Bailey Dees
P
Somerset Patriots
Age 27
RHP
6'8" / 247 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION8 act + 158 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 112
ERA4.91
FIP4.91
K%21.3%
BB%13.1%
K-BB%8.2%
ROS IP158
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 166 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 0.8 | 38.5% | 7.7% | 30.8% | 15.4% | 7.71 | 9.27 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 0.8 | 38.5% | 7.7% | 30.8% | 15.4% | 7.71 | 11.24 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 57 | 238 | 70 | 26 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.3% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 3.30 | 4.23 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 57 | 238 | 70 | 26 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 29.4% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 1.7% | 3.30 | 2.93 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 62 | 254 | 77 | 27 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 1.4% | 2.60 | 3.40 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 62 | 254 | 77 | 27 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 30.3% | 10.6% | 19.7% | 1.2% | 2.60 | 2.55 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 27 | 26 | 138 | 583 | 145 | 54 | 19 | 96% | 5.1 | 20.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 4.25 | 4.72 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 27 | 26 | 138 | 583 | 145 | 54 | 19 | 96% | 5.1 | 24.9% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 3.3% | 4.25 | 3.96 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 10 | 85 | 362 | 99 | 45 | 7 | 29% | 2.4 | 21.9% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 3.59 | 4.36 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 10 | 85 | 362 | 99 | 45 | 7 | 29% | 2.4 | 27.3% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 1.9% | 3.59 | 3.43 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 4 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 2.1 | — | — | — | — | 2.16 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | NYY | 150 | 0 | 158 | 666 | 142 | 87 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 4.91 | +0.9 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | NYY | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 4.91 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 166 | 696 | 148 | 93 | 19 | — | — | 21.2% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 4.77 | 4.66 | +1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | — | — | 21.3% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 146 | 0 | 153 | 646 | 137 | 82 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 4.93 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 139 | 0 | 146 | 617 | 130 | 77 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.94 | 5.01 | +0.7 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 51 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 4.93 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 77 | 0 | 81 | 342 | 72 | 43 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.94 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 135 | 0 | 142 | 599 | 127 | 76 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.92 | 4.59 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 179 | 107 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.92 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 145 | 37 | 353 | 1480 | 319 | 180 | 41 | 26% | 2.4 | 21.5% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 3.62 | 4.35 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 82 | 21 | 200 | 838 | 180 | 102 | 23 | 26% | 2.4 | 21.5% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 3.62 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bailey Dees (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.91 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.97 | 21.2% | 8.5% | 299 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 74 |
| Jose Pina R 2028 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 73 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 67 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.64 | 24.9% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .301 | 4.41 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 205 | -0.23 | 4.11 | 563 | 67 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 67 |
| Adam Quintana R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 18.6% | 11.7% | 2.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.72 | 201 | 66 |
| Tristan Beck R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.69 | 19.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | .271 | 3.68 | 21.1% | 13.0% | 148 | -1.01 | 3.52 | 473 | 66 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.79 | 16.6% | 9.2% | 1.7% | .251 | 4.85 | 16.0% | 6.7% | 234 | +1.06 | 3.76 | 399 | 66 |
| Noah Davis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.87 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .368 | 4.57 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 148 | +0.70 | 3.64 | 560 | 65 |
| Cory Abbott R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.95 | 23.8% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .300 | 5.28 | 22.6% | 11.7% | 151 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 703 | 65 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 65 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 65 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .297 | 4.10 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 293 | -0.05 | 3.33 | 556 | 65 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 65 |
| Warwick Saupold R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.41 | 16.2% | 9.7% | 2.6% | .285 | 5.00 | 13.7% | 6.1% | 88 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 389 | 65 |
| Bud Norris R 2029 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 64 |
| Tyler Cravy R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.01 | 21.6% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .297 | 5.85 | 13.8% | 3.4% | 53 | +1.84 | 4.01 | 276 | 64 |
| Joel De La Cruz R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.47 | 14.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 205 | 64 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 64 |
| André Rienzo R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.24 | 15.7% | 11.1% | 1.9% | .264 | 4.00 | 19.8% | 5.1% | 74 | -0.24 | 3.58 | 200 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 152 | 21.2% | 12.8% | 1.16 | 4.91 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Edinson Volquez ('17) | 3 | 161 | 17.9% | 9.6% | 0.88 | 4.39 |