Ricky Duran

SS DSL Athletics

Age 18 R/R ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKOAK	205	.295/.429/.331	0	18	58	—	.203/.312/.226
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBOAK	315	.236/.312/.303	2	8	78	0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	19	MLBOAK	111	.245/.322/.326	1	3	82	0.1
2029PROJ61% MLB	20	MLBOAK	232	.248/.326/.337	3	6	86	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%92

Whiff%87

Z-Con%81

Chase%68

wRC+67

wOBA65

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsDameury Pena (age 18) · Eduardo Quintero (age 18) · Cristofer Torin (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 174 proj PA

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .310 / .301

PA174

HR1

K%22

BB%9

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$61M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 71 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT71

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE69

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-1	$5M	+1.2	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-2	$7M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$8M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$14M		$29M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	205	166	49	6	0	0	36	24	3	18	10	295	429	331	761	36	345	12	18	361	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	205	177	36	4	0	0	25	29	3	18	10	203	312	226	538	23	243	14	12	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	205	177	36	4	0	0	25	29	3	18	10	203	312	226	538	23	243	14	12	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	205	166	49	6	0	0	36	24	3	18	10	295	429	331	761	36	345	12	18	361	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	205	175	36	4	0	0	25	29	3	18	10	206	312	229	541	23	243	14	12	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	205	175	36	4	0	0	25	29	3	18	10	206	312	229	541	23	243	14	12	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	315	281	66	9	2	2	28	69	3	8	1	236	312	303	615	68	302	22	9	283	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	OAK	43%	257	229	54	8	1	2	23	56	3	7	1	239	317	316	633	77	304	22	9	290	82	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2029	20	MLB MLE	OAK	61%	382	339	82	12	2	4	35	83	5	10	3	242	320	327	647	85	304	22	9	296	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2030	21	MLB MLE	OAK	68%	475	423	103	15	3	6	43	102	6	13	3	244	323	336	659	92	305	21	9	300	89	-6	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.1
2031	22	MLB MLE	OAK	71%	541	480	119	18	3	8	49	116	7	14	4	246	324	344	669	98	305	21	9	304	92	-5	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.4
2032	23	MLB MLE	OAK	72%	586	521	129	20	3	9	53	125	7	16	4	247	325	351	676	104	305	21	9	306	94	-5	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.6
2033	24	MLB MLE	OAK	72%	614	545	134	20	3	10	56	131	8	16	4	248	326	353	680	105	306	21	9	308	95	-4	+2	+0	+7	+13	1.8
2034	25	MLB MLE	OAK	71%	626	556	137	21	3	10	57	133	8	16	4	248	327	355	681	106	306	21	9	308	95	-4	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.8
2035	26	MLB MLE	OAK	71%	634	563	140	21	3	11	58	135	8	16	5	248	327	355	682	107	306	21	9	309	95	-4	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.8
2036	27	MLB MLE	OAK	70%	634	563	139	21	3	10	58	136	8	16	5	247	326	353	678	105	306	21	9	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.8
2037	28	MLB MLE	OAK	69%	629	559	138	21	3	10	57	136	8	15	5	246	324	348	672	102	305	22	9	305	92	-6	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.5
2038	29	MLB MLE	OAK	67%	619	551	134	20	3	9	56	136	7	14	5	244	322	342	664	98	304	22	9	301	90	-7	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.2
2039	30	MLB MLE	OAK	66%	609	542	131	19	3	9	55	136	7	13	5	241	318	335	653	94	303	22	9	297	87	-9	+1	-2	+7	+13	0.9
2040	31	MLB MLE	OAK	71%	594	529	126	18	3	8	53	135	7	11	5	237	314	325	639	88	301	23	9	292	84	-12	+0	-3	+6	+13	0.5
2041	32	MLB MLE	OAK	68%	576	515	120	17	2	7	50	133	6	10	7	232	308	314	622	81	298	23	9	285	79	-15	-1	-4	+6	+12	-0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	OAK	43%	111	99	25	4	1	1	10	24	1	3	1	245	322	326	649	81	312	22	9	296	82	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	OAK	61%	232	206	51	8	1	3	21	50	3	6	2	248	326	337	663	89	313	22	9	302	86	-4	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2030	21	MLB CTX	OAK	68%	324	288	72	12	2	4	29	70	4	9	2	250	328	347	675	96	313	22	9	306	89	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.8
2031	22	MLB CTX	OAK	71%	385	342	85	14	2	5	35	82	5	10	3	252	330	354	684	102	314	21	9	310	92	-4	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2032	23	MLB CTX	OAK	72%	424	378	97	16	3	7	38	91	5	11	3	253	331	361	692	108	314	21	9	313	94	-3	+1	+0	+5	+9	1.2
2033	24	MLB CTX	OAK	72%	439	390	99	16	3	7	40	94	6	12	3	254	332	363	696	109	315	21	9	314	95	-3	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.3
2034	25	MLB CTX	OAK	71%	446	396	101	17	3	7	41	95	6	12	3	255	332	365	697	110	315	21	9	315	95	-3	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.3
2035	26	MLB CTX	OAK	71%	450	400	102	17	3	7	41	96	6	12	3	255	332	365	698	111	315	21	9	315	95	-3	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.3
2036	27	MLB CTX	OAK	70%	441	393	99	16	3	7	40	95	5	11	3	254	332	363	694	109	314	22	9	314	94	-3	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.2
2037	28	MLB CTX	OAK	69%	433	386	97	16	2	7	39	94	5	10	3	252	330	358	688	106	314	22	9	311	92	-4	+1	-0	+5	+9	1.1
2038	29	MLB CTX	OAK	67%	414	369	92	15	2	6	37	91	5	9	3	250	327	352	679	102	313	22	9	308	90	-5	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.8
2039	30	MLB CTX	OAK	66%	401	357	88	14	2	6	36	89	5	9	3	247	324	345	668	98	312	22	9	303	87	-6	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.6
2040	31	MLB CTX	OAK	71%	421	376	91	15	2	5	37	95	5	8	4	243	319	335	654	92	309	23	9	298	84	-8	+0	-2	+5	+9	0.3
2041	32	MLB CTX	OAK	68%	393	352	83	13	2	4	34	91	4	7	5	238	313	323	637	85	306	23	9	290	79	-10	-1	-2	+4	+9	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5314	4732	1182	193	31	76	478	1157	65	129	41	250	327	352	679	102	314	22	9	308	89	-62	+9	-7	+57	+115	11.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	145	24	4	9	58	142	8	16	5	250	327	352	679	102	316	22	9	308	89	-8	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	8155	7246	1758	260	39	114	744	1760	100	209	71	243	322	336	658	94	304	22	9	300	89	-96	+14	-10	+85	+172	16.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	140	21	3	9	59	140	8	17	6	242	321	336	657	93	303	22	9	300	89	-8	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	6.5	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
/162	664	13	19	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Ivan de Jesus'74-'88 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,193 PA	7.8	5,193	21	194	248*	320*	350*	+55	+68	16.1	16.8
/162	664	3	25	+7.0	+8.7	2.1	pk7: 18
#4Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
#5Bucky Harris'19-'31 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,556 PA	8.4	5,556	9	167	242*	319*	362*	+20	+27	14.1	14.6
/162	664	1	20	+2.4	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.3	5,487	79	133	245	319	342	+59	+30	15.5	13.0
/162	664	10	16	+7.1	+3.6	1.9	pk7: 10
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricky Duran (OGILVIE)	18	66→71	28→33	58→63	69	234/310/301	67	302	1	4	22%	9%	78	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dameury Pena 2024 · A	18	49→59	36→30	53→55	51	226/285/298	73	256	2	16	13%	7%	67	-1.1	228/286/308	80	252	6	15	12%	7%	70	-0.9	241/299/311	70	264	6	18	11%	6%	73	-0.4
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Cristofer Torin 2023 · A	18	47→55	35→40	53→50	61	215/316/281	66	255	2	19	15%	12%	76	-0.4	225/306/299	74	281	5	14	20%	10%	76	-0.4	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
✕Nelson Rada 2024 · A	18	52→61	36→30	60	51	240/329/312	72	318	3	29	23%	9%	87	+0.4	246/323/306	60	340	2	33	26%	9%	83	+0.1	255/332/312	57	351	2	38	25%	9%	85	+0.2
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	53	235/305/308	72	289	4	11	19%	9%	76	-0.4	247/295/316	69	318	4	12	22%	6%	74	-0.6	288/348/379	91	345	5	15	17%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2016 · A	18	48→58	35→45	55→50	46	219/293/284	64	257	2	18	15%	5%	68	-1.0	232/276/305	73	279	3	15	17%	3%	65	-1.2	257/302/356	100	301	7	16	17%	3%	83	+0.0
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	50→54	36→45	60→55	50	229/296/300	71	270	2	24	15%	7%	72	-0.7	231/278/311	80	292	4	22	21%	5%	67	-1.1	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	50→54	37→40	51→50	59	233/335/302	69	298	4	15	21%	12%	88	+0.4	212/309/287	75	349	4	12	35%	12%	75	-0.5	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	47→57	36→45	49→50	50	218/277/294	76	258	2	12	16%	7%	63	-1.4	229/275/301	72	282	3	12	19%	5%	63	-1.4	276/322/383	106	335	4	17	18%	5%	96	+0.8
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Kendall George 2024 · A	19	55→60	36→30	52→65	48	253/320/322	69	342	3	22	25%	8%	85	+0.2	249/328/307	58	343	2	42	25%	10%	85	+0.2	262/344/315	53	355	2	56	24%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Tim Lopes 2013 · A	19	48→58	37→45	55	47	222/273/314	92	274	2	8	19%	6%	65	-1.2	233/277/307	74	298	3	13	21%	5%	65	-1.2	267/317/348	81	330	3	20	19%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2016 · A	19	51→57	35→50	51→50	48	237/305/292	56	305	2	9	22%	7%	73	-0.6	238/293/326	88	307	6	12	23%	6%	76	-0.4	255/311/393	138	311	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
●Alcides Escobar 2006 · A	19	52→62	37→45	53→55	38	244/272/326	82	309	3	16	22%	3%	68	-1.0	262/289/332	70	325	3	20	20%	3%	75	-0.5	292/321/371	79	349	4	27	17%	3%	93	+0.8

Ricky Duran

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps