Angel Mejia

C DSL Padres Gold

Age 19 S/R 5'8" / 155 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1241ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Padres Br…	75	.203/.373/.254	0	3	28	—	.143/.280/.190
2026	18	ROKDSL Padres Go…	177	.229/.368/.300	1	7	30	—	.156/.275/.211
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBSD	287	.209/.287/.283	2	5	64	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBSD	49	.210/.290/.292	0	1	69	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBSD	119	.214/.294/.304	1	3	74	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%85

Whiff%80

K%61

Chase%61

Speed57

BB%33

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsThayron Liranzo (age 19) · Cole Tucker (age 19) · Johnny Ascanio (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 92 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .285 / .281

PA92

HR1

K%26

BB%8

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	75	59	12	1	1	0	14	19	2	3	2	203	373	254	628	51	300	25	19	309	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	177	140	32	5	1	1	23	34	8	7	3	229	368	300	668	71	287	19	13	309	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	75	63	9	1	1	0	10	23	2	3	2	143	280	190	470	48	198	31	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	177	147	23	3	1	1	16	41	8	7	3	156	275	211	486	54	187	23	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	75	63	9	1	1	0	10	23	2	3	2	143	280	190	470	48	225	31	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	75	59	12	1	1	0	14	19	2	3	2	203	373	254	628	51	300	25	19	309	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	177	147	23	3	1	1	16	41	8	7	3	156	275	211	486	54	204	23	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	177	140	32	5	1	1	23	34	8	7	3	229	368	300	668	71	287	19	13	309	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	75	63	9	1	1	0	10	23	2	3	2	143	280	190	470	48	198	31	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	177	151	23	3	1	1	16	41	8	7	3	152	275	205	480	53	187	23	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	75	63	9	1	1	0	10	23	2	3	2	143	280	190	470	48	198	31	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	177	151	23	3	1	1	16	41	8	7	3	152	275	205	480	53	187	23	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	SD	0%	287	256	53	8	2	2	24	75	5	5	1	209	287	283	571	74	284	26	8	263	64	-12	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	SD	34%	144	129	27	4	1	1	12	37	2	3	1	213	293	297	590	84	286	26	8	271	69	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	SD	48%	245	219	47	7	2	3	20	63	4	5	2	217	297	309	605	92	288	26	8	277	74	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	SD	54%	356	317	70	11	3	5	30	90	6	8	2	220	300	319	618	99	289	25	8	282	77	-10	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	SD	57%	428	382	86	14	3	7	36	107	7	9	3	223	302	327	629	104	290	25	8	286	80	-10	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	SD	57%	445	397	88	14	3	7	38	111	7	10	3	225	304	334	638	109	291	25	9	290	82	-9	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	SD	57%	445	397	89	14	3	8	38	111	7	10	3	226	304	335	640	110	291	25	9	290	83	-9	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	SD	56%	445	397	89	14	3	8	38	111	7	10	3	226	304	336	640	110	291	25	9	290	83	-9	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	SD	55%	445	397	88	14	3	7	38	112	7	9	3	224	303	333	636	109	290	25	9	289	82	-10	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2036	28	MLB MLE	SD	55%	445	397	88	14	3	7	38	113	7	9	3	222	301	328	630	106	289	25	9	286	80	-11	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	445	398	88	14	3	7	37	114	7	8	3	220	298	322	620	102	287	26	8	282	77	-12	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	SD	53%	445	398	86	14	3	6	37	115	7	8	3	217	295	314	609	97	285	26	8	278	74	-14	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	SD	57%	426	382	82	13	3	6	35	112	6	6	4	213	290	304	594	92	282	26	8	272	70	-15	-0	-3	+8	+9	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	SD	34%	49	44	8	1	0	0	4	13	1	1	0	210	290	292	582	82	281	27	8	268	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	SD	48%	119	106	22	3	1	1	10	30	2	3	1	214	294	304	598	90	283	25	8	274	74	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	SD	54%	193	172	38	6	1	3	16	49	3	4	1	217	297	314	611	97	284	25	8	279	77	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	SD	57%	242	216	48	7	2	4	20	61	4	5	2	220	299	322	621	103	285	25	8	283	80	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	SD	57%	252	225	50	8	2	4	21	63	4	5	2	222	301	329	630	107	286	25	8	287	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	SD	57%	251	224	50	8	2	4	21	63	4	5	2	222	301	331	632	109	286	25	8	287	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	SD	56%	251	224	50	8	2	4	21	63	4	5	2	222	301	331	633	109	285	25	8	287	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	SD	55%	247	220	48	7	2	4	21	62	4	5	2	221	300	329	629	108	285	25	9	286	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	SD	55%	244	217	48	7	2	4	21	62	4	5	2	219	298	324	622	105	284	25	9	283	80	-6	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	238	212	47	7	2	4	20	61	4	4	2	217	295	317	613	101	282	26	8	279	77	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	SD	53%	234	208	45	7	2	3	20	61	4	4	2	214	292	310	601	96	281	26	9	275	74	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	SD	57%	241	215	45	7	1	3	20	63	4	4	2	209	287	300	586	90	277	26	8	269	70	-9	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2561	2283	499	76	19	38	215	651	42	50	20	219	298	318	616	100	287	25	8	281	76	-66	+2	-4	+46	+55	3.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	127	19	5	10	55	165	11	13	5	219	300	321	621	102	287	25	8	281	76	-17	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5058	4503	978	154	36	74	431	1284	85	107	38	217	298	317	614	99	285	25	9	280	76	-126	+6	-7	+86	+104	6.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	127	20	5	10	55	165	11	14	5	219	299	323	622	104	287	25	8	280	76	-17	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 177 PAwOBA .307 → .212 (−95)K% 19.2% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.21%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	23.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.99%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	9.16%
HBP% /PA	4.52%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	3.19%
Singles /BIP	23.58%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.974	×1.008	15.74%
Doubles /BIP	4.72%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.974	×1.008	2.78%
Triples /BIP	0.94%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.974	×1.008	0.56%
Home runs /BIP	0.94%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.45%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .307 → .212; ISO .071 → .042; BABIP .287 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Padres Brown · 75 PAwOBA .303 → .210 (−93)K% 25.3% → 30.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.33%	÷1.026	×1.220	—	—	30.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.67%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.022	13.36%
HBP% /PA	2.67%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	1.91%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.050	×0.680	—	×1.022	16.56%
Doubles /BIP	2.50%	÷0.959	×0.600	—	×1.022	1.60%
Triples /BIP	2.50%	÷0.948	×0.600	—	×1.022	1.62%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.880	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 110, 2B 92, 3B 90, K 105, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .303 → .210; ISO .051 → .034; BABIP .300 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.0	2,654	40	53	222	297	324	+47	+28	5.4	4.8
/162	664	10	13	+11.9	+7.0	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Mejia (OGILVIE)	19	44→49	29→34	50→55	63	207/285/281	74	284	1	2	26%	8%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Cole Tucker 2015 · A	19	45→51	37→45	50→55	45	212/276/286	75	285	5	13	26%	7%	61	-1.5	233/279/311	78	310	4	18	24%	6%	67	-1.1	230/292/338	108	300	7	25	24%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Johnny Ascanio 2022 · A	19	48	36→40	50→45	50	221/309/292	71	287	2	15	22%	8%	76	-0.4	212/277/284	72	291	4	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	209/293/268	60	273	4	7	23%	9%	62	-0.8
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Jose Herrera 2016 · A	19	46	36→40	48→40	47	213/286/275	61	286	3	4	25%	8%	63	-1.4	206/258/289	83	262	6	3	23%	6%	55	-2.0	214/297/304	90	284	9	3	26%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Emil Turbi 2024 · A	19	44	37→40	50	50	201/292/280	79	280	2	12	26%	10%	67	-1.1	185/261/244	59	329	2	9	40%	8%	47	-2.6	139/215/159	21	300	0	9	49%	7%	9	-1.0
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Yosander Asencio 2024 · A	19	46	36→40	52→55	53	203/308/278	75	318	1	10	32%	12%	72	-0.7	180/271/271	91	367	7	9	46%	11%	57	-1.8	133/237/223	90	301	9	9	53%	12%	32	-1.1
✕Dervy Ventura 2023 · A	19	41→51	36→40	50→55	51	193/277/264	71	259	2	6	24%	10%	57	-1.8	206/287/289	83	268	5	14	23%	10%	66	-1.1	213/299/293	80	284	6	22	25%	11%	69	-0.4
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Adrian Santana 2024 · A	19	44→49	37→30	52→60	45	206/278/282	76	295	4	10	29%	8%	61	-1.5	217/263/276	59	271	2	32	19%	6%	53	-2.1	228/274/284	56	276	2	38	17%	5%	56	-1.3
✕Walter Ibarra 2007 · A	19	46→56	36→40	46→50	50	216/282/279	64	263	3	8	19%	8%	61	-1.5	208/255/275	67	269	3	8	23%	5%	50	-2.3	257/290/353	96	324	5	12	21%	3%	79	-0.1
✕Raywilly Gomez 2009 · A	19	48→53	35→40	49→40	55	218/294/284	66	247	1	8	12%	9%	68	-1.0	232/288/292	60	263	2	4	12%	7%	66	-1.1	258/323/313	55	295	2	2	12%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Marco Vargas 2024 · A	19	45→46	37→40	50→60	57	208/302/289	81	267	4	13	22%	12%	72	-0.7	214/295/280	66	304	3	25	27%	10%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	40→46	40→45	50→55	58	188/306/284	96	264	6	16	28%	14%	74	-0.5	205/300/295	90	282	5	20	26%	11%	74	-0.6	219/288/322	102	278	9	23	23%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Sergio Alcántara 2015 · A	19	43→53	34→45	46→50	51	200/281/254	54	280	2	6	27%	10%	56	-1.9	211/268/267	56	281	2	7	24%	7%	53	-2.1	215/291/325	109	290	12	4	28%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Luis Sardinas 2012 · A	19	49→57	35→40	50→55	42	228/278/290	62	296	2	11	23%	5%	62	-1.4	254/292/313	59	313	2	20	18%	4%	72	-0.7	256/289/338	81	305	8	11	18%	4%	74	-0.3
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	44→54	37→45	51→50	49	208/286/276	68	285	4	12	26%	9%	63	-1.3	249/303/357	108	317	7	11	22%	7%	86	+0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1

Angel Mejia

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps