Elvis Jerez — OGILVIE

Elvis Jerez P Lake County Captains

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 185 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%22.1%

BB%13.7%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Indians	14	0	38	192	40	35	4	0%	2.7	14.2%	22.8%	-8.6%	2.9%	6.93	6.39	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL Indians	14	0	38	192	40	35	4	0%	2.7	20.8%	18.2%	2.6%	2.1%	6.93	5.14	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	26	106	50	21	1	0%	1.2	32.9%	24.7%	8.2%	1.0%	2.45	4.02	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	26	106	50	21	1	0%	1.2	47.2%	19.8%	27.4%	0.9%	2.45	2.16	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	36	155	47	22	0	0%	1.0	24.1%	16.3%	7.8%	0.0%	2.52	3.13	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	36	155	47	22	0	0%	1.0	30.3%	14.2%	16.1%	0.0%	2.52	2.31	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	21	0	21	109	23	24	4	0%	1.0	16.2%	25.3%	-9.1%	4.3%	6.53	7.31	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	21	0	21	109	23	24	4	0%	1.0	16.2%	25.3%	-9.1%	4.3%	6.53	7.31	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	21	0	21	109	23	24	4	0%	1.0	21.1%	22.0%	-0.9%	3.7%	6.53	6.87	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	CLE	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	22.1%	13.7%	8.5%	3.0%	5.00	5.00	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CLE	19	0	20	84	19	11	3	0%	1.1	22.2%	13.3%	9.0%	3.1%	4.95	4.97	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	CLE	7	0	7	30	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	13.3%	9.0%	3.1%	4.95	4.97	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	13.3%	9.0%	3.1%	4.95	4.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	109	27	0%	1.1	22.2%	13.3%	9.0%	3.1%	4.95	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		91	0	120	562	117	123	11	0%	1.3	20.8%	21.9%	-1.0%	2.0%	4.59	5.22	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		152	0	200	939	196	205	19	0%	1.3	20.8%	21.9%	-1.0%	2.0%	4.59	5.22	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Elvis Jerez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.00	22.1%	13.7%	3.0%	—	4.97	22.2%	9.0%	20	-0.03	—	—	—
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	86
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	86
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	84
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	84
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	84
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	84
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	83
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	83
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	83
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	83
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	83
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	83
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	83
Jackson Goddard R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	26	SU	4.53	21.1%	14.3%	2.5%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	149	82
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	82
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	82
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	81
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	81
Matt Wivinis R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	19.5%	12.2%	1.5%	.262	5.95	14.5%	6.2%	17	+2.11	1.61	124	81
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	80