Caleb Freeman
P
New Hampshire Fisher Cats
Age 28
RHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 32 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.89
FIP4.89
K%21.3%
BB%13.3%
K-BB%8.0%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL+0.8 (21%)
CU (30%)
FB-0.7 (49%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 2.4% | 3.00 | 3.98 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 34.2% | 10.5% | 23.7% | 2.6% | 3.00 | 2.99 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 55 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | 3.27 | 5.15 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 55 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.6% | 9.7% | 19.9% | 3.8% | 3.27 | 3.90 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 17 | 81 | 18 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 21.7% | -4.6% | 1.5% | 7.27 | 5.24 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 17 | 81 | 18 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 18.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 7.27 | 4.37 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 0 | 34 | 168 | 38 | 31 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 17.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.71 | 4.54 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 0 | 34 | 168 | 38 | 31 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 18.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 3.71 | 4.75 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 39 | 0 | 44 | 191 | 56 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 15.0% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 3.92 | 4.97 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 39 | 0 | 44 | 191 | 56 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.3% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 2.6% | 3.92 | 3.81 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 54 | 245 | 52 | 37 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 16.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.33 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 54 | 245 | 52 | 37 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 15.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 20 | 0 | 24 | 112 | 32 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.1% | 18.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 3.33 | 4.10 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | TOR | 31 | 0 | 32 | 136 | 29 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 4.89 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | TOR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 4.89 | 4.89 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 57 | 248 | 61 | 37 | 5 | — | — | 24.6% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 4.22 | 4.55 | +0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.3% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 4.89 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 29 | 0 | 31 | 130 | 28 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 15 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 5.03 | 4.89 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 217 | 0 | 200 | 873 | 176 | 103 | 29 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 5.03 | 4.89 | +1.2 | ||
| Career | — | 211 | 0 | 235 | 1059 | 226 | 168 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 15.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 3.98 | 4.72 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 179 | 0 | 200 | 900 | 192 | 143 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 15.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 3.98 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Caleb Freeman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.89 | 21.3% | 13.3% | 2.8% | — | 4.97 | 21.3% | 8.1% | 31 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 85 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 84 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 82 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 82 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 80 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 79 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.87 | 232 | 79 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 79 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 79 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 78 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.63 | 23.3% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 315 | 78 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 77 |
| Irving Jimenez R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 18.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .417 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 104 | 77 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.96 | 17.9% | 13.5% | 1.2% | .363 | 3.59 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 181 | -0.37 | 3.07 | 227 | 77 |
| Michael Ynoa R 2025 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.64 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 142 | 77 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 76 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 76 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 234 | 76 |
| Kevin Lenik R 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.93 | 21.7% | 14.9% | 3.2% | .205 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 107 | 76 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 32 | 21.3% | 13.2% | 1.11 | 4.90 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |