Elvis Jerez
P
Lake County Captains
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 185 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%23.2%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP12
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Indians | 14 | 0 | 38 | 192 | 40 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 2.7 | 14.2% | 22.8% | -8.6% | 2.9% | 6.93 | 6.39 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Indians | 14 | 0 | 38 | 192 | 40 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 2.7 | 20.8% | 18.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 6.93 | 5.14 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 0 | 26 | 106 | 50 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.9% | 24.7% | 8.2% | 0.8% | 2.45 | 3.88 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 0 | 26 | 106 | 50 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 47.2% | 19.8% | 27.4% | 0.9% | 2.45 | 2.16 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 36 | 155 | 47 | 22 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 16.3% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 2.52 | 3.13 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 36 | 155 | 47 | 22 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.3% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 2.52 | 2.31 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 21 | 0 | 21 | 109 | 23 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.2% | 25.3% | -9.1% | 4.1% | 6.53 | 7.18 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 21 | 0 | 21 | 109 | 23 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 22.0% | -0.9% | 3.7% | 6.53 | 6.87 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 12 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.07 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 91 | 0 | 120 | 562 | 117 | 123 | 11 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.8% | 21.9% | -1.0% | 1.9% | 4.59 | 5.17 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 152 | 0 | 200 | 939 | 196 | 205 | 18 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.8% | 21.9% | -1.0% | 1.9% | 4.59 | 5.17 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Elvis Jerez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.45 | 23.2% | 13.3% | 20 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 87 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 87 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 85 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.07 | 2.96 | 114 | 85 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 85 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 84 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.57 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .299 | 4.42 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 87 | -0.15 | 3.74 | 163 | 83 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | +0.04 | 3.42 | 161 | 83 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 83 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 83 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 83 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 82 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 82 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 81 |
| Kelly Austin R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.58 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.1% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 119 | 81 |
| Juan Ramon Noriega R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.52 | 21.3% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .243 | 3.63 | 24.8% | 17.1% | 57 | -0.89 | 3.56 | 198 | 81 |
| Jason Ruffcorn R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 2.6% | .255 | 4.64 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 100 | +0.67 | 3.97 | 248 | 81 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.46 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .244 | 3.76 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.30 | 3.23 | 253 | 81 |
| Sam Wolff R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.27 | 26.6% | 8.0% | 2.6% | .291 | 3.07 | 24.1% | 13.3% | 63 | -0.20 | 2.74 | 178 | 81 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .300 | 3.61 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 63 | -0.90 | 3.16 | 377 | 80 |