Berlin Fransua — OGILVIE

Berlin Fransua P DSL Arizona Black

Age 19 RHP 6'2" / 160 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 12 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140131vR 123

ERA5.60

FIP5.60

K%19.5%

BB%17.2%

K-BB%2.4%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0%	0.3	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.99	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0%	0.3	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.99	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0%	0.3	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	-2.90	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	14	2	20	109	17	18	0	14%	1.5	10.6%	20.6%	-10.0%	0.0%	7.97	4.82	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	14	2	20	109	17	18	0	14%	1.5	10.6%	20.6%	-10.0%	0.0%	7.97	4.82	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	14	2	20	109	17	18	0	14%	1.5	15.6%	16.5%	-0.9%	0.0%	7.97	4.08	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	ARI	11	0	12	51	10	9	1	0%	1.1	19.5%	17.2%	2.4%	2.9%	5.60	5.60	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	ARI	19	0	20	84	17	12	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	14.8%	5.8%	2.9%	5.30	5.19	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	ARI	10	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.0	20.5%	14.8%	5.8%	2.9%	5.30	5.19	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.1	20.5%	14.8%	5.7%	2.9%	5.30	4.81	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	122	20	0%	1.1	20.5%	14.8%	5.7%	2.9%	5.30	4.81	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		15	2	21	113	13	22	0	13%	1.4	11.1%	19.9%	-8.8%	0.0%	7.84	4.68	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	19	200	1094	122	218	0	13%	1.4	11.1%	19.9%	-8.8%	0.0%	7.84	4.68	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Berlin Fransua (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.60	19.5%	17.2%	2.9%	—	5.19	20.5%	5.8%	20	-0.41	—	—	—
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	87
Alejandro Lugo R 2021 · 4.91 FIP	18	SU	4.91	20.4%	16.7%	2.6%	.265	4.96	16.7%	3.1%	98	+0.05	3.77	159	87
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	86
Carlos De Los Santos R 2019 · 5.68 FIP	18	SU	5.68	16.9%	16.0%	3.6%	.286	3.95	20.9%	3.2%	86	-1.73	3.67	173	85
Raimon Gomez R 2021 · 4.90 FIP	19	SW	4.90	17.3%	13.6%	2.8%	.265	3.28	19.5%	8.0%	48	-1.62	3.28	103	85
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	85
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	84
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	84
Daniel Lloyd R 2021 · 5.40 FIP	20	SU	5.40	20.4%	22.4%	2.2%	.367	4.15	18.0%	8.5%	226	-1.25	3.59	319	83
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	83
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	82
Anthony Cruz R 2022 · 5.38 FIP	19	SW	5.38	16.7%	16.6%	2.9%	.237	4.19	18.2%	5.6%	180	-1.19	3.32	272	82
Jose Luis Reyes R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	18	SU	4.49	17.0%	16.3%	1.4%	.262	4.59	14.4%	5.4%	145	+0.10	4.49	206	82
Alejandro Méndez R 2021 · 5.70 FIP	20	SU	5.70	14.6%	14.5%	3.6%	.321	5.60	15.8%	-7.5%	91	-0.10	4.65	136	82
Isaac Gallegos R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	21	SU	4.40	22.9%	17.8%	1.8%	.267	3.09	19.9%	10.5%	106	-1.31	2.89	125	81
Tim Naughton R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	21	SU	4.53	17.9%	15.6%	1.8%	.312	3.58	20.7%	6.4%	83	-0.95	2.93	305	81
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	81
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	81
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	81
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	81