Dillon Head — OGILVIE

Dillon HeadCF Beloit Sky Carp

Age 21 L/L 5'10" / 185 lbs A+ HR -4%BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 2.1 · 2031

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .292 / .335

PA320

HR6

SB9

K%26

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35↗46

PWR

30↗37

SPD

70↗74

FLD

50↗56

EYE

53↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.0peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.0	$18M	+$17M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.1	$19M	+$19M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.1	$20M	+$19M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.0	$20M	+$15M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.8	$18M	+$12M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.5	$16M	+$8M
Totals		$20M		$111M	+$91M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	124	110	24	4	2	1	10	27	2	4	3	.218	.295	.318	.613	.100	.274	22	8	.271	66	-5	-0	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
2024	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	116	107	19	4	2	1	7	38	2	5	4	.178	.241	.280	.522	.103	.265	33	6	.235	38	-8	-1	+0	+0	+3	-0.5
2025	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	425	376	69	4	8	3	42	113	3	36	9	.184	.271	.261	.531	.077	.252	27	10	.243	44	-27	+4	+0	+2	+12	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	22	21	1	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	.048	.091	.048	.139	.000	.062	23	5	.079	-81	-5	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.4
ROS	21	MLB	MIA	298	268	58	10	3	5	25	77	3	8	2	.216	.291	.332	.623	.116	.284	26	8	.286	77	-8	+1	+1	+1	+8	0.3
TOT	21	MLB	MIA	320	289	59	10	3	5	26	82	3	9	2	.204	.277	.311	.588	.107	.266	26	8	.271	66	-12	+1	+1	+1	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	MIA	467	417	95	17	4	10	42	116	5	14	4	.228	.306	.360	.666	.132	.286	25	9	.298	86	-7	+1	+1	+2	+13	1.0
2028	23	MLB 28%	MIA	517	459	106	19	4	12	48	125	5	16	5	.231	.311	.368	.679	.137	.287	24	9	.305	92	-5	+1	+1	+2	+15	1.4
2029	24	MLB 45%	MIA	548	485	113	20	4	14	52	130	6	18	5	.233	.315	.377	.692	.144	.287	24	9	.310	96	-3	+2	+1	+2	+16	1.8
2030	25	MLB 60%	MIA	566	500	118	21	4	15	55	134	6	18	5	.236	.319	.384	.703	.148	.288	24	10	.314	98	-1	+2	+1	+2	+16	2.0
2031	26	MLB 78%	MIA	574	506	119	21	4	15	57	135	6	19	5	.235	.320	.381	.701	.146	.289	24	10	.316	100	-0	+2	+1	+2	+16	2.1
2032	27	MLB 92%	MIA	575	506	118	21	4	15	58	136	6	19	5	.233	.319	.379	.699	.146	.289	24	10	.316	100	-0	+2	+1	+2	+16	2.1
2033	28	MLB	MIA	571	502	118	21	4	15	58	136	6	18	4	.235	.322	.382	.704	.147	.288	24	10	.315	99	-1	+2	+0	+2	+16	2.0
2034	29	MLB	MIA	561	493	114	20	4	14	57	136	6	17	4	.231	.318	.373	.692	.142	.287	24	10	.312	97	-2	+2	-0	+2	+16	1.8
2035	30	MLB	MIA	550	483	111	19	4	14	56	135	6	16	4	.230	.317	.373	.690	.143	.286	25	10	.309	95	-3	+2	-1	+2	+16	1.5
2036	31	MLB	MIA	536	471	107	19	4	13	54	134	6	15	3	.227	.315	.367	.682	.140	.285	25	10	.306	92	-5	+2	-2	+2	+15	1.2
2037	32	MLB	MIA	518	456	102	18	4	12	52	132	5	14	2	.224	.310	.360	.670	.136	.283	25	10	.301	88	-7	+2	-3	+2	+15	0.9
2038	33	MLB	MIA	488	431	94	16	3	11	49	128	5	13	2	.218	.305	.346	.651	.128	.282	26	10	.295	84	-9	+2	-3	+2	+14	0.5
2039	34	MLB	MIA	442	391	83	14	3	9	44	119	4	12	1	.212	.298	.332	.631	.120	.280	27	10	.289	79	-10	+2	-4	+2	+13	0.2
2040	35	MLB	MIA	387	342	72	12	3	8	38	108	4	11	1	.211	.297	.333	.630	.123	.278	28	10	.282	74	-12	+2	-5	+1	+11	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8263	7303	1640	280	68	187	804	2059	86	273	68	.225	.309	.358	.667	.134	.285	25	10	.300	88	-111	+27	-12	+30	+234	17.1
/ 162G	—			650	574	129	22	5	15	63	162	7	21	5	.225	.309	.359	.667	.134	.285	25	10	.300	88	-9	+2	-1	+2	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	61	54	13	1	2	0	4	10	2	1	2	.241	.317	.333	.650	.093	.289	16	7	.292	82	-1	-1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2023	18	ROK	ACL Padres	63	51	15	4	1	1	11	9	0	3	1	.294	.419	.471	.890	.176	.333	14	17	.391	158	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	116	105	26	5	3	1	9	28	2	5	4	.248	.319	.381	.700	.133	.329	24	8	.314	99	-0	-1	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	425	359	80	4	9	4	58	81	3	36	9	.223	.335	.318	.652	.095	.275	19	14	.300	88	-6	+4	—	—	+12	1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dillon Head (OGILVIE)	21	35→46	30→37	70→74	50	.218/.292/.335	.117	.284	6	9	26%	9%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	45→53	43→50	61→55	44	.220/.278/.344	.124	.294	9	27	28%	7%	72	-0.2	.237/.291/.371	.134	.285	13	17	21%	7%	85	+0.7	.244/.299/.375	.131	.283	14	12	19%	6%	86	+0.8
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	39→49	38→45	58→55	45	.188/.259/.276	.088	.265	5	16	29%	8%	46	-2.0	.210/.284/.296	.086	.280	6	17	25%	8%	63	-0.9	.229/.318/.327	.099	.300	9	17	24%	11%	81	+0.3
✕Ty Morrison 2011 · A	21	46→51	40	63→55	39	.213/.270/.316	.102	.318	6	27	33%	6%	61	-1.0	.227/.276/.309	.082	.324	3	23	29%	5%	61	-1.0	.238/.284/.308	.070	.330	2	23	27%	4%	60	-0.8
✕Roberto Caro 2015 · A	21	46→39	38→40	62→60	49	.213/.292/.305	.092	.282	3	21	24%	9%	68	-0.5	.204/.275/.284	.080	.297	2	16	29%	8%	55	-1.4	.219/.291/.296	.077	.328	2	26	31%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	45→47	43→45	57→60	53	.214/.313/.328	.115	.295	9	20	28%	11%	84	+0.6	.215/.314/.338	.123	.272	13	32	24%	11%	87	+0.8	.209/.308/.338	.130	.260	14	40	24%	11%	81	+0.5
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	58→50	45	.241/.297/.320	.079	.307	3	18	22%	6%	73	-0.1	.226/.272/.288	.062	.291	2	11	22%	4%	53	-1.5	.274/.326/.342	.068	.345	3	10	20%	5%	88	+0.5
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	45→55	42→45	57→70	45	.220/.273/.329	.110	.277	8	17	23%	7%	66	-0.6	.218/.270/.313	.095	.291	8	18	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.260/.332/.371	.111	.354	9	50	27%	9%	98	+1.0
✕Brandon Roberts 2006 · A	21	49→59	39→40	57→55	43	.236/.287/.322	.086	.295	6	20	22%	5%	69	-0.4	.251/.298/.318	.067	.312	4	23	20%	5%	72	-0.2	.276/.331/.345	.070	.330	4	22	17%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	49	39→45	59→60	51	.227/.311/.328	.101	.310	4	15	26%	10%	82	+0.5	.205/.273/.294	.089	.326	6	25	36%	7%	57	-1.2	.220/.298/.337	.116	.314	13	41	32%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	44→54	40→45	57→55	46	.212/.280/.309	.097	.289	6	21	28%	8%	63	-0.8	.250/.309/.355	.105	.324	7	26	23%	7%	87	+0.8	.260/.318/.360	.100	.329	7	29	22%	7%	88	+0.8
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	56→55	51	.229/.303/.336	.107	.265	9	17	17%	8%	81	+0.4	.248/.301/.331	.083	.281	5	14	13%	6%	77	+0.1	.256/.317/.334	.078	.294	4	14	13%	8%	82	+0.4
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	44→49	40→45	59→55	41	.210/.263/.309	.099	.290	7	20	29%	6%	56	-1.3	.223/.279/.336	.113	.300	9	18	27%	6%	70	-0.3	.225/.286/.343	.117	.296	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	63→65	42	.205/.267/.282	.077	.295	2	25	29%	7%	51	-1.7	.219/.282/.293	.074	.330	4	28	32%	7%	60	-1.0	.230/.297/.289	.060	.352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Victor Scott II 2023 · A	22	44→54	44→40	57→65	50	.214/.296/.341	.127	.291	10	19	28%	10%	79	+0.3	.226/.286/.327	.101	.285	8	44	22%	6%	71	-0.3	.219/.283/.310	.090	.276	7	49	22%	6%	63	-0.7
●Mallex Smith 2014 · A	21	49→59	37→45	58→65	48	.230/.300/.300	.070	.295	5	33	23%	8%	70	-0.3	.257/.321/.348	.091	.334	5	44	23%	8%	90	+1.0	.272/.334/.371	.099	.351	5	52	22%	8%	98	+1.2
✕Pedro Toribio 2012 · A	22	47	39→40	63→60	46	.225/.273/.324	.099	.270	5	25	19%	6%	63	-0.8	.246/.276/.328	.082	.304	3	23	19%	4%	65	-0.7	.272/.292/.330	.058	.335	0	29	18%	2%	67	-0.2
✕Rey Fuentes 2012 · A	21	47→57	38→40	57→60	38	.221/.264/.297	.076	.304	5	26	28%	4%	53	-1.5	.230/.283/.314	.084	.321	6	28	28%	6%	66	-0.6	.270/.319/.363	.092	.348	8	33	23%	6%	89	+0.7
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	46→52	45→50	55	51	.224/.304/.359	.135	.280	11	21	23%	9%	87	+0.8	.231/.318/.378	.147	.301	14	21	26%	10%	98	+1.6	.227/.321/.379	.152	.295	16	24	26%	10%	96	+0.9
●CJ Abrams 2022 · AA	21	51→53	43→55	56→60	43	.247/.296/.367	.120	.312	8	21	23%	6%	85	+0.7	.247/.296/.379	.132	.295	13	29	20%	5%	89	+0.9	.248/.310/.428	.179	.287	18	35	20%	6%	104	+2.1
●Maikel Garcia 2022 · A	22	50→56	39→45	58→60	50	.237/.300/.330	.093	.298	5	21	21%	8%	77	+0.1	.243/.299/.343	.100	.308	7	27	22%	7%	80	+0.4	.251/.312/.364	.113	.295	9	27	17%	8%	88	+1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)