Brandon Langley — OGILVIE

Brandon Langley P Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 21 RHP 6'6" / 250 lbs A peak 0.4 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 110

ERA4.92

FIP4.92

K%22.8%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%9.0%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	42	0	64	287	81	45	2	0%	1.5	21.0%	18.5%	2.5%	0.9%	6.64	4.16	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	42	0	64	287	81	45	2	0%	1.5	21.0%	18.5%	2.5%	0.9%	6.64	4.16	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A RAW	SD	38	0	57	258	70	41	2	0%	1.5	27.1%	15.9%	11.2%	0.8%	6.32	3.25	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	SD	4	0	7	29	11	4	0	0%	1.7	37.9%	13.8%	24.1%	0.0%	9.45	1.64	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SD	62	0	66	277	66	33	8	0%	1.1	23.8%	12.1%	11.7%	2.9%	4.70	4.59	-0.0
2028	23	MLB MLE	SD	65	0	68	287	70	31	8	0%	1.0	24.5%	11.0%	13.5%	2.9%	4.49	4.37	+0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	SD	66	0	70	294	74	30	8	0%	1.1	25.0%	10.2%	14.8%	2.8%	4.32	4.22	+0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	SD	67	0	71	298	76	29	8	0%	1.1	25.3%	9.8%	15.6%	2.8%	4.20	4.12	+0.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	SD	67	0	71	298	76	29	8	0%	1.1	25.5%	9.7%	15.8%	2.8%	4.14	4.10	+0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	SD	66	0	70	293	75	29	8	0%	1.1	25.5%	9.8%	15.7%	2.9%	4.14	4.14	+0.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	SD	64	0	67	285	72	28	8	0%	1.1	25.4%	10.0%	15.4%	3.0%	4.19	4.22	+0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	SD	61	0	64	272	68	28	8	0%	1.1	25.2%	10.2%	15.0%	3.1%	4.29	4.35	+0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	SD	30	0	32	135	32	16	4	0%	1.1	23.8%	12.1%	11.7%	2.9%	4.70	4.59	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	SD	48	0	50	211	52	23	6	0%	1.0	24.5%	11.0%	13.5%	2.9%	4.49	4.37	+0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	SD	55	0	58	245	61	25	7	0%	1.1	25.0%	10.2%	14.8%	2.8%	4.32	4.22	+0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	SD	59	0	62	262	66	26	7	0%	1.1	25.3%	9.8%	15.6%	2.8%	4.20	4.12	+0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	SD	61	0	64	270	69	26	8	0%	1.0	25.5%	9.7%	15.8%	2.8%	4.14	4.10	+0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	SD	61	0	64	270	69	26	8	0%	1.0	25.5%	9.8%	15.7%	2.9%	4.14	4.14	+0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	SD	60	0	63	266	68	26	8	0%	1.1	25.4%	10.0%	15.4%	3.0%	4.19	4.22	+0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	SD	58	0	61	258	65	26	8	0%	1.1	25.2%	10.2%	15.0%	3.1%	4.29	4.35	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		433	0	455	1921	483	196	56	0%	1.1	25.1%	10.2%	14.9%	2.9%	4.28	3.86	+3.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	212	86	25	0%	1.1	25.1%	10.2%	14.9%	2.9%	4.28	3.86	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		42	0	64	287	60	53	3	0%	1.5	21.0%	18.5%	2.5%	0.9%	6.64	4.16	+1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		132	0	200	902	189	166	8	0%	1.5	21.0%	18.5%	2.5%	0.9%	6.64	4.16	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brandon Langley (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	22.8%	13.8%	2.9%	—	4.39	24.4%	13.4%	203	-0.53	—	—	—
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	92
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	90
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	90
Justin Meis R 2021 · 4.07 FIP	21	SU	4.07	25.6%	13.6%	2.6%	.300	5.14	18.2%	5.5%	261	+1.07	3.68	408	89
Kyle Marman R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	22	SU	3.97	22.2%	12.8%	2.0%	.270	5.16	22.5%	8.4%	71	+1.19	3.97	117	89
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	89
Tyler Vogel R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	22	SU	4.93	23.4%	14.3%	3.6%	.305	4.48	19.1%	6.1%	135	-0.45	3.84	200	88
Gabriel Ponce R 2021 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	24.4%	16.2%	2.8%	.328	4.54	22.4%	7.7%	110	-0.08	4.45	161	88
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	88
Gerson Moreno R 2017 · 3.76 FIP	21	SU	3.76	23.6%	12.1%	2.1%	.294	5.22	21.3%	2.0%	17	+1.46	3.44	349	88
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	87
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	87
Ty Tice R 2017 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	22.2%	12.9%	2.6%	.271	3.53	19.4%	8.3%	108	-0.76	3.24	288	87
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	87
Matt Keating R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	22	SU	4.34	23.3%	14.8%	2.4%	.346	4.63	23.2%	9.1%	157	+0.29	3.38	222	87
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	87
Bailey Dees R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	21.3%	13.2%	2.4%	.248	4.35	21.3%	9.7%	278	+0.09	3.41	330	86
Aaron Holiday R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	22	SU	4.81	21.9%	11.3%	3.9%	.310	5.23	19.7%	-3.3%	59	+0.42	4.73	126	86
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	86
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	86

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	65	24.9%	10.5%	1.12	4.34
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22