Jesus Villaflor

OF DSL LAD Mega
Age 19 L/L 6'2" / 187 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202517ROKDSL LAD Mega91.286/.451/.3861459—.160/.308/.187
202618ROKDSL LAD Mega146.257/.417/.4252657—.157/.292/.248
2027PROJMLE19MLB—256.203/.288/.2882566-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLB—44.207/.293/.3010171-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
BB%75
Speed75
ISO73
wOBA70
K%65
wRC+57
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsDaniel Montesino (age 19) · Marco Vargas (age 19) · Ricardo Burgos (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA
wRC+66
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .285 / .286
PA76
HR1
K%28
BB%9
ISO86
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 37
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT43
scouting grade only
POWER37
scouting grade only
EYE68
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL LAD Mega — 9170 20401 14277 40 286451386836 100452 3015 392 59 — — — — — —
202618 ROKDSL LAD Mega — 146113 29732 28273 61 257417425841 168314 1819 378 57 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 9175 12200 9347 40 160308187494 27304 3710 255 59 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 146121 19421 20333 61 157292248540 91199 2314 252 57 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 9175 12200 9347 40 160308187494 27293 3710 255 59 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL LAD Mega — 9170 20401 14277 40 286451386836 100452 3015 392 59 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 146121 19421 20333 61 157292248540 91202 2314 252 57 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWDSL LAD Mega — 146113 29732 28273 61 257417425841 168314 1819 378 57 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 9175 12200 9347 40 160308187494 27304 3710 255 59 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 146122 19421 20333 61 156292246538 90199 2314 252 57 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 9175 12200 9347 40 160308187494 27304 3710 255 59 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 146122 19421 20333 61 156292246538 90199 2314 252 57 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLE— 0% 256227 45822 23714 51 203288288576 86281 289 266 66 -10 +1 +0 -2 +6 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLE— 34% 129114 23411 12352 31 207293301594 94283 279 273 71 -4 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.2
202820 MLB CTX— 34% 4439 7100 4121 10 207293301594 94283 279 273 71 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4439 7100 4121 10 179273205478 26259 279 273 63 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650576 1041500 5917715 150 181274207480 26261 279 273 63 -23 +3 +0 -4 +14 -1.0
Career— MLE — 442378 681243 4812313 142 180294257550 77255 2811 261 63 -8 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650556 1001864 7118119 213 180294255550 76256 2811 261 63 -24 +1 +0 -4 +14 -1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 146 PAwOBA .374 → .252 (−123)K% 18.5% → 22.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.49%÷1.000×1.220——22.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.18%÷1.000×0.700—×1.00813.53%
HBP% /PA2.05%—×0.700—×1.0081.45%
Singles /BIP19.77%÷1.000×0.680×0.979×1.00813.26%
Doubles /BIP8.14%÷1.000×0.600×0.979×1.0084.82%
Triples /BIP3.49%÷1.000×0.600×0.979×1.0082.06%
Home runs /BIP2.33%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0081.10%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .374 → .252; ISO .168 → .099; BABIP .314 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 91 PAwOBA .380 → .255 (−125)K% 29.7% → 37.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.67%÷0.957×1.220——37.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷1.000×0.700—×1.02210.22%
HBP% /PA7.69%—×0.700—×1.0225.51%
Singles /BIP34.88%÷0.985×0.680—×1.02224.62%
Doubles /BIP9.30%÷1.050×0.600—×1.0225.43%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.988×0.600—×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP2.33%÷1.011×0.470—×1.0221.11%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 97, 2B 110, 3B 98, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .380 → .255; ISO .100 → .053; BABIP .452 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).