Angel Roman — OGILVIE

Angel Roman P Fredericksburg Nationals

+0.0 WAR

Age 22 LHP 5'11" / 162 lbs A peak 0.7 · 2029

ERA4.61

FIP4.61

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%18.9%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%9.4%

IP67

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2029

STUF2020

CTRL4545

CMD2525

K†3045

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	14	0	27	111	35	12	1	21.4%	13.5%	1.4%	2.96	3.78	+0.4
2023	19	ROK	DSL Nationals	15	2	39	160	32	7	1	13.6%	5.5%	0.9%	3.20	3.12	+0.8
2024	20	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	23	3	50	217	55	16	0	17.8%	9.1%	0.0%	2.88	2.74	+1.3
2025	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	28	12	80	374	51	33	7	10.1%	10.4%	2.4%	7.79	4.86	+0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	WSH	12	12	67	282	43	33	8	15.3%	11.8%	2.8%	5.20	5.20	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	23	MLB	WSH	13	13	69	292	50	33	8	17.2%	11.2%	2.8%	5.02	4.96	+0.1
2028	24	MLB	WSH	13	13	71	299	55	32	8	18.3%	10.8%	2.7%	4.88	4.82	+0.2
2029	25	MLB	WSH	13	13	72	303	57	32	8	18.9%	10.6%	2.7%	4.78	4.73	+0.3
2030	26	MLB	WSH	13	13	72	303	58	32	8	19.2%	10.5%	2.7%	4.73	4.70	+0.3
2031	27	MLB	WSH	13	13	71	301	58	32	8	19.2%	10.6%	2.8%	4.72	4.71	+0.3
2032	28	MLB	WSH	13	13	70	296	57	31	8	19.2%	10.6%	2.8%	4.73	4.74	+0.2
2033	29	MLB	WSH	12	12	69	290	55	31	8	19.1%	10.7%	2.8%	4.76	4.78	+0.2
2034	30	MLB	WSH	12	12	66	281	53	30	8	18.9%	10.8%	2.9%	4.81	4.85	+0.1
2035	31	MLB	WSH	12	12	64	271	50	30	8	18.6%	10.9%	3.0%	4.88	4.92	+0.0
2036	32	MLB	WSH	11	11	62	260	48	29	8	18.3%	11.1%	3.0%	4.96	5.01	-0.0
2037	33	MLB	WSH	59	—	59	248	45	28	8	18.0%	11.2%	3.1%	5.05	5.10	-0.1
2038	34	MLB	WSH	56	—	56	236	42	27	8	17.7%	11.4%	3.2%	5.15	5.21	-0.2
2039	35	MLB	WSH	53	—	53	223	38	26	7	17.3%	11.7%	3.3%	5.26	5.34	-0.2
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			80	17	196	862	122	82	12	14.2%	9.6%	1.4%	4.95	3.86	+3.2
/ 200 IP	—			81	17	200	878	124	84	12	14.2%	9.6%	1.4%	4.95	3.86	+3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angel Roman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.20	15.3%	11.8%	2.8%	—	4.84	18.1%	7.2%	212	-0.36	—	—	—
Estevan Gonzalez L 2027 · 4.80 FIP	23	SW	4.80	14.1%	10.7%	2.8%	.322	4.87	14.7%	0.1%	130	+0.07	4.58	195	93
Christian MacLeod L 2027 · 4.51 FIP	23	SW	4.51	16.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.312	4.36	20.4%	7.2%	170	-0.15	3.87	236	92
Connor Oliver L 2027 · 4.35 FIP	23	SW	4.35	17.3%	12.1%	2.1%	.314	6.49	18.6%	0.1%	50	+2.14	4.35	129	91
Felix Carvallo L 2026 · 4.52 FIP	22	SW	4.52	17.7%	13.0%	2.3%	.332	—	—	—	—	—	4.52	132	89
Kyle Twomey L 2026 · 4.07 FIP	22	SW	4.07	17.6%	10.5%	2.1%	.298	3.95	14.8%	6.9%	68	-0.12	3.95	141	89
Nate Peterson L 2027 · 4.45 FIP	23	SW	4.45	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	4.96	17.1%	5.7%	161	+0.51	4.32	236	89
Russell Smith L 2027 · 5.20 FIP	23	SW	5.20	16.0%	10.4%	3.9%	.272	4.61	21.2%	7.8%	107	-0.59	3.98	175	89
Will Mabrey L 2026 · 4.26 FIP	22	SW	4.26	18.5%	12.6%	2.1%	.256	4.29	19.2%	7.0%	46	+0.03	4.26	112	88
Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.28 FIP	22	SW	4.28	18.8%	10.6%	2.6%	.289	4.77	18.0%	4.0%	152	+0.49	4.09	219	88
Steve Ascher L 2026 · 4.16 FIP	22	SW	4.16	13.3%	9.5%	1.8%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	151	88
Matt Walker L 2027 · 4.22 FIP	23	SW	4.22	16.7%	13.3%	1.5%	.324	4.68	15.5%	4.0%	94	+0.46	4.22	156	87
Joe Kemlage L 2027 · 4.41 FIP	23	SW	4.41	19.4%	13.5%	2.2%	.278	5.32	17.6%	5.9%	65	+0.91	4.41	128	86
Rob Zastryzny L 2027 · 5.31 FIP	23	SW	5.31	13.8%	10.9%	3.6%	.345	4.26	18.5%	9.1%	268	-1.05	3.30	634	85
Cam Alldred L 2027 · 4.61 FIP	23	SW	4.61	18.1%	11.0%	3.0%	.323	4.24	18.5%	7.9%	132	-0.37	3.70	332	85
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2026 · 4.47 FIP	22	SW	4.47	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.91	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.56	2.97	146	85
Brock Selvidge L 2026 · 4.65 FIP	22	SW	4.65	15.3%	12.9%	2.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	330	84
Caden Monke L 2026 · 5.47 FIP	22	SW	5.47	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.37	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	5.37	118	84
Yoely Bello L 2028 · 4.14 FIP	24	SW	4.14	13.8%	9.1%	1.9%	.254	5.10	10.8%	-1.6%	35	+0.96	4.14	103	84
Luis De Paula L 2027 · 4.33 FIP	23	SW	4.33	14.8%	14.2%	1.2%	.285	5.37	16.4%	0.2%	47	+1.04	4.33	125	84
Alex Winkelman L 2026 · 4.42 FIP	22	SW	4.42	15.8%	14.7%	1.4%	.344	3.77	18.8%	6.5%	181	-0.65	3.41	246	84

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.