Ty Tice — OGILVIE

Ty Tice P Rochester Red Wings

Age 30 RHP 5'9" / 185 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%21.6%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

SL+1.5

FB-3.4

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	21	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	23	0	26	107	35	11	2	0%	1.1	22.2%	12.9%	9.4%	2.6%	1.05	4.29	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	Bluefield Blue Jays	23	0	26	107	35	11	2	0%	1.1	32.7%	10.3%	22.4%	1.9%	1.05	2.67	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	59	239	56	21	3	0%	1.3	16.6%	10.1%	6.5%	1.6%	2.29	3.86	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	59	239	56	21	3	0%	1.3	23.4%	8.8%	14.6%	1.3%	2.29	2.93	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	58	251	64	28	2	0%	1.3	21.8%	11.9%	9.9%	0.9%	2.34	3.24	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	58	251	64	28	2	0%	1.3	25.5%	11.2%	14.3%	0.8%	2.34	2.79	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	30	142	25	19	8	0%	1.1	16.2%	14.3%	2.0%	7.8%	7.89	7.82	-1.1
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	30	142	25	19	8	0%	1.1	17.6%	13.4%	4.2%	5.6%	7.89	6.84	-0.8
2022	26	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	22	0	22	107	26	10	5	0%	1.0	19.7%	10.3%	9.4%	5.1%	6.45	5.55	—
2022	26	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	22	0	22	107	26	10	5	0%	1.0	24.3%	9.3%	15.0%	4.7%	6.45	5.03	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	2	54	271	83	31	6	4%	1.2	25.1%	11.3%	13.7%	2.8%	6.37	3.94	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	2	54	271	83	31	6	4%	1.2	25.1%	11.3%	13.7%	2.8%	6.37	3.94	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	2	54	271	83	31	6	4%	1.2	30.6%	11.4%	19.2%	2.2%	6.37	3.19	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	1	57	259	64	41	9	2%	1.2	20.3%	15.6%	4.6%	4.0%	5.18	5.58	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	1	57	259	64	41	9	2%	1.2	20.3%	15.6%	4.6%	4.0%	5.18	5.58	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	1	57	259	64	41	9	2%	1.2	24.7%	15.8%	8.9%	3.5%	5.18	5.05	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			5	0	8	39	6	5	1	0%	1.6	15.4%	12.8%	2.6%	2.6%	4.50	5.10	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	WSH	3	0	3	13	3	2	0	0%	1.0	21.6%	13.4%	8.2%	3.2%	5.09	5.09	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	WSH	34	0	36	151	32	20	5	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.3%	8.1%	3.4%	5.13	5.21	-0.3
2027	31	MLB CTX	WSH	12	0	13	55	12	7	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.3%	8.1%	3.4%	5.13	5.21	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	0	21	94	18	12	3	0%	1.2	18.9%	13.1%	5.8%	3.0%	4.89	4.83	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		166	0	200	894	170	114	28	0%	1.2	18.9%	13.1%	5.8%	3.0%	4.89	4.83	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		256	3	305	1376	283	170	43	1%	1.2	20.5%	12.4%	8.2%	3.1%	4.30	4.66	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		168	2	200	901	185	112	28	1%	1.2	20.5%	12.4%	8.2%	3.1%	4.30	4.66	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ty Tice (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	21.6%	13.4%	3.2%	—	5.21	21.4%	8.1%	36	+0.12	—	—	—
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	89
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	87
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	83
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	79
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	79
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	79
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	77
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	77
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	75
Dustin McGowan R 2015 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	15.0%	14.5%	3.0%	.300	4.23	20.9%	13.0%	145	-1.09	3.82	208	74
Roman Mendez R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SU	4.42	20.8%	11.1%	3.0%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	230	74
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	73
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	73
Taylor Williams R 2021 · 5.96 FIP	30	SU	5.96	19.9%	14.1%	5.0%	.261	3.81	18.7%	8.9%	101	-2.15	2.51	309	73
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	73
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	72
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	72
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	71
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	71
Bryan Mitchell R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	20.6%	12.0%	2.5%	.305	5.07	14.4%	3.9%	39	+0.78	2.72	481	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	21.5%	13.3%	1.27	5.11
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84