Joangel Gonzalez
P
Hillsboro Hops
Age 22
RHP
6'4" / 210 lbs
A+
peak 0.2 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 34 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
K%21.4%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP34
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Arizona Black | 7 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 57% | 1.6 | 23.4% | 4.3% | 19.1% | 4.3% | 4.91 | 4.00 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Arizona Black | 7 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 57% | 1.6 | 23.4% | 4.3% | 19.1% | 4.3% | 4.91 | 4.01 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 15 | 1 | 34 | 149 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 7% | 2.3 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 4.98 | 4.42 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 15 | 1 | 34 | 149 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 7% | 2.3 | 26.8% | 9.4% | 17.4% | 1.3% | 4.98 | 2.75 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 55 | 251 | 58 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.5% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 5.69 | 3.96 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 55 | 251 | 58 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 1.2% | 5.69 | 3.06 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 22 | 0 | 38 | 184 | 53 | 36 | 6 | 0% | 1.7 | 22.2% | 22.5% | -0.3% | 4.1% | 6.69 | 6.31 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ARI | 32 | 0 | 34 | 143 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.47 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 71 | 327 | 83 | 50 | 10 | — | — | 25.6% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 5.64 | 5.44 | -0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.09 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ARI | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 35 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 35 | 0 | 36 | 154 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 2.8% | 4.19 | 4.13 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 35 | 0 | 36 | 154 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.15 | 4.11 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 2.8% | 4.15 | 4.15 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 33 | 0 | 35 | 147 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ARI | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 30 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 2.8% | 4.19 | 4.13 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.15 | 4.11 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 2.8% | 4.15 | 4.15 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 161 | 0 | 169 | 712 | 165 | 63 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 2.8% | 4.20 | 3.80 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 75 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 2.8% | 4.20 | 3.80 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 85 | 5 | 138 | 631 | 123 | 90 | 17 | 6% | 1.6 | 19.5% | 14.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 5.73 | 4.76 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 123 | 7 | 200 | 912 | 178 | 130 | 25 | 6% | 1.6 | 19.5% | 14.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 5.73 | 4.76 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joangel Gonzalez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 21.4% | 10.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.21 | 22.9% | 13.9% | 108 | -0.26 | — | — | — |
| Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 95 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 93 |
| David Garner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 92 |
| Luke Bell R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .295 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 1.3% | 66 | +1.96 | 3.89 | 110 | 92 |
| Owen Holt R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 91 |
| Michael Gomez R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 90 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 89 |
| Addison Russ R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 89 |
| Tyler Bray R 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .356 | 3.17 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 114 | -0.91 | 2.81 | 152 | 89 |
| Colby Morris R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 88 |
| Austin Smith R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 88 |
| Peyton Williams R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% | .311 | 5.00 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.47 | 3.53 | 123 | 88 |
| Corey Copping R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.12 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .265 | 4.55 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 179 | +0.43 | 3.41 | 214 | 88 |
| Jose Geraldo R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.95 | 18.9% | 9.9% | 2.2% | .337 | 4.41 | 19.0% | 9.9% | 49 | +0.46 | 3.13 | 140 | 88 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 4.09 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 134 | +0.14 | 3.24 | 172 | 88 |
| Jordan Mikel R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 2.9% | .330 | 4.23 | 19.2% | 9.0% | 109 | -0.34 | 3.09 | 195 | 88 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 88 |
| Will Latcham R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.63 | 20.1% | 9.4% | 1.9% | .262 | 5.28 | 16.0% | 4.7% | 79 | +1.65 | 3.63 | 134 | 88 |
| Joey Stock R 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.38 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .275 | 5.22 | 22.5% | 6.8% | 95 | +1.84 | 3.38 | 121 | 87 |
| Jacob Bodner R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.40 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 1.4% | .281 | 3.50 | 22.1% | 12.4% | 98 | +0.10 | 3.16 | 124 | 87 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 35 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.08 | 4.25 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Ryan Tepera ('22) | 7 | 48 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 1.12 | 3.53 |
| Cam Bedrosian ('21) | 6 | 45 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 0.97 | 3.68 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |