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Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 21 | 0 | 36 | 159 | 49 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.0% | 15.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 3.75 | 4.33 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 21 | 0 | 36 | 159 | 49 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 30.8% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 1.3% | 3.75 | 2.77 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays | 12 | 7 | 52 | 207 | 54 | 15 | 1 | 58% | 4.4 | 17.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 0.6% | 2.58 | 3.10 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays | 12 | 7 | 52 | 207 | 54 | 15 | 1 | 58% | 4.4 | 26.1% | 7.2% | 18.8% | 0.5% | 2.58 | 2.14 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 15 | 0 | 29 | 120 | 29 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 15.1% | 11.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 3.26 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | TB | 31 | 0 | 33 | 138 | 26 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 4.86 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.5% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 4.86 | 4.86 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | TB | — | — | 62 | 258 | 55 | 25 | 4 | — | — | 21.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 1.5% | 3.72 | 4.11 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | TB | 33 | 0 | 34 | 145 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | TB | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.57 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | TB | 36 | 0 | 38 | 158 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 4.42 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | TB | 37 | 0 | 38 | 162 | 36 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 2.7% | 4.31 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | TB | 37 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 37 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 4.24 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | TB | 37 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 37 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 2.7% | 4.20 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | TB | 36 | 0 | 38 | 162 | 37 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 4.20 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | TB | 35 | 0 | 37 | 157 | 35 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | TB | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | TB | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.57 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | TB | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 4.42 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | TB | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 2.7% | 4.31 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | TB | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 4.24 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | TB | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 2.7% | 4.20 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | TB | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 4.20 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | TB | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 33 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 241 | 0 | 253 | 1067 | 234 | 98 | 29 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 3.91 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 78 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 48 | 7 | 118 | 486 | 88 | 57 | 4 | 15% | 2.5 | 18.1% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 0.9% | 2.91 | 3.54 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 82 | 12 | 200 | 826 | 150 | 98 | 7 | 15% | 2.5 | 18.1% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 0.9% | 2.91 | 3.54 | +4.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Efrailin Ramos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.86 | 18.5% | 10.9% | 2.8% | — | 4.50 | 20.5% | 10.8% | 108 | -0.36 | — | — | — |
| Joangel Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.42 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 2.5% | .312 | 4.91 | 19.4% | 3.4% | 93 | +0.49 | 3.96 | 127 | 92 |
| Brandon Komar R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.63 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | 5.21 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 198 | +0.58 | 3.00 | 538 | 91 |
| Josnier Parra R 2027 · 4.51 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.51 | 15.9% | 9.8% | 2.8% | .319 | 5.13 | 11.0% | 3.0% | 97 | +0.62 | 3.79 | 129 | 88 |
| Logan Lombana R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.63 | 16.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .315 | 3.97 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 123 | -0.66 | 3.82 | 155 | 87 |
| Carlos Campos R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.43 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .304 | 5.57 | 15.3% | 8.1% | 19 | +1.14 | 4.43 | 134 | 85 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 85 |
| Saul Teran R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.23 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 4.3% | .333 | 3.83 | 20.8% | 8.7% | 94 | -1.40 | 2.28 | 158 | 84 |
| Victor Garcia R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.09 | 16.5% | 11.1% | 1.8% | .325 | 3.85 | 20.0% | 9.9% | 79 | -0.24 | 3.39 | 147 | 84 |
| Audry Lugo R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.05 | 18.5% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .247 | 5.27 | 15.6% | -0.4% | 77 | +1.22 | 4.05 | 113 | 84 |
| Yeuris Jimenez R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.42 | 16.3% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 4.34 | 18.1% | 4.6% | 162 | -0.08 | 3.34 | 317 | 83 |
| Jack Carey R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.47 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .333 | 4.39 | 19.5% | 8.2% | 156 | -0.08 | 3.71 | 250 | 83 |
| Edgar Sanchez R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.89 | 17.2% | 11.0% | 1.5% | .288 | 4.49 | 16.2% | 3.0% | 189 | +0.60 | 2.53 | 257 | 83 |
| Blake Workman R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.00 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .307 | 3.92 | 23.8% | 19.5% | 105 | -0.08 | 3.34 | 213 | 83 |
| Lisnerkin Lantigua R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.92 | 17.1% | 10.9% | 1.6% | .284 | 4.66 | 15.6% | -1.2% | 44 | +0.74 | 3.66 | 138 | 82 |
| Edgar Manzo R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.71 | 16.7% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .303 | 5.01 | 13.1% | 3.3% | 125 | +0.30 | 4.35 | 249 | 82 |
| Tanner Cooper R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.75 | 17.1% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .338 | 5.44 | 14.4% | 6.7% | 121 | +0.69 | 4.49 | 148 | 82 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.59 | 17.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .360 | 5.41 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 88 | +0.82 | 4.59 | 120 | 82 |
| Francis Hernandez R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.24 | 16.4% | 11.3% | 3.8% | .280 | 5.53 | 13.3% | -0.8% | 92 | +0.29 | 3.07 | 180 | 82 |
| Miguel Guerrero R 2027 · 5.04 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.04 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.1% | .349 | 5.04 | 17.5% | 5.4% | 115 | -0.00 | 4.49 | 171 | 82 |
| Alix Hernandez R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.26 | 21.7% | 13.7% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.65 | 23.8% | 12.0% | 56 | +0.39 | 3.43 | 149 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 9 | 37 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.06 | 4.41 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Joe Kelly ('24) | 9 | 56 | 24.6% | 10.3% | 0.81 | 4.40 |
| Daniel Hudson ('24) | 9 | 52 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 1.13 | 3.75 |