Angel Roman
P
Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 22
LHP
5'11" / 162 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2028
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129138vR 148
ERA5.74
FIP5.74
K%10.0%
BB%12.5%
K-BB%-2.5%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 14 | 0 | 27 | 111 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 2.0 | 21.4% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 1.5% | 2.96 | 3.81 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 14 | 0 | 27 | 111 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 2.0 | 31.5% | 10.8% | 20.7% | 0.9% | 2.96 | 2.33 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 15 | 2 | 39 | 160 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 13% | 2.6 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 0.9% | 3.20 | 3.12 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 15 | 2 | 39 | 160 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 13% | 2.6 | 20.0% | 4.4% | 15.6% | 0.6% | 3.20 | 2.34 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 3 | 50 | 217 | 55 | 16 | 0 | 13% | 2.2 | 17.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 2.88 | 2.74 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 3 | 50 | 217 | 55 | 16 | 0 | 13% | 2.2 | 25.3% | 7.4% | 18.0% | 0.0% | 2.88 | 1.86 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 28 | 12 | 80 | 374 | 51 | 33 | 7 | 43% | 2.8 | 10.1% | 10.4% | -0.3% | 2.3% | 7.79 | 4.80 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 28 | 12 | 80 | 374 | 51 | 33 | 7 | 43% | 2.8 | 13.6% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 7.79 | 4.20 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | WSH | 50 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 22 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 10.0% | 12.5% | -2.5% | 2.8% | 5.74 | 5.74 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | WSH | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 31 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.3% | 11.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.46 | 5.37 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | WSH | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 36 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.3% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.24 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | WSH | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.3% | 11.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.46 | 5.37 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | WSH | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 25 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.3% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.24 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 63 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.5% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.33 | 4.86 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 122 | 97 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.5% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.33 | 4.86 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 80 | 17 | 196 | 862 | 122 | 82 | 11 | 21% | 2.5 | 14.2% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 4.95 | 3.84 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 81 | 17 | 200 | 878 | 124 | 84 | 12 | 21% | 2.5 | 14.2% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 4.95 | 3.84 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Angel Roman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.74 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 2.8% | — | 5.25 | 14.3% | 2.6% | 110 | -0.49 | — | — | — |
| Edwin Escobar L 2027 · 5.93 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.93 | 9.6% | 11.9% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.20 | 13.7% | 4.9% | 122 | -1.73 | 4.20 | 218 | 87 |
| Scott Squier L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.89 | 12.2% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .362 | 4.13 | 13.9% | 7.9% | 234 | -0.76 | 3.30 | 276 | 85 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2027 · 5.61 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.61 | 12.6% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .266 | 4.08 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 101 | -1.53 | 3.54 | 146 | 82 |
| Oscar Armenta L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.14 | 10.4% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .335 | 3.84 | 7.0% | -3.5% | 11 | -1.30 | 3.84 | 118 | 81 |
| Estevan Gonzalez L 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.69 | 14.1% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .322 | 4.80 | 14.7% | 0.1% | 130 | +0.11 | 4.62 | 195 | 81 |
| Tom Windle L 2027 · 4.61 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.61 | 12.3% | 13.0% | 1.6% | .304 | 4.24 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 159 | -0.37 | 3.79 | 330 | 79 |
| Austin Davis L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.07 | 14.7% | 12.4% | 3.0% | .259 | 2.95 | 23.3% | 15.8% | 151 | -2.12 | 2.22 | 486 | 78 |
| Wilfred Salaman L 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.80 | 13.1% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 218 | 77 |
| Nestor Bautista L 2028 · 5.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.54 | 6.9% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.36 | 21.7% | 17.6% | 92 | -2.18 | 1.76 | 108 | 76 |
| Justin Kelly L 2027 · 4.96 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.96 | 13.4% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .421 | 3.70 | 19.4% | 4.6% | 123 | -1.26 | 3.48 | 160 | 76 |
| Kikito Severino L 2025 · 5.70 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.70 | 11.9% | 19.5% | 2.1% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 135 | 75 |
| Braeden Fausnaught L 2028 · 4.77 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.77 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.67 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 179 | -0.10 | 4.57 | 242 | 75 |
| Lane Ratliff L 2026 · 6.27 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.27 | 12.0% | 12.8% | 4.7% | .344 | 3.29 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 80 | -2.98 | 2.85 | 109 | 75 |
| Cole Reynolds L 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.81 | 16.4% | 16.2% | 1.9% | .304 | 5.26 | 17.3% | 0.4% | 52 | +0.45 | 4.81 | 108 | 74 |
| Max Green L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.97 | 15.7% | 13.3% | 2.8% | .352 | 4.40 | 13.9% | 6.6% | 86 | -0.57 | 4.23 | 169 | 73 |
| Jason Richman L 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.95 | 8.0% | 12.7% | 1.7% | .211 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 6.6% | 120 | -1.05 | 3.61 | 164 | 73 |
| Jack O'Loughlin L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.15 | 17.0% | 13.7% | 3.2% | .269 | 4.98 | 17.9% | 6.2% | 239 | -0.17 | 3.83 | 348 | 73 |
| Marino Santy L 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.93 | 17.6% | 16.1% | 2.3% | .322 | 4.04 | 21.6% | 3.0% | 65 | -0.89 | 2.78 | 253 | 72 |
| Maikel Sepulveda L 2024 · 4.78 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.78 | 10.5% | 11.5% | 2.0% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 125 | 72 |
| Matt Minnick L 2027 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.65 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 105 | -0.94 | 3.77 | 147 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 12.9% | 12.0% | 1.06 | 5.47 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |