Ronnier Heras

2B DSL Padres Brown

Age 18 R/R ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Padres Br…	220	.222/.332/.265	0	9	15	—	.144/.230/.169
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBSD	330	.228/.294/.301	2	6	70	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBSD	92	.228/.296/.308	1	2	75	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBSD	190	.231/.301/.320	2	4	80	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%87

Z-Con%84

K%81

Chase%44

BB%38

Speed34

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsDameury Pena (age 18) · Isiah Kiner-Falefa (age 19) · Osleivis Basabe (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 189 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .292 / .299

PA189

HR1

K%23

BB%8

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 63 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT63

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	220	185	41	8	0	0	30	33	1	9	3	222	332	265	597	43	268	15	14	281	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	220	195	28	5	0	0	21	40	1	9	3	144	230	169	400	26	179	18	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	220	195	28	5	0	0	21	40	1	9	3	144	230	169	400	26	179	18	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	220	185	41	8	0	0	30	33	1	9	3	222	332	265	597	43	268	15	14	281	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	220	196	28	5	0	0	21	40	1	9	3	143	230	168	399	26	179	18	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	220	196	28	5	0	0	21	40	1	9	3	143	230	168	399	26	179	18	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	SD	0%	330	299	69	12	2	2	26	77	2	6	1	228	294	301	596	73	297	23	8	272	70	-12	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	SD	34%	269	244	57	10	2	2	21	62	2	5	2	232	300	314	614	82	298	23	8	280	75	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	SD	48%	392	354	82	14	2	4	31	89	4	8	3	235	304	325	630	90	300	23	8	286	80	-9	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	SD	54%	483	436	104	18	3	6	39	109	5	11	4	238	308	335	643	97	300	23	8	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.3
2031	22	MLB MLE	SD	57%	546	491	117	20	3	8	44	123	6	12	4	240	310	343	653	103	301	23	8	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.6
2032	23	MLB MLE	SD	58%	590	531	128	22	4	9	48	132	6	13	5	241	312	349	661	108	301	22	8	298	88	-8	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.7
2033	24	MLB MLE	SD	57%	616	554	134	23	4	10	50	138	7	13	5	242	313	352	665	110	302	22	8	300	89	-8	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.8
2034	25	MLB MLE	SD	57%	627	564	137	23	4	11	51	140	7	14	5	243	313	353	666	111	302	22	8	300	90	-8	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.9
2035	26	MLB MLE	SD	57%	634	570	139	24	4	11	52	142	7	14	5	243	313	354	667	111	302	22	8	301	90	-8	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.9
2036	27	MLB MLE	SD	55%	634	570	138	23	4	11	52	143	7	13	5	241	312	351	663	110	301	23	8	299	89	-9	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.8
2037	28	MLB MLE	SD	55%	629	566	136	23	4	10	52	143	6	12	5	240	310	346	657	107	300	23	8	296	87	-10	+0	-1	+2	+14	0.6
2038	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	619	558	131	22	3	9	50	142	6	11	5	237	307	340	647	103	299	23	8	293	84	-12	+0	-1	+2	+13	0.3
2039	30	MLB MLE	SD	53%	609	549	129	22	3	9	49	142	6	11	6	234	304	332	636	98	298	23	8	288	81	-14	-0	-2	+2	+13	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	SD	34%	92	84	20	3	1	1	7	21	1	2	1	228	296	308	605	80	293	23	8	276	75	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	SD	48%	190	171	39	6	1	2	15	43	2	4	1	231	301	320	621	88	294	23	8	282	80	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	SD	54%	262	236	56	9	2	4	21	59	3	6	2	234	304	329	634	96	295	23	8	287	83	-5	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2031	22	MLB CTX	SD	57%	309	278	67	11	2	5	25	70	3	7	2	236	307	337	644	102	295	23	8	292	86	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2032	23	MLB CTX	SD	58%	340	305	73	12	2	6	28	76	4	7	3	237	308	344	652	107	296	22	8	295	88	-5	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.4
2033	24	MLB CTX	SD	57%	351	315	75	12	2	6	29	79	4	8	3	239	309	347	656	108	296	23	8	296	89	-5	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.5
2034	25	MLB CTX	SD	57%	356	320	76	12	2	6	29	80	4	8	3	239	310	348	658	109	297	22	8	297	90	-4	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.5
2035	26	MLB CTX	SD	57%	359	323	76	12	2	6	29	80	4	8	3	239	310	349	658	110	296	22	8	297	90	-4	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.5
