Dionys Rodriguez

Dionys Rodriguez P Peoria Chiefs

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 188 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.46

FIP5.46

K%14.6%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%1.2%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	19	0	24	129	26	32	1	0%	1.3	13.7%	31.0%	-17.3%	1.1%	7.40	6.47	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Red	19	0	24	129	26	32	1	0%	1.3	20.2%	24.8%	-4.7%	0.8%	7.40	5.44	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Blue	17	0	26	118	32	19	1	0%	1.5	18.4%	20.1%	-1.7%	1.2%	5.88	4.74	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Blue	17	0	26	118	32	19	1	0%	1.5	27.1%	16.1%	11.0%	0.8%	5.88	3.33	—
2021	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	22	12	70	288	88	22	5	55%	3.2	22.6%	9.0%	13.6%	2.4%	3.36	3.67	—
2021	20	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	22	12	70	288	88	22	5	55%	3.2	30.6%	7.6%	22.9%	1.7%	3.36	2.45	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	27	25	122	535	119	53	14	93%	4.5	17.1%	11.4%	5.7%	2.9%	4.59	4.71	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	27	25	122	535	119	53	14	93%	4.5	22.2%	9.9%	12.3%	2.6%	4.59	3.95	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	30	11	80	365	59	52	7	37%	2.7	12.4%	16.4%	-3.9%	2.2%	4.61	5.33	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	30	11	80	365	59	52	7	37%	2.7	12.4%	16.4%	-3.9%	2.2%	4.61	5.33	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	30	11	80	365	59	52	7	37%	2.7	16.2%	14.2%	1.9%	1.9%	4.61	4.71	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	33	0	50	211	52	21	4	0%	1.5	19.0%	11.4%	7.5%	2.4%	2.32	4.26	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	33	0	50	211	52	21	4	0%	1.5	19.0%	11.4%	7.5%	2.4%	2.32	4.26	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	33	0	50	211	52	21	4	0%	1.5	24.6%	10.0%	14.7%	1.9%	2.32	3.32	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	23	1	35	174	19	22	2	4%	1.5	8.4%	14.5%	-6.1%	1.7%	8.74	5.15	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	23	1	35	174	19	22	2	4%	1.5	8.4%	14.5%	-6.1%	1.7%	8.74	5.15	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	23	1	35	174	19	22	2	4%	1.5	10.9%	12.6%	-1.7%	1.1%	8.74	4.64	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	STL	2	0	2	8	1	1	0	0%	1.0	14.6%	13.3%	1.2%	2.8%	5.46	5.46	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	STL	43	0	45	191	32	25	5	0%	1.1	16.7%	12.9%	3.8%	2.8%	5.28	5.24	-0.3
2028	27	MLB MLE	STL	42	0	45	188	32	24	5	0%	1.1	17.1%	12.7%	4.5%	2.9%	5.21	5.21	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	STL	18	0	19	80	13	10	2	0%	1.1	16.7%	12.9%	3.8%	2.8%	5.28	5.24	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	STL	27	0	28	118	20	15	3	0%	1.0	17.1%	12.7%	4.5%	2.9%	5.21	5.21	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		45	0	48	201	34	26	6	0%	1.1	16.9%	12.8%	4.2%	2.8%	5.24	4.84	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	143	109	25	0%	1.1	16.9%	12.8%	4.2%	2.8%	5.24	4.84	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		171	49	407	1820	296	260	42	29%	2.4	16.3%	14.3%	2.0%	2.3%	4.71	4.79	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	24	200	894	146	128	20	29%	2.4	16.3%	14.3%	2.0%	2.3%	4.71	4.79	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dionys Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.46	14.6%	13.3%	2.8%	—	5.23	16.9%	4.1%	90	-0.23	—	—	—
Raymar Navarro R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	13.1%	11.7%	1.5%	.332	4.29	11.8%	1.0%	41	-0.01	4.29	108	82
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	82
Zach Nuding R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.236	5.03	12.6%	3.3%	106	+0.27	4.76	146	80
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	80
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	79
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	79
Dillon McNamara R 2017 · 5.01 FIP	25	SW	5.01	13.3%	11.1%	3.0%	.229	3.00	21.2%	12.3%	69	-2.01	1.73	244	79
Kender Villegas R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	13.3%	13.3%	1.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	131	78
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	78
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	78
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	78
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	78
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	77
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	77
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	77
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	77
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	76
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	76
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	76
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	39	16.4%	12.9%	1.09	5.29
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58