Daniel Castro — OGILVIE

Daniel Castro P DSL Rays

Age 19 RHP 6'2" / 194 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 8 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.74

FIP5.74

K%19.2%

BB%17.4%

K-BB%1.9%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	10	0	13	60	10	12	0	0%	1.3	11.3%	25.0%	-13.7%	0.0%	2.02	5.31	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	10	0	13	60	10	12	0	0%	1.3	11.3%	25.0%	-13.7%	0.0%	2.02	5.31	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	10	0	13	60	10	12	0	0%	1.3	16.7%	20.0%	-3.3%	0.0%	2.02	4.30	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	11	1	14	70	8	11	4	9%	1.2	7.8%	19.6%	-11.9%	8.0%	11.20	9.32	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	11	1	14	70	8	11	4	9%	1.2	7.8%	19.6%	-11.9%	8.0%	11.20	9.32	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	11	1	14	70	8	11	4	9%	1.2	11.4%	15.7%	-4.3%	5.7%	11.20	8.15	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	TB	8	0	8	34	6	6	1	0%	1.0	19.2%	17.4%	1.9%	3.1%	5.74	5.74	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TB	19	0	20	84	17	13	3	0%	1.1	20.3%	14.9%	5.4%	3.0%	5.42	5.30	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	TB	10	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.0	20.3%	14.9%	5.4%	3.0%	5.42	5.30	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	8	6	1	0%	1.1	20.3%	14.9%	5.4%	3.0%	5.42	4.92	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	122	20	0%	1.1	20.3%	14.9%	5.4%	3.0%	5.42	4.92	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		21	1	27	130	12	29	6	5%	1.3	9.4%	22.1%	-12.7%	4.3%	6.67	7.47	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		156	7	200	963	91	213	41	5%	1.3	9.4%	22.1%	-12.7%	4.3%	6.67	7.47	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Castro (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.74	19.2%	17.4%	3.1%	—	5.30	20.3%	5.4%	20	-0.44	—	—	—
Alejandro Lugo R 2021 · 4.91 FIP	18	SU	4.91	20.4%	16.7%	2.6%	.265	4.96	16.7%	3.1%	98	+0.05	3.77	159	90
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	89
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	88
Carlos De Los Santos R 2019 · 5.68 FIP	18	SU	5.68	16.9%	16.0%	3.6%	.286	3.95	20.9%	3.2%	86	-1.73	3.67	173	87
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	86
Daniel Lloyd R 2021 · 5.40 FIP	20	SU	5.40	20.4%	22.4%	2.2%	.367	4.15	18.0%	8.5%	226	-1.25	3.59	319	85
Enrique Saldana R 2018 · 6.54 FIP	19	SU	6.54	15.4%	25.9%	2.6%	.310	3.85	14.6%	6.3%	80	-2.69	2.96	109	84
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	84
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	83
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	83
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	83
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	83
Johan Quezada R 2015 · 4.65 FIP	20	SU	4.65	18.0%	17.2%	1.6%	.255	4.39	14.1%	-3.0%	53	-0.26	3.78	234	83
Greg Weissert R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	21	SU	5.22	19.4%	19.3%	2.4%	.382	3.80	23.0%	10.3%	126	-1.42	2.57	487	83
Alejandro Méndez R 2021 · 5.70 FIP	20	SU	5.70	14.6%	14.5%	3.6%	.321	5.60	15.8%	-7.5%	91	-0.10	4.65	136	83
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	82
Raimon Gomez R 2021 · 4.90 FIP	19	SW	4.90	17.3%	13.6%	2.8%	.265	3.28	19.5%	8.0%	48	-1.62	3.28	103	82
Erian Rodriguez R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	20	SU	5.51	16.2%	19.8%	2.3%	.378	4.16	16.2%	3.6%	241	-1.35	3.81	287	82
Jose G. Gonzalez R 2021 · 5.42 FIP	19	SU	5.42	16.2%	22.7%	1.5%	.320	4.81	15.6%	0.6%	94	-0.61	3.63	165	81
Dionys Rodriguez R 2019 · 4.74 FIP	18	SU	4.74	18.4%	20.1%	1.2%	.258	4.33	19.1%	8.6%	191	-0.41	3.67	407	81