Tyler Driver — OGILVIE

Tyler Driver P ACL Mariners

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%21.2%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	10	49	206	44	14	6	71%	3.5	14.3%	8.3%	6.0%	4.3%	5.33	5.31	—
2019	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	10	49	206	44	14	6	71%	3.5	21.4%	6.8%	14.6%	2.9%	5.33	3.75	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	5	51	240	51	26	5	28%	2.9	15.0%	13.8%	1.2%	3.1%	5.79	5.26	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	3 levels	18	5	51	240	51	26	5	28%	2.9	21.2%	10.8%	10.4%	2.1%	5.79	3.90	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	0	58	256	52	29	5	0%	1.6	15.0%	12.4%	2.5%	3.2%	3.59	5.17	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	0	58	256	52	29	5	0%	1.6	20.3%	11.3%	9.0%	2.0%	3.59	3.93	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	4 levels	29	0	44	226	40	31	8	0%	1.5	13.7%	14.3%	-0.7%	5.0%	10.35	6.49	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	4 levels	29	0	44	226	40	31	8	0%	1.5	13.7%	14.3%	-0.7%	5.0%	10.35	6.49	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	4 levels	29	0	44	226	40	31	8	0%	1.5	17.7%	13.7%	4.0%	3.5%	10.35	5.74	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	SEA	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	21.2%	11.0%	10.2%	3.0%	4.75	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SEA	19	0	20	85	18	9	3	0%	1.1	21.7%	10.8%	10.9%	3.0%	4.69	4.69	-0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	SEA	9	0	9	38	8	4	1	0%	1.0	21.7%	10.8%	10.9%	3.0%	4.69	4.69	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	21.7%	10.8%	10.9%	3.0%	4.69	4.31	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	185	93	23	0%	1.1	21.7%	10.8%	10.9%	3.0%	4.69	4.31	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		96	15	202	928	135	114	36	16%	2.1	14.5%	12.3%	2.2%	3.8%	6.05	5.55	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	15	200	917	133	113	35	16%	2.1	14.5%	12.3%	2.2%	3.8%	6.05	5.55	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Driver (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	21.2%	11.0%	3.0%	—	4.69	21.7%	10.9%	20	-0.06	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	83
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	83
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.31	22.6%	11.3%	22	+0.89	4.42	152	82
Jordan Milbrath R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	19.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.272	3.61	19.6%	9.7%	129	-0.44	3.19	386	81
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	81
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	80
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	80
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	80
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	79
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	79
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	79
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	79
Kyle Bischoff R 2023 · 5.26 FIP	24	SU	5.26	23.6%	11.8%	4.8%	.240	3.86	21.7%	8.5%	139	-1.40	3.21	161	79
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	79
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	78
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	78
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	78
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	78
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	78
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	78