Joangel Gonzalez

Joangel Gonzalez P Hillsboro Hops

Age 22 RHP 6'4" / 210 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.85

FIP4.85

K%18.8%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%7.5%

ROS IP34

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	7	4	11	47	11	2	2	57%	1.6	23.4%	4.3%	19.1%	4.3%	4.91	4.00	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	7	4	11	47	11	2	2	57%	1.6	23.4%	4.3%	19.1%	4.3%	4.91	4.00	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	7	4	11	47	11	2	2	57%	1.6	23.4%	4.3%	19.1%	4.3%	4.91	4.01	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	15	1	34	149	40	14	2	7%	2.3	18.3%	11.7%	6.5%	2.1%	4.98	4.23	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	15	1	34	149	40	14	2	7%	2.3	18.3%	11.7%	6.5%	2.1%	4.98	4.23	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	15	1	34	149	40	14	2	7%	2.3	26.8%	9.4%	17.4%	1.3%	4.98	2.75	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	55	251	58	25	3	0%	1.3	17.5%	11.6%	6.0%	1.5%	5.69	3.93	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	55	251	58	25	3	0%	1.3	17.5%	11.6%	6.0%	1.5%	5.69	3.93	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	55	251	58	25	3	0%	1.3	23.1%	10.0%	13.1%	1.2%	5.69	3.06	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	34	0	61	300	74	51	10	0%	1.8	19.0%	19.6%	-0.6%	4.2%	7.08	6.26	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	34	0	61	300	74	51	10	0%	1.8	19.0%	19.6%	-0.6%	4.2%	7.08	6.26	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A+ RAW	ARI	34	0	61	300	74	51	10	0%	1.8	24.7%	17.0%	7.7%	3.3%	7.08	5.00	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ARI	59	0	62	261	53	27	7	0%	1.0	20.3%	10.3%	10.0%	2.8%	4.67	4.59	-0.0
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	60	0	63	268	57	26	7	0%	1.1	21.2%	9.7%	11.5%	2.7%	4.51	4.43	+0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	ARI	61	0	64	271	59	25	7	0%	1.1	21.7%	9.3%	12.3%	2.7%	4.40	4.34	+0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	ARI	61	0	64	271	59	25	7	0%	1.1	21.9%	9.3%	12.6%	2.8%	4.35	4.32	+0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	ARI	60	0	63	267	58	25	7	0%	1.1	21.9%	9.4%	12.5%	2.8%	4.35	4.36	+0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	ARI	30	0	31	131	27	13	4	0%	1.0	20.3%	10.3%	10.0%	2.8%	4.67	4.59	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	42	0	44	186	39	18	5	0%	1.0	21.2%	9.7%	11.5%	2.7%	4.51	4.43	+0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	ARI	50	0	52	220	48	20	6	0%	1.0	21.7%	9.3%	12.3%	2.7%	4.40	4.34	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	ARI	53	0	56	236	52	22	7	0%	1.1	21.9%	9.3%	12.6%	2.8%	4.35	4.32	+0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	ARI	54	0	57	241	53	23	7	0%	1.1	21.9%	9.4%	12.5%	2.8%	4.35	4.36	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		229	0	240	1014	218	97	28	0%	1.0	21.5%	9.5%	12.0%	2.8%	4.43	4.01	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	81	23	0%	1.0	21.5%	9.5%	12.0%	2.8%	4.43	4.01	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		97	5	162	747	139	107	22	5%	1.7	18.6%	14.3%	4.3%	2.9%	6.01	4.93	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	6	200	924	172	133	27	5%	1.7	18.6%	14.3%	4.3%	2.9%	6.01	4.93	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joangel Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.85	18.8%	11.3%	2.8%	—	4.45	21.1%	11.3%	190	-0.40	—	—	—
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	91
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	91
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	90
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	90
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	90
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	89
Brett Standlee R 2022 · 4.13 FIP	23	SU	4.13	19.7%	11.1%	2.4%	.322	4.45	17.0%	8.9%	75	+0.32	4.13	128	89
Tyler Schoff R 2022 · 4.25 FIP	23	SU	4.25	19.6%	10.8%	2.6%	.350	3.72	23.8%	15.7%	93	-0.53	3.69	190	88
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	88
Jose Geraldo R 2022 · 3.85 FIP	22	SU	3.85	18.9%	9.9%	2.0%	.337	4.47	19.0%	9.9%	49	+0.62	3.14	154	88
Logan Lombana R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	22	SU	4.04	16.8%	10.9%	1.8%	.316	4.02	15.4%	8.7%	97	-0.02	3.80	155	88
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	88
Will Kincanon R 2018 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	20.2%	11.5%	1.6%	.284	3.77	22.2%	10.0%	58	+0.02	3.75	122	88
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	88
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	88
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	87
Jason García R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	22	SU	4.57	16.8%	12.5%	2.4%	.241	4.37	13.2%	1.2%	218	-0.20	4.16	356	87
Rob Huber R 2015 · 3.90 FIP	23	SU	3.90	18.3%	11.7%	1.6%	.304	4.73	15.7%	1.0%	64	+0.83	3.90	117	87
Kyle Marman R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	22	SU	3.97	22.2%	12.8%	2.0%	.270	5.16	22.5%	8.4%	71	+1.19	3.97	117	87
Anyelo Leclerc R 2015 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	16.2%	9.8%	3.7%	.326	4.65	15.9%	6.1%	96	-0.35	4.65	140	87

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	58	21.2%	9.8%	1.07	4.49
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68