2036	27	MLB CTX	SD	55%	352	316	75	12	2	6	29	79	4	7	3	238	309	346	655	108	296	22	8	296	89	-5	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.4
2037	28	MLB CTX	SD	55%	345	311	74	12	2	6	28	78	3	7	3	236	307	341	648	105	295	23	8	293	87	-5	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.3
2038	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	331	298	70	11	2	5	27	76	3	6	3	234	304	335	639	101	294	23	8	289	84	-6	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2039	30	MLB CTX	SD	53%	321	289	68	11	2	5	26	75	3	6	3	231	301	327	628	96	292	23	8	285	81	-7	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3608	3246	769	123	22	58	293	816	38	76	30	237	308	342	649	105	297	23	8	292	83	-60	+3	-2	+13	+78	3.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	138	22	4	10	53	147	7	14	5	236	307	338	646	103	296	23	8	292	83	-11	+1	-0	+2	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	7057	6353	1499	256	41	101	575	1589	71	149	58	236	306	337	643	101	298	23	8	291	83	-119	+6	-4	+24	+148	5.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	138	24	4	9	53	146	7	14	5	236	307	337	644	101	298	22	8	291	83	-11	+1	-0	+2	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Ralph Young'13-'22 * career totals — 8 seasons, 4,336 PA	6.5	4,336	4	92	233*	324*	337*	+16	+8	7.3	8.4
/162	664	1	14	+2.5	+1.2	1.1	pk7: 9
#3Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.7	3,796	57	78	240	307	344	+14	+7	5.8	5.2
/162	664	10	14	+2.4	+1.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ronnier Heras (OGILVIE)	18	58→63	28→33	50→55	59	226/292/299	73	297	1	3	23%	8%	70	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dameury Pena 2024 · A	18	49→59	36→30	53→55	51	226/285/298	73	256	2	16	13%	7%	67	-1.1	228/286/308	80	252	6	15	12%	7%	70	-0.9	241/299/311	70	264	6	18	11%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2014 · A	19	51→58	34→40	50→55	44	236/285/290	53	305	2	14	22%	6%	64	-1.3	241/294/285	44	301	1	9	19%	6%	67	-1.1	265/312/343	78	301	6	21	14%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	47→57	36→45	49→50	50	218/277/294	76	258	2	12	16%	7%	63	-1.4	229/275/301	72	282	3	12	19%	5%	63	-1.4	276/322/383	106	335	4	17	18%	5%	96	+0.8
✕Tim Lopes 2013 · A	19	48→58	37→45	55	47	222/273/314	92	274	2	8	19%	6%	65	-1.2	233/277/307	74	298	3	13	21%	5%	65	-1.2	267/317/348	81	330	3	20	19%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Rubén Tejada 2009 · A	19	47→57	36→40	47→50	47	220/280/288	68	271	3	9	19%	6%	63	-1.4	249/304/321	72	295	3	9	16%	6%	79	-0.2	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Oswald Peraza 2018 · A	18	46→54	35→50	53→60	44	214/285/281	67	280	1	11	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/274/278	66	288	4	15	26%	6%	59	-1.7	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	53	235/305/308	72	289	4	11	19%	9%	76	-0.4	247/295/316	69	318	4	12	22%	6%	74	-0.6	288/348/379	91	345	5	15	17%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Ryan Brett 2011 · A	19	47→57	37→45	54→60	42	219/270/295	76	299	3	17	26%	6%	60	-1.6	240/286/340	100	292	6	24	19%	6%	76	-0.4	266/307/374	108	325	8	30	20%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Johan Rojas 2019 · A	18	46→56	36→45	50→65	44	214/263/280	66	255	3	14	17%	5%	54	-2.0	217/270/310	93	273	5	15	21%	6%	63	-1.3	260/302/359	100	326	7	41	21%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2016 · A	19	51→57	35→50	51→50	48	237/305/292	56	305	2	9	22%	7%	73	-0.6	238/293/326	88	307	6	12	23%	6%	76	-0.4	255/311/393	138	311	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Abiatal Avelino 2013 · A	18	45→54	35→45	54→55	49	209/282/267	58	253	2	16	18%	7%	59	-1.6	228/282/303	75	282	3	23	19%	6%	67	-1.1	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Andruw Monasterio 2015 · A	18	44→54	35→45	55	48	203/263/259	56	247	2	16	18%	7%	49	-2.4	205/260/265	60	260	2	11	21%	6%	50	-2.3	241/316/348	107	322	9	15	26%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2016 · A	18	48→58	35→45	55→50	46	219/293/284	64	257	2	18	15%	5%	68	-1.0	232/276/305	73	279	3	15	17%	3%	65	-1.2	257/302/356	100	301	7	16	17%	3%	83	+0.0
✕Kean Wong 2014 · A	19	51→61	35→45	52→55	43	240/281/300	61	293	2	9	19%	5%	65	-1.2	263/297/326	63	336	3	10	21%	5%	77	-0.3	262/307/372	111	343	9	9	25%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Luis Sardinas 2011 · A	18	49→57	35→40	50→55	43	231/278/292	60	293	2	12	21%	5%	62	-1.4	245/288/304	59	308	2	17	20%	5%	69	-0.9	256/289/338	81	305	8	11	18%	4%	74	-0.3

Ronnier Heras

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps