Dillon Head

CF Beloit Sky Carp
Age 22 L/L 5'10" / 185 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2435ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419AMIA116.248/.319/.3811548—.194/.250/.315
202520AMIA425.223/.335/.31843652—.190/.271/.269
202621A+MIA403.248/.325/.37974159—.205/.265/.300
2027PROJMLE22MLBMIA1.183/.252/.2670052-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB23MLBMIA124.190/.259/.2862659-0.2
2029PROJ46% MLB24MLBMIA192.195/.265/.29931065-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Speed96
Z-Con%89
Whiff%79
K%66
ISO41
Chase%37
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 1.7, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 86%
CompsWes Rogers (age 22) · Guy Lipscomb (age 23) · Carlos Willoughby (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .252 / .267
PA1
HR0
K%24
BB%8
BABIP235
ISO84
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -12.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +1.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202318 ALake Elsinore Storm — 6154 13120 4102 12 241317333650 93289 167 292 65 — — — — — —
202318 ROKACL Padres — 6351 15411 1190 31 294419471890 176333 1417 391 84 — — — — — —
202419 AJupiter Hammerheads — 116105 26531 9282 54 248319381700 133329 248 314 48 — — — — — —
202520 AJupiter Hammerheads — 425359 80494 58813 369 223335318652 95275 1914 300 52 — — — — — —
202621 A+Beloit Sky Carp — 403359 891847 38843 415 248325379704 131303 219 316 59 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202318 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 6155 13120 3142 12 236300327627 91291 235 265 65 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Padres — 6355 13311 7130 31 236323382704 145263 2111 293 84 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 116108 21431 6372 54 194250315565 120281 325 239 48 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 425379 72393 391093 369 190271269540 79252 269 245 52 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 403370 761435 271073 415 205265300565 95272 277 256 59 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLE2 teams — 124110 25431 10272 43 227303345649 118286 228 279 75 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAW2 teams — 124105 28531 15192 43 267369400769 133310 1512 343 75 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 116108 21431 6372 54 194250315565 120286 325 239 48 — — — — — —
202419 A RAWJupiter Hammerheads — 116105 26531 9282 54 248319381700 133329 248 314 48 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 425379 72393 391093 369 190271269540 79257 269 245 52 — — — — — —
202520 A RAWJupiter Hammerheads — 425359 80494 58813 369 223335318652 95275 1914 300 52 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 403370 761435 271073 415 205265300565 95272 277 256 59 — — — — — —
202621 A+ RAWBeloit Sky Carp — 403359 891847 38843 415 248325379704 131303 219 316 59 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLE2 teams — 124111 25431 10272 43 225303342646 117277 228 279 75 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 116107 21431 6372 54 196250318568 121281 325 239 48 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 425380 72393 391093 369 189271268539 79252 269 245 52 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 403370 761435 271073 415 205265300565 95272 277 256 59 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 116107 21431 6372 54 196250318568 121281 325 239 48 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 425380 72393 391093 369 189271268539 79252 269 245 52 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 403370 761435 271073 415 205265300565 95272 277 256 59 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEMIA 0% 513466 881366 391243 255 189257279536 90242 248 245 52 -29 +3 +2 +2 +11 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202722 MLB CTXMIA 0% 11 0000 000 00 183252267519 84235 00 238 52 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEMIA 35% 358325 641045 28852 183 196265299564 103246 248 256 59 -17 +2 +1 +1 +8 -0.4
202924 MLB MLEMIA 46% 416377 751247 33983 214 201271313584 112249 248 264 65 -17 +3 +2 +1 +9 -0.3
203025 MLB MLEMIA 52% 448406 831358 361043 224 204275321596 117251 238 269 68 -17 +3 +2 +2 +10 -0.1
203126 MLB MLEMIA 54% 465421 871459 381083 234 206277326603 119253 238 272 70 -17 +3 +2 +2 +10 0.0
203227 MLB MLEMIA 54% 470426 871449 381103 224 207278327606 120254 238 273 71 -16 +3 +2 +2 +10 0.0
203328 MLB MLEMIA 54% 468424 871449 381103 204 206276323599 117254 248 271 69 -17 +2 +1 +2 +10 -0.2
202823 MLB CTXMIA 35% 124112 21312 10291 61 190259286545 96238 238 249 59 -6 +1 +1 +0 +3 -0.2
202924 MLB CTXMIA 46% 192174 34523 15451 102 195265299564 105241 238 256 65 -8 +1 +1 +1 +4 -0.1
203025 MLB CTXMIA 52% 232209 41624 19542 112 198269307576 110243 238 261 68 -9 +1 +1 +1 +5 -0.1
203126 MLB CTXMIA 54% 252228 46725 20592 122 200271311582 112245 238 264 70 -9 +2 +1 +1 +5 0.0
203227 MLB CTXMIA 54% 255230 46725 21602 122 201272313585 113246 248 265 71 -9 +2 +1 +1 +6 0.0
203328 MLB CTXMIA 54% 254229 46725 21602 112 199270309579 110246 248 263 69 -9 +1 +1 +1 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 13091182 234351124 10630710 6211 198270307577 109245 238 261 64 -50 +8 +5 +5 +28 -0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 11517512 531525 315 196268303571 107242 238 261 64 -25 +4 +3 +2 +14 -0.2
Career— MLE — 39033537 7131084659 30994628 22246 202271308579 107256 248 262 64 -114 +17 +11 +10 +61 -1.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650589 11918810 511585 378 202271311582 109257 248 262 64 -26 +4 +3 +2 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 403 PAwOBA .310 → .256 (−54)K% 20.8% → 26.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.84%÷1.000×1.270——26.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.43%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0126.78%
HBP% /PA0.74%—×0.790—×1.0120.60%
Singles /BIP21.82%÷1.000×0.920×1.002×1.01220.36%
Doubles /BIP6.55%÷1.000×0.810×1.002×1.0125.38%
Triples /BIP1.45%÷1.000×0.850×1.002×1.0121.25%
Home runs /BIP2.55%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0122.06%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .310 → .256; ISO .131 → .104; BABIP .303 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AJupiter Hammerheads · 425 PAwOBA .294 → .245 (−49)K% 19.1% → 25.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.06%÷1.014×1.360——25.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.41%÷1.018×0.690—×1.0159.22%
HBP% /PA0.71%—×0.780—×1.0150.56%
Singles /BIP22.66%÷1.019×0.920×0.990×1.01520.57%
Doubles /BIP1.44%÷0.947×0.830×0.990×1.0151.27%
Triples /BIP3.24%÷0.900×0.910×0.990×1.0153.29%
Home runs /BIP1.44%÷1.035×0.800—×1.0151.13%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .294 → .245; ISO .095 → .086; BABIP .275 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AJupiter Hammerheads · 116 PAwOBA .306 → .239 (−67)K% 24.1% → 31.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.14%÷1.029×1.360——31.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.76%÷0.993×0.690—×1.0305.55%
HBP% /PA1.72%—×0.780—×1.0301.39%
Singles /BIP22.08%÷1.065×0.920×0.962×1.03018.90%
Doubles /BIP6.49%÷1.032×0.830×0.962×1.0305.18%
Triples /BIP3.90%÷0.960×0.910×0.962×1.0303.66%
Home runs /BIP1.30%÷0.888×0.800—×1.0301.20%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 113, 2B 106, 3B 92, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .306 → .239; ISO .133 → .109; BABIP .329 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Padres · 63 PAwOBA .388 → .293 (−95)K% 14.3% → 20.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.29%÷0.983×1.440——20.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.46%÷0.972×0.620—×1.00811.22%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP21.43%÷1.006×0.820—×1.00817.59%
Doubles /BIP9.52%÷1.001×0.720—×1.0086.90%
Triples /BIP2.38%÷0.931×0.720—×1.0081.85%
Home runs /BIP2.38%÷0.912×0.780—×1.0082.05%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 86, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .388 → .293; ISO .176 → .141; BABIP .333 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ALake Elsinore Storm · 61 PAwOBA .290 → .265 (−25)K% 16.4% → 23.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.39%÷0.953×1.360——23.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.56%÷1.032×0.690—×1.0454.58%
HBP% /PA3.28%—×0.780—×1.0452.67%
Singles /BIP22.73%÷0.951×0.920×1.006×1.04523.11%
Doubles /BIP2.27%÷1.065×0.830×1.006×1.0451.86%
Triples /BIP4.55%÷0.900×0.910×1.006×1.0454.83%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.121×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 90, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 91, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .290 → .265; ISO .093 → .090; BABIP .289 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).