Dillon Head — OGILVIE

Dillon HeadCF Beloit Sky Carp

Age 21 L/L 5'10" / 185 lbs A+ HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION242 act + 161 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .281 / .305

PA161

HR2

SB12

K%27

BB%9

BABIP272

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED73

scouting grade only

DEFENSE56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$19M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	124	110	25	4	3	1	10	28	2	4	3	227	303	345	649	118	289	23	8	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	124	105	28	5	3	1	15	19	2	4	3	267	369	400	769	133	310	15	12	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	116	107	19	4	2	1	7	38	2	5	4	178	241	280	522	103	265	33	6	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	116	105	26	5	3	1	9	28	2	5	4	248	319	381	700	133	329	24	8	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	425	377	70	4	9	3	41	112	3	36	9	186	271	268	539	82	254	26	10	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	425	359	80	4	9	4	58	81	3	36	9	223	335	318	652	95	275	19	14	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	MIA	—	242	217	49	11	2	4	21	72	3	30	3	226	303	350	653	124	317	30	9	280	72	-8	+5	+0	+1	+7	0.5
YTD	21	A+	MIA	—	242	209	55	13	2	5	29	53	3	30	3	263	361	416	777	153	329	22	12	349	125	+7	+5	+0	+1	+7	2.0
ROS	21	A+	MIA	0%	161	144	29	5	2	2	14	44	2	12	2	201	281	305	586	104	266	27	9	262	59	-8	+2	+1	+1	+5	-0.0
ROS	21	MLB	MIA	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						262	0	0	251	50	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	MIA	—	243	218	49	11	2	4	21	72	3	30	3	225	302	349	650	124	315	30	9	280	72	-8	+5	+0	+1	+7	0.5
TOT	21	A+	MIA	—	403	361	78	16	4	6	35	116	5	42	5	216	294	332	626	116	298	29	9	273	67	-15	+6	+1	+1	+11	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	MIA	35%	478	428	86	15	5	7	42	127	5	27	5	201	280	308	588	107	265	27	9	267	63	-20	+3	+2	+2	+14	0.1
2028	23	MLB	MIA	49%	527	470	98	17	5	10	47	136	5	30	5	209	287	330	617	121	268	26	9	278	71	-17	+4	+2	+2	+15	0.6
2029	24	MLB	MIA	53%	559	498	106	18	6	11	50	142	6	31	5	213	292	339	632	127	270	25	9	284	76	-15	+4	+2	+2	+16	0.9
2030	25	MLB	MIA	55%	577	514	110	19	6	12	52	145	6	32	6	214	294	344	638	130	271	25	9	287	78	-14	+4	+2	+2	+16	1.1
2031	26	MLB	MIA	56%	585	520	111	19	6	12	54	147	6	33	6	213	295	342	637	129	271	25	9	288	79	-14	+4	+2	+2	+17	1.1
2032	27	MLB	MIA	55%	586	521	111	19	6	12	54	148	6	33	6	213	294	342	636	129	270	25	9	288	79	-14	+4	+2	+2	+17	1.2
2027	22	MLB	MIA	35%	165	147	29	5	2	2	15	44	2	9	2	197	280	299	580	102	261	27	9	257	55	-8	+1	+1	+1	+5	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	MIA	49%	256	228	47	8	3	4	23	66	3	14	2	206	287	320	608	114	264	26	9	267	62	-11	+2	+1	+1	+7	0.0
2029	24	MLB	MIA	53%	295	263	55	9	3	6	27	75	3	17	3	209	290	335	625	125	266	25	9	273	67	-11	+2	+1	+1	+8	0.2
2030	25	MLB	MIA	55%	316	281	59	10	3	6	29	79	3	18	3	210	291	331	622	121	266	25	9	276	69	-11	+2	+1	+1	+9	0.3
2031	26	MLB	MIA	56%	326	290	61	10	3	7	30	82	3	18	3	210	291	338	629	128	266	25	9	277	70	-11	+2	+1	+1	+9	0.3
2032	27	MLB	MIA	55%	322	286	60	10	3	7	30	81	3	18	3	210	292	339	631	129	266	25	9	277	70	-11	+2	+1	+1	+9	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1681	1496	311	52	17	32	154	427	17	94	16	208	289	330	619	122	267	25	9	272	67	-63	+12	+7	+6	+48	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	120	20	7	12	60	165	7	36	6	208	290	329	619	121	267	25	9	272	67	-24	+5	+3	+2	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	4138	3689	765	124	50	71	371	1067	43	243	51	207	287	326	613	118	270	26	9	276	70	-142	+28	+14	+15	+117	3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	120	19	8	11	58	168	7	38	8	207	287	325	612	117	270	26	9	276	70	-22	+4	+2	+2	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	61	54	13	1	2	0	4	10	2	1	2	241	317	333	650	93	289	16	7	292	82	-1	-1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2023	18	ROK	ACL Padres	—	63	51	15	4	1	1	11	9	0	3	1	294	419	471	890	176	333	14	17	391	158	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	116	105	26	5	3	1	9	28	2	5	4	248	319	381	700	133	329	24	8	314	99	-0	-1	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	425	359	80	4	9	4	58	81	3	36	9	223	335	318	652	95	275	19	14	300	88	-6	+4	—	—	+12	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
#3Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,681	33	94	212	289	338	+6	+8	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	13	37	212	289	338	+2.4	+3.3	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dillon Head (OGILVIE)	21	46	36	73	50	216/294/332	116	298	6	42	29%	9%	67	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Roberto Caro 2015 · A	21	45→38	38→40	63→60	49	212/292/308	96	281	3	21	24%	9%	69	-0.4	201/272/280	79	302	2	16	31%	8%	53	-1.5	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Ty Morrison 2011 · A	21	45→51	40	64→55	38	209/266/311	102	319	6	28	34%	6%	58	-1.2	229/277/309	80	325	3	22	29%	5%	62	-0.9	241/288/311	69	331	1	23	26%	4%	62	-0.7
✕Pedro Toribio 2012 · A	22	48	40	65→60	45	228/274/334	105	272	6	27	18%	6%	66	-0.6	250/279/329	79	309	3	23	19%	4%	66	-0.6	280/299/338	58	344	0	29	18%	2%	72	-0.1
✕Rochest Cruz 2019 · A	20	49	37→40	61→65	54	226/303/299	73	269	4	34	16%	9%	71	-0.3	206/274/271	65	290	3	23	28%	7%	52	-1.6	144/214/156	12	235	0	30	35%	6%	-5	-1.2
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	42→45	63→65	42	210/257/316	106	264	9	35	24%	5%	56	-1.3	242/284/347	105	305	8	37	22%	5%	74	-0.1	253/294/353	100	318	7	41	22%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Wes Rogers 2016 · A	22	47→48	38→40	65	43	223/280/308	85	293	5	35	25%	6%	63	-0.8	217/271/302	85	297	5	34	27%	6%	58	-1.2	209/263/288	80	288	5	36	28%	6%	48	-1.5
●Billy Hamilton 2011 · A	20	44→54	37→40	62→70	39	207/251/284	77	292	3	28	29%	5%	43	-2.2	238/289/310	72	334	2	63	27%	7%	66	-0.6	249/300/336	88	321	4	80	22%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	59→50	45	244/300/322	78	309	3	20	21%	6%	75	-0.0	224/270/287	63	290	2	11	22%	4%	53	-1.5	270/323/338	69	342	4	10	21%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/276/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	56	-1.3	199/259/296	97	325	8	29	38%	7%	52	-1.6	227/303/343	115	312	13	52	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Randy Romero 2021 · A	21	50	37→40	60	46	236/278/312	77	269	3	22	14%	5%	63	-0.9	202/245/265	63	275	3	17	26%	5%	37	-2.7	177/216/220	43	245	1	22	27%	4%	11	-1.1
✕Junior Valera 2014 · A	21	47	36→40	58→60	48	218/284/296	79	282	1	19	22%	8%	62	-0.9	228/289/317	89	300	4	16	23%	8%	69	-0.4	245/306/339	94	314	6	23	22%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	42→50	40→45	59→55	39	204/254/302	98	293	6	20	31%	6%	50	-1.7	223/280/337	114	302	9	18	28%	6%	71	-0.3	225/287/343	117	297	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2014 · A	21	46	36→40	57→65	50	215/283/286	72	264	2	25	19%	8%	59	-1.1	210/290/278	68	276	2	23	22%	9%	60	-1.0	196/288/254	58	259	1	30	22%	10%	50	-0.6
●Rey Fuentes 2011 · A	20	46→56	36→40	59→60	38	219/261/290	71	297	3	25	27%	4%	50	-1.8	223/271/306	83	318	6	27	30%	5%	59	-1.1	274/321/368	94	353	8	33	23%	5%	91	+0.8
✕Ayendy Perez 2015 · A	21	49	34→30	57→60	47	226/283/285	60	284	1	23	20%	7%	58	-1.2	225/277/281	56	316	1	23	27%	7%	54	-1.4	228/281/275	46	330	0	29	29%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Gerson Manzanillo 2007 · A	21	47	36→30	58→50	43	221/268/291	70	277	2	16	20%	5%	53	-1.5	211/255/278	67	290	3	12	27%	5%	43	-2.2	253/283/310	57	297	3	13	15%	3%	59	-0.5
✕Jorge Mateo 2016 · A	21	45→46	38→50	66→65	41	213/261/302	89	295	4	44	28%	6%	53	-1.5	199/242/313	114	289	8	32	33%	5%	48	-1.9	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Delino DeShields 2014 · A	21	48→55	40→45	62→65	44	228/292/324	96	309	7	37	27%	7%	72	-0.2	229/303/336	107	310	8	35	26%	9%	80	+0.4	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6