22	2.2	3.8
/162	664	5	19	+4.5	+3.7	0.4	pk7: 5
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Osmy Osorio (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	204/279/290	86	287	1	2	28%	8%	64	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	38→48	38→50	50	45	187/249/259	72	249	5	15	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/254/287	83	304	5	9	32%	6%	53	-2.1	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Joseph Tailor 2024 · A	18	40	36→45	53→50	39	191/248/254	63	287	4	14	33%	6%	43	-2.8	179/264/266	87	264	6	13	33%	6%	54	-2.0	141/246/232	90	206	6	17	32%	6%	38	-0.9
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	38→48	37→50	51→50	46	184/251/255	71	245	5	16	26%	8%	45	-2.7	213/271/308	95	288	7	14	27%	7%	64	-1.3	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Luis Liberato 2015 · A	19	36→46	37→50	52→50	44	176/243/245	69	250	4	14	30%	8%	39	-3.1	199/256/296	97	299	6	9	33%	7%	55	-1.9	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	36→46	37→45	50→55	46	176/242/253	76	228	4	12	24%	7%	41	-3.0	231/280/336	105	295	5	13	22%	6%	74	-0.6	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	36→43	37→45	52→60	51	173/263/245	72	222	4	13	23%	9%	49	-2.4	197/285/299	102	255	9	17	24%	9%	69	-0.9	197/288/299	102	260	10	24	26%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Anthony Huezo 2024 · A	18	43→36	39→55	50→60	46	203/278/285	82	291	6	7	30%	9%	62	-1.4	177/252/293	116	322	12	17	45%	7%	55	-1.9	169/246/315	146	284	17	26	44%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	39	37→55	49→40	48	186/260/257	71	244	4	5	25%	8%	49	-2.4	197/286/284	87	296	6	4	32%	10%	65	-1.2	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Antonio Pimentel 2024 · A	18	37→44	36→45	52→55	48	178/265/240	62	238	4	11	25%	8%	48	-2.5	190/269/267	77	245	4	19	22%	9%	55	-2.0	196/270/288	91	259	6	27	25%	8%	56	-0.7
✕Jorge Burgos 2021 · A	18	41→51	36→50	51→45	46	194/262/269	75	267	2	10	27%	8%	52	-2.2	233/298/320	87	326	5	6	27%	8%	77	-0.3	234/304/323	89	323	6	4	27%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Narciso Polanco 2023 · A	18	40→42	37→40	50→55	48	188/274/262	74	275	3	11	30%	10%	56	-1.9	186/261/261	75	263	4	14	28%	8%	50	-2.3	181/262/256	74	247	5	19	26%	9%	47	-1.6
✕Isan Díaz 2015 · A	19	34→43	39→55	47→45	40	170/236/260	90	270	6	8	37%	7%	40	-3.0	210/275/349	139	306	13	8	34%	8%	76	-0.4	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Daniel Lopez 2024 · A	18	43	39→45	50→65	46	205/281/293	89	290	5	10	29%	8%	65	-1.2	192/256/279	87	261	5	17	27%	7%	52	-2.2	182/247/268	86	249	5	28	27%	6%	43	-1.0
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	42→50	37→45	46→50	48	196/277/265	70	283	4	9	30%	10%	57	-1.8	206/294/301	95	310	7	14	32%	10%	72	-0.7	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0

Osmy Osorio

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps