Dillon Head — OGILVIE

Dillon HeadCF Beloit Sky Carp

Age 21 L/L 5'10" / 185 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION403 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP247

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED73

scouting grade only

DEFENSE56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	61	54	13	1	2	0	4	10	2	1	2	241	317	333	650	93	289	16	7	292	84	-1	-1	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	18	ROK	ACL Padres	—	63	51	15	4	1	1	11	9	0	3	1	294	419	471	890	176	333	14	17	391	151	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	116	105	26	5	3	1	9	28	2	5	4	248	319	381	700	133	329	24	8	314	99	-0	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	425	359	80	4	9	4	58	81	3	36	9	223	335	318	652	95	275	19	14	300	89	-5	+4	—	—	+9	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	61	55	12	1	2	0	3	14	2	1	2	218	283	309	592	91	269	23	5	246	53	-3	-1	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	63	55	12	3	1	1	7	13	0	3	1	218	306	364	670	145	261	21	11	291	83	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	116	107	20	4	2	1	7	39	2	5	4	187	250	290	540	103	277	34	6	235	45	-8	-1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	425	376	69	4	8	3	42	113	3	36	9	184	271	261	531	77	247	27	10	242	50	-25	+4	—	—	+9	-1.3
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	124	110	24	4	2	1	10	27	2	4	3	218	295	318	613	100	274	22	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	124	105	28	5	3	1	15	19	2	4	3	267	369	400	769	133	310	15	12	343	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	116	107	20	4	2	1	7	39	2	5	4	187	250	290	540	103	284	34	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	116	105	26	5	3	1	9	28	2	5	4	248	319	381	700	133	329	24	8	314	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	425	376	69	4	8	3	42	113	3	36	9	184	271	261	531	77	252	27	10	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	425	359	80	4	9	4	58	81	3	36	9	223	335	318	652	95	275	19	14	300	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	124	111	24	4	2	1	10	27	2	4	3	216	295	315	610	99	265	22	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	116	106	20	4	2	1	7	39	2	5	4	189	250	292	542	104	277	34	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	425	377	69	4	8	3	42	113	3	36	9	183	271	260	531	77	247	27	10	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	124	111	24	4	2	1	10	27	2	4	3	216	295	315	610	99	265	22	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	116	106	20	4	2	1	7	39	2	5	4	189	250	292	542	104	277	34	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	425	377	69	4	8	3	42	113	3	36	9	183	271	260	531	77	247	27	10	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	MIA	—	403	370	74	14	3	5	27	113	3	41	5	200	260	295	555	95	271	28	7	249	55	-22	+6	+0	+1	+9	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ RAW	MIA	—	403	359	89	18	4	7	38	84	3	41	5	248	325	379	704	131	303	21	9	316	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	MIA	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		254	22	11	246	53	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	MIA	—	412	378	75	14	3	5	28	115	3	42	5	198	259	291	550	93	268	28	7	249	55	-22	+6	+0	+1	+9	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIA	35%	459	417	84	14	4	8	36	117	3	25	4	201	270	312	581	110	258	25	8	262	64	-20	+3	+2	+2	+10	-0.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	49%	496	450	94	16	5	10	39	123	4	27	5	209	278	333	611	124	261	25	8	273	71	-17	+3	+2	+2	+11	0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	535	483	102	17	5	11	43	130	4	30	5	211	281	335	617	124	263	24	8	280	75	-16	+4	+2	+2	+12	0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	578	521	112	19	5	13	47	139	5	32	5	215	286	345	632	131	264	24	8	283	78	-15	+4	+2	+2	+13	0.6
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	587	528	113	19	5	13	49	141	5	32	5	214	287	343	630	129	264	24	8	284	79	-15	+4	+2	+2	+13	0.7
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	587	528	113	19	5	13	49	142	5	32	5	214	287	343	630	129	264	24	8	284	79	-15	+4	+2	+2	+13	0.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	582	523	112	19	5	13	49	141	5	31	5	214	288	344	632	130	264	24	8	284	78	-15	+4	+2	+2	+13	0.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	572	513	109	18	5	13	49	140	5	28	5	212	287	343	631	131	263	24	9	282	77	-16	+4	+1	+2	+12	0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	562	504	107	18	5	12	48	139	5	25	4	212	287	339	627	127	262	25	9	279	75	-17	+3	+0	+2	+12	0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIA	35%	159	145	27	4	1	2	12	41	1	9	1	186	253	269	522	83	251	26	8	250	64	-7	+1	+1	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	49%	241	218	43	7	2	4	19	60	2	13	2	197	268	303	571	106	254	25	8	261	71	-8	+2	+1	+1	+5	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	282	255	53	8	3	6	23	69	2	16	3	208	279	333	612	125	256	24	8	267	75	-8	+2	+1	+1	+6	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	316	284	60	10	3	7	26	76	3	17	3	211	284	342	626	130	257	24	8	270	78	-8	+2	+1	+1	+7	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	327	294	62	10	3	7	27	79	3	18	3	211	284	337	621	126	257	24	8	271	79	-8	+2	+1	+1	+7	0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	323	290	61	10	3	7	27	78	3	18	3	210	284	338	622	128	257	24	8	271	79	-8	+2	+1	+1	+7	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	318	285	59	9	3	7	27	77	3	17	3	207	283	333	616	126	257	24	8	270	78	-8	+2	+1	+1	+7	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	305	273	56	9	3	6	26	75	3	15	2	205	281	326	607	121	256	25	9	269	77	-8	+2	+1	+1	+7	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	295	266	54	9	2	6	25	73	2	13	2	203	276	320	596	117	255	25	8	267	75	-9	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2566	2310	475	76	23	52	212	628	22	136	22	206	279	326	605	120	257	24	8	267	73	-74	+18	+8	+9	+56	1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	120	19	6	13	54	159	6	34	6	205	280	325	604	120	257	24	8	267	73	-19	+5	+2	+2	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5632	5068	1060	171	56	111	469	1393	48	308	59	209	282	331	613	122	264	25	8	276	73	-146	+35	+16	+18	+108	3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	122	20	6	13	54	161	6	36	7	209	282	330	612	121	263	25	8	276	73	-19	+5	+2	+2	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11
#4Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Hernán Pérezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA	2.7	1,811	45	69	252	281	387	-0	+12	3.7	3.7
/162	664	16	25	-0.0	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.9	2,568	56	136	213	282	340	+9	+14	2.4	2.4
/162	664	14	35	+2.4	+3.6	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dillon Head (OGILVIE)	21	46	36	73	50	190/257/278	89	254	4	23	26%	7%	53	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	56	-1.9	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	65	-1.2	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Roberto Caro 2015 · A	21	45→41	38→40	63→60	49	212/292/308	96	281	3	21	24%	9%	72	-0.7	202/272/280	78	301	2	16	31%	8%	58	-1.7	215/287/293	78	329	2	26	32%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Rochest Cruz 2019 · A	20	49	37→40	61→65	54	226/303/299	73	269	4	34	16%	9%	74	-0.5	206/274/271	65	290	3	23	28%	7%	57	-1.8	144/214/156	12	235	0	30	35%	6%	7	-1.1
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Pedro Toribio 2012 · A	22	48	40	65→60	45	228/274/334	105	272	6	27	18%	6%	70	-0.8	246/275/326	80	306	3	23	20%	4%	68	-1.0	271/291/330	59	338	0	29	19%	2%	70	-0.3
✕Wes Rogers 2016 · A	22	47→51	39→40	65	43	224/282/312	88	295	6	35	25%	6%	69	-0.9	222/277/311	89	296	6	34	25%	6%	67	-1.1	216/271/303	86	289	6	36	26%	6%	60	-1.3
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	41→45	63→65	42	213/260/314	102	267	8	35	24%	5%	61	-1.5	243/285/345	102	306	7	37	22%	5%	78	-0.3	254/296/351	97	318	7	41	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Ty Morrison 2011 · A	21	44→53	40	63→55	38	207/264/306	99	317	6	28	35%	6%	61	-1.5	228/276/307	79	324	3	22	29%	5%	65	-1.2	242/288/312	70	332	1	23	26%	4%	67	-0.8
✕Jorge Mateo 2016 · A	21	46→48	38→50	67→65	41	218/267/308	90	300	4	44	28%	6%	62	-1.4	202/246/311	109	292	7	32	32%	5%	55	-2.0	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Billy Hamilton 2011 · A	20	44→54	37→40	62→70	39	207/251/284	77	292	3	28	29%	5%	50	-2.3	236/288/308	72	330	2	63	27%	7%	70	-0.9	241/300/326	84	310	4	55	22%	8%	76	-0.4
✕Randy Romero 2021 · A	21	50	37→40	60	46	236/278/312	77	269	3	22	14%	5%	67	-1.1	202/245/267	65	275	3	17	26%	5%	45	-2.7	178/216/225	47	246	1	22	27%	4%	22	-1.1
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/276/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	61	-1.5	195/258/287	92	323	7	29	39%	7%	55	-2.0	229/304/333	104	308	11	52	28%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Chris Garia 2015 · A	22	48→54	38→40	62→60	38	229/270/309	81	310	5	30	27%	4%	63	-1.4	224/264/336	112	293	9	24	26%	5%	68	-1.0	218/256/346	128	277	10	27	25%	4%	63	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2014 · A	21	46	36→40	57→65	50	215/283/286	72	264	2	25	19%	8%	63	-1.3	210/290/278	68	276	2	23	22%	9%	65	-1.2	196/288/254	58	259	1	30	22%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	43→51	40→45	59→55	40	207/258/309	101	292	7	20	30%	6%	59	-1.7	225/281/337	112	302	8	18	27%	6%	74	-0.5	227/288/340	113	297	9	18	25%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Ayendy Perez 2015 · A	21	49	34→30	57→60	47	226/283/285	60	284	1	23	20%	7%	63	-1.4	226/277/284	58	318	1	23	27%	6%	60	-1.6	230/282/279	48	334	0	29	29%	6%	58	-0.9
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2023 · A	21	42	38→30	62→70	39	195/262/277	82	303	5	38	35%	7%	54	-2.0	205/256/272	67	280	3	38	26%	5%	50	-2.3	202/248/254	52	267	2	51	24%	5%	40	-1.4
✕Junior Valera 2014 · A	21	47	36→40	58→60	48	218/284/296	79	282	1	19	22%	8%	66	-1.1	228/289/317	89	300	4	16	23%	8%	72	-0.7	245/306/339	94	314	6	23	22%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Eddy Diaz 2021 · A	21	48→53	37→40	59→65	51	224/291/308	84	269	3	26	18%	8%	72	-0.7	214/270/276	62	299	3	29	28%	5%	57	-1.8	202/260/259	57	281	3	31	28%	5%	46	-1.6
✕Raul Linares 2012 · A	21	41	36→45	59→55	45	193/258/267	74	254	2	23	24%	7%	50	-2.3	202/253/287	85	274	4	14	26%	6%	52	-2.2	217/260/323	106	275	7	7	23%	5%	60	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps