Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 16 | 0 | 31 | 125 | 32 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 17.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 3.23 | 3.85 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 16 | 0 | 31 | 125 | 32 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 25.6% | 8.0% | 17.6% | 1.6% | 3.23 | 2.84 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 16 | 0 | 32 | 137 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 0% | 2.0 | 13.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.34 | 5.00 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 16 | 0 | 32 | 137 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 0% | 2.0 | 20.4% | 6.6% | 13.9% | 3.6% | 5.34 | 4.22 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 17 | 0 | 26 | 105 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 13.6% | 14.3% | -0.7% | 5.5% | 3.16 | 6.78 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 17 | 0 | 26 | 105 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.0% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 3.16 | 4.39 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 11 | 0 | 15 | 73 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 8.4% | 12.0% | -3.6% | 3.8% | 7.04 | 6.02 | — |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | COL | 11 | 0 | 15 | 73 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 12.3% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 7.04 | 4.78 | — |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | COL | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 4.95 | 4.95 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | COL | — | — | 21 | 95 | 13 | 9 | 3 | — | — | 14.0% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 6.51 | 5.74 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | COL | 29 | 0 | 30 | 128 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 4.75 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | COL | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 4.75 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 4.75 | 4.27 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 175 | 81 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 4.75 | 4.27 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 60 | 0 | 104 | 440 | 61 | 48 | 16 | 0% | 1.7 | 13.9% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.43 | 5.27 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 116 | 0 | 200 | 849 | 118 | 92 | 31 | 0% | 1.7 | 13.9% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.43 | 5.27 | -0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kevin Tejada (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.95 | 19.3% | 11.2% | 3.1% | — | 4.65 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 30 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.87 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.87 | 17.3% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .280 | 4.02 | 19.0% | 7.1% | 128 | -0.85 | 3.37 | 145 | 92 |
| Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.24 | 20.2% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .276 | 5.27 | 18.7% | 4.4% | 140 | +0.03 | 5.04 | 162 | 90 |
| Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.57 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 2.9% | .330 | 4.23 | 19.2% | 9.0% | 109 | -0.34 | 3.09 | 195 | 89 |
| Logan Lombana R 2015 · 4.63 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.63 | 16.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .315 | 3.97 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 123 | -0.66 | 3.82 | 155 | 89 |
| Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.71 | 19.5% | 11.6% | 3.3% | .273 | 4.08 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 234 | -0.63 | 3.17 | 337 | 89 |
| Yordin Chalas R 2023 · 4.72 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.72 | 17.3% | 10.6% | 3.2% | .294 | 3.99 | 19.9% | 7.8% | 116 | -0.73 | 3.69 | 140 | 88 |
| Austin Mason R 2015 · 4.41 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.41 | 17.1% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .289 | 4.07 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 151 | -0.34 | 3.60 | 179 | 87 |
| Jose Quezada R 2018 · 5.00 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.00 | 18.5% | 11.3% | 3.7% | .219 | 3.90 | 22.2% | 10.3% | 121 | -1.10 | 3.68 | 188 | 87 |
| Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 87 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2015 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 87 |
| Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.27 | 19.5% | 12.3% | 2.3% | .342 | 3.78 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 128 | -0.49 | 3.26 | 155 | 86 |
| Andrew Bash R 2019 · 3.87 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.87 | 18.0% | 9.2% | 2.1% | .273 | 4.28 | 14.9% | 4.8% | 146 | +0.41 | 3.64 | 470 | 86 |
| Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.05 | 18.5% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .247 | 5.27 | 15.6% | -0.4% | 77 | +1.22 | 4.05 | 113 | 86 |
| Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 86 |
| Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.51 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.51 | 15.9% | 9.8% | 2.8% | .319 | 5.02 | 11.8% | 3.1% | 103 | +0.51 | 3.79 | 135 | 85 |
| Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.24 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.24 | 18.1% | 13.1% | 3.6% | .232 | 5.98 | 22.9% | 6.3% | 50 | +0.74 | 5.24 | 101 | 85 |
| Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 85 |
| Devon Fisher R 2016 · 4.39 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.39 | 16.5% | 12.5% | 2.0% | .333 | 5.83 | 15.1% | 0.9% | 88 | +1.44 | 4.39 | 102 | 85 |
| Jake Bird R 2018 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.59 | 17.7% | 13.0% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.59 | 16.1% | 4.9% | 156 | -1.00 | 2.95 | 500 | 85 |
| Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.43 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.43 | 21.1% | 11.8% | 4.8% | .317 | 4.70 | 20.4% | 2.3% | 92 | -0.73 | 4.10 | 149 | 85 |