Dillon Head
CF Beloit Sky Carp| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | AMIA | 116 | .248/.319/.381 | 1 | 5 | 48 | — | .194/.250/.315 |
| 2025 | 20 | AMIA | 425 | .223/.335/.318 | 4 | 36 | 52 | — | .190/.271/.269 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+MIA | 403 | .248/.325/.379 | 7 | 41 | 59 | — | .205/.265/.300 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBMIA | 1 | .183/.252/.267 | 0 | 0 | 52 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 23 | MLBMIA | 124 | .190/.259/.286 | 2 | 6 | 59 | -0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBMIA | 192 | .195/.265/.299 | 3 | 10 | 65 | -0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 61 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 241 | 317 | 333 | 650 | 93 | 289 | 16 | 7 | 292 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 63 | 51 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 294 | 419 | 471 | 890 | 176 | 333 | 14 | 17 | 391 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 116 | 105 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 248 | 319 | 381 | 700 | 133 | 329 | 24 | 8 | 314 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 425 | 359 | 80 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 58 | 81 | 3 | 36 | 9 | 223 | 335 | 318 | 652 | 95 | 275 | 19 | 14 | 300 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 403 | 359 | 89 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 38 | 84 | 3 | 41 | 5 | 248 | 325 | 379 | 704 | 131 | 303 | 21 | 9 | 316 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 61 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 236 | 300 | 327 | 627 | 91 | 291 | 23 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 63 | 55 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 323 | 382 | 704 | 145 | 263 | 21 | 11 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 116 | 108 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 194 | 250 | 315 | 565 | 120 | 281 | 32 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 425 | 379 | 72 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 39 | 109 | 3 | 36 | 9 | 190 | 271 | 269 | 540 | 79 | 252 | 26 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 403 | 370 | 76 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 107 | 3 | 41 | 5 | 205 | 265 | 300 | 565 | 95 | 272 | 27 | 7 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 124 | 110 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 227 | 303 | 345 | 649 | 118 | 286 | 22 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 124 | 105 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 267 | 369 | 400 | 769 | 133 | 310 | 15 | 12 | 343 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 116 | 108 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 194 | 250 | 315 | 565 | 120 | 286 | 32 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 116 | 105 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 248 | 319 | 381 | 700 | 133 | 329 | 24 | 8 | 314 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 425 | 379 | 72 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 39 | 109 | 3 | 36 | 9 | 190 | 271 | 269 | 540 | 79 | 257 | 26 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 425 | 359 | 80 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 58 | 81 | 3 | 36 | 9 | 223 | 335 | 318 | 652 | 95 | 275 | 19 | 14 | 300 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 403 | 370 | 76 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 107 | 3 | 41 | 5 | 205 | 265 | 300 | 565 | 95 | 272 | 27 | 7 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ RAW | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 403 | 359 | 89 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 38 | 84 | 3 | 41 | 5 | 248 | 325 | 379 | 704 | 131 | 303 | 21 | 9 | 316 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 124 | 111 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 225 | 303 | 342 | 646 | 117 | 277 | 22 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 116 | 107 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 196 | 250 | 318 | 568 | 121 | 281 | 32 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 425 | 380 | 72 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 39 | 109 | 3 | 36 | 9 | 189 | 271 | 268 | 539 | 79 | 252 | 26 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 403 | 370 | 76 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 107 | 3 | 41 | 5 | 205 | 265 | 300 | 565 | 95 | 272 | 27 | 7 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 116 | 107 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 196 | 250 | 318 | 568 | 121 | 281 | 32 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 425 | 380 | 72 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 39 | 109 | 3 | 36 | 9 | 189 | 271 | 268 | 539 | 79 | 252 | 26 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 403 | 370 | 76 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 107 | 3 | 41 | 5 | 205 | 265 | 300 | 565 | 95 | 272 | 27 | 7 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIA | 0% | 513 | 466 | 88 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 124 | 3 | 25 | 5 | 189 | 257 | 279 | 536 | 90 | 242 | 24 | 8 | 245 | 52 | -29 | +3 | +2 | +2 | +11 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | MIA | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 252 | 267 | 519 | 84 | 235 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 52 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIA | 35% | 358 | 325 | 64 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 85 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 196 | 265 | 299 | 564 | 103 | 246 | 24 | 8 | 256 | 59 | -17 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIA | 46% | 416 | 377 | 75 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 98 | 3 | 21 | 4 | 201 | 271 | 313 | 584 | 112 | 249 | 24 | 8 | 264 | 65 | -17 | +3 | +2 | +1 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIA | 52% | 448 | 406 | 83 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 104 | 3 | 22 | 4 | 204 | 275 | 321 | 596 | 117 | 251 | 23 | 8 | 269 | 68 | -17 | +3 | +2 | +2 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIA | 54% | 465 | 421 | 87 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 108 | 3 | 23 | 4 | 206 | 277 | 326 | 603 | 119 | 253 | 23 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -17 | +3 | +2 | +2 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIA | 54% | 470 | 426 | 87 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 110 | 3 | 22 | 4 | 207 | 278 | 327 | 606 | 120 | 254 | 23 | 8 | 273 | 71 | -16 | +3 | +2 | +2 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIA | 54% | 468 | 424 | 87 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 110 | 3 | 20 | 4 | 206 | 276 | 323 | 599 | 117 | 254 | 24 | 8 | 271 | 69 | -17 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIA | 35% | 124 | 112 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 190 | 259 | 286 | 545 | 96 | 238 | 23 | 8 | 249 | 59 | -6 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIA | 46% | 192 | 174 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 45 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 195 | 265 | 299 | 564 | 105 | 241 | 23 | 8 | 256 | 65 | -8 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIA | 52% | 232 | 209 | 41 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 54 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 198 | 269 | 307 | 576 | 110 | 243 | 23 | 8 | 261 | 68 | -9 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIA | 54% | 252 | 228 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 59 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 200 | 271 | 311 | 582 | 112 | 245 | 23 | 8 | 264 | 70 | -9 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIA | 54% | 255 | 230 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 60 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 201 | 272 | 313 | 585 | 113 | 246 | 24 | 8 | 265 | 71 | -9 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIA | 54% | 254 | 229 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 60 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 199 | 270 | 309 | 579 | 110 | 246 | 24 | 8 | 263 | 69 | -9 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1309 | 1182 | 234 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 106 | 307 | 10 | 62 | 11 | 198 | 270 | 307 | 577 | 109 | 245 | 23 | 8 | 261 | 64 | -50 | +8 | +5 | +5 | +28 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 587 | 115 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 53 | 152 | 5 | 31 | 5 | 196 | 268 | 303 | 571 | 107 | 242 | 23 | 8 | 261 | 64 | -25 | +4 | +3 | +2 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3903 | 3537 | 713 | 108 | 46 | 59 | 309 | 946 | 28 | 222 | 46 | 202 | 271 | 308 | 579 | 107 | 256 | 24 | 8 | 262 | 64 | -114 | +17 | +11 | +10 | +61 | -1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 119 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 51 | 158 | 5 | 37 | 8 | 202 | 271 | 311 | 582 | 109 | 257 | 24 | 8 | 262 | 64 | -26 | +4 | +3 | +2 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 403 PAwOBA .310 → .256 (−54)K% 20.8% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.84% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 26.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 6.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 20.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 5.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 1.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.06% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .310 → .256; ISO .131 → .104; BABIP .303 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AJupiter Hammerheads · 425 PAwOBA .294 → .245 (−49)K% 19.1% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.06% | ÷1.014 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.41% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.66% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×1.015 | 20.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.44% | ÷0.947 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×1.015 | 1.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.24% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.990 | ×1.015 | 3.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.44% | ÷1.035 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.13% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .294 → .245; ISO .095 → .086; BABIP .275 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AJupiter Hammerheads · 116 PAwOBA .306 → .239 (−67)K% 24.1% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.14% | ÷1.029 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.76% | ÷0.993 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 5.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.08% | ÷1.065 | ×0.920 | ×0.962 | ×1.030 | 18.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.49% | ÷1.032 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×1.030 | 5.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.90% | ÷0.960 | ×0.910 | ×0.962 | ×1.030 | 3.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.30% | ÷0.888 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 113, 2B 106, 3B 92, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .306 → .239; ISO .133 → .109; BABIP .329 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Padres · 63 PAwOBA .388 → .293 (−95)K% 14.3% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.983 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.46% | ÷0.972 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 11.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.006 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 17.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.001 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 6.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.931 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.912 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 2.05% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 86, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .388 → .293; ISO .176 → .141; BABIP .333 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ALake Elsinore Storm · 61 PAwOBA .290 → .265 (−25)K% 16.4% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.39% | ÷0.953 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.56% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 4.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.28% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 2.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷0.951 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×1.045 | 23.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.065 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.045 | 1.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | ×1.045 | 4.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.121 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 90, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 91, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .290 → .265; ISO .093 → .090; BABIP .289 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).