Zach Rogacki

C Fresno Grizzlies

Age 24 L/R 6'1" / 185 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	23	ACOL	17	.308/.471/.615	1	1	132	—	.286/.412/.571
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBCOL	200	.226/.310/.381	6	5	95	0.4
2028PROJ38% MLB	25	MLBCOL	52	.240/.322/.414	2	1	96	0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	26	MLBCOL	133	.240/.323/.415	4	3	96	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsAustin Wells (age 24) · Bo Naylor (age 23) · Michael Massey (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 80 proj PA

wRC+†95

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .308 / .377

PA80

HR2

K%28

BB%10

ISO155

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$21M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	17	13	4	1	0	1	4	3	0	1	0	308	471	615	1.086	308	333	18	24	469	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	17	14	4	1	0	1	3	4	0	1	0	286	412	571	983	286	287	24	18	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	17	14	4	1	0	1	3	4	0	1	0	286	412	571	983	286	333	24	18	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	17	13	4	1	0	1	4	3	0	1	0	308	471	615	1.086	308	333	18	24	469	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	17	14	4	1	0	1	3	4	0	1	0	286	412	571	983	286	287	24	18	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	17	14	4	1	0	1	3	4	0	1	0	286	412	571	983	286	287	24	18	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	COL	0%	200	176	40	8	1	6	21	56	1	5	1	226	310	381	691	155	291	28	10	309	95	-1	+1	+0	+4	+4	0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	38%	137	121	27	5	1	4	14	38	1	3	1	227	311	382	693	156	291	28	10	310	96	-1	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	COL	55%	240	213	48	10	1	7	24	65	1	5	1	227	311	383	695	156	291	27	10	311	96	-1	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2030	27	MLB MLE	COL	61%	302	266	60	12	1	9	31	82	2	6	1	227	311	382	693	155	290	27	10	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+5	+7	1.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	COL	64%	342	303	69	14	1	10	34	93	2	6	1	226	309	378	688	152	289	27	10	308	94	-2	+1	-1	+6	+7	1.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	COL	64%	361	320	71	14	1	10	36	98	2	5	1	225	307	374	680	149	288	27	10	305	92	-3	+1	-1	+6	+8	1.0
2033	30	MLB MLE	COL	64%	371	330	72	14	1	10	36	102	2	4	1	222	303	366	669	144	286	27	10	300	89	-5	+0	-2	+7	+8	0.8
2034	31	MLB MLE	COL	64%	356	316	69	14	1	9	35	99	2	1	1	217	298	356	654	138	282	28	10	294	85	-6	-0	-3	+6	+8	0.5
2035	32	MLB MLE	COL	64%	333	296	62	12	1	8	32	94	2	1	0	212	292	343	635	131	278	28	10	286	80	-8	+0	-4	+6	+7	0.2
2036	33	MLB MLE	COL	64%	299	268	55	10	1	7	28	86	1	1	0	205	284	327	611	122	272	29	9	277	74	-9	+0	-4	+5	+6	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	38%	52	47	11	2	0	2	5	14	0	1	0	240	322	414	736	175	306	27	10	327	96	-0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	COL	55%	133	117	28	6	1	4	14	36	1	3	1	240	323	415	738	175	305	27	11	327	96	-1	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	COL	61%	185	163	39	8	1	6	19	50	1	4	1	240	322	413	735	173	305	27	10	326	96	-1	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.7
2031	28	MLB CTX	COL	64%	221	196	46	9	1	7	22	60	1	4	1	239	320	409	730	170	304	27	10	324	94	-1	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.7
2032	29	MLB CTX	COL	64%	233	207	49	10	1	7	23	63	1	3	1	237	318	404	721	166	302	27	10	321	92	-2	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.7
2033	30	MLB CTX	COL	64%	239	213	49	10	1	7	23	66	1	2	1	234	314	394	708	161	299	28	10	315	89	-3	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.5
2034	31	MLB CTX	COL	64%	229	204	47	9	1	7	22	64	1	1	0	229	309	383	692	154	296	28	10	309	85	-4	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.3
2035	32	MLB CTX	COL	64%	214	190	43	8	1	6	21	61	1	1	0	223	302	369	671	146	291	29	10	300	80	-5	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2036	33	MLB CTX	COL	64%	192	171	37	7	1	5	18	55	1	0	0	216	294	352	646	136	285	29	9	290	74	-6	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1698	1508	349	69	8	51	167	469	8	19	5	231	311	389	701	158	299	28	10	314	89	-24	+2	-9	+30	+37	3.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	134	26	3	20	64	180	3	7	2	232	312	392	704	159	300	28	10	314	89	-9	+1	-4	+12	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2838	2519	552	109	9	77	281	783	15	35	7	219	301	361	662	142	284	28	10	300	89	-38	+4	-15	+50	+61	6.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	127	25	2	18	64	179	3	8	2	220	301	364	665	144	285	28	10	300	89	-9	+1	-3	+12	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Kelly Shoppachlast yr '13 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,839 PA	2.8	1,839	70	1	225	314	417	+33	+14	11.3	11.5
/162	664	25	0	+11.9	+5.0	4.1	pk7: 12
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.7	1,777	48	21	222	300	366	+32	+24	5.8	5.4
/162	664	18	8	+11.9	+9.0	2.2	pk7: 5
#4Mickey Livingston'38-'51 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,665 PA	2.5	1,665	19	7	232*	302*	367*	+28	-1	5.1	5.3
/162	664	8	3	+11.2	-0.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#5Red Kleinow'04-'11 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,875 PA	2.8	1,875	3	42	219*	299*	350*	+33	-1	4.3	4.4
/162	664	1	15	+11.5	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zach Rogacki (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	224/308/377	154	291	2	2	28%	10%	95	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Austin Wells 2023 · AA	24	43→44	52→55	57→50	48	221/305/386	165	294	19	14	30%	10%	96	+1.0	218/292/386	168	268	20	8	26%	9%	91	+0.7	211/285/386	175	250	21	5	25%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	42→46	50→55	54→50	49	211/301/366	155	290	17	16	32%	10%	90	+0.6	217/302/391	174	272	21	10	27%	10%	96	+1.0	206/293/384	178	246	22	6	26%	10%	92	+0.5
✕Michael Massey 2022 · A	24	43→53	53→55	51→50	44	227/280/400	174	255	21	11	21%	6%	90	+0.6	242/290/406	164	288	20	10	23%	5%	95	+0.9	246/293/415	168	288	21	9	22%	5%	98	+1.0
✕Kevin Melillo 2006 · AA	24	48→51	52→50	51→50	52	247/315/419	173	275	20	13	19%	9%	107	+1.8	235/300/374	139	293	13	10	23%	8%	91	+0.6	227/294/361	134	289	12	8	25%	8%	82	+0.0
●Joey Wendle 2014 · A	24	49→59	49→50	51→50	43	244/300/404	159	301	16	9	24%	6%	97	+1.1	239/279/372	133	296	11	9	23%	4%	82	-0.0	269/326/398	129	322	9	19	18%	6%	106	+1.0
✕Josh Smith 2022 · AA	24	50→53	50→45	56→50	48	247/333/406	159	303	17	23	24%	8%	111	+2.1	232/323/356	124	290	11	13	22%	9%	96	+1.0	240/326/364	124	289	12	10	20%	9%	98	+0.9
✕Graham Pauley 2024 · AA	23	50→52	52→55	53→50	48	253/317/427	174	298	20	14	22%	8%	109	+2.0	220/288/373	153	268	17	10	24%	8%	86	+0.3	202/274/352	149	245	16	9	24%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Brett Wisely 2022 · A	23	48→51	50	52→55	43	241/298/388	147	324	18	20	31%	8%	93	+0.8	236/304/372	136	307	14	18	26%	8%	91	+0.7	235/306/367	132	300	12	17	24%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Drew Gilbert 2024 · AA	23	49→50	49→50	49→45	47	248/313/399	151	299	17	12	23%	8%	101	+1.4	225/300/374	149	266	16	8	22%	8%	91	+0.7	217/301/368	151	248	17	6	20%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Tim Wheeler 2012 · AA	24	48→56	51→50	49→50	42	242/300/401	160	305	19	14	27%	6%	97	+1.1	233/286/343	110	312	10	12	27%	6%	78	-0.3	219/273/306	88	301	6	11	28%	5%	62	-1.1
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46→47	49→50	52→50	42	230/312/381	150	296	16	13	27%	6%	98	+1.2	223/306/371	148	287	17	12	27%	8%	93	+0.8	210/295/352	142	268	18	11	27%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Haydn McGeary 2024 · AA	24	48	47→50	46→45	48	234/313/369	135	313	15	7	28%	9%	95	+0.9	204/272/316	112	311	13	8	36%	8%	67	-1.1	171/234/291	120	258	16	8	39%	7%	47	-1.7
✕Blake Sabol 2022 · A	24	52→50	48→55	50	41	239/306/384	144	377	15	9	38%	8%	95	+0.9	239/302/385	146	339	16	9	32%	8%	94	+0.9	235/301/376	141	323	17	10	30%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Daulton Varsho 2020 · AA	24	49→50	51→60	55→50	46	248/306/409	161	285	19	19	20%	6%	101	+1.4	236/301/422	186	274	22	15	22%	8%	102	+1.5	227/293/421	194	258	25	15	23%	8%	100	+1.1
✕Yonathan Perlaza 2023 · AA	24	44→54	52→55	47→50	45	224/292/395	171	297	19	10	30%	8%	93	+0.8	240/311/410	170	311	17	12	27%	9%	103	+1.5	252/321/420	168	321	16	12	25%	9%	105	+1.7
✕Shed Long Jr. 2019 · AA	23	49→50	47→50	51→50	44	238/300/376	138	319	14	13	29%	7%	91	+0.7	230/290/373	143	310	15	10	29%	8%	86	+0.3	222/283/373	151	295	17	8	29%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Dalton Rushing 2024 · A	23	45→42	52→55	48→30	54	226/343/400	175	303	19	4	30%	12%	114	+2.3	233/320/402	169	303	21	3	28%	9%	105	+1.7	235/318/410	176	300	23	1	28%	9%	106	+1.0
✕Dustin Harris 2023 · AA	24	46→56	53→50	54→60	47	241/304/414	173	279	22	19	23%	7%	102	+1.5	232/304/361	129	298	13	29	25%	8%	89	+0.5	253/317/371	118	309	11	34	21%	7%	94	+0.7
●Bryson Stott 2022 · AAA	24	50→56	46→45	48→55	48	243/309/371	128	324	13	10	28%	9%	93	+0.8	250/308/376	126	299	13	20	20%	8%	94	+0.9	256/321/378	122	291	12	29	16%	8%	99	+1.3
✕Javier Valdes 2023 · AA	24	43	48→55	50→30	46	219/300/358	139	268	17	5	25%	7%	88	+0.5	217/301/360	143	265	16	5	24%	8%	88	+0.5	207/318/364	157	258	17	2	25%	11%	94	+0.4

Zach Rogacki

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps