Victor Duarte
P
FCL Braves
Age 18
LHP
6'0" / 180 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION19 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99108vR 117
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.4%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.6 | 23.1% | 30.8% | -7.7% | 0.0% | 27.00 | 5.05 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.6 | 23.1% | 30.8% | -7.7% | 0.0% | 27.00 | 6.70 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | FCL Braves | 8 | 4 | 19 | 87 | 32 | 14 | 1 | 50% | 2.3 | 25.0% | 20.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 5.30 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | ATL | 3 | 3 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 4.4 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 32 | 142 | 45 | 19 | 3 | — | — | 31.6% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 1.9% | 4.90 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | ATL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | ATL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.21 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.83 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.83 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 11 | 4 | 20 | 100 | 25 | 22 | 1 | 36% | 1.8 | 24.8% | 21.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 7.08 | 4.50 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 108 | 39 | 200 | 984 | 244 | 211 | 14 | 36% | 1.8 | 24.8% | 21.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 7.08 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Victor Duarte (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.21 | 23.8% | 14.9% | 20 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Denny Roman L 2027 · 3.24 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.24 | 25.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .348 | 5.24 | 15.7% | -1.0% | 21 | +2.00 | 3.24 | 109 | 79 |
| James Gonzalez L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.47 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .327 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 91 | +1.40 | 2.31 | 455 | 78 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 77 |
| Taylor Hearn L 2029 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.88 | 26.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .347 | 3.97 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 236 | +0.09 | 3.66 | 572 | 76 |
| Jacob Lopez L 2028 · 3.66 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.66 | 24.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .302 | 3.58 | 30.4% | 21.6% | 55 | -0.08 | 3.50 | 478 | 75 |
| Sam Long L 2029 · 3.26 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.26 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 1.2% | .371 | 4.18 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 97 | +0.92 | 3.08 | 446 | 73 |
| Carlos Peña L 2028 · 3.17 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.17 | 23.8% | 10.5% | 1.4% | .301 | 3.85 | 19.1% | 10.2% | 145 | +0.68 | 3.17 | 577 | 73 |
| Juan Rojas L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.65 | 23.0% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .279 | 4.23 | 15.9% | 2.4% | 164 | +0.58 | 2.74 | 279 | 72 |
| Adam Macko L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 18 | SW | 3.88 | 22.4% | 14.6% | 1.5% | .353 | 3.57 | 27.2% | 12.4% | 72 | -0.31 | 3.51 | 382 | 71 |
| Bodi Rascon L 2028 · 4.55 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.55 | 15.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .271 | 5.56 | 15.7% | 3.9% | 143 | +1.01 | 4.55 | 218 | 69 |
| Nomar Medina L 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 18 | SW | 3.41 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 0.8% | .337 | 4.92 | 15.2% | 4.6% | 160 | +1.51 | 2.79 | 195 | 69 |
| Juan Amarante L 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 18 | SU | 3.43 | 23.1% | 10.6% | 1.7% | .299 | 4.43 | 18.0% | 4.3% | 178 | +1.00 | 3.43 | 224 | 69 |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.28 | 20.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .271 | 5.86 | 13.6% | -3.1% | 71 | +1.58 | 4.28 | 128 | 68 |
| Rigoberto Borbolla L 2025 · 3.86 FIP | 17 | SW | 3.86 | 18.0% | 11.7% | 1.5% | .336 | 7.71 | 9.9% | -15.3% | 14 | +3.85 | 3.86 | 114 | 68 |
| Kenny Rosenberg L 2029 · 3.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.65 | 20.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .313 | 4.79 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 361 | +1.14 | 3.34 | 755 | 67 |
| Luifer Romero L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 18 | SW | 4.05 | 13.9% | 6.6% | 2.4% | .321 | 3.62 | 18.1% | 4.7% | 53 | -0.43 | 3.08 | 106 | 67 |
| Johan Simon L 2028 · 3.42 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.42 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 1.3% | .302 | 4.50 | 17.6% | 1.1% | 41 | +1.08 | 3.42 | 158 | 67 |
| Wei-En Lin L 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.44 | 25.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | .310 | 2.85 | 21.6% | 14.4% | 51 | -0.59 | 2.85 | 132 | 67 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 67 |
| Zhiorman Imbriano L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.93 | 14.1% | 6.5% | 2.2% | .375 | 5.01 | 13.0% | -5.8% | 83 | +1.08 | 3.93 | 100 | 66 |