Kevin Tejada — OGILVIE

Kevin Tejada P DSL Tigers 2

Age 21 RHP 6'5" / 187 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.95

FIP4.95

K%19.3%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%8.1%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	16	0	31	125	32	10	2	0%	1.9	17.4%	10.0%	7.4%	2.0%	3.23	3.97	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	16	0	31	125	32	10	2	0%	1.9	17.4%	10.0%	7.4%	2.0%	3.23	3.97	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	16	0	31	125	32	10	2	0%	1.9	25.6%	8.0%	17.6%	1.6%	3.23	2.84	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	16	0	32	137	28	9	5	0%	2.0	13.9%	8.2%	5.7%	4.3%	5.34	5.33	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	16	0	32	137	28	9	5	0%	2.0	13.9%	8.2%	5.7%	4.3%	5.34	5.33	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	16	0	32	137	28	9	5	0%	2.0	20.4%	6.6%	13.9%	3.6%	5.34	4.22	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	17	0	26	105	21	12	3	0%	1.5	13.6%	14.3%	-0.7%	4.6%	3.16	6.30	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	17	0	26	105	21	12	3	0%	1.5	13.6%	14.3%	-0.7%	4.6%	3.16	6.30	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	17	0	26	105	21	12	3	0%	1.5	20.0%	11.4%	8.6%	2.9%	3.16	4.39	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	14	0	20	97	16	7	2	0%	1.4	11.2%	9.0%	2.2%	2.9%	7.20	4.88	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	14	0	20	97	16	7	2	0%	1.4	11.2%	9.0%	2.2%	2.9%	7.20	4.88	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	COL	14	0	20	97	16	7	2	0%	1.4	16.5%	7.2%	9.3%	2.1%	7.20	3.75	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	COL	29	0	30	128	27	13	4	0%	1.0	20.9%	10.2%	10.7%	3.0%	4.74	4.65	-0.0
2027	22	MLB CTX	COL	14	0	15	63	13	6	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.2%	10.7%	3.0%	4.74	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	63	13	6	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.2%	10.7%	3.0%	4.74	4.27	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	81	27	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.2%	10.7%	3.0%	4.74	4.27	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		63	0	108	464	66	48	16	0%	1.7	14.2%	10.2%	4.0%	3.4%	4.57	5.09	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		116	0	200	857	122	88	30	0%	1.7	14.2%	10.2%	4.0%	3.4%	4.57	5.09	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kevin Tejada (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	19.3%	11.2%	3.1%	—	4.65	20.9%	10.7%	30	-0.30	—	—	—
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	92
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	90
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	89
Logan Lombana R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.9%	10.0%	3.1%	.315	4.02	15.7%	8.1%	123	-0.61	3.80	155	89
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	89
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	89
Yordin Chalas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	19	SU	4.56	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.92	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.64	3.67	140	88
Austin Mason R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	21	SU	4.41	17.1%	11.6%	2.4%	.289	4.06	16.2%	6.5%	151	-0.35	3.60	179	87
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	87
Sandy Lugo R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	21	SU	3.86	20.7%	9.5%	2.4%	.352	3.98	23.6%	12.5%	119	+0.12	3.48	146	87
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	86
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	86
Andrew Bash R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	22	SU	3.87	18.0%	9.2%	2.1%	.273	4.21	14.9%	4.8%	146	+0.34	3.52	483	86
Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SU	4.76	20.0%	8.6%	4.1%	.290	3.19	29.5%	23.5%	37	-1.57	2.96	211	86
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	86
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	86
Jose Quezada R 2018 · 5.31 FIP	22	SU	5.31	18.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.219	3.86	22.2%	10.3%	121	-1.45	3.77	188	85
Devon Fisher R 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	16.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.333	5.76	15.1%	0.9%	88	+1.37	4.39	102	85
Jake Bird R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	22	SU	4.59	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.254	3.65	16.1%	4.9%	156	-0.94	3.06	523	85
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	85