Victor Espiritu — OGILVIE

Victor Espiritu P FCL Blue Jays

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 110

ERA4.92

FIP4.92

K%18.6%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%7.2%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	15	4	41	177	38	18	2	27%	2.7	14.6%	12.7%	1.9%	1.8%	4.87	4.45	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	15	4	41	177	38	18	2	27%	2.7	14.6%	12.7%	1.9%	1.8%	4.87	4.45	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	15	4	41	177	38	18	2	27%	2.7	21.5%	10.2%	11.3%	1.1%	4.87	3.20	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	12	4	31	133	24	12	0	33%	2.6	12.3%	11.3%	1.0%	0.0%	3.52	3.49	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	12	4	31	133	24	12	0	33%	2.6	12.3%	11.3%	1.0%	0.0%	3.52	3.49	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	12	4	31	133	24	12	0	33%	2.6	18.0%	9.0%	9.0%	0.0%	3.52	2.71	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	12	4	32	133	30	12	2	33%	2.6	14.7%	12.0%	2.7%	2.2%	3.69	4.61	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	12	4	32	133	30	12	2	33%	2.6	14.7%	12.0%	2.7%	2.2%	3.69	4.61	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	TOR	10	3	29	125	27	12	2	30%	2.9	21.6%	9.6%	12.0%	1.6%	3.99	3.37	—
2026	21	A RAW	TOR	2	1	2	8	3	0	0	50%	1.1	37.5%	0.0%	37.5%	0.0%	0.00	-0.07	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TOR	37	0	38	162	33	17	5	0%	1.0	20.3%	10.3%	10.1%	2.8%	4.71	4.61	-0.0
2027	22	MLB CTX	TOR	18	0	19	80	16	8	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.3%	10.1%	2.8%	4.71	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	0	19	80	16	8	2	0%	1.0	20.3%	10.3%	10.1%	2.8%	4.71	4.23	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	85	21	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.3%	10.1%	2.8%	4.71	4.23	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		39	12	103	443	62	53	6	31%	2.6	13.9%	12.1%	1.9%	1.4%	4.11	4.21	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	23	200	860	120	104	12	31%	2.6	13.9%	12.1%	1.9%	1.4%	4.11	4.21	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Victor Espiritu (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	18.6%	11.4%	2.9%	—	4.61	20.3%	10.1%	38	-0.31	—	—	—
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	88
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.01	538	86
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	85
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	85
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	85
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	84
Joel Garcia R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	19	SW	4.26	18.4%	13.0%	1.9%	.341	3.88	16.7%	9.5%	72	-0.38	3.02	104	82
Simon Mathews R 2017 · 4.09 FIP	21	SW	4.09	17.7%	7.5%	2.8%	.326	4.42	16.0%	5.9%	167	+0.33	4.09	215	82
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	81
Conor Harber R 2015 · 3.93 FIP	21	SW	3.93	14.3%	10.0%	1.4%	.257	4.33	16.3%	2.8%	262	+0.40	3.05	333	81
Jeral Vizcaino R 2023 · 3.81 FIP	21	SW	3.81	15.9%	12.1%	1.0%	.250	4.27	16.4%	5.2%	67	+0.46	3.56	138	81
A.J. Bogucki R 2017 · 3.84 FIP	22	SW	3.84	15.5%	8.4%	1.8%	.308	4.40	19.2%	8.2%	87	+0.56	3.84	142	81
Denis Reguillo R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	19	SW	5.27	17.6%	11.6%	4.0%	.358	5.19	10.7%	-8.3%	52	-0.08	3.78	109	80
Luis F. Castillo R 2016 · 4.51 FIP	21	SU	4.51	16.7%	10.5%	2.7%	.337	3.50	19.7%	12.3%	96	-1.01	2.95	254	80
Nick Gallagher R 2018 · 4.26 FIP	22	SW	4.26	17.2%	7.1%	3.1%	.310	4.55	22.4%	7.1%	90	+0.29	4.10	196	79
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	79
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	79
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	79
Janser Lara R 2018 · 4.11 FIP	21	SW	4.11	19.3%	11.5%	2.1%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.84	220	79
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	19.7%	10.7%	1.10	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64