Henderson Hernandez

P DSL Mets Orange

Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 182 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Mets Oran…	9	5	23	5.01	3.49	18.1%	6.7%	—	K 12.3% · BB 8.3% · FIP 4.79
2026	19	ROKDSL Mets Oran…	11	3	27	4.00	3.95	19.5%	15.6%	—	K 13.3% · BB 19.5% · FIP 5.05
2027PROJ	20	MLB—	14	0	15	5.36	5.36	19.0%	14.8%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLB—	12	0	13	5.11	5.01	20.2%	13.0%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsTanner Cooper (age 21) · Juan Mendez (age 22) · Will Kobos (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.36

FIP5.36

K%19.0%

BB%14.8%

K-BB%4.2%

Proj IP15

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	9	5	23	105	19	7	2	56%	2.6	12.3%	8.3%	4.0%	3.1%	5.01	4.79	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	9	5	23	105	19	7	2	56%	2.6	12.3%	8.3%	4.0%	3.1%	5.01	4.79	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	9	5	23	105	19	7	2	56%	2.6	18.1%	6.7%	11.4%	1.9%	5.01	3.49	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	11	3	27	128	25	20	1	27%	2.5	13.3%	19.5%	-6.2%	1.1%	4.00	5.05	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	11	3	27	128	25	20	1	27%	2.5	13.3%	19.5%	-6.2%	1.1%	4.00	5.05	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	11	3	27	128	25	20	1	27%	2.5	19.5%	15.6%	3.9%	0.8%	4.00	3.95	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	—	14	0	15	63	12	9	2	0%	1.1	19.0%	14.8%	4.2%	2.9%	5.36	5.36	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	24	0	26	108	22	14	3	0%	1.1	20.2%	13.0%	7.1%	2.9%	5.11	5.01	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	12	0	13	55	11	7	2	0%	1.1	20.2%	13.0%	7.1%	2.9%	5.11	5.01	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	53	11	7	2	0%	1.0	20.1%	13.0%	7.1%	2.9%	5.11	4.63	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	112	32	0%	1.1	20.1%	13.0%	7.1%	2.9%	5.11	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		20	8	50	233	30	34	5	40%	2.5	12.8%	14.5%	-1.6%	2.0%	4.47	4.94	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		79	32	200	926	119	134	18	40%	2.5	12.8%	14.5%	-1.6%	2.0%	4.47	4.94	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Henderson Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.36	19.0%	14.8%	2.9%	—	5.01	20.2%	7.1%	26	-0.35	—	—	—
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	87
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	87
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	86
Johzan Oquendo R 2021 · 4.22 FIP	20	SW	4.22	18.4%	14.5%	1.5%	.294	3.65	23.5%	5.7%	113	-0.57	3.62	187	85
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	84
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	84
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	84
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	83
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	83
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	82
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	81
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	81
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	81
Juan Burgos R 2019 · 4.75 FIP	19	SW	4.75	15.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.292	4.38	17.7%	0.8%	58	-0.37	3.50	284	81
Tyler Driver R 2021 · 5.26 FIP	20	SW	5.26	15.0%	13.8%	3.1%	.312	5.68	14.5%	1.4%	88	+0.42	5.17	180	81
Victor Espiritu R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	14.6%	12.7%	1.8%	.294	4.04	13.5%	1.8%	60	-0.41	3.49	101	81
Luis De La Cruz R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	20	SW	4.31	17.5%	16.9%	1.0%	.281	5.19	18.3%	-2.9%	124	+0.88	3.55	158	81
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	81
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	81
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.71	17.6%	1.2%	150	+0.03	4.54	203	81