Jesus Minaya

SS DSL Mets Blue

Age 18 L/R ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Mets Blue	119	.290/.445/.409	1	9	65	—	.188/.311/.238
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBNYM	229	.208/.292/.287	2	7	67	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBNYM	66	.206/.292/.291	1	2	72	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBNYM	160	.210/.296/.302	2	5	76	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%84

Speed84

wOBA80

wRC+77

Chase%67

ISO51

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJuan Villavicencio (age 18) · Derek Bernard (age 18) · Jonathan Martinez (age 17)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .289 / .284

PA100

HR1

K%27

BB%10

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$29M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	119	93	27	4	2	1	25	27	1	9	3	290	445	409	854	118	400	23	21	393	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	119	101	19	3	1	0	17	33	1	9	3	188	311	238	549	50	273	28	14	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	119	101	19	3	1	0	17	33	1	9	3	188	311	238	549	50	279	28	14	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	119	93	27	4	2	1	25	27	1	9	3	290	445	409	854	118	400	23	21	393	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	119	100	19	3	1	0	17	33	1	9	3	190	311	240	551	50	273	28	14	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	119	100	19	3	1	0	17	33	1	9	3	190	311	240	551	50	273	28	14	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	229	203	42	6	2	2	22	63	2	7	1	208	292	287	579	79	289	28	10	267	67	-9	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	192	169	37	6	2	2	19	52	2	6	1	213	297	300	597	87	292	27	10	274	72	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	NYM	48%	331	292	64	10	3	4	32	88	4	11	3	217	302	312	613	95	293	27	10	281	76	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2030	21	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	436	386	84	13	4	6	42	115	5	15	4	220	305	322	627	102	294	26	10	286	80	-11	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.5
2031	22	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	511	451	101	16	5	8	49	133	6	18	4	223	307	331	638	108	295	26	10	290	83	-11	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2032	23	MLB MLE	NYM	58%	561	496	112	18	5	9	54	145	6	19	5	225	309	339	648	113	296	26	10	294	85	-10	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.0
2033	24	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	595	526	119	19	5	10	57	153	7	20	5	227	310	342	653	115	296	26	10	296	86	-10	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	NYM	61%	614	543	123	20	5	11	59	158	7	21	5	227	311	344	655	117	297	26	10	297	87	-10	+2	+0	+7	+13	1.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	NYM	58%	623	551	125	20	6	11	60	160	7	21	5	227	311	346	657	118	296	26	10	297	87	-9	+2	+0	+7	+13	1.3
2036	27	MLB MLE	NYM	61%	625	553	125	20	5	11	60	162	7	21	5	226	310	343	653	117	296	26	10	296	86	-10	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.3
2037	28	MLB MLE	NYM	62%	621	549	123	19	5	11	60	162	7	20	5	225	308	339	647	114	295	26	10	293	85	-11	+2	-1	+7	+13	1.0
2038	29	MLB MLE	NYM	63%	611	542	120	19	5	10	58	161	6	20	5	222	305	333	638	110	294	26	9	290	82	-13	+2	-1	+7	+13	0.8
2039	30	MLB MLE	NYM	65%	601	533	116	18	5	9	57	161	6	19	6	219	302	325	627	106	292	27	9	286	79	-15	+1	-2	+6	+13	0.4
2040	31	MLB MLE	NYM	65%	587	521	112	17	5	8	55	159	6	18	6	215	297	316	613	100	290	27	9	280	76	-17	+1	-3	+6	+13	0.0
2041	32	MLB MLE	NYM	65%	569	506	106	16	4	7	53	157	5	17	7	210	292	304	596	94	286	28	9	273	71	-20	+1	-4	+6	+12	-0.4
2028	19	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	66	59	13	2	1	1	6	18	1	2	0	206	292	291	582	84	283	27	9	268	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	NYM	48%	160	142	29	4	1	2	15	43	2	5	1	210	296	302	598	92	284	27	9	275	76	-5	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	236	208	44	7	2	3	23	62	3	8	2	214	299	313	612	99	285	26	10	280	80	-6	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2031	22	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	289	256	55	8	3	4	28	75	3	10	2	216	302	322	623	105	286	26	10	284	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2032	23	MLB CTX	NYM	58%	323	285	63	10	3	5	31	83	4	11	3	219	303	329	633	110	286	26	10	288	85	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2033	24	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	339	299	66	10	3	6	33	87	4	12	3	220	305	333	637	113	287	26	10	290	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2034	25	MLB CTX	NYM	61%	372	329	73	11	3	7	36	96	4	13	3	221	305	335	640	114	287	26	10	291	87	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2035	26	MLB CTX	NYM	58%	364	322	71	11	3	7	35	94	4	12	3	221	305	336	641	115	287	26	10	291	87	-5	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2036	27	MLB CTX	NYM	61%	381	337	74	11	3	7	37	99	4	13	3	220	304	334	638	114	287	26	10	290	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2037	28	MLB CTX	NYM	62%	388	344	74	11	3	7	37	101	4	13	3	218	302	329	632	111	286	26	10	287	85	-7	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.7
2038	29	MLB CTX	NYM	63%	387	343	73	11	3	6	37	102	4	12	3	216	300	323	623	108	285	26	10	284	82	-8	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	NYM	65%	391	347	73	11	3	6	37	105	4	12	4	213	296	316	612	103	283	27	9	280	79	-10	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.3
2040	31	MLB CTX	NYM	65%	382	339	72	11	3	6	36	104	4	11	4	209	292	307	599	98	281	27	9	274	76	-11	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.0
2041	32	MLB CTX	NYM	65%	370	330	68	10	3	5	34	102	3	11	5	204	286	295	581	91	277	28	9	267	71	-13	+0	-2	+4	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4448	3940	848	128	37	72	425	1171	48	145	39	215	299	321	621	106	285	26	10	283	81	-96	+13	-7	+48	+96	5.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	124	19	5	11	62	171	7	21	6	215	299	323	622	108	285	26	10	283	81	-14	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	7696	6808	1505	237	66	118	742	2026	83	258	69	221	305	327	633	106	295	26	10	289	81	-165	+23	-10	+81	+164	9.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	128	20	6	10	63	171	7	22	6	223	307	330	637	108	297	26	10	289	81	-14	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.8	4,548	72	149	223	303	331	+49	+27	8.8	7.6
/162	664	11	22	+7.1	+3.9	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#5Pokey Reese'97-'04 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,138 PA	4.7	3,138	44	144	238*	292*	339*	+19	+41	4.0	4.7
/162	664	9	30	+4.0	+8.7	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Bill Cissell'28-'38 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,998 PA	6.0	3,998	29	113	240*	284*	363*	+27	+22	2.2	3.8
/162	664	5	19	+4.5	+3.7	0.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Minaya (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	206/289/284	78	289	1	3	27%	10%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	38→48	38→50	50	45	187/249/259	72	249	5	15	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/254/287	83	304	5	9	32%	6%	53	-2.1	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	38→48	37→50	51→50	46	184/251/255	71	245	5	16	26%	8%	45	-2.7	213/271/308	95	288	7	14	27%	7%	64	-1.3	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	36→43	37→45	52→60	51	173/263/245	72	222	4	13	23%	9%	49	-2.4	197/285/299	102	255	9	17	24%	9%	69	-0.9	197/288/299	102	260	10	24	26%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→52	40	57→45	42	203/256/302	99	255	6	15	23%	5%	57	-1.8	219/288/315	96	285	8	12	24%	7%	72	-0.7	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	36→46	37→45	50→55	46	176/242/253	76	228	4	12	24%	7%	41	-3.0	231/280/336	105	295	5	13	22%	6%	74	-0.6	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Joseph Tailor 2024 · A	18	40	36→45	53→50	39	191/248/254	63	287	4	14	33%	6%	43	-2.8	179/264/266	87	264	6	13	33%	6%	54	-2.0	141/246/232	90	206	6	17	32%	6%	38	-0.9
✕José Devers 2018 · A	18	41→49	37→45	54→50	42	197/260/270	73	264	3	15	26%	6%	52	-2.2	241/284/302	61	306	1	12	21%	4%	66	-1.1	226/281/333	107	274	7	6	19%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jorge Burgos 2021 · A	18	41→51	36→50	51→45	46	194/262/269	75	267	2	10	27%	8%	52	-2.2	233/298/320	87	326	5	6	27%	8%	77	-0.3	234/304/323	89	323	6	4	27%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Antonio Pimentel 2024 · A	18	37→44	36→45	52→55	48	178/265/240	62	238	4	11	25%	8%	48	-2.5	190/269/267	77	245	4	19	22%	9%	55	-2.0	196/270/288	91	259	6	27	25%	8%	56	-0.7
✕Cristian Jauregui 2024 · A	18	43	37→40	55→50	50	198/302/269	70	294	4	18	30%	11%	69	-0.9	190/283/265	75	277	5	18	30%	9%	61	-1.5	175/266/249	75	263	6	20	33%	8%	48	-0.8
✕Luis Liberato 2014 · A	18	38→48	36→50	48→50	44	184/246/249	65	251	3	13	27%	7%	41	-3.0	188/250/266	78	280	3	11	31%	7%	47	-2.6	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0

Jesus Minaya

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps