Conner O'Neal

C Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 24 L/R 6'3" / 219 lbs A HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2317ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	23	ALAD	298	.238/.374/.406	9	1	52	—	.162/.266/.269
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBLAD	348	.186/.273/.296	7	5	63	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBLAD	54	.186/.273/.299	1	1	65	0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBLAD	104	.189/.275/.304	2	1	67	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Chase%85

BB%80

ISO68

wOBA59

wRC+56

K%15

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsDaniel Vellojin (age 24) · Jacob Wetzel (age 24) · Connor Kaiser (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 153 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .271 / .293

PA153

HR3

K%32

BB%10

ISO110

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	298	244	58	14	0	9	48	97	5	1	1	238	374	406	779	168	353	33	16	354	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	298	260	42	10	0	6	32	132	5	1	1	162	266	269	535	108	289	44	11	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	298	260	42	10	0	6	32	132	5	1	1	162	266	269	535	108	293	44	11	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	298	244	58	14	0	9	48	97	5	1	1	238	374	406	779	168	353	33	16	354	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	298	259	42	10	0	6	32	132	5	1	1	162	266	270	536	108	289	44	11	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	298	259	42	10	0	6	32	132	5	1	1	162	266	270	536	108	289	44	11	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	348	308	58	11	2	7	33	112	4	5	1	186	273	296	569	110	263	32	9	261	63	-15	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAD	30%	178	157	31	6	1	4	17	56	2	3	1	189	276	302	578	113	264	31	10	265	65	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	LAD	44%	236	209	41	8	1	5	22	73	3	3	1	192	278	307	585	116	265	31	9	267	67	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	LAD	49%	269	239	47	9	1	6	25	83	3	4	1	193	279	310	589	116	266	31	9	269	68	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	LAD	51%	291	259	49	9	1	6	27	89	3	4	1	194	279	310	589	116	267	31	9	269	68	-11	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	LAD	51%	295	263	51	10	1	6	27	90	3	3	1	194	278	309	587	114	266	31	9	268	67	-11	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	LAD	51%	295	263	50	9	1	6	27	91	3	3	2	191	274	301	575	110	264	31	9	263	64	-13	-0	-2	+5	+6	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAD	30%	54	48	9	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	186	273	299	572	113	258	31	9	262	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	LAD	44%	104	92	17	3	0	2	10	32	1	1	0	189	275	304	579	115	259	31	10	265	67	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	LAD	49%	132	118	22	4	0	3	12	41	1	2	1	190	276	306	582	116	260	31	9	266	68	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	LAD	51%	150	133	26	5	1	3	14	46	2	2	1	191	276	306	583	115	261	31	9	266	68	-6	+0	-0	+3	+3	-0.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	LAD	51%	152	135	26	5	1	3	14	46	2	2	1	191	275	305	580	114	261	30	9	265	67	-6	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	LAD	51%	152	136	25	5	0	3	14	47	1	2	1	188	272	297	569	109	258	31	9	261	64	-6	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	744	662	125	24	2	15	69	229	8	10	4	189	273	299	572	110	260	31	9	264	64	-29	+0	-2	+13	+16	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	109	21	2	13	60	200	7	9	3	189	272	299	572	111	260	31	9	264	64	-26	+0	-2	+12	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2015	1785	337	66	7	42	192	663	24	23	9	189	276	304	581	115	271	33	10	263	64	-69	+1	-4	+31	+37	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	109	21	2	14	62	214	8	7	3	189	278	306	583	116	271	33	10	263	64	-26	+0	-2	+12	+14	-0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AOntario Tower Buzzers · 298 PAwOBA .347 → .245 (−102)K% 32.6% → 44.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.55%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	44.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.11%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.980	10.89%
HBP% /PA	1.68%	—	×0.780	—	×0.980	1.28%
Singles /BIP	23.81%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.950	×0.980	20.39%
Doubles /BIP	9.52%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.950	×0.980	7.36%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.950	×0.980	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.12%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.980	4.80%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .347 → .245; ISO .168 → .116; BABIP .353 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#4Jeff Torborg'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,525 PA	2.3	1,525	8	3	214*	271*	292*	+27	+0	0.2	0.7
/162	664	3	1	+11.8	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 1
#5Steve Swisher'74-'82 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,577 PA	2.4	1,577	20	4	211*	275*	330*	+28	+0	-0.1	0.6
/162	664	8	2	+11.9	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.3	896	18	12	192	274	306	+16	+16	0.5	0.5
/162	664	13	9	+11.9	+11.9	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Mike Ryan'64-'74 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,098 PA	3.2	2,098	28	4	196*	257*	311*	+38	+0	-1.9	-0.9
/162	664	9	1	+11.9	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Conner O'Neal (OGILVIE)	24	20	42	43	59	184/271/293	109	263	3	2	32%	10%	63	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Vellojin 2024 · AA	24	39	43→45	45	49	192/277/302	110	267	11	6	30%	10%	66	-1.1	177/253/266	89	250	8	6	31%	8%	49	-2.4	150/230/223	73	210	7	4	31%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	38	42→45	46→50	46	189/265/291	102	263	10	6	30%	8%	59	-1.7	193/262/310	117	276	12	11	32%	8%	62	-1.4	179/257/294	115	257	12	17	33%	9%	54	-0.8
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Collin Price 2024 · A	24	37→36	43→50	43→45	44	186/262/299	114	266	11	4	33%	9%	60	-1.6	190/264/324	134	268	16	7	33%	8%	67	-1.1	176/256/317	141	243	18	8	34%	8%	60	-1.1
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	39→40	42→45	46→55	54	193/293/304	111	262	9	11	28%	12%	73	-0.6	198/296/310	112	251	10	20	23%	12%	75	-0.5	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A	23	37	41→45	47→45	41	184/247/274	90	275	9	6	35%	7%	48	-2.5	197/245/283	86	259	8	6	26%	6%	49	-2.4	182/223/254	73	228	7	4	23%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Cody Morissette 2023 · A	23	38→31	46→45	45→55	42	198/263/322	123	265	14	5	30%	7%	65	-1.2	185/237/301	116	246	13	11	30%	6%	51	-2.3	184/241/305	121	240	14	19	29%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	32→40	43→45	47→45	44	169/250/274	105	239	11	6	33%	8%	50	-2.3	190/273/295	105	264	10	5	30%	9%	63	-1.3	177/267/274	97	242	10	3	29%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Mitchell Gunsolus 2017 · A	24	39→35	43→40	40→45	43	196/261/300	104	269	12	6	31%	8%	59	-1.6	186/266/265	79	319	6	7	39%	9%	53	-2.1	153/251/206	53	299	1	7	44%	10%	34	-2.5
✕Gavin Logan 2024 · A	24	37	40→45	44→40	45	173/268/267	94	297	8	6	40%	11%	55	-1.9	177/265/296	119	288	12	6	40%	9%	61	-1.5	160/252/295	135	237	17	4	38%	9%	55	-0.7
✕Michael Pérez 2016 · A	23	35	41→50	42→40	42	178/243/275	96	257	9	4	33%	7%	47	-2.6	210/262/308	98	279	8	3	26%	6%	61	-1.5	225/285/350	124	287	13	0	25%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Seth Gray 2022 · A	24	36→37	42→40	49→50	39	178/256/274	96	282	10	6	38%	7%	53	-2.1	198/274/304	106	324	12	11	40%	8%	65	-1.2	193/273/299	105	322	13	14	41%	8%	61	-1.1
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/274	101	254	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	187/255/288	101	273	9	8	33%	8%	54	-2.0	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Sam Praytor 2024 · A	25	37	42→45	49→55	40	187/249/289	101	268	10	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	203/271/315	112	272	11	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/298	107	248	11	9	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Carlos Soto 2022 · A	23	40	45	45→30	48	200/279/322	122	273	12	3	30%	9%	72	-0.7	197/273/311	114	289	10	5	33%	9%	66	-1.1	146/235/244	98	221	7	0	35%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	41→45	46→50	44	179/263/272	92	266	8	8	34%	8%	55	-2.0	185/271/281	96	287	9	9	35%	9%	59	-1.6	166/261/256	90	258	9	10	36%	9%	48	-1.2
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Jose Brizuela 2017 · A	24	40→39	47→50	43→45	42	204/266/337	133	281	15	5	32%	7%	70	-0.9	209/261/319	110	293	12	5	31%	6%	63	-1.3	162/194/237	75	208	11	0	28%	4%	16	-1.0

Conner O'Neal

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps