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Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 11 | 0 | 14 | 69 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 8.9% | 19.9% | -11.1% | 0.0% | 9.64 | 4.88 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 11 | 0 | 14 | 69 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 13.0% | 15.9% | -2.9% | 0.0% | 9.64 | 4.17 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 13 | 4 | 31 | 165 | 32 | 24 | 0 | 31% | 2.4 | 13.2% | 18.2% | -5.0% | 0.0% | 8.22 | 4.29 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 13 | 4 | 31 | 165 | 32 | 24 | 0 | 31% | 2.4 | 19.4% | 14.5% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 8.22 | 3.36 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 1 | 26 | 107 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 7% | 1.7 | 16.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 3.46 | 4.42 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 1 | 26 | 107 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 7% | 1.7 | 24.3% | 7.5% | 16.8% | 1.9% | 3.46 | 3.02 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 36 | 0 | 56 | 241 | 69 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.2% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 4.04 | 4.92 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 36 | 0 | 56 | 241 | 69 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.6% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 2.5% | 4.04 | 3.48 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 40 | 0 | 55 | 256 | 56 | 38 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.8% | 17.1% | -0.2% | 1.5% | 6.22 | 4.68 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 40 | 0 | 55 | 256 | 56 | 38 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.9% | 14.8% | 7.0% | 0.8% | 6.22 | 3.61 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 52 | 231 | 49 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 16.2% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 0.6% | 4.35 | 3.34 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 52 | 231 | 49 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 0.4% | 4.35 | 2.62 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 35 | 0 | 44 | 218 | 53 | 49 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.7% | 25.8% | -7.1% | 1.8% | 7.16 | 5.80 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 35 | 0 | 44 | 218 | 53 | 49 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.3% | 22.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 7.16 | 4.92 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 31 | 1 | 41 | 183 | 47 | 25 | 1 | 3% | 1.3 | 19.8% | 15.7% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 4.87 | 3.79 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | WSH | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 45 | 55 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 21.9% | -4.1% | 2.6% | 6.20 | 6.20 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.8% | 21.9% | -4.1% | 2.6% | 6.20 | 6.20 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 100 | 434 | 92 | 80 | 8 | — | — | 21.1% | 18.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 5.66 | 5.22 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 17.8% | 21.9% | -4.1% | 2.6% | 6.20 | 5.82 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 47 | 52 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 20.6% | -2.0% | 2.7% | 5.99 | 5.98 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 47 | 49 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 19.8% | -0.9% | 2.7% | 5.88 | 5.90 | -0.9 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 46 | 47 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 19.4% | -0.4% | 2.9% | 5.86 | 5.90 | -0.9 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 20 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 20.6% | -2.0% | 2.7% | 5.99 | 5.98 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 30 | 31 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 19.8% | -0.9% | 2.7% | 5.88 | 5.90 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 35 | 35 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.0% | 19.4% | -0.4% | 2.9% | 5.86 | 5.90 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 100 | 0 | 105 | 445 | 84 | 88 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 19.8% | -0.9% | 2.8% | 5.90 | 5.54 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 159 | 167 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 19.8% | -0.9% | 2.8% | 5.90 | 5.54 | -0.3 | ||
| Career | — | 214 | 6 | 318 | 1470 | 254 | 238 | 22 | 3% | 1.5 | 17.3% | 16.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 5.61 | 4.51 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 135 | 4 | 200 | 925 | 160 | 150 | 14 | 3% | 1.5 | 17.3% | 16.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 5.61 | 4.51 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yeuris Jimenez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.20 | 17.8% | 21.9% | 2.6% | — | 5.93 | 18.9% | -1.1% | 175 | -0.27 | — | — | — |
| Josh Harlow R 2025 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 90 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2027 · 6.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.27 | 16.7% | 25.2% | 2.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 103 | 85 |
| Yordy Cabrera R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.43 | 15.8% | 17.2% | 2.7% | .321 | 4.31 | 13.7% | 2.7% | 140 | -1.12 | 3.48 | 159 | 85 |
| Haden Erbe R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 18.4% | 16.5% | 3.1% | .320 | 5.49 | 17.8% | 0.5% | 40 | +0.14 | 5.17 | 116 | 84 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.06 | 18.0% | 16.1% | 2.6% | .229 | 4.27 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 142 | -0.79 | 3.89 | 272 | 84 |
| Lukas Schiraldi R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.06 | 18.7% | 19.3% | 2.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 319 | 83 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 17.6% | 15.9% | 2.6% | .324 | 7.06 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 23 | +1.98 | 4.90 | 103 | 83 |
| Tyler Bradt R 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.09 | 19.0% | 18.7% | 2.2% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 135 | 82 |
| Leandro Linares R 2025 · 5.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.59 | 16.2% | 22.0% | 2.0% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.93 | 134 | 82 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 124 | 82 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.04 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.8% | .270 | 3.47 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 42 | -1.57 | 3.47 | 146 | 82 |
| Luke Savage R 2025 · 5.70 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.70 | 15.0% | 17.7% | 3.0% | .358 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 117 | 82 |
| Alejandro Torres R 2026 · 6.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 6.52 | 18.3% | 20.1% | 4.4% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 103 | 81 |
| Connor Cooke R 2025 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.36 | 17.8% | 19.9% | 2.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 103 | 81 |
| Jairo Beras R 2025 · 5.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.32 | 15.0% | 20.3% | 1.7% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 110 | 81 |
| Wandi Montout R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.37 | 13.4% | 18.7% | 1.9% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 103 | 81 |
| Jake Smith R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.60 | 18.3% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.07 | 219 | 81 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.60 | 19.9% | 17.5% | 3.6% | .214 | 4.77 | 19.0% | 3.2% | 53 | -0.83 | 3.73 | 203 | 80 |
| Tommy DeJuneas R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.52 | 13.7% | 17.6% | 2.5% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 178 | 80 |
| Yunior Thibo R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.26 | 14.3% | 15.6% | 2.5% | .231 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 110 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 59 | 18.6% | 20.4% | 1.05 | 5.98 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |