Jesus Villaflor — OGILVIE

Jesus VillaflorOF DSL LAD Mega

Age 18 L/L 6'2" / 187 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION146 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+67

AVG/OBP/SLG.154 / .214 / .154

PA14

HR0

K%29

BB%7

BABIP266

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	91	70	20	4	0	1	14	27	7	4	0	286	451	386	836	100	452	30	15	392	152	+6	+1	—	—	+2	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	91	76	14	2	0	1	8	41	7	4	0	184	319	250	569	66	361	45	9	256	59	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	91	76	14	2	0	1	8	41	7	4	0	184	319	250	569	66	382	45	9	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	91	70	20	4	0	1	14	27	7	4	0	286	451	386	836	100	452	30	15	392	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	91	76	14	2	0	1	8	41	7	4	0	184	319	250	569	66	361	45	9	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	91	76	14	2	0	1	8	41	7	4	0	184	319	250	569	66	361	45	9	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	146	124	23	5	2	2	17	39	3	6	1	185	299	306	605	121	247	27	12	268	68	-6	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	146	113	29	7	3	2	28	27	3	6	1	257	417	425	841	168	314	18	19	378	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	—	0%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	154	214	154	368		266	29	7	267	67	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	—	—	160	137	25	5	2	2	18	43	3	6	1	182	291	292	583	109	245	27	11	268	67	-6	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	212	186	38	7	2	3	20	57	4	4	1	204	295	312	607	108	270	27	9	276	73	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	347	305	64	12	3	6	33	91	6	7	2	210	299	328	627	118	273	26	10	284	78	-9	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	448	394	83	16	4	8	43	116	8	10	2	211	301	332	634	122	275	26	10	289	82	-10	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	519	455	97	18	4	10	50	133	9	11	2	213	304	336	640	123	276	26	10	292	84	-10	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	566	497	107	20	5	11	54	145	10	12	3	215	305	342	647	127	277	26	10	294	85	-10	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	598	524	113	21	5	12	58	152	11	13	3	216	307	344	650	128	278	25	10	295	86	-10	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	61%	615	540	116	22	5	12	59	156	11	13	3	215	305	341	646	126	278	25	10	296	86	-10	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	63%	624	547	118	22	5	13	60	159	12	14	3	216	307	346	652	130	278	25	10	296	87	-10	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	64%	625	547	118	22	5	13	61	159	12	14	3	216	308	346	654	130	277	25	10	296	87	-10	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	65%	620	543	116	22	5	12	61	159	11	13	3	214	306	339	645	125	277	26	10	295	86	-10	+1	-1	-4	+13	0.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	65%	611	534	114	21	5	12	61	158	11	13	3	213	307	339	646	125	276	26	10	293	85	-11	+1	-1	-4	+13	-0.2
2027	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	73	65	13	2	1	1	7	20	1	1	0	200	288	308	595	108	270	27	10	276	73	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	168	147	31	6	1	3	16	44	3	3	1	211	301	327	628	116	273	26	10	284	78	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	243	214	45	9	2	4	23	63	4	5	1	210	299	327	626	117	275	26	9	289	82	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	259	56	10	3	6	28	75	5	6	1	216	305	347	652	131	276	26	10	292	84	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	326	286	62	12	3	6	31	83	6	7	2	217	307	343	649	126	277	25	10	294	85	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	341	299	65	12	3	7	33	87	6	7	2	217	308	348	656	130	278	26	10	295	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	61%	373	327	71	13	3	8	36	95	7	8	2	217	308	349	657	131	278	25	10	296	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	63%	390	342	74	14	3	8	38	99	7	9	2	216	307	345	653	129	278	25	10	296	87	-6	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	64%	397	348	75	14	3	8	39	101	7	9	2	216	307	342	649	126	277	25	10	296	87	-6	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	65%	403	353	75	14	3	8	40	103	7	9	2	212	305	337	642	125	277	26	10	295	86	-7	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.0
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	65%	397	348	74	14	3	8	39	103	7	8	2	213	305	339	644	126	276	26	10	293	85	-7	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3405	2988	641	120	28	67	330	873	60	72	17	215	305	341	646	126	278	26	10	293	84	-62	+8	-1	-20	+74	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	122	23	5	13	63	167	11	14	3	214	304	340	644	126	277	26	10	293	84	-12	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5890	5161	1100	205	48	113	569	1530	112	128	28	213	305	337	642	124	278	26	10	292	84	-108	+14	-2	-35	+126	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	121	23	5	12	63	169	12	14	3	212	304	333	637	121	278	26	10	292	84	-12	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.3	3,504	68	75	215	302	341	-21	+0	2.0	2.0
/162	664	13	14	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Villaflor (OGILVIE)	18	27→32	34→39	50→55	63	193/283/291	99	266	1	2	28%	9%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	68	-1.0	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	62	-1.4	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Carlos Soler 2018 · A	18	39	37→45	46→45	39	187/248/267	80	274	3	8	31%	6%	47	-2.6	216/272/305	89	319	3	8	31%	6%	63	-1.3	238/290/344	106	352	2	8	31%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	42	39→40	49→50	43	201/264/291	89	282	5	8	29%	7%	57	-1.8	183/238/255	72	271	4	6	32%	6%	40	-3.1	149/204/202	52	220	3	3	32%	5%	13	-1.4
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	42	44→45	47→30	43	207/277/335	127	282	11	6	29%	7%	74	-0.6	230/289/339	109	300	8	5	24%	7%	78	-0.3	252/312/362	110	332	10	2	25%	7%	89	+0.2
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	43	36→45	46→55	53	200/285/268	68	260	3	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	217/295/305	88	312	7	14	30%	10%	73	-0.6	206/286/298	92	317	9	17	35%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2023 · A	18	41	38→45	52→45	46	198/269/280	82	263	4	12	25%	8%	57	-1.8	175/267/264	89	303	6	9	39%	10%	54	-2.0	172/276/280	109	289	8	7	39%	12%	60	-0.7
✕Luis Barrera 2015 · A	19	35→45	40→45	49→50	44	177/241/269	92	232	7	7	27%	7%	45	-2.7	205/249/284	79	288	4	8	29%	5%	50	-2.3	247/292/355	108	317	4	17	23%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	38→48	37→45	46→55	47	183/255/256	73	241	5	11	25%	8%	47	-2.6	207/259/305	98	267	5	11	23%	6%	59	-1.7	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	40→46	43→55	51→45	46	198/264/316	118	245	9	7	23%	7%	64	-1.3	188/251/299	111	251	9	7	28%	7%	55	-2.0	219/282/397	178	265	23	8	27%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2011 · A	18	39	37→55	56→50	40	184/248/267	83	281	2	8	33%	7%	47	-2.6	181/235/271	90	247	6	8	28%	5%	42	-2.9	196/222/319	124	254	12	8	28%	3%	45	-0.8
✕Ramón Flores 2010 · A	18	38→48	36→45	46→50	47	182/254/249	67	244	3	8	25%	8%	45	-2.7	220/277/307	87	284	6	9	23%	7%	66	-1.1	248/322/344	96	296	8	8	18%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Samuel Zavala 2022 · A	18	45→44	40→45	49→50	47	213/280/317	104	276	5	11	24%	8%	70	-0.9	197/284/322	125	292	12	11	34%	10%	74	-0.6	172/276/289	117	257	13	12	35%	12%	62	-0.9
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Iverson Leonardo 2019 · A	17	41	37→50	46→50	42	188/272/268	81	299	3	8	35%	8%	57	-1.8	205/281/318	113	304	6	9	32%	8%	71	-0.8	184/260/314	130	264	10	10	32%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps