Roberto Castellanos
P
DSL Blue Jays Blue
Age 19
RHP
6'0" / 150 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 16 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116107vR 98
ERA4.27
FIP4.27
K%22.9%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays Red | 8 | 6 | 26 | 103 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 75% | 3.3 | 15.8% | 4.9% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 1.03 | 2.38 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays Red | 8 | 6 | 26 | 103 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 75% | 3.3 | 23.3% | 3.9% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 1.03 | 1.73 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays Blue | 7 | 7 | 35 | 139 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 13.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 2.83 | 3.33 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | TOR | 3 | 3 | 16 | 66 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 5.2 | 22.9% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.27 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 51 | 205 | 42 | 13 | 3 | — | — | 20.5% | 6.3% | 14.3% | 1.4% | 3.27 | 3.62 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | TOR | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.4% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 4.17 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | TOR | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.4% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 4.17 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.4% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 3.79 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 42 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 4.8 | 23.4% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 3.79 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 15 | 13 | 61 | 242 | 35 | 14 | 1 | 87% | 4.1 | 14.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 0.6% | 2.05 | 2.93 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 42 | 200 | 789 | 113 | 45 | 5 | 87% | 4.1 | 14.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 0.6% | 2.05 | 2.93 | +5.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Roberto Castellanos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.27 | 22.9% | 8.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.17 | 23.4% | 14.7% | 20 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Luis Arejula R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .318 | 4.42 | 15.7% | 3.5% | 71 | +0.96 | 3.46 | 115 | 86 |
| Ramon Marquez R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.98 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .331 | 3.00 | 30.4% | 19.8% | 49 | -0.98 | 3.00 | 104 | 85 |
| Kyle Glogoski R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.46 | 19.9% | 8.5% | 1.7% | .277 | 3.92 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 93 | +0.46 | 3.43 | 206 | 84 |
| Jose Montero R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.77 | 20.8% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .377 | 3.97 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 234 | +0.20 | 3.77 | 342 | 83 |
| Andry Rondon R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 1.8% | .283 | 3.98 | 15.6% | 1.1% | 49 | +0.52 | 3.26 | 105 | 82 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2029 · 3.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.67 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .341 | 3.99 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.32 | 3.44 | 259 | 81 |
| Juan Bello R 2025 · 3.83 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.83 | 18.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .256 | 3.93 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 155 | +0.10 | 3.83 | 187 | 81 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2029 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 80 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2028 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 79 |
| Mikell Manzano R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.53 | 23.3% | 9.0% | 2.3% | .388 | 4.29 | 9.9% | 1.4% | 72 | +0.76 | 2.51 | 175 | 79 |
| Alejandro Hidalgo R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.23 | 24.5% | 12.8% | 2.9% | .326 | 5.90 | 18.3% | 1.5% | 143 | +1.67 | 4.23 | 251 | 79 |
| Jorge Marcheco R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.17 | 25.0% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .336 | 5.09 | 17.7% | 9.9% | 280 | +1.92 | 3.17 | 353 | 79 |
| Wikelman González R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.29 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 1.6% | .303 | 3.92 | 23.5% | 8.2% | 293 | +0.63 | 2.97 | 481 | 79 |
| Logan Gragg R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.02 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .343 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 202 | +1.02 | 4.02 | 412 | 79 |
| Yorman Gómez R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.47 | 18.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% | .311 | 3.93 | 18.0% | 6.7% | 346 | +0.46 | 3.19 | 451 | 78 |
| Patricio Aquino R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.09 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 2.1% | .321 | 3.92 | 15.1% | 5.8% | 234 | -0.17 | 3.48 | 313 | 78 |
| José López R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.32 | 3.08 | 543 | 78 |
| Yordi Rosario R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.53 | 21.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 163 | 78 |
| Dualvert Gutierrez R 2027 · 3.14 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.14 | 23.5% | 9.1% | 1.6% | .352 | 4.24 | 15.9% | 2.2% | 78 | +1.10 | 3.14 | 130 | 78 |
| Quinn Priester R 2025 · 3.26 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.26 | 18.0% | 8.9% | 1.0% | .304 | 3.54 | 18.9% | 9.3% | 173 | +0.28 | 3.16 | 651 | 78 |