Dionys Rodriguez
P
Peoria Chiefs
Age 25
RHP
6'0" / 188 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 110
ERA4.84
FIP4.84
K%18.9%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%7.8%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Red | 19 | 0 | 24 | 129 | 26 | 32 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 13.7% | 31.0% | -17.3% | 1.1% | 7.40 | 6.47 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Red | 19 | 0 | 24 | 129 | 26 | 32 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.2% | 24.8% | -4.7% | 0.8% | 7.40 | 5.44 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Blue | 17 | 0 | 26 | 118 | 32 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.4% | 20.1% | -1.7% | 1.2% | 5.88 | 4.74 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Blue | 17 | 0 | 26 | 118 | 32 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 27.1% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 0.8% | 5.88 | 3.33 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 22 | 12 | 70 | 288 | 88 | 22 | 5 | 55% | 3.2 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 2.7% | 3.36 | 3.79 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 22 | 12 | 70 | 288 | 88 | 22 | 5 | 55% | 3.2 | 30.6% | 7.6% | 22.9% | 1.7% | 3.36 | 2.45 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 27 | 25 | 122 | 535 | 119 | 53 | 14 | 93% | 4.5 | 17.1% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 4.59 | 4.56 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 27 | 25 | 122 | 535 | 119 | 53 | 14 | 93% | 4.5 | 22.2% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 4.59 | 3.95 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 30 | 11 | 80 | 365 | 59 | 52 | 7 | 37% | 2.7 | 12.4% | 16.4% | -3.9% | 2.0% | 4.61 | 5.23 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 30 | 11 | 80 | 365 | 59 | 52 | 7 | 37% | 2.7 | 16.2% | 14.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.61 | 4.71 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 33 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 52 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.0% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 2.32 | 4.27 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 33 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 52 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.6% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 1.9% | 2.32 | 3.32 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 23 | 1 | 35 | 174 | 19 | 22 | 2 | 4% | 1.5 | 8.4% | 14.5% | -6.1% | 2.0% | 8.74 | 5.33 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 23 | 1 | 35 | 174 | 19 | 22 | 2 | 4% | 1.5 | 10.9% | 12.6% | -1.7% | 1.1% | 8.74 | 4.64 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | STL | 25 | 0 | 26 | 111 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | STL | 25 | 0 | 26 | 111 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | STL | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.36 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 160 | 89 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.36 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 171 | 49 | 407 | 1820 | 296 | 260 | 41 | 29% | 2.4 | 16.3% | 14.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.71 | 4.76 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 24 | 200 | 894 | 146 | 128 | 20 | 29% | 2.4 | 16.3% | 14.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.71 | 4.76 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dionys Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 18.9% | 11.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.74 | 19.9% | 8.9% | 26 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 91 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 83 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 82 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 81 |
| Layne Somsen R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 81 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 80 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 80 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 79 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 79 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 78 |
| Conor Steinbaugh R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.77 | 16.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 6.87 | 14.3% | 0.8% | 39 | +2.10 | 4.77 | 107 | 77 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.74 | 14.2% | 8.4% | 1.4% | .362 | 4.50 | 24.8% | 13.3% | 98 | +0.76 | 3.74 | 163 | 77 |
| C.J. Culpepper R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.74 | 21.0% | 12.8% | 1.5% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 253 | 77 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.56 | 17.8% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 259 | 77 |
| Trevor Martin R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.57 | 18.8% | 12.0% | 2.8% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 321 | 77 |
| Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 77 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 76 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 76 |
| Brayden Spears R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.25 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 105 | 76 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 19.4% | 11.1% | 1.09 | 4.80 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |