Seth Mayberry — OGILVIE

Seth Mayberry P San Antonio Missions

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.67

FIP4.67

K%23.0%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%11.4%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	19	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 1	18	0	26	104	28	12	1	0%	1.4	18.3%	14.4%	3.9%	1.3%	2.10	4.12	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	AZL Padres 1	18	0	26	104	28	12	1	0%	1.4	26.9%	11.5%	15.4%	1.0%	2.10	2.83	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	16	70	19	5	0	0%	1.3	17.9%	10.2%	7.7%	0.0%	5.74	2.88	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	16	70	19	5	0	0%	1.3	27.1%	7.1%	20.0%	0.0%	5.74	1.63	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	47	214	69	25	4	0%	1.4	25.3%	14.2%	11.0%	1.5%	5.01	3.57	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	47	214	69	25	4	0%	1.4	32.2%	11.7%	20.6%	1.9%	5.01	2.86	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	47	218	61	28	5	0%	1.3	22.2%	15.1%	7.1%	3.7%	4.60	5.17	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	47	218	61	28	5	0%	1.3	22.2%	15.1%	7.1%	3.7%	4.60	5.17	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	47	218	61	28	5	0%	1.3	28.0%	12.8%	15.1%	2.3%	4.60	3.67	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	SD	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	23.0%	11.6%	11.4%	3.0%	4.67	4.67	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SD	23	0	24	101	23	12	3	0%	1.0	23.0%	11.4%	11.5%	3.1%	4.66	4.68	-0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	SD	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	11.4%	11.5%	3.1%	4.66	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	11.4%	11.6%	3.1%	4.66	4.30	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	200	89	22	0%	1.1	23.0%	11.4%	11.6%	3.1%	4.66	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		99	0	135	606	134	85	13	0%	1.4	22.1%	14.1%	8.0%	2.1%	4.40	4.16	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	0	200	898	198	127	19	0%	1.4	22.1%	14.1%	8.0%	2.1%	4.40	4.16	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Seth Mayberry (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	23.0%	11.6%	3.0%	—	4.68	23.0%	11.5%	24	+0.01	—	—	—
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	90
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	89
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	89
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	89
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	88
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	87
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	86
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	86
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	84
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	84
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	84
Shawn Armstrong R 2017 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	22.1%	9.2%	3.3%	.282	3.18	26.9%	17.2%	144	-1.03	1.79	651	84
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	83
Maikel Cleto R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	25.8%	12.1%	2.4%	.214	3.13	25.0%	15.3%	55	-0.66	2.59	156	83
Cale Coshow R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	26	SU	4.59	23.1%	10.9%	3.8%	.300	3.68	23.0%	12.8%	63	-0.91	3.08	377	83
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	83
Kyle Winkler R 2016 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	23.1%	8.7%	2.6%	.234	3.53	18.4%	8.3%	43	-0.17	2.97	114	83
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	83
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	83
Hunter Parsons R 2023 · 4.88 FIP	26	SU	4.88	22.0%	10.0%	4.3%	.274	6.70	25.5%	9.0%	29	+1.82	4.73	183	83