Kevin Camacho — OGILVIE

Kevin Camacho P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 21 RHP 5'11" / 200 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 29 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 117

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%20.8%

BB%16.1%

K-BB%4.6%

ROS IP29

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	14	0	23	106	22	13	4	0%	1.6	14.1%	15.3%	-1.2%	4.8%	5.09	6.51	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	14	0	23	106	22	13	4	0%	1.6	14.1%	15.3%	-1.2%	4.8%	5.09	6.51	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	14	0	23	106	22	13	4	0%	1.6	20.8%	12.3%	8.5%	3.8%	5.09	5.14	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	16	0	23	107	24	11	2	0%	1.4	15.3%	12.9%	2.4%	2.6%	3.97	4.84	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	16	0	23	107	24	11	2	0%	1.4	15.3%	12.9%	2.4%	2.6%	3.97	4.84	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	16	0	23	107	24	11	2	0%	1.4	22.4%	10.3%	12.1%	1.9%	3.97	3.59	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	8	54	225	64	34	1	50%	3.4	20.2%	18.5%	1.8%	0.7%	3.33	4.12	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	8	54	225	64	34	1	50%	3.4	20.2%	18.5%	1.8%	0.7%	3.33	4.12	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	8	54	225	64	34	1	50%	3.4	28.4%	15.1%	13.3%	0.4%	3.33	2.86	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	5	4	14	72	15	11	3	80%	2.7	15.4%	18.0%	-2.6%	5.4%	8.56	7.05	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	5	4	14	72	15	11	3	80%	2.7	15.4%	18.0%	-2.6%	5.4%	8.56	7.05	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A RAW	CHC	5	4	14	72	15	11	3	80%	2.7	20.8%	15.3%	5.6%	4.2%	8.56	5.56	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CHC	49	0	51	215	47	30	6	0%	1.0	21.9%	13.8%	8.1%	2.7%	5.01	4.88	-0.2
2028	23	MLB MLE	CHC	50	0	53	223	51	27	6	0%	1.1	22.8%	12.2%	10.5%	2.7%	4.75	4.60	-0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	CHC	52	0	54	229	53	26	6	0%	1.0	23.4%	11.2%	12.1%	2.7%	4.54	4.41	+0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	CHC	52	0	55	232	55	25	6	0%	1.1	23.7%	10.6%	13.2%	2.7%	4.39	4.29	+0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	CHC	52	0	55	232	55	24	6	0%	1.1	23.9%	10.5%	13.4%	2.7%	4.32	4.27	+0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	CHC	24	0	25	106	23	15	3	0%	1.0	21.9%	13.8%	8.1%	2.7%	5.01	4.88	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	CHC	37	0	39	165	37	20	4	0%	1.1	22.8%	12.2%	10.5%	2.7%	4.75	4.60	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	CHC	43	0	45	190	44	21	5	0%	1.0	23.4%	11.2%	12.1%	2.7%	4.54	4.41	+0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	CHC	46	0	48	203	48	21	5	0%	1.0	23.7%	10.6%	13.2%	2.7%	4.39	4.29	+0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	CHC	48	0	50	211	51	22	6	0%	1.0	23.9%	10.5%	13.4%	2.7%	4.32	4.27	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		197	0	207	875	204	100	24	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.4%	11.9%	2.7%	4.55	4.06	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	197	97	23	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.4%	11.9%	2.7%	4.55	4.06	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		51	12	113	510	88	84	13	24%	2.2	17.2%	16.6%	0.7%	2.6%	4.45	5.18	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	21	200	900	155	149	24	24%	2.2	17.2%	16.6%	0.7%	2.6%	4.45	5.18	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kevin Camacho (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	20.8%	16.1%	2.8%	—	4.63	22.7%	10.3%	158	-0.66	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	89
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	86
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	84
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	84
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	82
Ryan Cardona R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	22	SW	5.07	20.9%	17.7%	2.7%	.274	4.27	18.5%	4.3%	292	-0.80	3.62	367	82
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	81
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.74	17.4%	0.9%	149	+0.06	4.54	202	81
Luis De La Cruz R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	20	SW	4.31	17.5%	16.9%	1.0%	.281	5.19	18.3%	-2.9%	124	+0.88	3.55	158	81
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	81
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	81
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	80
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	80
Alex Amalfi R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	22	SW	4.24	19.9%	18.5%	0.9%	.300	4.43	22.7%	10.8%	249	+0.19	2.67	299	80
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	80
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	80
Jose Romero R 2022 · 4.29 FIP	21	SW	4.29	22.7%	17.2%	1.7%	.200	4.34	21.6%	3.9%	100	+0.05	3.71	163	80
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	80
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	80
Cre Finfrock R 2018 · 4.27 FIP	22	SW	4.27	17.9%	16.5%	1.1%	.286	4.63	23.0%	11.3%	38	+0.36	4.27	103	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.5	49	22.9%	12.1%	1.05	4.66
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10