Jakey Josepha — OGILVIE

Jakey JosephaCF Visalia Rawhide

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 135 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION290 act + 193 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .267 / .273

PA193

HR2

SB9

K%36

BB%9

BABIP293

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 1	—	50	46	4	0	0	0	3	20	0	1	2	87	143	87	230		154	40	6	113	-55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 1	—	50	43	5	0	0	0	6	14	0	1	2	116	224	116	341		172	28	12	174	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	179	155	35	3	1	1	18	48	1	12	1	226	310	277	588	52	312	27	10	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	179	148	46	5	1	1	25	32	1	12	1	311	414	378	792	68	381	18	14	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	137	120	27	3	1	3	13	50	1	8	4	225	306	342	648	117	348	36	9	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	137	111	35	4	1	3	22	35	1	8	4	315	433	450	883	135	427	26	16	391	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	294	264	37	8	1	3	17	153	5	10	2	140	206	212	418	72	301	52	6	186	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	294	253	56	14	1	4	28	104	5	10	2	221	311	332	643	111	347	35	10	288	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	344	305	58	7	3	4	29	118	4	26	4	190	269	272	541	82	289	34	8	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	344	293	75	9	4	6	41	83	4	26	4	256	355	375	730	119	332	24	12	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	ARI	—	290	253	50	12	1	3	31	103	0	20	9	198	285	289	574	91	309	36	11	258	55	-15	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
YTD	22	A	ARI	—	290	238	59	15	2	3	45	76	0	20	9	248	366	366	732	118	341	26	16	329	110	+3	+0	+0	+1	+8	1.3
ROS	22	A	ARI	0%	193	172	32	7	1	2	18	69	1	9	3	186	267	273	539	87	288	36	9	247	47	-12	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
ROS	22	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	245	45	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	ARI	—	290	254	50	12	1	3	31	103	0	20	9	197	285	287	573	91	307	36	11	258	55	-15	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
TOT	22	A	ARI	—	483	425	82	19	2	5	49	172	1	29	12	193	278	282	560	89	303	36	10	253	52	-26	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	ARI	34%	527	471	91	18	3	8	48	179	3	17	6	193	272	295	567	102	288	34	9	260	57	-26	+1	+0	+2	+15	-0.8
2028	24	MLB	ARI	46%	541	483	97	19	3	10	50	177	3	16	6	201	280	315	595	114	290	33	9	269	64	-22	+1	+0	+2	+15	-0.4
2029	25	MLB	ARI	52%	546	486	99	19	3	11	51	176	4	16	5	204	285	323	608	119	290	32	9	275	68	-19	+1	+0	+2	+15	-0.1
2030	26	MLB	ARI	54%	545	485	99	19	3	11	51	174	4	16	5	204	285	324	609	120	290	32	9	277	70	-18	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.0
2031	27	MLB	ARI	54%	541	481	99	19	3	11	51	173	4	15	5	206	287	326	614	121	290	32	9	277	70	-18	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.0
2032	28	MLB	ARI	54%	534	474	98	19	3	11	51	171	4	14	5	207	289	329	618	122	290	32	10	276	70	-18	+1	-1	+2	+15	-0.1
2027	23	MLB	ARI	34%	181	161	32	6	1	3	17	61	1	6	2	199	279	304	584	106	291	34	9	258	55	-9	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
2028	24	MLB	ARI	46%	250	223	45	9	1	5	23	82	2	8	3	202	282	318	601	117	292	33	9	267	63	-11	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2029	25	MLB	ARI	52%	282	252	52	10	2	6	26	91	2	8	3	206	286	333	619	127	292	32	9	272	66	-11	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
2030	26	MLB	ARI	54%	295	263	55	11	2	6	28	94	2	8	3	209	290	335	625	125	292	32	9	274	68	-11	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
2031	27	MLB	ARI	54%	293	261	54	10	2	6	28	94	2	8	3	207	289	330	618	123	292	32	10	274	68	-11	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
2032	28	MLB	ARI	54%	290	258	52	10	1	6	28	93	2	8	3	202	285	318	603	116	292	32	10	274	68	-11	+0	-0	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1591	1419	290	56	9	32	150	515	11	46	17	204	286	324	610	120	294	32	9	271	65	-62	+2	-0	+6	+45	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	119	23	4	13	61	210	4	19	7	205	285	326	611	121	295	32	9	271	65	-25	+1	-0	+2	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	4431	3942	776	141	25	75	400	1508	34	160	48	197	276	302	579	106	293	34	9	261	58	-210	+13	-1	+16	+126	-5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	114	21	4	11	59	221	5	23	7	197	277	304	582	107	293	34	9	261	58	-31	+2	-0	+2	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 1	—	50	43	5	0	0	0	6	14	0	1	2	116	224	116	341		172	28	12	174	-8	-6	-1	—	—	+1	-0.5
2022	18	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	179	148	46	5	1	1	25	32	1	12	1	311	414	378	792	68	381	18	14	355	130	+6	+2	—	—	+5	1.3
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	137	111	35	4	1	3	22	35	1	8	4	315	433	450	883	135	427	26	16	391	157	+9	+0	—	—	+4	1.3
2024	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	81	70	8	1	0	0	8	34	1	1	0	114	215	129	344	14	222	42	10	172	-10	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	213	183	48	13	1	4	20	70	4	9	2	262	348	410	758	148	386	33	9	332	112	+3	+1	—	—	+6	1.0
2025	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	276	234	55	8	3	5	35	68	4	23	2	235	344	359	703	124	307	25	13	319	103	+1	+4	—	—	+8	1.3
2025	21	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	68	59	20	1	1	1	6	15	0	3	2	339	400	441	841	102	422	22	9	361	134	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,911	34	55	199	276	310	+7	+10	-1.7	-0.8
	/162	664	12	19	199	276	310	+2.4	+3.5	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jakey Josepha (OGILVIE)	22	35	35	60	50	193/278/282	89	303	5	29	36%	10%	52	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	198/268/265	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	47	-1.9	206/304/278	72	297	4	26	29%	9%	68	-0.5	217/333/268	51	299	3	35	25%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Michael Siani 2021 · A	22	41→44	38→45	53→60	39	201/254/277	77	281	6	21	30%	6%	44	-2.1	195/265/299	104	268	10	28	29%	8%	55	-1.4	206/277/305	99	268	10	33	25%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	43	39→45	54→50	39	204/264/292	88	314	7	13	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/259/315	98	324	6	13	33%	5%	56	-1.3	213/255/307	94	313	5	14	32%	5%	48	-1.1
✕Jason Denham 2008 · A	22	44→45	38→40	51→55	44	211/269/283	72	288	6	16	28%	7%	52	-1.6	224/284/319	95	288	9	18	24%	7%	68	-0.5	227/292/316	89	272	11	27	20%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	38→40	53→60	49	182/289/262	80	287	6	16	35%	11%	58	-1.2	202/293/281	79	297	5	23	30%	10%	63	-0.8	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Caleb Roberts 2022 · A	22	43→42	39→45	50	42	199/277/290	90	314	7	9	36%	8%	58	-1.2	204/283/328	124	302	11	12	34%	9%	71	-0.3	200/281/332	132	290	12	12	33%	9%	69	-0.3
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	44→36	37→40	54→50	43	203/281/277	74	287	3	12	28%	7%	57	-1.2	205/290/306	101	264	9	15	24%	8%	69	-0.4	199/291/294	95	251	9	15	23%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	41→31	40→45	50	44	197/272/291	94	298	8	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	201/266/318	117	303	13	11	35%	7%	61	-1.0	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Kai Murphy 2023 · A	22	45→40	39→40	53→50	44	213/272/299	86	295	6	12	28%	7%	58	-1.2	210/271/296	86	310	7	10	32%	7%	56	-1.3	202/271/271	69	274	5	11	26%	7%	48	-1.0
✕Roberto Reyes 2010 · A	21	38	38→40	56→55	40	180/254/263	84	299	6	15	39%	8%	42	-2.3	194/253/277	83	300	5	8	35%	6%	43	-2.2	182/234/254	72	263	5	2	31%	5%	28	-1.1
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	38→43	43→45	51→50	39	190/263/305	115	288	11	13	36%	7%	57	-1.2	212/286/344	132	314	13	12	34%	8%	76	+0.1	211/289/350	139	310	15	12	34%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Raynel Delgado 2022 · A	22	37→47	39→40	47→60	37	183/237/265	83	279	7	13	36%	6%	34	-2.8	212/279/307	95	299	8	18	30%	7%	63	-0.8	242/304/336	94	333	8	32	28%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Jose Dilone 2023 · A	22	37	37→30	51→55	41	175/254/241	66	286	5	13	37%	8%	37	-2.7	209/287/298	89	367	7	11	41%	9%	64	-0.8	218/310/312	94	434	9	12	46%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Isaiah Greene 2023 · A	21	44→41	37→40	56→55	51	197/300/273	76	315	4	20	35%	12%	65	-0.7	186/270/272	86	315	6	17	38%	10%	51	-1.7	143/226/223	80	254	5	17	42%	10%	17	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→28	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	53	-1.5	213/271/338	125	320	13	13	35%	6%	68	-0.5	202/261/313	111	301	12	16	35%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/276/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	56	-1.3	199/259/296	97	325	8	29	38%	7%	52	-1.6	227/303/343	115	312	13	52	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	41	181/235/274	93	246	8	11	29%	6%	36	-2.7	225/291/315	90	302	7	9	26%	8%	70	-0.3	236/307/320	84	310	7	8	24%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	40→45	58→55	46	205/275/300	94	276	6	17	27%	8%	59	-1.1	222/298/307	85	300	5	16	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Gosuke Katoh 2017 · A	22	41→50	38→45	52→50	42	188/261/266	78	308	5	11	38%	9%	45	-2.1	211/277/308	97	317	7	11	33%	8%	63	-0.9	214/277/319	106	296	10	11	30%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→46	37→45	52→50	46	194/262/260	66	258	5	10	26%	8%	43	-2.2	216/290/317	101	275	7	10	22%	9%	70	-0.3	216/298/324	108	271	6	10	21%	10%	71	-0.2