Caleb Freeman
P
New Hampshire Fisher Cats
+0.0
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
AA
ERA4.95
FIP4.95
xFIP4.55
SIERA4.24
K%21.3%
BB%13.3%
K-BB%8.0%
IP46
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†5050
SL+0.8 (21%)
CU (30%)
FB-0.7 (49%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | 12 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 2.4% | 3.00 | 3.98 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 39 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 55 | 18 | 7 | 23.2% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 3.27 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 18 | 0 | 17 | 81 | 18 | 15 | 1 | 17.1% | 21.7% | 1.6% | 7.27 | 5.29 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 35 | 0 | 34 | 168 | 38 | 31 | 3 | 20.4% | 17.7% | 2.0% | 3.71 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 39 | 0 | 44 | 191 | 56 | 26 | 5 | 23.7% | 15.0% | 3.4% | 3.92 | 4.86 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 48 | 0 | 54 | 245 | 52 | 37 | 7 | 18.3% | 16.8% | 2.1% | 4.33 | 4.86 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 3 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 9.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | TOR | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 42 | 26 | 6 | 21.3% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.95 | 4.95 | 0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 50 | 218 | 48 | 33 | 6 | 21.8% | 15.1% | 2.6% | 5.27 | 4.56 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 21.4% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 21.3% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.91 | 4.95 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 42 | — | 42 | 179 | 38 | 23 | 5 | 21.2% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.95 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 41 | — | 41 | 171 | 36 | 22 | 5 | 21.0% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 5.01 | 5.06 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 39 | — | 39 | 164 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 20.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | 5.10 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 32 | 21 | 5 | 20.3% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 5.20 | 5.27 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | TOR | 35 | — | 35 | 147 | 29 | 20 | 5 | 19.9% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 5.31 | 5.39 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | TOR | 32 | — | 32 | 137 | 27 | 19 | 5 | 19.5% | 13.7% | 3.6% | 5.44 | 5.52 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 194 | 0 | 215 | 970 | 206 | 154 | 27 | 21.3% | 15.9% | 2.8% | 4.14 | 4.84 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 180 | 0 | 200 | 902 | 192 | 143 | 25 | 21.3% | 15.9% | 2.8% | 4.14 | 4.84 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Caleb Freeman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.95 | 21.3% | 13.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.96 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 131 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 85 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 85 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 83 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 3.1% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.47 | 3.01 | 115 | 82 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 80 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .355 | 4.49 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | -0.08 | 3.70 | 187 | 79 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.51 | 23.3% | 13.6% | 3.0% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.65 | 315 | 78 |
| Irving Jimenez R 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.48 | 18.9% | 12.4% | 2.6% | .417 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 104 | 77 |
| Michael Ynoa R 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.68 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 142 | 77 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2024 · 4.41 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.41 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.4% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 154 | 77 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.95 | 17.9% | 13.5% | 1.2% | .363 | 3.64 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 181 | -0.31 | 3.05 | 227 | 77 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.43 | 3.01 | 260 | 77 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.82 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .275 | 6.70 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +1.88 | 3.88 | 180 | 76 |
| Kevin Lenik R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.90 | 21.7% | 14.9% | 3.2% | .205 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 107 | 76 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 76 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 75 |
| Tucker Healy R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.21 | 19.2% | 10.5% | 4.4% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 174 | 75 |
| José Cisnero R 2025 · 4.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.50 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | .367 | 3.92 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.58 | 2.26 | 279 | 75 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.55 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.6% | .290 | 3.80 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.75 | 2.97 | 230 | 75 |
| Sean Harney R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.34 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 1.4% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 123 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.