Abraham Elvira

C DSL Rockies

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 184 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Colorado	77	.215/.329/.308	1	0	15	—	.134/.237/.164
2026	18	ROKCOL	72	.185/.371/.241	0	0	24	—	.121/.271/.155
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBCOL	182	.194/.271/.265	1	1	54	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCOL	55	.209/.286/.300	1	0	60	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCOL	146	.214/.291/.314	2	1	64	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%76

Chase%46

Z-Con%39

wOBA29

wRC+26

Whiff%26

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAndres Regnault (age 19) · Clayton Campbell (age 19) · Carlos Cauro (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .269 / .263

PA68

HR0

K%32

BB%8

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	77	65	14	3	0	1	8	23	3	0	2	215	329	308	637	92	310	30	10	296	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	72	54	10	3	0	0	14	25	2	0	1	185	371	241	612	56	345	35	19	298	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	77	67	9	2	0	0	6	28	3	0	2	134	237	164	401	30	205	36	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	72	58	7	2	0	0	10	31	2	0	1	121	271	155	427	34	228	43	14	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	77	67	9	2	0	0	6	28	3	0	2	134	237	164	401	30	225	36	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	77	65	14	3	0	1	8	23	3	0	2	215	329	308	637	92	310	30	10	296	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	72	58	7	2	0	0	10	31	2	0	1	121	271	155	427	34	259	43	14	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	72	54	10	3	0	0	14	25	2	0	1	185	371	241	612	56	345	35	19	298	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	77	68	9	2	0	0	6	28	3	0	2	132	237	162	399	29	205	36	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	72	60	7	2	0	0	10	31	2	0	1	117	271	150	421	33	228	43	14	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	77	68	9	2	0	0	6	28	3	0	2	132	237	162	399	29	205	36	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	72	60	7	2	0	0	10	31	2	0	1	117	271	150	421	33	228	43	14	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	COL	0%	182	163	32	6	1	1	14	58	3	1	1	194	271	265	536	71	289	32	8	248	54	-10	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	COL	34%	159	142	28	5	1	1	13	50	3	1	1	199	277	279	556	80	290	31	8	256	60	-8	-0	+0	+3	+3	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	COL	48%	301	269	56	10	2	4	24	92	5	3	1	204	281	292	574	89	291	31	8	263	64	-13	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	COL	54%	406	364	76	14	2	6	33	122	6	4	2	207	285	304	589	96	292	30	8	269	68	-15	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	COL	57%	476	427	89	16	3	7	39	141	7	4	2	211	289	314	602	103	293	30	8	275	72	-16	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.3
2032	24	MLB MLE	COL	57%	520	464	100	18	3	9	43	152	8	5	3	214	291	322	614	108	294	29	8	279	75	-15	-0	+0	+9	+11	0.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	COL	57%	520	464	100	18	3	9	43	152	8	5	3	215	292	325	617	110	294	29	8	280	76	-15	-0	+0	+9	+11	0.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	COL	56%	520	464	100	18	3	9	43	152	8	4	3	215	292	327	619	112	294	29	8	281	76	-15	-0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	520	464	99	18	3	9	43	153	8	4	2	214	291	324	615	110	293	29	8	279	75	-15	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	COL	59%	520	464	99	18	3	9	43	154	8	2	2	212	289	319	608	107	292	30	8	277	73	-16	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	COL	61%	520	465	99	18	3	9	43	156	7	1	2	209	286	313	599	104	291	30	8	273	71	-18	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	COL	62%	520	466	95	17	2	8	42	157	7	1	2	206	282	305	587	99	289	30	8	268	68	-20	-1	-2	+9	+11	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	COL	34%	55	50	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	0	0	209	286	300	586	91	304	31	7	268	60	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	COL	48%	146	131	28	5	1	2	12	45	2	1	1	214	291	314	605	100	306	31	8	276	64	-6	-0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	COL	54%	220	196	43	8	2	3	18	66	4	2	1	218	295	327	622	109	307	30	8	282	68	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	COL	57%	269	241	54	10	2	5	22	80	4	3	1	222	299	338	637	116	308	30	8	288	72	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	COL	57%	294	263	60	11	2	6	24	86	5	3	1	225	302	348	649	122	309	29	8	293	75	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	COL	57%	294	264	60	11	2	6	24	86	4	3	1	226	302	351	653	125	309	29	8	294	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	COL	56%	294	264	60	11	2	6	24	86	4	2	1	226	302	353	655	126	309	29	8	295	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	288	258	58	10	2	6	24	85	4	2	1	225	301	349	651	124	308	30	8	293	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	COL	59%	307	274	61	11	2	6	25	91	5	1	1	223	299	344	643	121	307	30	8	290	73	-10	-0	-0	+5	+7	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	COL	61%	317	283	62	11	2	6	26	95	5	1	1	220	296	337	633	117	305	30	8	286	71	-11	-0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	COL	62%	324	290	63	11	2	6	26	98	5	1	1	217	292	328	620	111	302	30	8	281	68	-12	-0	-1	+6	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2808	2514	559	101	19	53	229	835	43	19	10	222	298	341	639	119	309	30	8	288	70	-93	-0	-3	+50	+61	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	128	23	4	12	53	193	10	4	2	220	296	335	631	115	305	30	8	288	70	-22	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5199	4640	968	176	28	80	430	1562	81	35	26	209	287	310	597	102	293	30	8	272	70	-170	-2	-4	+90	+109	2.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	122	22	4	10	54	195	10	4	3	210	289	314	603	103	296	30	8	272	70	-22	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.3	2,876	46	20	211	285	315	+51	+28	3.4	3.2
/162	664	11	5	+11.9	+6.5	0.8	pk7: 3
#6Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Abraham Elvira (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	192/269/263	70	289	0	1	32%	8%	54	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Clayton Campbell 2023 · A	19	37→44	37→45	41→45	44	174/265/248	74	284	4	4	37%	9%	50	-2.3	177/259/266	89	265	7	6	33%	8%	52	-2.2	157/241/237	80	226	7	5	32%	8%	38	-1.2
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Richard Ramirez 2024 · A	19	34	39→55	48→40	46	173/246/259	86	244	7	5	31%	9%	45	-2.7	199/260/315	116	319	12	4	39%	7%	62	-1.4	198/255/335	137	313	16	2	40%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Frank Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	40	35→45	48→30	48	184/279/246	61	271	2	5	30%	9%	55	-2.0	187/249/270	83	271	7	4	32%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Freuddy Batista 2019 · A	19	36	40→50	45→40	43	179/248/267	88	250	7	4	30%	7%	47	-2.5	187/244/294	107	279	10	5	35%	6%	51	-2.2	195/262/337	142	285	14	5	35%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Jose Peroza 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	45	36	191/234/262	72	300	3	7	36%	5%	39	-3.1	210/269/340	130	308	13	6	34%	6%	72	-0.7	207/280/327	120	310	12	4	35%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Enderson Delgado 2024 · A	19	32	38→45	44→30	42	160/240/231	71	233	6	5	32%	7%	36	-3.3	187/268/277	90	268	8	4	31%	7%	57	-1.8	177/262/262	85	246	8	2	29%	7%	51	-0.7
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	40	185/238/269	84	259	7	4	30%	6%	43	-2.8	195/239/273	78	247	5	3	22%	5%	44	-2.8	242/310/379	137	297	17	3	24%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	40	37→45	45→30	42	191/256/259	68	246	4	5	24%	6%	48	-2.5	210/260/300	90	277	8	4	26%	4%	58	-1.7	184/228/264	80	253	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Marcus Wilson 2016 · A	19	40→50	35→50	46→50	41	186/250/246	60	297	3	8	36%	8%	42	-2.9	213/277/309	96	321	7	11	33%	8%	67	-1.1	191/276/341	150	316	16	16	41%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Martin Cervenka 2012 · A	19	40→47	36→45	50→40	39	191/243/261	71	284	3	6	33%	6%	42	-2.9	194/259/254	60	308	3	5	34%	8%	47	-2.5	214/259/323	109	288	12	2	29%	5%	62	-0.8

Abraham Elvira

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps