Jakey Josepha — OGILVIE

Jakey JosephaCF Hillsboro Hops

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 135 lbs A+ HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION451 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP296

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 1	—	50	43	5	0	0	0	6	14	0	1	2	116	224	116	341		172	28	12	174	4	-6	-1	—	—	+1	-0.5
2022	18	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	179	148	46	5	1	1	25	32	1	12	1	311	414	378	792	68	381	18	14	355	127	+6	+2	—	—	+4	1.2
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	137	111	35	4	1	3	22	35	1	8	4	315	433	450	883	135	427	26	16	391	150	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2024	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	81	70	8	1	0	0	8	34	1	1	0	114	215	129	344	14	222	42	10	172	3	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	213	183	48	13	1	4	20	70	4	9	2	262	348	410	758	148	386	33	9	332	111	+3	+1	—	—	+5	0.8
2025	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	276	234	55	8	3	5	35	68	4	23	2	235	344	359	703	124	307	25	13	319	102	+1	+4	—	—	+6	1.1
2025	21	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	68	59	20	1	1	1	6	15	0	3	2	339	400	441	841	102	422	22	9	361	130	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	—	50	45	4	0	0	0	4	20	0	1	2	89	163	89	252		142	40	8	115	-36	-8	-1	—	—	+1	-0.8
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	—	179	156	36	3	1	1	17	47	1	12	1	231	310	282	592	51	303	26	9	264	65	-7	+2	—	—	+4	-0.2
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	137	120	27	3	1	2	13	50	1	8	4	225	306	317	623	92	331	36	9	275	72	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	81	72	6	1	0	0	6	45	1	1	0	83	165	97	262	14	209	56	7	126	-29	-12	+0	—	—	+2	-1.1
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	213	191	32	8	1	3	12	104	4	9	2	168	232	267	499	99	298	49	6	214	31	-17	+1	—	—	+5	-1.2
2025	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	276	244	45	6	2	3	25	93	4	23	2	184	271	262	533	78	274	34	9	245	52	-16	+4	—	—	+6	-0.6
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	68	61	16	1	1	1	4	23	0	3	2	262	308	361	668	98	333	34	6	267	67	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	—	50	45	4	0	0	0	4	20	0	1	2	89	163	89	252		160	40	8	115	-36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 1	—	50	43	5	0	0	0	6	14	0	1	2	116	224	116	341		172	28	12	174	-36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	—	179	156	36	3	1	1	17	47	1	12	1	231	310	282	592	51	315	26	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs Black	—	179	148	46	5	1	1	25	32	1	12	1	311	414	378	792	68	381	18	14	355	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	137	120	27	3	1	2	13	50	1	8	4	225	306	317	623	92	357	36	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Red	—	137	111	35	4	1	3	22	35	1	8	4	315	433	450	883	135	427	26	16	391	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	294	264	38	8	1	3	17	149	5	10	2	144	210	216	426	72	299	51	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	294	253	56	14	1	4	28	104	5	10	2	221	311	332	643	111	347	35	10	288	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	344	305	60	7	3	4	29	115	4	26	4	197	275	279	554	82	295	33	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	344	293	75	9	4	6	41	83	4	26	4	256	355	375	730	119	332	24	12	328	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	—	50	46	4	0	0	0	4	20	0	1	2	87	163	87	250		142	40	8	115	-36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	—	179	159	36	3	1	1	17	47	1	12	1	226	310	277	587	50	303	26	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	137	122	27	3	1	2	13	50	1	8	4	221	306	311	617	90	331	36	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	294	270	38	8	1	3	17	149	5	10	2	141	210	211	421	70	273	51	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	344	308	60	7	3	4	29	115	4	26	4	195	275	276	551	81	286	33	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	137	122	27	3	1	2	13	50	1	8	4	221	306	311	617	90	331	36	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	294	270	38	8	1	3	17	149	5	10	2	141	210	211	421	70	273	51	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	344	308	60	7	3	4	29	115	4	26	4	195	275	276	551	81	286	33	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	ARI	—	451	404	81	17	3	4	39	151	1	41	13	200	273	287	560	87	302	33	9	252	57	-23	+3	+0	+2	+10	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A RAW	ARI	—	214	169	42	13	0	2	39	55	0	17	5	249	388	361	749	112	342	26	18	339	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ RAW	ARI	—	237	215	58	10	4	3	19	55	1	24	8	270	332	395	727	126	348	23	8	323	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	ARI	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		289	33	11	247	53	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	ARI	—	460	412	82	17	3	4	40	154	1	42	13	199	272	284	556	85	300	33	9	252	57	-24	+3	+0	+2	+10	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ARI	35%	438	396	80	15	3	7	37	141	2	18	5	202	274	308	582	106	289	32	8	262	64	-19	+2	+0	+2	+9	-0.6
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	46%	481	434	90	17	3	9	41	150	3	19	5	207	280	323	603	115	290	31	9	272	70	-17	+2	+0	+2	+10	-0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	502	451	95	18	3	10	43	153	3	19	5	211	284	330	614	120	290	30	9	277	74	-16	+2	+0	+2	+11	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	513	460	97	18	3	11	45	155	3	18	5	211	285	335	620	124	291	30	9	280	75	-15	+2	+0	+2	+11	-0.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	514	461	97	18	3	11	45	156	3	18	5	210	285	334	619	124	290	30	9	280	76	-15	+2	+0	+2	+11	-0.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	510	456	96	18	3	10	46	156	3	16	5	211	287	329	616	118	290	31	9	279	75	-15	+1	-1	+2	+11	-0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	500	448	94	18	3	10	45	154	3	14	4	210	286	330	617	121	289	31	9	277	74	-16	+1	-1	+2	+11	-0.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	490	440	92	17	3	10	44	152	3	13	4	209	285	330	615	120	288	31	9	275	72	-16	+1	-2	+2	+11	-0.5
2027	23	MLB CTX	ARI	35%	151	136	28	6	1	2	13	49	1	6	2	206	280	309	589	103	296	32	9	262	64	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	46%	222	200	42	8	2	4	19	69	1	9	3	210	282	330	612	120	297	31	9	271	70	-8	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	259	233	50	10	2	5	22	79	2	10	3	215	288	339	627	124	297	31	8	276	74	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	278	250	54	11	2	5	24	84	2	10	3	216	290	336	626	120	297	30	9	278	75	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	279	250	54	11	2	5	25	85	2	10	3	216	292	336	628	120	297	30	9	278	76	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	277	248	52	10	2	5	25	85	2	9	3	210	287	327	614	117	296	31	9	277	75	-8	+1	-0	+1	+6	-0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	265	237	51	10	2	5	24	81	2	8	2	215	293	338	630	122	296	31	9	275	74	-8	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	257	230	49	10	2	5	23	80	2	7	2	213	290	339	629	126	295	31	9	273	72	-9	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1988	1784	380	76	15	36	175	612	14	69	21	213	288	333	621	120	301	31	9	274	67	-64	+5	-2	+7	+43	-1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	125	25	5	12	57	200	5	23	7	214	290	336	626	122	302	31	9	274	67	-21	+2	-1	+2	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4961	4444	907	160	30	88	427	1601	34	193	51	204	279	313	592	109	294	32	9	267	67	-129	+12	-4	+14	+86	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	119	21	4	12	56	210	4	25	7	204	278	316	595	112	294	32	9	267	67	-21	+2	-1	+2	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.0	1,991	39	67	210	281	328	+7	+10	0.4	0.5
/162	664	13	22	+2.4	+3.3	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jakey Josepha (OGILVIE)	22	35	35	60	50	190/260/274	84	289	3	20	34%	8%	53	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	38→45	39→40	55→60	42	185/255/269	84	272	7	25	33%	8%	50	-2.3	206/277/304	98	273	9	30	26%	8%	65	-1.2	207/279/299	92	270	8	33	25%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/268/264	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	210/306/281	71	297	4	26	28%	9%	73	-0.6	226/338/275	49	304	3	35	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Jason Denham 2008 · A	22	44→45	38→40	51→55	44	211/269/283	72	288	6	16	28%	7%	57	-1.8	224/284/319	95	288	9	18	24%	7%	72	-0.7	227/292/316	89	272	11	27	20%	8%	73	-0.3
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	203/281/276	74	285	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/295/314	104	266	10	15	23%	8%	76	-0.4	205/297/303	98	254	9	15	22%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	39→45	58→55	46	205/275/296	91	274	6	17	26%	8%	63	-1.3	223/300/306	83	296	5	16	24%	9%	75	-0.5	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/276/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	61	-1.5	195/258/287	92	323	7	29	39%	7%	55	-2.0	229/304/333	104	308	11	52	28%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Raynel Delgado 2022 · A	22	37→47	40	47→60	36	184/239/270	86	284	8	13	36%	6%	44	-2.8	212/279/303	91	297	8	18	29%	7%	66	-1.1	236/299/323	88	323	7	32	27%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	44	39→45	54→50	40	207/265/294	88	309	7	13	34%	7%	59	-1.7	216/259/313	97	318	7	13	32%	5%	61	-1.5	212/254/305	93	308	6	14	32%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	42	182/238/271	89	250	7	11	30%	6%	43	-2.8	225/293/312	87	303	7	9	26%	8%	74	-0.6	234/307/314	80	309	6	8	24%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	38→41	42→45	51→50	40	186/261/292	106	285	9	13	36%	7%	58	-1.7	207/280/332	125	310	12	12	35%	8%	74	-0.5	204/280/338	134	302	14	12	35%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	39→40	53→60	49	181/288/262	81	287	6	16	35%	11%	63	-1.4	203/293/281	78	295	5	23	30%	10%	68	-1.0	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Isaiah Greene 2023 · A	21	44→41	38→40	57→55	51	197/299/276	79	311	4	20	34%	12%	69	-0.9	185/268/271	86	315	6	17	39%	10%	55	-1.9	139/221/218	78	251	5	17	43%	9%	23	-1.1
✕Kai Murphy 2023 · A	22	45→40	39→40	53→50	44	214/273/301	87	294	6	12	28%	7%	63	-1.3	209/272/296	87	305	7	10	31%	7%	62	-1.4	198/270/265	67	268	5	11	26%	8%	52	-1.3
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	194/259/307	113	262	9	19	28%	7%	58	-1.3
✕Max Ferguson 2022 · A	22	43→34	36→40	57→60	46	188/283/260	72	325	3	18	38%	11%	59	-1.7	179/273/269	90	280	7	29	35%	11%	57	-1.8	178/257/269	91	255	10	28	32%	9%	48	-1.6
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→44	37→40	52→50	47	193/261/259	66	255	5	10	25%	8%	50	-2.3	212/286/308	96	275	7	10	23%	9%	70	-0.8	208/289/307	99	266	6	10	22%	10%	68	-0.7
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	42→32	40→45	50	44	198/272/292	93	297	7	13	34%	8%	61	-1.5	201/266/314	113	295	12	11	34%	7%	64	-1.3	180/254/288	108	265	12	11	34%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	185/273/254	70	286	2	24	33%	10%	54	-2.0	204/289/287	83	310	5	17	32%	9%	68	-1.0	191/292/252	60	291	4	23	31%	10%	59	-0.4
✕Thomas Milone 2017 · A	22	40→45	36→45	48→55	40	191/248/252	62	276	3	14	31%	6%	42	-2.9	213/266/300	87	301	4	12	29%	6%	60	-1.6	237/293/354	117	331	7	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Viandel Pena 2023 · A	22	38→41	39→40	55	40	182/245/268	86	296	6	18	38%	8%	45	-2.7	201/264/277	76	304	4	18	32%	8%	55	-2.0	203/251/291	87	297	6	20	32%	6%	49	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps