Jose Vargas

P DSL NYY Yankees

Age 19 RHP 6'0" / 150 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	14	15	3.68	4.67	14.8%	8.2%	—	K 10.0% · BB 10.2% · FIP 5.86
2026	18	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	11	16	4.50	3.66	16.4%	15.1%	—	K 11.2% · BB 18.8% · FIP 4.54
2027PROJ	19	MLBNYY	9	9	5.22	5.22	19.7%	14.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBNYY	10	10	4.99	4.90	20.6%	12.5%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAlejandro Lugo (age 18) · Aneudy Duarte (age 19) · Drew Pestka (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.22

FIP5.22

K%19.7%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%5.6%

Proj IP9

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	14	0	15	61	9	5	2	0%	1.0	10.0%	10.2%	-0.2%	4.2%	3.68	5.86	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	14	0	15	61	9	5	2	0%	1.0	10.0%	10.2%	-0.2%	4.2%	3.68	5.86	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	14	0	15	61	9	5	2	0%	1.0	14.8%	8.2%	6.6%	3.3%	3.68	4.67	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	11	0	16	73	12	11	0	0%	1.5	11.2%	18.8%	-7.7%	0.0%	4.50	4.54	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	11	0	16	73	12	11	0	0%	1.5	11.2%	18.8%	-7.7%	0.0%	4.50	4.54	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	11	0	16	73	12	11	0	0%	1.5	16.4%	15.1%	1.4%	0.0%	4.50	3.66	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	NYY	9	0	9	38	7	5	1	0%	1.0	19.7%	14.1%	5.6%	2.9%	5.22	5.22	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	NYY	19	0	20	84	17	11	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.5%	8.2%	2.9%	4.99	4.90	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	NYY	10	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.0	20.6%	12.5%	8.2%	2.9%	4.99	4.90	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.5%	8.2%	2.9%	4.99	4.52	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	102	20	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.5%	8.2%	2.9%	4.99	4.52	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		25	0	31	134	14	20	3	0%	1.2	10.7%	14.9%	-4.3%	1.9%	4.11	5.14	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		163	0	200	874	93	130	17	0%	1.2	10.7%	14.9%	-4.3%	1.9%	4.11	5.14	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Vargas (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.22	19.7%	14.1%	2.9%	—	4.90	20.6%	8.2%	20	-0.32	—	—	—
Alejandro Lugo R 2021 · 4.91 FIP	18	SU	4.91	20.4%	16.7%	2.6%	.265	4.96	16.7%	3.1%	98	+0.05	3.77	159	88
Aneudy Duarte R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	20.4%	13.5%	2.1%	.320	4.79	17.1%	5.4%	34	+0.53	4.26	102	87
Drew Pestka R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	20	SU	4.26	19.0%	15.1%	1.6%	.298	4.55	18.1%	0.7%	83	+0.29	3.42	100	87
Yordin Chalas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	19	SU	4.56	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.92	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.64	3.67	140	86
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	86
Samuel Carpio R 2024 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	21.2%	15.3%	1.7%	.300	5.36	21.6%	-3.4%	112	+1.16	4.20	134	86
Seth Mayberry R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	19	SU	4.12	18.3%	14.4%	1.4%	.270	3.41	23.6%	10.3%	53	-0.71	2.88	120	86
Devon Fisher R 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	16.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.333	5.76	15.1%	0.9%	88	+1.37	4.39	102	86
Kevin Camacho R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	19	SU	4.84	15.3%	12.9%	2.5%	.271	4.71	19.2%	0.8%	68	-0.13	4.12	113	85
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	85
Efrailin Ramos R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	18	SU	4.31	21.0%	15.7%	1.8%	.284	3.35	17.0%	6.4%	106	-0.96	3.11	142	85
Austin Mason R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	21	SU	4.41	17.1%	11.6%	2.4%	.289	4.06	16.2%	6.5%	151	-0.35	3.60	179	84
Carlos De Los Santos R 2019 · 5.68 FIP	18	SU	5.68	16.9%	16.0%	3.6%	.286	3.95	20.9%	3.2%	86	-1.73	3.67	173	84
Tim Naughton R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	21	SU	4.53	17.9%	15.6%	1.8%	.312	3.58	20.7%	6.4%	83	-0.95	2.93	305	84
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	84
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	84
Gerson Moreno R 2016 · 4.48 FIP	20	SU	4.48	18.6%	14.8%	2.0%	.278	4.13	23.0%	9.1%	67	-0.35	3.37	349	84
Nolan Sparks R 2024 · 4.10 FIP	21	SU	4.10	21.8%	13.5%	2.1%	.229	4.72	19.3%	5.3%	140	+0.62	4.10	155	84
Joel Ibarra R 2021 · 4.13 FIP	19	SU	4.13	21.1%	16.3%	1.4%	.345	4.50	20.7%	1.6%	98	+0.37	4.08	155	84
Michael Brewer R 2021 · 4.30 FIP	20	SU	4.30	23.7%	16.2%	2.1%	.303	4.69	19.7%	6.3%	114	+0.39	3.14	144	83