Jesus Villaflor — OGILVIE

Jesus VillaflorOF DSL LAD Mega

Age 18 L/L 6'2" / 187 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION101 act + 67 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+62

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .282 / .315

PA67

HR1

K%30

BB%9

BABIP280

ISO116

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$2M	+$1.0M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.5M
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.1M
Totals		$9M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	91	76	13	2	0	1	8	43	7	4	0	171	308	237	545	66	375	47	9	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	91	70	20	4	0	1	14	27	7	4	0	286	451	386	836	100	452	30	15	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	101	84	13	4	1	1	14	29	2	1	1	155	290	262	552	107	218	29	14	254	53	-5	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
YTD	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	101	75	17	5	2	1	23	20	2	1	1	227	420	387	807	160	291	20	23	370	141	+5	-0	+0	-1	+3	0.7
ROS	18	ROK	—	0%	67	60	12	2	1	1	6	20	1	1	0	199	282	315	597	116	276	30	9	266	62	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	266	62	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	—	—	101	85	13	4	1	1	14	29	2	1	1	153	290	259	549	106	214	29	14	254	53	-5	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
TOT	18	ROK	—	—	168	144	25	6	2	2	20	49	3	2	1	173	287	284	571	111	244	29	12	259	56	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	218	191	39	8	2	3	21	62	4	4	1	204	296	314	610	110	280	28	10	277	70	-7	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	351	307	64	12	3	6	34	98	7	8	2	208	302	326	627	117	282	28	10	285	76	-9	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	451	397	84	16	4	8	43	123	8	10	3	212	301	332	634	121	284	27	10	291	81	-10	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.1
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	521	456	98	19	4	10	50	141	10	11	4	215	306	340	646	125	285	27	10	295	84	-9	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.3
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	568	497	109	21	5	12	55	153	11	13	4	219	311	354	665	135	286	27	10	298	86	-9	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.5
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	598	524	115	22	5	13	58	161	11	13	4	219	310	355	665	135	287	27	10	300	88	-8	+1	+0	-4	+17	0.6
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	616	539	118	22	5	14	60	166	12	14	4	219	311	356	667	137	287	27	10	302	89	-8	+1	+0	-4	+17	0.7
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	624	546	120	23	5	14	61	168	12	14	4	220	312	357	669	137	287	27	10	302	90	-7	+1	+0	-4	+18	0.8
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	625	547	120	23	5	14	61	168	12	14	4	219	311	356	668	137	287	27	10	303	90	-7	+1	+0	-4	+18	0.8
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	621	542	118	22	5	14	62	168	12	14	4	218	312	354	666	137	286	27	10	301	89	-8	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.7
2037	29	MLB	—	53%	611	533	116	22	5	13	61	167	12	13	4	218	312	351	663	133	285	27	10	300	87	-9	+1	-1	-4	+17	0.5
2038	30	MLB	—	57%	600	524	113	21	5	13	60	165	11	13	4	216	309	349	658	134	284	28	10	297	85	-10	+1	-2	-4	+17	0.2
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	75	67	14	3	1	1	7	21	1	2	0	209	293	328	622	119	280	28	9	277	70	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	170	149	31	6	1	3	16	47	3	4	1	208	298	322	620	114	282	28	9	285	76	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	245	214	46	9	2	5	24	67	5	5	2	215	309	346	654	131	284	27	10	291	81	-5	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.0
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	295	259	56	11	2	6	28	80	6	7	2	216	307	344	651	127	285	27	9	295	84	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	327	286	63	12	3	7	32	88	6	7	2	220	312	357	668	136	286	27	10	298	86	-5	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.3
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	341	299	65	12	3	7	33	92	6	8	2	217	308	348	656	130	287	27	10	300	88	-5	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.4
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	349	305	68	13	3	8	34	94	7	8	2	223	315	364	679	141	287	27	10	302	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.4
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	353	309	68	13	3	8	34	95	7	8	2	220	311	359	671	139	287	27	10	302	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.5
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	347	303	67	13	3	8	34	94	7	8	2	221	314	363	677	142	287	27	10	303	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.5
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	341	298	65	12	3	8	34	92	6	7	2	218	311	359	670	141	286	27	10	301	89	-4	+1	-0	-2	+10	0.4
2037	29	MLB	—	53%	327	285	63	12	3	7	33	89	6	7	2	221	315	358	673	137	285	27	10	300	87	-5	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.3
2038	30	MLB	—	57%	343	300	64	12	3	7	34	94	6	7	2	213	306	343	649	130	284	27	10	297	85	-6	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3513	3075	670	128	30	75	343	953	66	78	21	218	310	352	662	134	288	27	10	298	86	-55	+7	-2	-21	+100	2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	125	24	6	14	63	176	12	14	4	220	311	357	667	137	290	27	10	298	86	-10	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	6562	5739	1239	235	54	136	640	1803	130	146	42	216	309	347	655	131	288	27	10	297	85	-110	+12	-4	-39	+186	4.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	122	23	5	13	63	179	13	14	4	215	307	342	649	127	288	28	10	297	85	-11	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	91	70	20	4	0	1	14	27	7	4	0	286	451	386	836	100	452	30	15	392	158	+6	+1	—	—	+3	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,613	75	79	217	306	349	-22	+0	2.7	2.6
	/162	664	14	14	217	306	349	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Villaflor (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	173/287/284	111	244	2	2	29%	12%	56	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Luis Liberato 2014 · A	18	41→51	37→55	48→50	41	195/252/268	73	282	4	13	31%	6%	41	-2.3	192/253/275	83	290	4	11	32%	7%	43	-2.2	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
●Akil Baddoo 2017 · A	18	38→48	39→55	53→55	40	182/252/261	79	299	6	12	39%	8%	40	-2.4	204/278/316	112	294	7	12	30%	9%	65	-0.7	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	40→50	40→50	51→50	43	198/259/283	85	277	8	16	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/320	103	296	8	14	28%	7%	63	-0.8	218/277/350	132	309	11	7	31%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	45	40→50	47→50	44	211/284/318	107	303	5	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	190/267/305	115	300	11	8	37%	8%	59	-1.1	154/245/264	110	254	11	8	41%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	43→45	38→45	46→50	44	201/275/277	76	311	6	9	35%	9%	54	-1.4	211/298/310	99	331	7	14	35%	9%	72	-0.2	226/292/355	129	316	11	14	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	41	43→50	47→40	43	202/274/320	118	277	9	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	227/287/334	107	295	8	5	24%	7%	73	-0.1	248/308/368	120	321	11	2	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	40→44	43→55	51→45	46	198/264/316	118	245	9	7	23%	7%	59	-1.1	188/250/298	110	251	9	7	28%	7%	49	-1.8	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7
●Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	38→48	37→45	46→55	47	183/255/256	73	241	5	11	25%	8%	40	-2.4	207/259/305	98	267	5	11	23%	6%	53	-1.5	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Ramón Flores 2010 · A	18	38→48	36→45	46→50	47	182/254/249	67	244	3	8	25%	8%	37	-2.6	219/274/305	86	283	5	9	23%	7%	59	-1.1	251/324/348	97	299	8	8	18%	9%	88	+0.6
●Nick Pratto 2018 · A	19	39→45	40→60	49→50	39	188/247/287	99	289	7	10	36%	7%	44	-2.1	183/231/284	101	302	10	12	41%	6%	37	-2.7	198/290/391	193	286	24	7	37%	10%	89	+0.9
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→47	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	52	-1.6	206/257/295	89	285	7	8	29%	6%	50	-1.7	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
●Tirso Ornelas 2019 · A	19	43→53	40→50	50→45	45	206/273/299	93	288	7	5	30%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/266	76	279	5	5	31%	8%	41	-2.3	249/309/383	134	307	16	7	23%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	42→48	37→50	51→55	47	196/275/269	72	289	3	9	31%	9%	52	-1.6	193/254/254	61	272	4	9	28%	7%	38	-2.6	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Carlos Soler 2018 · A	18	39	37→45	46→45	39	187/248/267	80	274	3	8	31%	6%	40	-2.4	216/272/305	89	319	3	8	31%	6%	59	-1.1	238/290/344	106	352	2	8	31%	5%	73	-0.0