Jose Andrades

P DSL Blue Jays Blue

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL Blue Jays…	11	9	35	4.84	2.93	19.9%	9.3%	—	K 13.5% · BB 11.6% · FIP 4.00
2026	20	ROKDSL Blue Jays…	10	8	30	4.45	3.20	25.2%	11.1%	—	K 17.1% · BB 13.9% · FIP 4.55
2027PROJ	21	MLBTOR	3	3	19	4.97	4.97	19.9%	12.3%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBTOR	3	3	16	4.75	4.65	21.3%	11.0%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsGabe Bierman (age 21) · Chad Donato (age 22) · Moises Castillo (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 111

ERA4.97

FIP4.97

K%19.9%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%7.5%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	11	9	35	161	32	15	1	82%	3.2	13.5%	11.6%	1.9%	1.0%	4.84	4.00	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	11	9	35	161	32	15	1	82%	3.2	13.5%	11.6%	1.9%	1.0%	4.84	4.00	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Blue	11	9	35	161	32	15	1	82%	3.2	19.9%	9.3%	10.6%	0.6%	4.84	2.93	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	10	8	30	135	34	15	2	80%	3.0	17.1%	13.9%	3.2%	2.1%	4.45	4.55	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	10	8	30	135	34	15	2	80%	3.0	17.1%	13.9%	3.2%	2.1%	4.45	4.55	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Blue	10	8	30	135	34	15	2	80%	3.0	25.2%	11.1%	14.1%	1.5%	4.45	3.20	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	TOR	3	3	19	80	16	10	2	100%	6.3	19.9%	12.3%	7.5%	2.9%	4.97	4.97	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TOR	6	6	33	141	30	16	4	100%	5.6	21.3%	11.0%	10.3%	2.9%	4.75	4.65	+0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	TOR	3	3	16	68	14	7	2	100%	5.3	21.3%	11.0%	10.3%	2.9%	4.75	4.65	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	16	69	15	8	2	100%	5.5	21.3%	11.0%	10.3%	2.9%	4.75	4.27	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	183	97	24	100%	5.1	21.3%	11.0%	10.3%	2.9%	4.75	4.27	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		21	17	66	296	45	38	4	81%	3.1	15.2%	12.7%	2.5%	1.5%	4.66	4.25	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	52	200	902	137	114	14	81%	3.1	15.2%	12.7%	2.5%	1.5%	4.66	4.25	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Andrades (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.97	19.9%	12.3%	2.9%	—	4.65	21.3%	10.3%	33	-0.32	—	—	—
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	89
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	88
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	88
Juan Nuñez R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SP	4.49	19.6%	13.2%	2.5%	.300	4.42	22.8%	8.3%	148	-0.07	2.88	245	86
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	86
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	83
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	83
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	82
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	81
Logan Gragg R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	20	SP	4.14	17.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.343	5.20	15.2%	8.2%	202	+1.06	4.14	412	81
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	81
Abel Brito R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	21	SP-	4.79	15.7%	12.6%	2.6%	.310	5.66	13.2%	-8.6%	70	+0.87	4.13	147	80
Randry De Leon R 2024 · 4.49 FIP	19	SP	4.49	18.0%	11.5%	2.6%	.284	5.01	18.6%	1.6%	80	+0.52	4.37	153	80
José López R 2015 · 4.04 FIP	21	SP	4.04	19.1%	9.9%	2.3%	.329	3.77	17.9%	9.9%	436	-0.27	3.12	543	80
Carson Fulmer R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	21	SP	4.15	21.4%	11.5%	2.5%	.259	4.96	17.1%	4.0%	364	+0.81	3.88	910	80
Darren Bowen R 2023 · 3.82 FIP	22	SP-	3.82	19.0%	12.8%	1.3%	.236	5.41	15.1%	4.2%	223	+1.59	3.82	278	80
Christian Roa R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	22	SP	4.94	19.6%	12.4%	3.5%	.321	4.90	22.5%	6.9%	260	-0.04	4.14	414	80
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	80
Elvis Luciano R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	17.5%	12.6%	3.1%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	204	79
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	20.8%	11.5%	1.12	4.83
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44