Samuel Pardo

C DSL Rays

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 185 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	41	.114/.244/.114	0	2	-27	—	.083/.195/.083
2026	18	ROKTB	191	.244/.360/.319	1	2	31	—	.156/.254/.192
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBTB	301	.210/.279/.282	2	5	60	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBTB	83	.217/.287/.300	1	2	67	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBTB	177	.221/.292/.313	2	4	72	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%57

Z-Con%55

Whiff%45

Speed38

Chase%33

wRC+32

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAndrés Nolaya (age 19) · Luis Vázquez (age 19) · Jason Lopez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 161 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .277 / .279

PA161

HR1

K%26

BB%7

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$25M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	41	35	4	0	0	0	4	10	2	2	0	114	244	114	358		160	24	10	192	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Rays	—	191	160	39	7	1	1	23	38	6	2	0	244	360	319	679	75	309	20	12	316	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	41	36	3	0	0	0	3	12	2	2	0	83	195	83	278		106	29	7	129	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	191	167	26	4	1	0	16	46	6	2	0	156	254	192	446	36	209	24	8	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	41	36	3	0	0	0	3	12	2	2	0	83	195	83	278		125	29	7	129	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	41	35	4	0	0	0	4	10	2	2	0	114	244	114	358		160	24	10	192	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	191	167	26	4	1	0	16	46	6	2	0	156	254	192	446	36	211	24	8	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	191	160	39	7	1	1	23	38	6	2	0	244	360	319	679	75	309	20	12	316	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	41	36	3	0	0	0	3	12	2	2	0	83	195	83	278		106	29	7	129	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	191	167	26	4	1	0	16	46	6	2	0	156	254	192	446	36	209	24	8	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	41	36	3	0	0	0	3	12	2	2	0	83	195	83	278		106	29	7	129	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	191	167	26	4	1	0	16	46	6	2	0	156	254	192	446	36	209	24	8	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TB	0%	301	272	57	9	2	2	22	80	4	5	2	210	279	282	561	72	286	27	7	258	60	-14	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TB	34%	243	219	47	8	2	2	18	64	4	5	2	215	285	298	583	83	287	26	7	267	67	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	TB	48%	366	330	73	12	3	5	27	94	6	7	3	219	290	312	602	93	289	26	7	274	72	-12	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	TB	54%	454	410	91	15	3	7	34	116	7	9	4	222	294	324	618	102	290	26	7	280	76	-13	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	TB	57%	512	460	104	17	3	9	39	130	8	11	4	225	297	334	631	109	291	25	8	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2032	24	MLB MLE	TB	57%	520	467	106	17	3	10	40	131	8	11	4	228	299	343	642	115	292	25	8	290	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	TB	57%	520	467	106	17	3	10	40	130	8	11	4	229	300	346	646	117	292	25	8	292	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	520	467	107	17	3	11	40	130	8	11	4	229	300	349	649	120	292	25	8	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	520	467	106	17	3	10	40	131	8	11	4	228	299	346	645	118	291	25	8	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	TB	59%	520	467	106	17	3	10	40	132	8	10	4	226	297	341	639	115	290	25	8	288	81	-12	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	TB	61%	520	468	105	17	3	10	40	134	7	10	5	224	294	335	629	111	289	26	8	285	79	-13	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2038	30	MLB MLE	TB	62%	520	469	103	16	3	9	39	136	7	10	5	221	291	327	618	106	287	26	8	280	76	-15	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	TB	63%	504	455	99	16	3	8	37	133	7	9	7	216	286	317	603	101	284	26	7	274	71	-17	-1	-3	+9	+11	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	TB	34%	83	76	17	3	1	1	6	22	1	2	1	217	287	300	587	82	291	27	7	268	67	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	TB	48%	177	159	35	6	1	2	13	46	3	4	1	221	292	313	605	92	293	26	7	276	72	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	TB	54%	246	222	51	8	2	4	18	63	4	5	2	225	296	325	621	100	294	26	7	282	76	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	TB	57%	290	261	59	9	2	5	22	73	5	6	2	228	299	335	634	107	295	25	8	287	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	TB	57%	294	265	61	10	2	5	22	74	5	6	2	230	301	343	645	113	296	25	7	291	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	TB	57%	294	266	62	10	2	6	22	74	4	6	2	231	302	347	649	116	296	25	7	293	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	294	266	62	10	2	6	22	74	4	6	2	231	302	349	652	118	296	25	7	294	84	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	288	260	60	9	2	6	22	73	4	6	2	230	301	346	648	116	295	25	8	292	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	TB	59%	307	276	63	10	2	6	23	78	5	6	3	228	299	342	641	113	294	25	7	289	81	-7	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	TB	61%	317	285	65	10	2	6	24	82	5	6	3	226	296	335	632	109	293	26	8	286	79	-8	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	TB	62%	324	292	66	10	2	6	24	84	5	6	3	223	293	327	620	105	291	26	7	281	76	-9	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	TB	63%	318	287	63	10	2	5	24	84	4	5	4	219	288	318	605	99	288	26	8	275	71	-11	-1	-2	+6	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3232	2915	664	105	22	58	242	827	49	64	27	228	298	339	636	111	296	26	7	286	76	-82	+2	-4	+58	+70	4.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	133	21	4	12	49	166	10	13	5	227	298	338	636	111	294	26	8	286	76	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	6112	5495	1212	195	37	102	465	1562	96	122	51	221	293	325	618	105	287	26	8	280	76	-154	+3	-7	+105	+127	7.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	129	21	4	11	49	166	10	13	5	221	292	327	619	106	287	26	8	280	76	-17	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#4Cy Perkins'15-'34 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,015 PA	6.0	4,015	30	18	231*	292*	368*	+71	-3	5.9	7.1
/162	664	5	3	+11.8	-0.5	1.0	pk7: 8
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.1	3,394	59	66	225	292	333	+61	+32	6.7	6.0
/162	664	11	13	+11.9	+6.3	1.3	pk7: 5
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Samuel Pardo (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	208/277/279	71	286	1	3	26%	7%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Daniel Lopez 2011 · A	19	42	35→45	49→60	43	194/267/256	61	260	2	12	24%	6%	52	-2.2	219/280/308	89	280	5	17	22%	6%	68	-1.0	240/299/357	117	293	6	30	19%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Alfredo González 2011 · A	19	40	36→40	48→45	45	189/256/257	68	261	3	9	27%	8%	47	-2.5	183/228/250	67	245	3	9	25%	4%	34	-3.5	223/284/281	57	303	4	8	26%	7%	60	-0.5
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	40	37→45	45→30	42	191/256/259	68	246	4	5	24%	6%	48	-2.5	210/260/300	90	277	8	4	26%	4%	58	-1.7	184/228/264	80	253	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	40	185/238/269	84	259	7	4	30%	6%	43	-2.8	195/239/273	78	247	5	3	22%	5%	44	-2.8	242/310/379	137	297	17	3	24%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Christian Cerda 2022 · A	19	38→40	37→45	47→40	51	178/266/252	74	226	3	8	21%	9%	51	-2.2	196/294/293	97	262	8	6	26%	11%	71	-0.8	190/299/286	95	257	10	4	27%	13%	70	-0.5
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2

Samuel Pardo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps