Luis Palencia

2B DSL Cubs Blue

Age 19 R/R ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKDSL Cubs Blue	124	.265/.415/.398	2	9	53	—	.171/.293/.248
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBCHC	234	.218/.296/.302	2	7	72	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCHC	66	.224/.303/.319	1	2	76	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCHC	158	.227/.306/.329	2	5	80	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed79

K%76

BB%76

wOBA67

wRC+63

ISO58

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAroon Escobar (age 19) · Cristian Hernández (age 18) · Delino DeShields (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 104 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .294 / .299

PA104

HR1

K%25

BB%9

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	124	98	26	5	1	2	24	20	1	9	1	265	415	398	813	133	312	16	19	371	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	124	105	18	3	1	1	17	24	1	9	1	171	293	248	540	76	204	19	14	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	124	105	18	3	1	1	17	24	1	9	1	171	293	248	540	76	210	19	14	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	124	98	26	5	1	2	24	20	1	9	1	265	415	398	813	133	312	16	19	371	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	124	105	18	3	1	1	17	24	1	9	1	171	293	248	540	76	204	19	14	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	124	105	18	3	1	1	17	24	1	9	1	171	293	248	540	76	204	19	14	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	234	209	46	8	2	2	21	58	2	7	1	218	296	302	598	84	288	25	9	274	72	-8	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	193	171	38	6	2	2	18	47	2	6	1	221	301	314	615	93	290	24	9	281	76	-5	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	327	291	65	11	3	4	30	80	3	11	2	225	304	324	629	100	291	24	9	286	80	-8	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	425	379	86	15	3	6	39	103	4	14	3	227	307	334	640	106	292	24	9	291	83	-9	+2	+0	+2	+9	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	490	437	100	17	4	8	45	117	5	16	3	230	309	341	650	112	293	24	9	294	85	-9	+2	+0	+2	+11	0.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	532	473	109	19	4	9	49	127	5	17	4	232	310	348	659	116	294	24	9	298	88	-8	+2	+0	+2	+12	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	558	496	115	20	4	10	51	133	6	18	4	232	311	350	661	118	294	24	9	299	88	-8	+2	+0	+2	+12	0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	571	508	118	20	4	11	52	136	6	19	4	232	311	352	663	119	294	24	9	299	89	-8	+2	+0	+2	+12	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	575	511	118	20	4	11	53	138	6	19	4	231	310	349	659	118	293	24	9	298	88	-8	+2	+0	+2	+12	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	573	510	117	20	4	10	53	139	5	18	4	229	308	344	652	115	292	24	9	295	86	-10	+2	-1	+2	+12	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	564	502	114	19	4	10	52	138	5	17	4	227	305	338	643	111	291	24	9	291	83	-11	+2	-1	+2	+12	0.3
2038	30	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	555	495	112	19	4	9	50	138	5	17	4	224	301	330	631	106	289	25	9	286	80	-13	+2	-2	+2	+12	0.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	541	484	106	18	3	8	48	136	4	15	4	219	296	320	616	100	285	25	9	280	76	-16	+1	-3	+2	+12	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	66	59	14	2	1	1	6	16	1	2	0	224	303	319	622	95	294	24	9	283	76	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	158	140	32	6	1	2	15	38	2	5	1	227	306	329	635	102	295	24	9	289	80	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	230	205	46	8	2	3	21	55	2	8	2	230	309	338	647	108	296	24	9	293	83	-5	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	277	247	56	10	2	4	25	66	3	9	2	232	311	346	656	114	297	24	9	297	85	-5	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	301	267	63	11	3	5	28	72	3	10	2	234	312	352	665	118	298	24	9	300	88	-4	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	315	280	67	12	3	6	29	75	3	10	2	234	313	354	667	120	298	24	9	301	88	-4	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	323	287	68	12	3	6	30	77	3	11	2	235	313	355	668	121	297	24	9	301	89	-4	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	319	284	67	12	3	6	29	77	3	10	2	233	312	353	665	119	297	24	9	300	88	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	315	280	65	11	3	5	29	76	3	10	2	231	310	348	658	116	296	24	9	297	86	-5	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	302	268	62	11	2	5	28	74	3	9	2	229	307	341	648	112	294	25	9	293	83	-6	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	292	261	58	10	2	4	26	72	3	9	2	226	303	333	637	108	292	25	9	289	80	-7	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.0
2039	31	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	282	253	56	10	2	4	25	71	2	8	2	221	298	323	621	102	289	25	9	282	76	-8	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3180	2831	654	115	27	51	291	769	31	101	21	231	310	345	654	114	297	24	9	295	83	-59	+12	-4	+11	+69	2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	134	24	6	10	59	157	6	21	4	231	309	345	654	114	299	24	9	295	83	-12	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6132	5454	1236	210	45	100	567	1482	58	199	42	227	306	337	643	110	291	24	9	291	83	-116	+22	-7	+21	+130	5.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	131	22	5	11	60	157	6	21	4	227	305	339	645	112	291	24	9	291	83	-13	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#2Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.9	3,284	54	104	229	304	340	+12	+7	5.1	4.6
/162	664	11	21	+2.4	+1.4	1.0	pk7: 4
#3Bill Cissell'28-'38 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,998 PA	6.0	3,998	29	113	240*	284*	363*	+27	+22	2.2	3.8
/162	664	5	19	+4.5	+3.7	0.4	pk7: 5
#4Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Palencia (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	216/294/299	84	288	1	3	25%	9%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aroon Escobar 2024 · A	19	38→46	36→45	51→55	54	178/277/245	67	211	4	16	17%	9%	55	-2.0	218/300/318	100	261	10	17	20%	9%	78	-0.3	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	41→51	40→45	50→65	42	201/260/289	88	279	8	16	30%	6%	56	-1.9	234/302/339	105	318	8	38	27%	8%	83	+0.1	239/313/347	108	322	9	47	26%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/270/292	91	260	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	205/256/277	72	300	3	25	30%	6%	51	-2.3	240/291/409	169	325	21	27	32%	5%	95	+0.4
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	43	206/263/292	86	288	6	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	220/271/312	92	287	7	10	24%	6%	65	-1.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2021 · A	19	44→49	37→55	49→50	45	205/273/280	75	288	3	12	28%	8%	59	-1.7	244/281/380	136	295	14	15	22%	4%	84	+0.2	251/287/411	161	323	17	11	27%	4%	94	+0.8
✕Tito Polo 2014 · A	19	41→51	36→45	54→60	43	196/264/262	66	267	4	22	27%	6%	51	-2.2	212/270/304	92	282	7	23	26%	5%	63	-1.4	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	43→53	40→50	57→55	43	207/267/301	93	294	6	22	30%	7%	61	-1.5	237/294/369	132	297	12	21	23%	7%	86	+0.3	245/302/388	143	293	14	19	20%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	194/267/288	94	272	9	17	30%	8%	59	-1.6	221/287/321	100	309	7	21	28%	8%	73	-0.6	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	41→40	37→45	53→60	45	189/276/261	72	296	4	19	34%	9%	57	-1.8	210/266/317	107	310	10	28	34%	6%	65	-1.2	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	41→44	38→50	47→50	54	193/285/279	86	256	5	8	25%	11%	63	-1.3	188/262/304	116	277	10	9	34%	8%	61	-1.5	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Andruw Monasterio 2016 · A	19	43→53	36→45	53→55	48	202/265/267	65	246	3	13	19%	7%	52	-2.2	213/267/272	59	274	2	10	21%	6%	54	-2.0	241/316/348	107	322	9	15	26%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	44	38→45	50	46	210/269/292	82	266	4	13	22%	6%	59	-1.6	202/248/279	77	299	4	11	32%	5%	49	-2.4	176/218/244	68	280	3	12	36%	4%	25	-1.1
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	41→51	41→50	49→55	45	201/256/299	98	254	8	12	24%	7%	56	-1.9	233/299/372	139	304	15	16	27%	8%	90	+0.6	241/309/383	142	307	16	19	26%	8%	94	+0.7
✕Oswald Peraza 2019 · A	19	44→54	35→50	54→60	41	204/271/267	63	292	2	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	229/284/316	87	301	8	20	25%	6%	71	-0.8	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2

Luis Palencia

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps