Ricardo Arredondo

P DSL Marlins

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 163 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Miami	2	0	2	5.40	4.90	0.0%	12.5%	—	K 0.0% · BB 12.5% · FIP 4.68
2026	19	ROKMIA	11	1	29	4.34	4.34	22.7%	20.6%	—	K 15.4% · BB 25.7% · FIP 5.60
2027PROJ	20	MLBMIA	16	0	17	5.88	5.88	20.5%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBMIA	12	0	13	5.53	5.39	21.2%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsWill Kobos (age 20) · Over Galue (age 20) · Keegan Collett (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 129

ERA5.88

FIP5.88

K%20.5%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%0.5%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	2	0	2	8	0	1	0	0%	0.8	0.0%	12.5%	-12.5%	0.0%	5.40	4.68	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	2	0	2	8	0	1	0	0%	0.8	0.0%	12.5%	-12.5%	0.0%	5.40	4.68	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	2	0	2	8	0	1	0	0%	0.8	0.0%	12.5%	-12.5%	0.0%	5.40	4.90	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	1	29	141	32	29	1	9%	2.6	15.4%	25.7%	-10.3%	1.0%	4.34	5.60	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	1	29	141	32	29	1	9%	2.6	15.4%	25.7%	-10.3%	1.0%	4.34	5.60	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	11	1	29	141	32	29	1	9%	2.6	22.7%	20.6%	2.1%	0.7%	4.34	4.34	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	MIA	16	0	17	72	15	14	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	20.0%	0.5%	2.9%	5.88	5.88	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIA	26	0	27	116	25	19	3	0%	1.1	21.2%	16.8%	4.4%	2.9%	5.53	5.39	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIA	12	0	13	55	12	9	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	16.8%	4.4%	2.9%	5.53	5.39	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	57	12	10	2	0%	1.0	21.2%	16.8%	4.4%	2.9%	5.53	5.01	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	148	30	0%	1.1	21.2%	16.8%	4.4%	2.9%	5.53	5.01	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		13	1	31	149	22	37	1	8%	2.4	14.6%	25.0%	-10.4%	0.9%	4.40	5.55	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	7	200	972	142	243	9	8%	2.4	14.6%	25.0%	-10.4%	0.9%	4.40	5.55	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ricardo Arredondo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.88	20.5%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.39	21.2%	4.4%	27	-0.49	—	—	—
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	85
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	83
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	83
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	82
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	82
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	81
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	81
Dominic Hambley R 2023 · 5.81 FIP	20	SW	5.81	16.4%	20.4%	2.8%	.318	4.66	17.9%	-4.3%	73	-1.15	4.44	131	81
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	81
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	80
Nicolas Cruz R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	20	SW	4.84	19.2%	16.1%	2.4%	.437	3.32	20.4%	11.4%	117	-1.52	3.01	194	79
Junior Sanchez R 2024 · 4.79 FIP	18	SU	4.79	17.1%	15.3%	2.2%	.356	4.53	18.7%	8.6%	219	-0.26	3.36	294	79
Elvis Jerez R 2019 · 6.39 FIP	19	SU	6.39	14.2%	22.8%	2.9%	.292	3.52	27.9%	8.0%	50	-2.87	3.13	109	79
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	79
Connor Walsh R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	22	SU	4.76	23.3%	20.7%	1.8%	.288	3.98	21.3%	6.8%	151	-0.78	3.36	266	79
Jose Pena Jr. R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	20	SU	6.67	13.6%	25.8%	2.6%	.292	3.81	22.3%	9.1%	116	-2.86	3.48	176	79
Biembenido Brito R 2023 · 5.98 FIP	20	SU	5.98	15.0%	24.8%	1.8%	.325	5.12	20.2%	2.1%	65	-0.86	3.58	130	78
Darlin Pinales R 2023 · 6.68 FIP	20	SW	6.68	17.0%	27.6%	2.8%	.350	4.44	21.7%	1.1%	117	-2.24	3.61	214	78
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	78
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	78