Sebastian Maldonado

C DSL Padres Brown

Age 19 L/R ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKDSL Padres Br…	143	.215/.331/.289	0	0	19	—	.142/.232/.189
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBSD	253	.219/.287/.299	1	2	67	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBSD	71	.219/.288/.305	1	0	72	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBSD	163	.223/.293/.317	2	1	76	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%85

Whiff%68

Z-Con%67

Chase%56

BB%40

ISO27

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsRonny Hernandez (age 19) · Carlos Rodriguez (age 19) · Yasmil Bucce (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 119 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .285 / .296

PA119

HR1

K%24

BB%8

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$28M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	143	121	26	7	1	0	20	20	1	0	0	215	331	289	620	74	255	14	14	291	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	143	127	18	4	1	0	14	24	1	0	0	142	232	189	421	47	169	17	10	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	143	127	18	4	1	0	14	24	1	0	0	142	232	189	421	47	173	17	10	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	143	121	26	7	1	0	20	20	1	0	0	215	331	289	620	74	255	14	14	291	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	143	127	18	4	1	0	14	24	1	0	0	142	232	189	421	47	169	17	10	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	143	127	18	4	1	0	14	24	1	0	0	142	232	189	421	47	169	17	10	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	SD	0%	253	229	50	10	2	1	20	60	2	2	1	219	287	299	586	79	287	24	8	267	67	-10	+0	+0	+5	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	SD	34%	206	186	42	8	2	2	16	48	2	1	1	223	292	312	604	88	288	23	8	275	72	-7	-0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	SD	48%	337	304	70	13	3	4	27	78	3	2	1	226	296	323	619	96	290	23	8	281	76	-10	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	SD	54%	432	390	90	17	3	6	35	99	4	3	2	229	299	333	632	104	291	23	8	286	80	-10	-0	+0	+8	+9	0.7
2031	23	MLB MLE	SD	57%	496	448	103	19	4	7	40	114	5	3	2	232	302	341	643	110	292	23	8	290	83	-10	-0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	SD	57%	520	468	110	21	4	8	42	119	5	3	2	234	304	349	653	115	293	23	8	294	85	-9	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	SD	57%	520	468	111	21	4	9	42	119	5	3	2	234	305	351	656	117	293	23	8	295	86	-9	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	SD	56%	520	468	110	21	4	9	42	119	5	3	2	235	305	353	658	119	293	23	8	296	86	-8	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	SD	55%	520	468	109	20	4	9	42	120	5	3	2	234	304	351	654	117	292	23	8	295	85	-9	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	SD	55%	520	468	109	20	4	9	42	121	5	3	3	232	302	346	648	114	291	23	8	292	84	-10	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	520	468	108	20	4	8	42	122	5	3	6	229	299	340	638	110	290	23	8	288	81	-12	-2	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2038	30	MLB MLE	SD	53%	520	469	107	20	4	8	42	124	4	2	13	226	295	332	627	106	288	24	8	283	78	-14	-5	-2	+9	+11	-0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	SD	34%	71	64	15	3	1	1	6	17	1	0	0	219	288	305	594	86	283	24	8	270	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	SD	48%	163	147	33	6	1	2	13	38	2	1	1	223	293	317	609	94	284	23	8	277	76	-5	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	SD	54%	234	211	48	9	2	3	19	54	2	2	1	225	296	327	623	101	285	23	8	282	80	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	SD	57%	281	253	57	10	2	4	23	64	3	2	1	228	298	336	634	108	286	23	8	286	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	SD	57%	294	265	61	11	2	5	24	67	3	2	1	230	301	343	644	113	287	23	8	290	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	SD	57%	294	265	61	11	2	5	24	67	3	2	1	231	301	346	647	115	287	23	8	292	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	SD	56%	294	265	61	11	2	5	24	67	3	2	1	231	301	348	649	117	287	23	8	292	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	SD	55%	288	259	60	11	2	5	24	66	3	2	1	230	300	345	646	115	286	23	8	291	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	SD	55%	285	257	58	10	2	5	23	66	3	2	2	228	298	340	639	112	285	23	8	288	84	-6	-0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	278	251	56	10	2	4	23	65	2	1	3	225	296	334	630	109	284	23	8	284	81	-6	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	SD	53%	274	248	55	10	2	4	22	65	2	1	7	222	292	326	618	104	282	24	8	280	78	-7	-3	-1	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2756	2485	565	102	20	43	225	636	27	17	19	227	299	336	635	109	287	23	8	286	80	-57	-4	-2	+49	+60	4.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	133	24	5	10	53	150	6	4	4	227	297	336	633	109	287	23	8	286	80	-14	-1	-1	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5373	4840	1111	209	42	80	435	1235	50	30	36	230	300	340	639	110	290	23	8	287	80	-113	-8	-4	+93	+113	8.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	134	25	5	10	53	149	6	4	4	229	300	340	639	111	288	23	8	287	80	-14	-1	-1	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.3	2,875	43	17	232	298	342	+51	+28	6.7	6.1
/162	664	10	4	+11.9	+6.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#6Frank House'50-'61 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,187 PA	3.3	2,187	47	6	243*	292*	382*	+39	+0	5.1	5.3
/162	664	14	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sebastian Maldonado (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	217/285/296	79	287	1	1	24%	8%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronny Hernandez 2024 · A	19	44→53	39→40	49→30	46	211/281/302	91	288	6	4	28%	8%	67	-1.1	227/301/310	83	296	7	3	24%	9%	76	-0.4	229/306/323	94	287	11	1	22%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Yasmil Bucce 2024 · A	19	41	38→55	49→40	44	194/265/274	79	279	5	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	199/299/306	107	308	10	4	35%	11%	76	-0.4	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	43→48	38→45	46→40	50	204/277/287	83	255	5	5	21%	9%	62	-1.4	233/285/320	87	295	6	3	22%	6%	72	-0.7	246/292/359	114	319	10	2	25%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	35→41	36→45	48→40	50	170/265/234	64	247	4	3	30%	10%	47	-2.6	207/288/311	104	312	11	4	34%	10%	72	-0.7	205/285/317	112	311	13	2	36%	9%	70	-0.6
✕José Godoy 2014 · A	19	43	34→45	44→30	51	200/282/250	50	249	1	4	19%	8%	56	-1.9	237/301/296	59	284	3	4	16%	7%	72	-0.7	259/313/325	65	303	5	1	15%	6%	80	-0.0
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→40	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	66	-1.1	196/276/274	78	288	5	5	30%	9%	59	-1.7	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Tucker Barnhart 2010 · A	19	43→53	37→45	49→40	43	205/259/276	72	278	4	6	27%	6%	52	-2.2	225/285/303	78	303	3	5	25%	7%	68	-1.0	241/315/366	125	285	12	2	19%	9%	93	+0.6
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	47	199/261/264	65	252	4	6	22%	7%	50	-2.3	222/286/323	101	271	7	5	20%	8%	74	-0.6	252/305/320	67	286	2	0	12%	6%	75	-0.1
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	38	37→45	47→45	51	180/266/253	73	238	4	6	25%	10%	51	-2.2	200/296/287	87	250	6	8	20%	10%	70	-0.8	188/295/296	108	247	11	6	26%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Nolan Beltran 2024 · A	19	41→49	35→40	43→45	53	192/268/251	60	234	2	7	18%	9%	51	-2.3	199/272/282	83	250	6	6	21%	8%	59	-1.6	203/286/287	84	248	7	4	20%	9%	63	-0.5
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Rio Ruiz 2013 · A	19	43→53	38→50	52→40	42	205/261/298	93	294	4	6	30%	7%	58	-1.7	232/297/350	118	303	9	5	24%	9%	83	+0.1	246/316/351	105	316	8	2	23%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	41	35→45	46→55	56	189/281/251	62	237	3	9	20%	11%	56	-1.9	216/292/302	86	304	6	14	28%	9%	71	-0.8	210/285/301	91	316	8	17	33%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	45→46	37→55	49→50	47	212/272/292	80	272	4	8	22%	7%	61	-1.5	214/265/314	100	290	7	9	27%	6%	63	-1.4	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	43	41→45	45	56	204/303/316	112	273	7	8	26%	12%	79	-0.2	186/265/271	85	280	6	5	33%	9%	55	-2.0	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Eddinson Paulino 2021 · A	19	44→42	36→50	43→50	48	208/278/279	71	278	3	7	25%	8%	60	-1.6	214/283/340	126	290	8	13	27%	8%	76	-0.4	207/274/352	145	279	12	17	29%	7%	73	-0.4

Sebastian Maldonado

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps